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OpenAI Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

OpenAI data scientist prep on data pitfalls: selection bias, target leakage, and checking an outlier's provenance before you drop it.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at OpenAI, you sit at the crucial intersection of advanced artificial intelligence research and real-world product deployment. You are responsible for building the data-driven foundations that guide how millions of users and enterprises interact with cutting-edge technologies like ChatGPT, API, Sora, and advanced developer tooling. Your work directly influences product-market fit, safety systems, financial engineering, and strategic unit economics, ensuring that general-purpose artificial intelligence scales sustainably and securely.

How much statistics you need depends on the flavour of the seat. Experiment-facing work wants you deep enough to notice that repeated looks at accumulating data inflate the false positive rate of a fixed-sample test; modelling-facing work wants estimation and honest uncertainty intervals.

Focus areas

  • Power experiments for heavy-tailed account revenue
  • Measure churn only on renewal-eligible accounts
  • Analyse at the account grain, cluster errors

Overview

The scope of this role spans multiple high-impact problem spaces, from designing rigorous experimentation frameworks for new model rollouts to operationalizing complex metrics around developer productivity and user trust. You will collaborate closely with research scientists, software engineers, product managers, and executive leadership to decode ambiguous signals from human-AI interactions. Whether you are building causal inference models to estimate customer lifetime value or establishing source-of-truth dashboards for safety systems, your insights turn complex behavioral data into tangible product decisions.

Expect an environment characterized by rapid growth, high ambiguity, and profound technical challenges. You will not just report on metrics; you will architect the data systems, define north-star indicators, and champion a rigorous data-driven culture from the ground up. Success in this role requires a rare blend of deep statistical fluency, strong programming capabilities in Python and SQL, and the strategic vision to connect analytical findings to broader business and societal impact.

The OpenAI interview process

OpenAI candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Recruiter Screening

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
  • Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
  • Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

  • Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
  • Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
  • Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

Technical Assessments

Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
  • What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
  • Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly

How to prepare

  • Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
  • Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
  • Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock

Onsite Evaluations

Where a loop ends with a senior leader, that conversation is rarely another skills test. The technical signal already exists by then, so the questions tend to open up: what you would look at first, where a metric you have heard about could mislead, what you would push back on. The decision being made is scope, which in practice means level and how much you would be trusted to own unsupervised. Treating it as a formality is the usual mistake. An open question late in the day is still being scored, and a vague answer reads as someone who has not run anything themselves.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether your view of the business has anything specific behind it, given that you are working only from what is public and are expected to say so
  • Whether the scope of work you describe owning matches the scope of the role, instead of sitting a level below it
  • Whether you can disagree with something concrete and stay useful about it, rather than agreeing with everything said in the room
  • Whether your questions are ones only this person could answer, as opposed to ones the recruiter already covered

How to prepare

  • Build one view you could defend for two minutes using only public information: what the funnel probably looks like, which metric likely drives decisions, and where that metric could mislead. Being wrong for a stated reason survives this round; having no view does not
  • Write down the largest piece of work you have owned from question to decision, who else touched it, and what you decided alone, then check that it reads at the level you are interviewing for
  • Prepare one thing you would want changed if you joined and phrase it as a question rather than a verdict, so it opens a conversation instead of closing one

Where candidates lose points

Reading consumption metrics before the metering lag window has closed

Usage pipelines land late and correct themselves, which is exactly what is_restated and restated_at record. A dashboard queried on day T sees a partially populated tail for the last several days, so the most recent points always slope downward and always look like a regression. Analysts then explain the artefact, and sometimes ship a change to fix it. Establish the empirical settling time by measuring how much a given usage_date's total moves between first_written_at and its final value, exclude that many trailing days from every reportable figure, and never compare a fresh period against a settled one.

Comparing accounts that received a sales or customer-success touch against those that did not

Assignment of coverage is deliberate and pulls in both directions at once: the largest accounts get a named owner because they are valuable, and the accounts showing distress get one because they are at risk. The comparison therefore mixes a strong positive selection with a strong negative one, and the naive estimate can come out with either sign depending on which assignment rule dominated during the period examined. Nothing about matching on observed size fixes this, because the risk signal that triggered coverage is usually the same signal that predicts the outcome. It needs either an actual randomised or staggered rollout of coverage, or a design built on a capacity constraint or territory boundary that assigns coverage for reasons unrelated to account health.

Analysing at a different unit than the one randomised

Say out loud what was randomised (user, device, account, cluster) and make the analysis unit match, or account for the clustering with cluster-robust standard errors, the delta method, or aggregation up to the randomised unit. Randomising users and then running a test over sessions understates variance and inflates the false-positive rate.

Accepting a metric definition without asking about the denominator

Pin down the denominator, the eligibility filter and the time window before computing anything: conversion rate per session, per user, per eligible user and per new user are four different numbers with different behaviour. Restate the definition in one sentence and get agreement before you analyse.

Questions & practice

How do you determine the appropriate sample size and minimum detectable effect for a feature with high variance in user engagement?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

  1. Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
  2. Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
  3. Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.

Follow-up

  • How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
  • Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?

Design a metric framework to evaluate the real-world safety impact of a newly deployed language model feature.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
  2. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  3. Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • Where could label leakage enter this setup?

Implement seven-day activation rate from its written definition

Easy · metrics · pandas · activation

Given dim_account (account_id, created_at, is_internal, is_current) and fct_api_request (account_id, request_at, http_status, api_key_id, traffic_class), implement activation_rate(accounts, requests, week_start). Definition: the numerator is accounts whose first request with http_status < 400, api_key_id not null and traffic_class != 'synthetic_monitor' occurs no later than 168 hours after created_at; the denominator is non-internal accounts created during the ISO week starting week_start. All timestamps are tz-aware UTC. Return the rate and both counts, and refuse to report a week until every account in it has had its full 168 hours.

Approach

  1. Reduce dim_account to one row per account_id before joining anything. It is a type 2 dimension, so several versions of the same account exist; joining the versioned table to requests multiplies the denominator by the number of plan changes an account happened to make.
  2. Build the denominator first and freeze it: is_internal == False and week_start <= created_at < week_start + 7 days. Everything after this is a filter on the numerator only, because an account that never sent a request must still sit in the bottom of the fraction.
  3. Filter requests to qualifying rows and only then take groupby('account_id').request_at.min(). The first qualifying request is not the same object as the global first request filtered afterwards, and the two answers differ for every account whose first call was a 4xx.
  4. Left-join the first qualifying timestamp onto the cohort and test (first_ok - created_at) <= Timedelta(hours=168). NaT propagates to False in that comparison, which is the behaviour you want, but assert it rather than assume it.
  5. Guard reportability explicitly: if week_start + 7 days + 168 hours exceeds the maximum request_at in the data, the week is censored and will read as a drop, so return None or raise rather than emit a number.

Worked solution (20 min)

  1. cohort = accounts.loc[~accounts.is_internal & accounts.created_at.between(week_start, week_start + pd.Timedelta(days=7), inclusive='left'), ['account_id','created_at']].drop_duplicates('account_id')
  2. ok = requests[(requests.http_status < 400) & requests.api_key_id.notna() & (requests.traffic_class != 'synthetic_monitor')]
  3. first_ok = ok.groupby('account_id', as_index=False).request_at.min(); m = cohort.merge(first_ok, on='account_id', how='left'); assert len(m) == len(cohort)
  4. activated = (m.request_at - m.created_at) <= pd.Timedelta(hours=168); return {'rate': float(activated.mean()), 'numerator': int(activated.sum()), 'denominator': len(m)}

Expected result: A dict whose denominator is the count of distinct non-internal accounts created in that ISO week, numerator <= denominator, and rate = numerator / denominator; accounts with no qualifying request sit in the denominator with NaT and evaluate to False.

Verify it yourself

  • len(m) == cohort.account_id.nunique(); the merge must not add rows.
  • Dropping the synthetic_monitor filter can only raise the numerator, never lower it.
  • Widening the window from 168h to 336h is monotone: the numerator must not decrease.
  • An account whose only qualifying request falls at exactly created_at + 168h counts as activated, since the comparison is inclusive.

Follow-up

  • Median time-to-first-call is more informative. What breaks if you take the median over activated accounts only, and what estimator fixes it?
  • How would you decide whether 168 hours is the right window rather than 72 or 336?
  • An account signs up, does nothing for 20 days, then integrates heavily. Where does it land in this metric, and is that what you want?

Write a query using SQL window functions to calculate rolling retention rates across different user cohorts over a ninety-day window.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  2. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
  3. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.

Follow-up

  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

How do you optimize a slow-running query that joins massive telemetry tables from different product surfaces?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  2. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  3. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.

Follow-up

  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

How would you aggregate messy session logs to identify multi-step user drop-off points in an onboarding funnel?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
  2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  3. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Monthly account margin joined as-of the live contract version

Medium · as-of join · fan-out · scd2 · unit economics

fct_usage_daily carries account_id, usage_date, net_amount_cents and cogs_cents. fct_subscription_period carries account_id, plan_tier, term_start_date, term_end_date, booked_at and is_current, with one row per contract version, so several superseded versions can bracket the same usage_date. dim_account is a type 2 dimension keyed on account_id with employee_band, is_internal, effective_from, effective_to and is_current. Return monthly net revenue, allocated COGS and gross margin per account, labelled with the plan_tier in force during that month and the employee_band in force at month end. The reported figure excludes internal accounts, so it cannot equal the raw sum of net_amount_cents; reconcile additively instead, quantifying every bucket you drop so the reported and dropped amounts add back to that raw sum.

Approach

  1. Aggregate fct_usage_daily to one row per (account_id, month) before touching any dimension. Aggregating after the join is what multiplies revenue, and no amount of DISTINCT afterwards recovers the right number.
  2. Resolve the contract as-of the month rather than as-of now. Take fct_subscription_period rows whose term brackets the month, then rank with ROW_NUMBER() OVER (PARTITION BY account_id, month ORDER BY booked_at DESC, subscription_period_id DESC) and keep rank 1. Filtering on is_current instead backdates today's plan over last year's usage and quietly rewrites history.
  3. Resolve dim_account with the half-open interval effective_from <= month_end AND (effective_to > month_end OR effective_to IS NULL). The NULL on the live version has to be spelled out or the current row drops out of every recent month.
  4. Compute margin as (sum(net_amount_cents) - sum(cogs_cents)) / NULLIF(sum(net_amount_cents), 0) at the account-month grain, and report the distribution rather than a blended rate so margin-negative accounts stay visible.
  5. State the month-straddling rule explicitly: either split the month at the amendment date or take the version in force at month end. Both are defensible; an unstated choice is not.
  6. Reconcile additively, not by equality to the unfiltered total. The output deliberately drops two populations: account-months whose as-of dim_account version carries is_internal = true, and account-months with no fct_subscription_period version bracketing the month, which an inner join on the contract removes without saying so. The statement that ties out is reported_net + internal_net + unmatched_net = sum(net_amount_cents) over the same usage_date range. Plain equality to the raw sum would only hold if both dropped buckets were empty, and the internal one never is.
  7. Compute the internal bucket with the identical as-of rule used for the output, evaluating is_internal on the dim_account version in force at that month end. Reading is_internal from the current version instead moves accounts between the two sides of the identity and it stops closing.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Build usage_monthly: SELECT account_id, date_trunc('month', usage_date) AS month, sum(net_amount_cents) AS net_cents, sum(cogs_cents) AS cogs_cents FROM fct_usage_daily GROUP BY 1, 2.
  2. Build contract_asof by joining usage_monthly to fct_subscription_period on account_id with the term bracketing the month, then applying the ROW_NUMBER ranking on booked_at DESC and keeping rn = 1.
  3. Join dim_account with the half-open effective_from/effective_to predicate evaluated at month end, and filter is_internal = false on the version selected.
  4. Select account_id, month, plan_tier, employee_band, net_cents, cogs_cents and (net_cents - cogs_cents)::numeric / NULLIF(net_cents, 0) AS gross_margin.
  5. Run the reconciliation as a three-way identity over the same usage_date range: sum(net_cents) in the output, plus sum(net_cents) over account-months whose as-of dim_account version has is_internal = true, plus sum(net_cents) over account-months with no bracketing subscription version, must equal SELECT sum(net_amount_cents) FROM fct_usage_daily for that range, to the cent. Publish the two dropped amounts next to the total rather than leaving them implicit; a non-zero unmatched bucket is a contract-coverage bug to chase, not rounding.

Expected result: One row per account per month with net revenue, allocated COGS, gross margin, and the plan_tier and employee_band that were actually in force, with output row count equal to the number of distinct (account_id, month) pairs that survive both the internal-account filter and the contract-bracket join.

Verify it yourself

  • Output row count equals COUNT(DISTINCT (account_id, date_trunc('month', usage_date))) on the source fact restricted to the same two filters; counted against the unrestricted fact it is strictly smaller, by exactly the internal and unmatched account-months.
  • reported_net + internal_net + unmatched_net equals the raw sum from fct_usage_daily over the same usage_date range, to the cent, with all three terms computed from the same usage_monthly CTE.
  • The reported figure alone is strictly below the raw sum whenever any internal account recorded usage in the window, and equal to it only in a window where none did.
  • No account-month carries more than one plan_tier or employee_band value.
  • Accounts with net_cents of zero return NULL margin rather than a division error, and margin-negative accounts appear with a value below zero rather than being dropped.

Follow-up

  • An account amends mid-month from team to enterprise. Show what your query reports and argue for one attribution rule over the other.
  • Your monthly total disagrees with the finance figure by a small amount. Where would you look first, and which number do you defend?

What key performance indicators would you track for an agent-first customer support platform, and how do you balance automation efficiency with user satisfaction?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  3. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

Imagine weekly active users for ChatGPT drop by five percent over a weekend. How would you structure your investigation to diagnose the root cause?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

How would you define a north-star metric for an AI-powered coding assistant like Codex, and what guardrail metrics would you establish?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
  2. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  3. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Explain the principles behind statistical significance testing in the context of multiple hypothesis testing and false discovery rates.

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
  2. State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
  3. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
  • What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?

How would you design an A/B test for a new pricing page rollout when network effects or interference between treatment and control units are present?

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
  2. Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
  3. State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.

Follow-up

  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
  • What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?

Measure switching cost when switching cost is not observable

Medium · proxy metrics · bias statement · integration depth · stratification

Leadership wants switching cost tracked as a leading indicator of renewal. Nothing in the warehouse records it. Available: fct_api_request (account_id, workspace_id, environment, api_key_id, sdk_name, sdk_version, endpoint, traffic_class, http_status, request_at) and dim_account (account_id, employee_band, deployment_model, is_internal). Propose a proxy, state the direction and likely size of its bias, and name one decision the proxy is good enough for and one it is not. Deliver the proxy definition, the written bias statement, and the validation you would run against observed renewal outcomes.

Approach

  1. Say first that switching cost is unobservable in this data and that the deliverable is a biased correlate with its bias written down, not a measurement. Anything presented as a direct measure of switching cost is already wrong before the SQL starts.
  2. Define the proxy as production integration breadth per account over a trailing 28 days: distinct endpoint route templates, distinct api_key_id, and distinct workspace_id with environment = 'production', all restricted to http_status < 400 and traffic_class in ('interactive','batch'). Breadth, not volume, because request volume is one CI configuration change away from an order of magnitude.
  3. State the biases with their mechanisms and their sign. Upward with account size, because breadth correlates with employee_band, so the proxy ranks large accounts as sticky whether or not they depend on anything. Downward for deployment_model = 'self_hosted', whose traffic does not all cross the managed gateway, so their breadth is systematically understated. Blind to criticality: one endpoint carrying a production billing path is a larger switching cost than twenty endpoints behind a read-only dashboard, and nothing in this data distinguishes them.
  4. Handle the bias by stratifying rather than by pretending it is gone. Report the proxy within employee_band and deployment_model strata and state explicitly that cross-stratum comparisons are not supported by the construction.
  5. Validate against the only outcome that is actually observed: renewal on the renewal-eligible base. Within strata, report renewal rate by proxy quintile for accounts whose term_end_date has passed plus a 45-day grace, and report discrimination at the operating point a capacity-bound team can work rather than a global AUC.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Compute the trailing-28-day proxy per account: distinct endpoint, distinct api_key_id and distinct production workspace_id under successful, interactive-or-batch filters.
  2. Join dim_account for employee_band and deployment_model and drop is_internal = true.
  3. Build the renewal-eligible cohort from fct_subscription_period term_end_date in the target months with a 45-day grace, labelling each account renewed or not.
  4. Within each employee_band stratum, report renewal rate by proxy quintile, and report the proxy distribution for self_hosted accounts separately so its understatement is visible.

Expected result: A proxy defined as production integration breadth over a fixed 28 days, a written bias statement naming upward bias with account size, downward bias for self-hosted deployment and total blindness to criticality, plus a within-stratum validation showing renewal rate by proxy quintile. The answer names one supported decision, such as ordering a capacity-bound outreach list inside a stratum, and one unsupported decision, such as setting price or contract terms by switching cost.

Verify it yourself

  • Every account's proxy must be computed over the same 28-day window; a variable window makes the quintiles incomparable.
  • Self-hosted accounts should show systematically lower breadth; if they do not, gateway coverage of that deployment model differs from what was assumed and the bias statement is wrong.
  • The renewal-eligible cohort should be roughly one twelfth of the paying base per month on annual contracts; a much larger share means the term_end_date filter is not doing what you think.

Follow-up

  • An account's endpoint breadth drops 40% in a week. Name three explanations that have nothing to do with reduced dependency.
  • Which decision would you refuse to make on this proxy, and what evidence would you need before making it?

Monthly logo churn triples with no change in satisfaction

Hard · renewal-eligible base · censoring · timestamp semantics

Monthly logo churn, computed as churned accounts divided by all paying accounts, tripled last month. Contracts are annual. From fct_subscription_period (account_id, term_start_date, term_end_date, amendment_type, auto_renew, booked_at, superseded_by_id, is_current) and dim_account (account_id, churned_at, account_status, employee_band, acquisition_channel), rebuild churn on the renewal-eligible base, separate calendar effects from customer behaviour, and state whether retention actually changed. Note that churned_at is sometimes set when the record was updated rather than at term end.

Approach

  1. Rebuild the denominator as accounts whose term_end_date falls in the month. An account eleven months from renewal sits in the current denominator while being structurally incapable of entering the numerator, so on annual contracts the published rate understates the truth by roughly the reciprocal of the annual renewal fraction and moves with the signing calendar.
  2. Plot the renewal-eligible base by month across two years. A signing surge twelve months earlier reproduces itself as an eligibility surge now, and a rate whose denominator ignores that tracks the sales calendar rather than customer sentiment.
  3. Date each churn by term_end_date, never by churned_at or an update timestamp. Inspect the distribution of churned_at minus term_end_date: a backlog cleared in one batch appears as a mass at a single date and shifts losses into whichever month the operations team did its paperwork.
  4. Apply the 45-day grace for late renewal paperwork so the most recent month and a half is marked not reportable, rather than printing a number that will rise once the paperwork lands.
  5. Compare corrected gross logo retention against its own trailing distribution, and if a real change survives, cut it by employee_band, acquisition_channel and plan_tier before proposing any cause.

Follow-up

  • Some contracts in the window have not reached their renewal date. When does this require a survival estimator rather than a simple rate, and which one would you use?
  • How do you report churn to an audience that wants a monthly number when the underlying event is annual and lumpy?

Suggested practice checklist

Roughly 90 minutes a night on weekdays with one longer weekend block. The plan deliberately cuts scope rather than compressing everything, on the assumption that finishing one thing a night beats half-starting four.

Day 1 — Fix the scope and set a baseline

  • Read the role description and write the three things the loop will almost certainly test, then write an explicit not-doing list for everything else and keep it visible all week.
  • Take one 20-minute SQL prompt and one 10-minute metric question cold, and write the single sentence that says what blocked each attempt, since that sentence is what decides which two topics get the most evenings.
  • Set the week's one rule: one problem finished to completion every night, including the night you only have 40 minutes.

Deliverable: A one-page scope with an explicit not-doing list and two cold attempts, each carrying one sentence on what blocked it.

Day 2 — One query pattern, written three times

  • Choose the single pattern most likely to appear (a cohort retention grid, or a funnel counted by user) and write it three times from a blank file rather than editing the previous attempt.
  • On the third attempt, write the grain of every CTE as a comment before writing its body.
  • Stop at 90 minutes even if the third version is imperfect, and write the one thing you would fix with another hour.

Deliverable: Three independent versions of the same query plus a note on what changed between them.

Day 3 — Only the statistics you will be asked to defend

  • Write, in under 200 words, how you would decide whether a difference between two groups is real: the test, its assumptions, and what you would switch to when an assumption fails.
  • Compute a 95 percent confidence interval for a difference in proportions by hand on realistic numbers, then write in one sentence what changes if the two samples are paired rather than independent.
  • Write your answer to "what does a p-value mean", check it against a definition, and delete the version that describes it as the probability the hypothesis is true.

Deliverable: A 200-word written answer and one hand-computed interval you can reproduce under pressure.

Day 4 — One case, and the assumptions holding it up

  • Answer one product case aloud in 20 minutes with a recording running, then listen back with a pen and mark every claim you asserted without saying what it rested on: an assumed user behaviour, an assumed data source, an assumed baseline rate, an assumed grain.
  • Pick the three assumptions the recommendation actually depends on, write how you would check each one against data, and say which one being wrong would flip the recommendation rather than merely weaken it.
  • Write the four-step structure you used onto a card small enough to hold in working memory when you are nervous.

Deliverable: One recording, three load-bearing assumptions each with a written check, and a four-step structure card.

Day 5 — Your own work, timed

  • Write a 90-second version and a four-minute version of your main project, and time both out loud rather than reading them.
  • Prepare answers to the two follow-ups that always come: what you would do differently, and how you knew it worked.
  • Put one number in the first sentence and be able to say exactly where that number came from and what it excludes.

Deliverable: Two timed narratives with one defensible number in the opening line.

Day 6 — The one full rehearsal, in a longer weekend block

  • Run a 60-minute mock covering query work, a case and a behavioural question in a single sitting with no breaks, because sustained attention is the thing evenings have not trained.
  • Immediately afterwards, and before hearing any feedback, write the three moments you lost the thread.
  • Spend the rest of the block only on those three moments, and on nothing you merely feel shaky about.

Deliverable: Mock notes naming three failure moments with a specific fix written under each.

Day 7 — Taper

  • Write the 20-minute warm-up you will actually do on the morning of the interview: one query you can already write from a blank file, one metric you can define out loud, and nothing you have never seen before.
  • Re-read only your own notes from this week, and open no new material.
  • Write down the logistics: the tool you will be asked to work in, whether lookups are allowed, and the sentence you will use when you do not know something.

Deliverable: A one-page card holding the case structure, the project numbers, and the logistics.

Ownership when the result is inconvenient

Sometimes the honest read is that the initiative did not work, and the person who commissioned the analysis was hoping otherwise. Interviewers want to know whether you softened it. Prepare the case where you delivered an unwelcome result, how you presented the uncertainty without hiding behind it, and what the team did next.

Give an example of a project where you took ownership from concept to deployment. What obstacles did you encounter, and how did you scale your solution?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
  2. Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
  3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
  • What would you do differently if you ran that project again?

Announce a metric fix that cuts the headline number

Medium · metric definitions · stakeholders · communication

Weekly active organisations, the count on the company dashboard, has never excluded rows where dim_account.is_internal is true, and it counts traffic with traffic_class in synthetic_monitor and load_test. Correcting both reduces that count by 11 percent and removes most of the growth reported over two quarters. The figure appears in a board deck and in two teams' quarterly goals, one written on the count and one on the weekly active organisation ratio, whose denominator is accounts whose account_status was in ('trial','free','active_paid') through the week. Decide the order in which you tell people, what the dashboard shows during the transition, and what you propose happens to goals already set against the old definition.

Approach

  1. The interviewer is probing whether you can land a correction as an operational change with a plan attached, rather than as an announcement other people then have to clean up after.
  2. Quantify each exclusion separately before telling anyone: internal accounts, synthetic monitors, load tests. Three known quantities are a discussion; one alarming total is an argument.
  3. Be precise about which side of the metric each exclusion touches, because one team's goal is on a count and the other's is on a ratio. The traffic-class filters remove requests, so they shrink the numerator only. Dropping internal accounts removes them from the ratio's denominator as well, since internal accounts carry ordinary account_status values and therefore sit in that denominator. Internal accounts are active in almost every week while the real base is not, so the numerator loses a larger share than the denominator and the ratio falls by less than the count does. Compute both and say which one the 11 percent is before anybody assumes.
  4. Check whether the trend changes, not only the level. A constant 11 percent shift is a rebasing and nothing more. A shift that widens over time means the reported growth was partly internal or synthetic, which makes the existing goals unachievable as written and changes what you are asking teams to do.
  5. Sequence the disclosure: the metric owner and the two teams whose goals move first and privately, then the board channel with a written bridge, then the dashboard. The dashboard is last because a number that changes without explanation is read as instability rather than as a fix.
  6. Run both series for one reporting period with the bridge visible, restate history rather than letting the series break at a date, and set the date the old series is removed.
  7. Propose the goal treatment yourself: rebase each target by the shift measured on the metric that target is written against, rather than leaving each team to negotiate individually, which is where corrections of this kind usually die.

Follow-up

  • One team's quarterly goal is now unreachable. Rebase the target or let it miss, and what does each choice teach the organisation?
  • How would this have been caught when the metric was first defined?
  • What else on that dashboard shares this failure mode, and how would you find out this week?

Scope an open-ended request to predict account churn

Medium · scoping · churn modelling · operating point

A customer success director asks for a list of accounts about to churn. You know only that the team has six people and that contracts are annual. Available data is fct_subscription_period, fct_usage_daily, fct_api_request, fct_support_ticket and dim_account. Before writing any code, produce the questions you need answered, a proposed definition of about to churn, and the shape of the artefact you would hand back, including the operating point that turns a score into a decision.

Approach

  1. The interviewer is probing whether you convert a vague request into a decision with a capacity constraint attached. A candidate who starts talking about model families has already failed the exercise.
  2. Pin the event and the horizon first. Churn is only possible at term_end_date, so the population is accounts renewing in the next 60 to 90 days, not the whole base. Ask explicitly whether contraction and downgrade count as churn or only full non-renewal, because the three have different base rates and different interventions.
  3. Pin the action and the capacity. Six people times a realistic number of meaningful interventions per week gives k, and k is what the list is ranked to. Evaluate on precision at k rather than a global AUC over accounts that will never be contacted.
  4. Audit leakage before choosing features. Every feature needs a timestamp proving it existed before the prediction date. A downgrade amendment, a churn reason code, and a ticket opened after the renewal conversation started are all leaks that will make the offline number look excellent and the live list useless.
  5. Ask for the counterfactual now rather than later. Coverage is assigned deliberately, so without a held-out slice agreed at the start the intervention can never be evaluated, and you will be asked for its impact in nine months regardless.
  6. Propose the smallest artefact that closes the loop: a weekly ranked list sized to capacity with two or three inspectable reasons per row, plus a stated policy for accounts below the line.

Follow-up

  • The director insists all accounts are in scope, not only those renewing soon. How do you answer without simply refusing?
  • Historical non-renewals number about 30 a year. At what point do you tell them a model is the wrong tool and a rules list is better?
  • Which candidate features would you drop purely because you cannot date them?