Interview guides · J.D. Power

J.D. Power Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Diagnose a metric move for J.D. Power data scientist prep: split by segment, rule out a logging change, separate mix shift from behaviour.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at J.D. Power, you are stepping into a role at the heart of global consumer insights, advisory services, and data analytics. For decades, J.D. Power has been the industry standard for benchmarking consumer satisfaction, particularly in the automotive, financial services, and insurance sectors. In this role, you will be directly responsible for transforming massive volumes of proprietary survey data, consumer feedback, and market signals into actionable, predictive intelligence.

The boundary with engineering varies enough to be worth asking about directly. Some seats end at the analysis and the writeup; others carry feature pipelines, scheduling and alerting, which decides whether production data plumbing belongs in your prep at all.

Focus areas

Read vintage curves, not blended portfolio averages
Report only matured cohorts for loss metrics
Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD

Overview

The impact of this position is substantial. You will not just be building models in a vacuum; your work will directly influence the strategic decisions of major Fortune 500 companies. By applying advanced statistical methods and machine learning techniques, you will help uncover the hidden drivers of consumer behavior, predict market trends, and refine the algorithms that power J.D. Power’s renowned industry studies and syndicated reports.

Expect a role that balances deep technical rigor with high business visibility. The scale and complexity of the data you will handle require a strong foundation in data engineering, natural language processing (NLP) for unstructured text, and robust predictive modeling. If you thrive on solving complex, ambiguous problems and have a passion for translating raw data into compelling, client-facing narratives, this role offers a unique platform to influence how the world’s biggest brands understand their customers.

The J.D. Power interview process

J.D. Power candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Online Assessment

This round decides whether someone can hand you a schema and a question and trust the number that comes back. Correctness under a clock is the bar, not clever syntax. The habit that separates strong from weak answers is checking the grain: after every join, know how many rows you expect and whether the count moved. Most wrong answers in this format are not wrong logic, they are a fan-out from a key that turned out not to be unique, or a filter applied before an aggregate when it belonged after. Say what you expect before you run it.

What to demonstrate

Whether your row counts survive each join, and whether you notice on your own when they do not
Deliberate handling of rows that fail to match, including whether the question needs an inner join or a left join with the non-matches kept and counted
Whether NULLs are treated on purpose, given that a NULL compares equal to nothing and that COUNT of a column skips it
Reaching a defensible answer inside the window instead of a refined one after it

How to prepare

Take a two-table schema, write a join that fans out on purpose, then fix it by collapsing the many-side to one row per key before joining. Repeat until the fix is reflex rather than recall.
Write a funnel as one query and print the distinct user count at each stage, then confirm each stage is a subset of the one above it rather than assuming it
Do a few timed runs in a plain text box with no autocomplete and no formatter, since assessment editors often have neither

HR Phone Screen

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

Technical Interviews

Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.

What to demonstrate

Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly

How to prepare

Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock

Final Panel Presentation

A day of back-to-back interviews samples your floor, not your ceiling. Four hours in, the habits that carry a good answer are the first to go: restating the question before solving it, asking what the data would have to look like, checking a number before quoting it. What the day decides is whether the tired version of you is still someone to leave alone with an ambiguous problem. The round that sinks a candidate is usually not the hardest one. It is the one immediately after the round that went badly.

What to demonstrate

Whether the late rounds get the same clarifying questions as the first one, or whether you start answering immediately to save effort
Whether a weak answer stays in the room it happened in, instead of following you into the next conversation as apology or distraction
Whether the quality of your questions holds up, since fatigue removes curiosity about the problem before it removes knowledge of the method

How to prepare

Rehearse the length, not just the content: book four mock interviews of different types in one afternoon with short gaps, because the one you need to observe is the fourth
Put the two or three questions you ask at the start of any problem on a card in front of you, so that under fatigue it is a habit you run rather than a decision you make
Decide in advance what the gap between rooms is for: water, one line of notes on anything you promised to follow up, and an explicit close on the round that just ended so it does not travel
Prepare a different closing question for each interviewer, so the end of a long day does not produce the same one four times

Where candidates lose points

Reading the most recent months of fraud and dispute rates as final

Consumer dispute rights commonly run around 120 days from the transaction or expected delivery date, and several reason codes run considerably longer, so the disputes belonging to a recent transaction month have simply not been filed yet. Any chart attributed by transaction date therefore slopes down at the right edge regardless of what is happening. The fix is to report only matured cohorts, or to apply development factors estimated from completed months and to show the estimate as an estimate.

Using written premium as the denominator of a loss ratio

Premium is written at inception and earned pro rata across the exposure period, so in a growing book written premium runs ahead of earned premium and the loss ratio comes out too low, with the error reversing when the book shrinks. The numerator has the mirror-image problem if it omits incurred-but-not-reported reserves, since recent accident periods then look profitable twice over. Both sides must refer to the same exposure period, which is what an accident-period view at a fixed development age enforces.

Sizing estimates built on unnamed, unrevisable assumptions

Write each assumption as a named number you can change, then show the arithmetic so the interviewer can challenge one input instead of the whole answer. Finish by saying which assumption the result is most sensitive to, which matters more than the point estimate.

Dropping rows with missing values without naming the mechanism

Say whether the values are missing at random, missing by a known process, or missing in a way that depends on the outcome, and handle them accordingly. Deleting incomplete rows silently redefines the population whenever missingness correlates with what you are measuring.

Questions & practice

How would you handle a highly imbalanced dataset where the target variable (e.g., severe customer dissatisfaction) occurs in only 1% of the cases?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.

Follow-up

How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?

Explain the bias-variance tradeoff and how it relates to model complexity.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.

Follow-up

How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

What is multicollinearity, how do you detect it, and how does it affect a multiple linear regression model?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.

Follow-up

How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

Write integrity checks for the authorization and settlement lifecycle

Easy · data quality · minor units · fx reconciliation

You are given fct_payment_authorization as a pandas DataFrame with auth_id, requested_at, amount_minor, transaction_currency, auth_result, decline_reason_code, is_reversal, parent_auth_id, captured_at, captured_amount_minor, settled_at, settlement_amount_minor, settlement_currency and settlement_fx_rate. Write a function returning one row per integrity check with the check name, failing row count, failing share and up to five example auth_id values. Cover at least six checks, one of which reconciles captured_amount_minor against settlement_amount_minor through settlement_fx_rate. Partial capture, zero-amount verification and a decline with no capture are all legitimate and must not be flagged.

Approach

Separate contract violations from observations before writing any code: an approved row carrying a decline_reason_code is structurally impossible, while a capture two days after requested_at is merely slow and belongs in a different severity tier.
Express each check as a boolean mask over the whole frame and collect the masks in a dict, so the summary table is one comprehension over mask.sum() rather than a row loop.
For the reconciliation, leave minor units before comparing: expected = captured_amount_minor / 10exponent[transaction_currency] * settlement_fx_rate * 10exponent[settlement_currency]. Build the exponent table covering zero-decimal and three-decimal currencies instead of assuming two everywhere.
Guard the legitimate cases explicitly so each mask fires only on the genuine contradiction: captured_amount_minor below amount_minor is partial capture, amount_minor of zero on an approved row is account verification, a null captured_at on a declined row is correct.
Sort the output by failing share times a stated severity weight, because a check firing on 0.01 percent of rows can still be the one that breaks a ledger reconciliation.

Worked solution (25 min)

Assert auth_id is unique, then build a currency exponent lookup that includes the zero-decimal and three-decimal currencies present in the data.
Define masks for: approved with non-null decline_reason_code; declined with non-null captured_at; captured_amount_minor above amount_minor with parent_auth_id null; captured_at before requested_at; settled_at before captured_at; is_reversal true with parent_auth_id null; settlement_currency differing from transaction_currency while settlement_fx_rate is null.
Add the exponent-aware reconciliation mask with a tolerance of one minor unit plus a small relative term.
Assemble a frame of check_name, n_failing, pct_failing and up to five sample auth_id values, ordered by severity then share.
Read five flagged rows per check by hand and confirm each is genuinely contradictory before reporting any counts.

Expected result: A DataFrame of at least eight rows, one per check, each with n_failing, pct_failing and example auth_id values. The reconciliation check should fire on a whole currency at once rather than on scattered rows, because an exponent error is systematic while an FX error is not.

Verify it yourself

Every mask returns false on three hand-constructed legitimate rows: a partial capture, a zero-amount verification and a decline with no capture.
Each pct_failing uses the denominator that check actually applies to, with reversals and verifications excluded where they are out of scope.
The reconciliation residual is centred at zero with spread under one minor unit; residuals clustered at exactly 100x or 0.01x mean an exponent is wrong, not a rate.

Follow-up

Which of these would you run as a blocking pipeline assertion and which as a monitored metric, and why?
The FX check fails on 3 percent of rows, all in one settlement currency. How do you decide between a data bug and a rounding convention?
How would you detect that a currency's minor-unit exponent is wrong in your reference table, using only the transaction data?

How do you handle a situation where a SQL query is running too slowly on a massive dataset?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

Given a dataset of customer transactions, write a Python script to identify the top 5% of customers by lifetime value.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

Write a function to detect and remove outliers from a continuous variable using the Interquartile Range (IQR) method.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Attribute chargebacks to transaction month without fanning out

Medium · fan-out · cohort attribution · maturity

Report the matured first-chargeback rate. Numerator: fct_card_dispute rows whose dispute_stage is first_chargeback, representment, pre_arbitration or arbitration, attributed to the requested_at month of the linked fct_payment_authorization row rather than to opened_at. Denominator: settled authorizations in that same transaction month, meaning settled_at is not null and is_reversal is false. One authorization can carry more than one dispute case. Report only transaction months whose last day is at least 120 days old, and mark the remainder incomplete rather than showing them as low.

Approach

Compute the denominator from fct_payment_authorization alone, grouped by the requested_at month, before any dispute table is mentioned, so the join cannot touch it.
Compute the numerator as a separate aggregate: join disputes to their authorization only to recover requested_at, then count dispute rows per transaction month with the stage filter.
Join the two aggregates on the month key, which keeps the grain at one row per month and makes double counting structurally impossible rather than something you have to remember.
Apply the maturity gate on the month's last day plus 120 days against the current date, because a transaction on the final day of the month is the least mature one in the cohort.
Emit an explicit status column of 'final' or 'incomplete' instead of filtering immature months away silently, so a reader cannot mistake absence for zero.

Worked solution (30 min)

CTE denom: SELECT date_trunc('month', requested_at) AS txn_month, COUNT(*) AS settled_txns FROM fct_payment_authorization WHERE settled_at IS NOT NULL AND NOT is_reversal GROUP BY 1.
CTE numer: join fct_card_dispute to fct_payment_authorization on auth_id, filter dispute_stage to the four stages at or beyond first_chargeback, group by the same txn_month expression, count dispute rows.
LEFT JOIN numer onto denom on txn_month so months with zero disputes appear as zero rather than disappearing.
Derive the rate with a numeric cast and a status column driven by (txn_month + interval '1 month - 1 day') + interval '120 days' <= current_date.

Expected result: One row per transaction month with settled_txns, chargeback_cases, a rate in basis points, and a status of 'final' or 'incomplete'. The final months form a roughly flat series; the incomplete months at the right edge are visibly and correctly labelled rather than sloping to zero.

Verify it yourself

settled_txns for a given month is identical whether or not the dispute CTE is joined, which is the direct test that no fan-out occurred.
COUNT(DISTINCT auth_id) in the numerator is at or below the dispute row count; if they are equal, no authorization in the data carries two cases and the fan-out risk is latent rather than absent.
Every month flagged 'final' has its last day at least 120 days before the current date.
Attributing by opened_at instead shifts the series later and flattens the right edge, which demonstrates why the attribution key matters.

Follow-up

Should the numerator count dispute cases or disputed authorizations? Which one reconciles to the loss line, and which one to the operations queue?
Some reason codes allow filing well beyond 120 days. How would you estimate the tail on a month you have decided to call final?
How would you present the incomplete months so that a weekly reader does not read the right-hand slope as an improvement?

How do you prioritize your work when faced with multiple urgent requests from different research teams?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

Test a referral rule when reviewers are a shared queue

Medium · interference · switchback · cluster randomisation

A proposed risk rule raises the share of ecommerce authorizations routed to manual review. Reviewers work a shared pool of queues serving both arms, so extra referrals from treatment lengthen the wait for control cases too. The current plan randomises by customer_id and reads decision latency plus matured fraud basis points. Explain why that design is biased and in which direction, propose a design that is not, and say what governs its power.

Approach

Name the violated assumption precisely: a unit's outcome depends on other units' assignments through the shared reviewer capacity, so the stable unit treatment value assumption fails. Customer-level randomisation then estimates a contrast between a degraded treatment and a degraded control, not between treatment and the status quo.
State the direction. Treatment pushes work into the shared queue, control absorbs part of that wait, so the measured latency difference understates the true effect of full rollout. The test can look acceptable while the rolled-out state is materially worse, which is the expensive failure mode here.
Move randomisation up to a unit that contains the interference. Either cluster-randomise whole queues or sites, or run a switchback that flips the rule for an entire queue over time blocks. Switchback is usually the better choice here because queue count is small and each queue serves as its own control, removing between-queue heterogeneity.
Specify the switchback concretely. Block length should be several times the queue sojourn time; discard a burn-in after each switch equal to the 95th percentile sojourn so carryover cases from the previous regime do not contaminate the new block; balance assignment within each day so the daily arrival pattern cannot correlate with arm.
Analyse at the randomisation unit. Aggregate to queue-block means, include queue and time-block fixed effects, and use randomisation inference or a wild cluster bootstrap rather than cluster-robust standard errors, which are anti-conservative with few clusters. Check residual autocorrelation between adjacent blocks; if it is material, widen the blocks or model it.
Separate the two readouts by maturity. Latency and referral precision at case close are available inside the test window; matured fraud basis points require at least 120 days of dispute maturity from the transaction month, so it is a deferred confirmatory read and must not be presented as a low number on immature cohorts.

Worked solution (30 min)

Write the interference channel explicitly: reviewer capacity is fixed per queue per hour, arrivals are the sum of both arms, so control's wait is a function of treatment's assignment.
Choose a queue-by-four-hour-block switchback across 14 queues for 30 days, giving 14 * 6 * 30 = 2,520 blocks, with within-day balanced assignment and a burn-in equal to the 95th percentile sojourn discarded at each switch.
Compute power at the block level. With a residual block-level standard deviation of decision latency of 6 minutes after removing queue and day-of-week fixed effects, and half the blocks per arm, MDE = 2.8016 * sqrt(2 * 36 / 1260).
State the caveat that adjacent blocks are autocorrelated, so the effective block count is below 2,520 and the analytic MDE is a floor; estimate the inflation from historical block-to-block autocorrelation before committing.
Split the readout: latency and referral precision as the in-window primary, matured fraud basis points as a deferred read at 120 days with immature months marked incomplete rather than plotted.

Expected result: A queue-by-time-block switchback with burn-in exclusion and within-day balanced assignment, analysed on block means with queue and time fixed effects and randomisation inference. With 2,520 blocks and a 6-minute residual block standard deviation, the analytic MDE on decision latency is 2.8016 * sqrt(72 / 1260) = 2.8016 * 0.2390 = 0.67 minutes, stated as a floor pending the autocorrelation correction. Power is governed by block count and between-block residual variance, not by transaction volume.

Verify it yourself

An A/A switchback on historical data should produce block-level differences centred on zero with a standard deviation matching the residual block standard deviation used in the power calculation.
Plot the effect against time since the last switch. If it is not flat after the burn-in window, the burn-in is too short and carryover is still present.
Confirm that arm assignment is orthogonal to hour of day and day of week in the realised schedule, since queue load is strongly periodic.
Cluster count, not row count, should appear in the degrees of freedom of the final inference; if the standard error implies thousands of independent observations, the analysis is at the wrong grain.

Follow-up

How do you set the block length when the queue sojourn time itself changes under treatment?
You have 14 queues and 30 days. Compare a queue-level cluster design against a queue-day switchback on power and on what each can estimate.
The shared resource is capacity. What happens to your estimate if reviewers work faster when the queue is long?

Portfolio delinquency improving while the loan book doubles

Easy · vintage analysis · age mix · right censoring

The blended 90-plus days-past-due rate across fct_loan_performance_monthly fell from 3.1 to 2.2 percent over two quarters while monthly funded volume roughly doubled. Credit leadership wants to know whether underwriting improved. Columns: loan_id, as_of_month_end, origination_month, months_on_book, original_principal_minor, principal_balance_minor, days_past_due, delinquency_bucket, restructured_flag, charge_off_flag, charge_off_date. Produce the view that answers the question honestly, and state in one sentence what the blended rate can and cannot tell you.

Approach

Name the mechanical floor first. A first instalment falls due roughly a month after funding, so a loan cannot reach dpd_90_plus until around its fourth month on book. Every recent origination therefore enters the denominator with a numerator that is structurally zero.
Build a vintage table: rows origination_month, columns months_on_book, cell equal to the share of that cohort whose worst days_past_due reached 90 or more, or whose charge_off_flag became true, at or before that age.
Use each loan's worst state to date rather than its current bucket, and take the pre-restructure worst state, because restructuring resets days_past_due and would otherwise read as a cure.
Compare cohorts only at equal months_on_book, and render cells beyond a cohort's current maturity as absent rather than zero, so the table cannot be misread left to right.
Decompose the blended move into an age-mix component and a within-age component, so the write-up states how much of the 0.9 point improvement is arithmetic rather than asserting it.

Follow-up

What does the diagonal of a vintage table represent, and when is reading it the right thing to do?
How would a change in charge-off timing policy show up in this table, and how would you separate it from credit quality?
Which single chart goes in front of the credit committee, and what do you say when someone asks for the blended series anyway?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Bring numbers, including the ones you are unsure of

An answer without a quantity is hard to interrogate, so interviewers keep probing until they find one. Come with the baseline, the change, the window it was measured over, and how confident you were. If the effect never got measured, say so and say what you would have measured. Fabricated precision is worse than an honest gap.

Tell me about a time you had to explain a complex technical concept to a non-technical stakeholder.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Explain an incomplete dispute chart to a non-technical executive

Easy · dispute maturity · stakeholder communication · right-censoring

A finance lead is looking at first-chargeback rate by transaction month, built from fct_card_dispute joined to fct_payment_authorization on auth_id and attributed to requested_at. The last three months slope sharply down and the lead wants to announce a fraud improvement at tomorrow's review. Consumer dispute rights commonly run around 120 days from the transaction or expected delivery date, so those months are not complete. In five minutes, with no statistics vocabulary, explain why the decline is not yet evidence and say exactly what you would put on the slide instead.

Approach

Lead with the mechanism in the listener's own terms, not with the statistical name for it: a dispute is attributed to the month the transaction happened, but it can be filed up to roughly 120 days later, so recent months contain only the disputes filed so far.
Show completeness rather than arguing about the rate: for each transaction month, plot the share of its eventual disputes already filed, estimated from months that are fully matured. The last three months will sit visibly below 100 percent.
Replace the chart with two artefacts: a matured series that stops 120 days back and is labelled final, and a development-factor estimate for the immature months drawn as a dashed range and labelled an estimate.
Hand over one sentence the executive can repeat without you in the room: the recent months look better because the disputes have not arrived yet, not because fewer will arrive.
Offer a weekly signal they can watch instead, such as the risk-score mix of approved volume or the decline-rule hit rate, and state up front what it does and does not predict.

Follow-up

The deck ships tomorrow regardless. What exactly goes on the slide, and what wording do you insist on?
How would you estimate the development factors, and how would you notice if they had shifted?

Recommend a decision whose true outcome matures a year later

Hard · decision under censoring · leading indicators · staged rollout

An underwriting rule change must be decided in six weeks. Its real outcome, the vintage 90-plus rate at months_on_book 12 in fct_loan_performance_monthly, matures in a year. The executive wants a yes or no, not a range. Randomising the credit decision across the whole population is not available. Name the leading indicator you would accept, state its bias and the direction of that bias, define the decision rule and stopping condition before any rollout starts, and say what reading would make you recommend reversing the change.

Approach

Fix the readout before the rollout, because a readout chosen after the data arrives is a story rather than a decision rule: indicator, window, threshold and reversal condition all go in writing first.
Choose the leading indicator on its measured relationship to the matured outcome in historical vintages rather than on availability. Early delinquency, typically the share reaching dpd_1_29 or missing a first scheduled payment by months_on_book 3, is the usual candidate, and you quantify how well it predicted the 12-month rate across past cohorts.
State the bias and its direction plainly: early delinquency under-represents default that emerges later and is contaminated by servicing and payment-date effects, so treat it as a floor on risk rather than an estimate of it.
Buy identification where full randomisation is unavailable: a narrow randomised approval band around the cutoff, or a staged rollout by channel or region read as a difference-in-differences, with the parallel-trends assumption stated and checked in the pre-period rather than assumed.
Give the executive the binary they asked for with the trigger attached in the same sentence: yes, conditional on the month-3 indicator staying inside a stated band, with an automatic hold if it breaches.

Follow-up

How would you validate that the month-3 indicator predicts the 12-month outcome, and what evidence would invalidate it mid-rollout?
Compliance refuses a randomised band. What is your next-best identification strategy, and what precision do you lose by taking it?