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HP SCDS Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Data scientist interview prep for HP SCDS: original practice on experiment design, SQL and metric reasoning, with worked solutions.

The 60-second brief

The Data Scientist role at HP SCDS (Supply Chain & Data Science) sits at the intersection of complex logistical operations and cutting-edge machine learning. Your work directly influences how HP manages its global supply chain, optimizes product life cycles, and enhances user experiences across a diverse hardware portfolio ranging from personal computers to high-end industrial printers.

How much statistics you need depends on the flavour of the seat. Experiment-facing work wants you deep enough to notice that repeated looks at accumulating data inflate the false positive rate of a fixed-sample test; modelling-facing work wants estimation and honest uncertainty intervals.

Focus areas

  • Separate novelty effects from durable behaviour change
  • Turn a vague request into a measurable question
  • Define numerator, denominator and window precisely

Overview

This position is critical because it transforms vast, siloed datasets into actionable intelligence. You are not just building models; you are solving architectural challenges that require deploying ML algorithms on constrained environments like embedded systems. If you thrive on moving beyond theoretical modeling to tangible, real-world deployment, this role offers the scale and complexity necessary to make a significant impact on HP’s operational efficiency and technological edge.

The HP SCDS interview process

HP SCDS candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Initial Screening

Whoever runs this call is usually not a practitioner. They take notes, and a hiring manager skims those notes later, so the real question is whether your work survives being written down by someone outside the field. Test every project sentence against that: could a non-specialist repeat it correctly without knowing what a propensity score is? Carry a plain-language version of each project and one reason you want this particular role that you could not copy onto another application. Vagueness at this stage reads as inexperience, even when the underlying work was genuinely deep.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether a non-specialist can restate your projects accurately, since their paraphrase is what reaches the hiring manager
  • Whether your reason for wanting the role points at the work itself rather than the company's reputation
  • Whether your language signals the level being screened for: what you decided yourself versus what you were handed

How to prepare

  • Write a two-sentence, jargon-free version of each major project: the question nobody could answer, and the decision your work changed. Read it to someone outside data and have them repeat it back
  • Point your 'why this role' answer at something concrete in the job description or the product surface you would be working on, and keep it to two sentences
  • Have two questions ready about measurement: which metric the team is held to, and who acts on an analysis once it lands

Technical Evaluations

Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
  • Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
  • Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day

How to prepare

  • Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
  • On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
  • Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over

Behavioral Analysis

Most of the weight in this round sits on the disagreement questions. Data work routinely produces an answer someone senior did not want, and the interviewer is trying to learn what you do in that hour. Both failure modes are common: folding as soon as a director pushes back, and treating the pushback as ignorance to be corrected with a better chart. A strong answer usually contains a specific thing the other person knew that you did not, and describes how you found out whether it changed the conclusion.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you can state the other side's argument accurately before you explain why you disagreed
  • What you treated as evidence during the disagreement, such as a rerun under their assumption or a holdout check, rather than persuasion technique
  • Whether you distinguish being overruled from being wrong, and can give an example of each

How to prepare

  • Write out one disagreement where you turned out to be wrong, and say what in the data misled you. Candidates prepare the story where they were right, and the follow-up asks for the other one.
  • For your main disagreement story, be ready to say what result would have made you drop your position. If no such result exists, you were not arguing from the data.
  • Practise stating the opposing position out loud in one sentence the stakeholder would accept, then continue the story.

Final Managerial Rounds

Where a loop includes a partner from outside the data team, that conversation usually carries the same weight as the technical ones and gets the least preparation. The person opposite you will not follow a derivation and does not need to. They are working out whether having you involved would make their decisions better or slower. The failure mode is not being too technical. It is answering a question about a decision with a description of your method, leaving the translation to them. What they carry into the debrief is the sentence you handed them, not the analysis underneath it.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether a statistical result arrives as something the partner could act on, with the one caveat that would change their decision kept and the rest left out
  • Whether you can state what you need from their side, in their terms: instrumentation that does not exist yet, a definition they own, or a holdout they have to agree to
  • Whether uncertainty is given as a range someone can plan against, rather than as hedging that invites them to ignore the result
  • Whether you ask what decision is actually on the table before explaining anything

How to prepare

  • Take a result you know well and write the version for someone who stops reading after one sentence, then the three-minute version, and check the short one is not the long one with the qualifications stripped out
  • For a past project, list everything you asked a non-technical partner for and how you phrased it, then rewrite each ask so it names what goes unmeasured without it
  • Practise saying where a result does not apply, out loud, in one sentence that a partner could repeat accurately to someone else

Where candidates lose points

Watching an experiment daily and stopping when it crosses significance

A fixed-sample test controls type I error at one pre-declared look. Checking repeatedly and stopping at the first p < 0.05 inflates the false positive rate to roughly 0.15 to 0.20 for ten looks, and it rises further with more frequent checks, because the p-value takes a random walk that will eventually dip below the threshold under the null. The usual defences are a fixed horizon declared before launch, group-sequential boundaries such as O'Brien-Fleming that spend alpha across a planned number of looks, or always-valid confidence sequences that are correct under continuous monitoring. Compounding it, the effect size reported conditional on having crossed the threshold is biased away from zero, and the bias is larger the lower the power was, so an underpowered test that 'won' typically overstates the lift it found.

Comparing cohort retention curves of different maturities, or building the curve from users who are still present

A cohort four weeks old has no week-8 value, so an average taken across cohorts silently drops young cohorts from the later columns and keeps them in the earlier ones. The curve then bends upward at the tail, and the reading that 'retention is improving over time' is an artefact of which cohorts survived to be measured. The same error appears in the denominator when retention is computed over users active in the current period rather than over the full original cohort, which conditions on survival and guarantees a flattering number. The fix is a triangle: fix the cohort at signup, bound every window on both sides, and only compare cells where every cohort has had the full elapsed time, publishing the rest as blank rather than as a partial average.

Analysing at a different unit than the one randomised

Say out loud what was randomised (user, device, account, cluster) and make the analysis unit match, or account for the clustering with cluster-robust standard errors, the delta method, or aggregation up to the randomised unit. Randomising users and then running a test over sessions understates variance and inflates the false-positive rate.

SQL that silently fans out on a one-to-many join

State the grain of each table and the grain you want in the result before writing the join. Pre-aggregate the many side to the join key, or use EXISTS or a window function, and verify with a row count against COUNT(DISTINCT id) rather than trusting that the numbers look plausible.

Questions & practice

What are the primary considerations when implementing generative AI solutions in a corporate production environment?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  2. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  3. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

Describe your process for feature engineering when dealing with sparse or high-dimensional data.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  2. Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
  3. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

Explain the trade-offs between different classification algorithms for a specific supply chain forecasting problem.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  2. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  3. Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

Sessionise an event stream with gap and midnight rules

Hard · sessionisation · vectorisation · event streams

Sessionise a raw event stream. Input: a DataFrame with visitor_id, user_id (often NULL), occurred_at_utc and event_name, unsorted, up to 5 million rows. A session breaks when the gap from that visitor's previous event exceeds 30 minutes, and is force-closed at UTC midnight so no session spans two calendar dates. A gap of exactly 30 minutes does not break. Emit one row per session with session_id, visitor_id, the user_id as of the last event in the session, started_at_utc, ended_at_utc, session_date, duration_seconds and event_count. Vectorise; do not loop per visitor.

Approach

  1. Sort by ['visitor_id', 'occurred_at_utc', 'event_id'] once, then express the whole problem as one boolean vector: a row starts a new session when the visitor changed, or the gap exceeds 30 minutes, or the UTC date differs from the previous row's UTC date. Cumsum that vector and you have the session key.
  2. Get the comparison direction right on the gap: the rule is strictly greater than 1800 seconds, so an event at exactly 1800 seconds continues the session. Write it as gap > pd.Timedelta(minutes=30), and make the tie a test case rather than an assumption.
  3. Derive the midnight break from the date change, not from inserting synthetic boundary rows. A date change implies a break even when the gap is two seconds, which is precisely the force-close rule and is why the two conditions are ORed rather than one subsuming the other.
  4. Aggregate with a single groupby on the session key: min and max of occurred_at_utc, size for event_count, and last for user_id, which is correct because the frame is already sorted so 'last' is the final event in the session. That is the identity-as-of-session-end rule.
  5. Compute duration_seconds as (max - min).dt.total_seconds(), which makes a single-event session 0 seconds. Say so explicitly, because a downstream mean session duration is sensitive to whether single-event sessions are 0 or excluded.

Worked solution (35 min)

  1. df = df.sort_values(['visitor_id','occurred_at_utc','event_id']).reset_index(drop=True).
  2. new_visitor = df.visitor_id.ne(df.visitor_id.shift()); gap = df.occurred_at_utc.diff(); new_day = df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.ne(df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.shift()).
  3. is_start = new_visitor | (gap > Timedelta(minutes=30)) | new_day; df['session_key'] = is_start.cumsum().
  4. g = df.groupby('session_key'); out = g.agg(visitor_id=('visitor_id','first'), user_id=('user_id','last'), started_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','min'), ended_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','max'), event_count=('event_id','size')).
  5. out['session_date'] = out.started_at_utc.dt.date; out['duration_seconds'] = (out.ended_at_utc - out.started_at_utc).dt.total_seconds(); assign session_id from the sorted index.

Expected result: One row per session where session_count equals is_start.sum(), event_count sums exactly to len(input), every session's started_at and ended_at share one UTC date, and duration_seconds is at least 0 and strictly less than 86400.

Verify it yourself

  • out['event_count'].sum() equals len(df); a mismatch means rows were lost to a join or a dropna.
  • started_at_utc.dt.date equals ended_at_utc.dt.date on every row.
  • For a planted visitor with events at 12:00:00 and 12:30:00 exactly, one session is emitted; move the second to 12:30:01 and two are emitted.
  • For a planted visitor with events at 23:59:50 and 00:00:10, two sessions are emitted on consecutive dates despite a 20-second gap.

Follow-up

  • Sessions are used as the denominator of a conversion rate. How does moving the inactivity gap from 30 to 45 minutes move that rate, and in which direction?
  • A visitor's clock is 40 minutes ahead, so their events arrive with future occurred_at values. What does your sessioniser do, and what would you rather it did?
  • The same person signs up mid-session on mobile and continues on desktop. How many sessions and how many users does your output show, and is that the right answer?

Write a SQL query to perform a complex join operation across multiple tables to retrieve supply chain metrics.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  2. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  3. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Find reactivation gaps in account paid-period history

Hard · gaps-and-islands · window-functions · subscriptions

fct_subscription_period holds account_id, subscription_id, period_start_utc, period_end_utc, period_status and change_reason. A mid-period plan or seat change closes one row and opens another, so a single continuous paid tenure is often many rows, and an account may hold two overlapping subscriptions. Collapse rows with period_status in ('active','past_due') into continuous tenures per account, treating gaps of three days or less as continuous. Return account_id, tenure_start, tenure_end, and for every tenure after the first, the gap in days that preceded it.

Approach

  1. Filter to paid rows only: period_status IN ('active','past_due'). Trialing periods are not tenure, and including them turns every trial that never converted into a one-period tenure followed by a fake churn.
  2. Order by period_start_utc and take a running maximum of all prior ends: MAX(period_end_utc) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND 1 PRECEDING). Those three columns are the only stable ordering this schema exposes, so check first that they are unique within an account; if rows tie on all three, the island numbering is order-dependent between runs and you need a real row key before the result is reproducible.
  3. LAG on its own is wrong here because with overlapping or nested periods the immediately preceding row by start date is not the one that ends latest, so the running maximum is the part that cannot be shortcut.
  4. Flag a new island when prior_max_end IS NULL OR period_start_utc > prior_max_end + interval '3 days', then number islands with a running SUM of the flag over the same ordering and an explicit ROWS frame.
  5. Group to (account_id, island) taking MIN(period_start_utc) and MAX(period_end_utc), then LAG(tenure_end) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY tenure_start) to compute the preceding gap in days for every tenure after the first.
  6. Sanity-check with change_reason, which is the only lineage this schema carries: list its distinct values first, then confirm that rows recording a plan or seat change sit inside a tenure rather than opening one, and that every tenure after the first opens on a row whose reason records a restart rather than an ordinary renewal. Do not reconcile against a churn timestamp on dim_account, which this schema does not define; and where such a column does exist, a cancellation timestamp records when the request was made and routinely sits weeks before the period it ends.

Worked solution (35 min)

  1. Find an account with a known mid-period upgrade and dump its period rows to use as the trace case.
  2. Check that (period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id) is unique per account, since the whole ordering rests on it.
  3. Write the paid-rows CTE and the running MAX with the explicit frame.
  4. Add the island flag and the running SUM, then verify the trace account yields one island.
  5. Group to tenures and add the LAG-based gap in days.
  6. List the distinct change_reason values, then count accounts with more than one tenure and compare against the count of accounts carrying a restart-flavoured reason anywhere in their history.

Expected result: One row per (account_id, tenure). An account with a continuous history returns a single row with a NULL preceding gap. Every non-first tenure has gap_days strictly greater than 3 by construction.

Verify it yourself

  • No two tenures for the same account overlap or touch within the grace window.
  • MIN(tenure_start) per account equals MIN(period_start_utc) per account in the filtered input.
  • The account with a known mid-period upgrade produces one tenure, not two.
  • (period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id) has no duplicates within an account; if it does, say how many accounts are affected before reading the output.
  • The share of accounts with more than one tenure is small; if it is most accounts, the status filter or the grace window is wrong.

Follow-up

  • Why three days of grace? What do 0 and 30 days each do to the count of accounts classed as reactivated?
  • An account runs two concurrent subscriptions for different teams. One tenure or two, and what does the revenue reader expect?
  • How would you turn these tenures into a monthly gross logo churn series without double-counting an account that churned and returned in the same month?

Choose one success number for a homepage redesign

Easy · conversion · guardrails · mix effects

A homepage redesign is ready to test. Marketing wants visit-to-signup conversion as the single success metric: distinct fct_session.visitor_id with a 'signup_completed' event in fct_event, over distinct visitor_id with a session started in the window where is_bot_flagged = FALSE and consent_state <> 'denied'. Sessions carry referrer_channel and device_type. Argue for or against that metric, name what you would decide on instead, and give the one guardrail you would refuse to ship without. Deliverable: the metric, the guardrail, and the failure mode in writing.

Approach

  1. List everything that moves this rate without the page changing: referrer_channel mix, device_type mix, cookie lifetime and bot-rule changes, then pre-register the segments you will decompose on so the decomposition is not chosen after seeing the result.
  2. Argue that signup is an intermediate outcome the homepage can inflate by over-promising, and propose activated signups per 1,000 eligible visitors — the same numerator further restricted to users clearing the seven-day activation bar — as the number the decision actually rests on.
  3. Explain the consent exclusion rather than copying it: a 'denied' session can never be joined forward to a user, so leaving it in the denominator puts visitors there who have no path into the numerator and depresses the level permanently.
  4. Separate what the metric can and cannot be used for: inside a randomised comparison over one window it is fine, but as a trend line across a platform privacy change it will step down because visitor_id resets more often, with no behaviour change behind it.
  5. State the trade you would accept in advance: a smaller conversion gain with flat activation beats a larger conversion gain with activation down, and write the threshold before the readout.

Follow-up

  • The redesign wins overall but the entire gain sits in paid social. What do you do, and what would change your mind?
  • How do you roll four weekly conversion rates up to a month, and why does the obvious way give a different answer?
  • Where does holding the segment mix fixed stop working as a correction?

Tell a novelty effect apart from a durable one

Medium · novelty effect · exposure cohorts · composition

A redesigned navigation shows a 6% lift in weekly core actions in calendar week one, 3% in week two and 1% in week three, on a continuously enrolling user-randomised experiment. Enrolment ran throughout, so later exposure cohorts are younger accounts. Using fct_experiment_exposure (unit_id, variant, first_exposed_at_utc), dim_user.account_created_at_utc and fct_event, determine whether this is novelty decay, a composition artefact, or a real effect that shrank, and state what evidence would settle it.

Approach

  1. Separate calendar time from exposure time first. With continuous enrolment, calendar week two mixes units in their second week of exposure with units in their first, and the tenure mix changes daily, so a calendar trend is not evidence of decay.
  2. Rebuild the readout as a triangle indexed on days since first_exposed_at_utc. For each exposure cohort compute the treatment effect at exposure-day k, then average across cohorts at fixed k using only cohorts that have reached k. Real decay shows as a falling curve in k; a composition artefact flattens out.
  3. Use the one clean discriminator novelty offers: it requires a prior version to be novel against. Split on whether the unit existed before experiment start. Users who signed up afterwards never saw the old navigation, so a stable effect among them is not novelty, and an effect confined to pre-existing users is.
  4. Check the primacy direction as well. An early negative effect that recovers is the mirror image and argues for shipping rather than against it, and it is invisible without the same exposure-indexed curve.
  5. Say what would settle it. A long-run holdback, a few percent of traffic kept on control for eight weeks or more and read from exposure-week six onward. No three-week test can distinguish a decaying effect from one that has reached a lower plateau.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Assign each exposed unit an exposure cohort from date(first_exposed_at_utc) and compute treated and control means per cohort per exposure-day k.
  2. Average the per-cohort effects at each k only across cohorts that have observed day k, leaving later k blank rather than averaging over whoever has reached it.
  3. Split the same triangle on pre-launch versus post-launch account_created_at_utc from dim_user.
  4. Compare the curves: decay confined to the pre-launch split is novelty, decay in both is a real effect shrinking, and a flat exposure-time curve under a falling calendar curve is composition.
  5. Recommend the holdback and state the earliest exposure-week at which a plateau claim becomes supportable.

Expected result: The decision rests on the exposure-indexed curve, not the calendar one. Novelty is indicated only when decay is present among units that existed before launch and absent among units created after it. Identical decay in both splits means a real effect shrinking; no decay in exposure time means the calendar trend was composition. A three-week test cannot separate decay from a plateau, and a long-run holdback can.

Verify it yourself

  • Within a cohort, denominators must not fall as k grows. If they do, the population is being conditioned on survival rather than held fixed at exposure.
  • Re-aggregating the exposure-indexed effects with the observed enrolment weights must reproduce the reported calendar-week effects, which proves the two views are the same data.
  • Verify with a query that no unit in the post-launch split has a pre-launch session, otherwise that split is not clean and the discriminator is worthless.

Follow-up

  • The holdback costs a few percent of traffic on the winning arm. How do you justify that, and when would you retire it?
  • Weekly core actions per user is a ratio whose numerator and denominator live at different grains. Which standard error are you computing, and why is the naive one wrong?
  • What would you conclude if the effect were 6%, 3%, 1% in exposure time as well, among post-launch signups only?

Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose

Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition

Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.

Approach

  1. Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
  2. Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
  3. Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
  4. Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
  5. Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.

Follow-up

  • Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
  • Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
  • How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

  • Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
  • Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
  • State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

  • Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
  • Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
  • Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

  • Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
  • Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
  • Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

  • Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
  • Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
  • Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

  • Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
  • Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
  • List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

  • Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
  • Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
  • Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

  • Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
  • Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
  • Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Getting an analysis acted on

Work that nobody used is a common and unflattering pattern in data careers, and interviewers probe for it. Have a story about an analysis that changed a decision, and be specific about how you got it in front of the person who could act. Also have one about work that went nowhere, with your reading of why.

Why are you interested in applying your data science skills specifically within the HP SCDS ecosystem?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  2. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
  3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Tell me about a project where you faced a significant roadblock; how did you overcome it?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  2. Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
  3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • What would you do differently if you ran that project again?

Defend a flat experiment readout against a post-hoc segment

Medium · experiments · segmentation · pushback

A feature you evaluated is flat on seven-day activation: +0.05pp with a 95% interval of [-0.47pp, +0.57pp], from 61,000 exposed users per arm in fct_experiment_exposure joined to dim_user and fct_event. Baseline activation is 32%. The launch team asks you to drop every surface except mobile_web, where the point estimate is +1.1pp, and re-run. You have ten minutes in their planning meeting. Deliver a spoken position: what you will and will not do, and the decision you recommend.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you hold a statistical position under social pressure without becoming either rigid or apologetic. A generic answer says the segment is not significant; a strong one separates the request into a question that is answerable (is the mobile_web number real?) and one that is not (can we ship on it?), and answers both.
  2. Price the multiplicity out loud. The slice was chosen after seeing the results, so its estimate is selected on favourable noise and is biased away from zero. With k independent looks at a nominal 5% level, the chance of at least one false positive is 1 - 0.95^k: 26% at six segments, 64% at twenty. Quote the k you actually inspected, not the k you reported.
  3. Use the arithmetic already in front of you. On the point estimates, a +1.1pp mobile_web effect combined with a pooled +0.05pp implies the remaining surfaces average negative in proportion to mobile_web's share of exposures. State that as a testable implication of their story rather than as a rebuttal of it.
  4. Ask the one question that settles the category: was mobile_web named in the analysis plan before launch? If it was, it is a planned comparison and gets a corrected reading. If it was not, it is a hypothesis, and the honest move is to size the test that would confirm it.
  5. Convert the refusal into a cost. Size a mobile_web-only confirmatory test at the claimed effect, state the weeks of mobile_web traffic it needs, and close with the recommendation: do not ship this as a lift, and note that the interval already rules out anything at or above +0.6pp, which is itself a useful input to the roadmap.

Follow-up

  • The confirmatory test you sized needs nine weeks of mobile_web traffic and the team has three. What do you recommend instead?
  • Suppose mobile_web was pre-registered. How does your reading change, and what correction do you apply?
  • Your interval excludes +0.6pp. Is that the same as saying the feature does nothing?