Genius Sports Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

The 60-second brief

At Genius Sports, a Data Scientist sits at the critical intersection of sports, technology, and real-time data analytics. The company is a global leader in sports data technology, powering the commercial ecosystem of sports leagues, media companies, and sportsbooks. As a Data Scientist, your primary mission is to transform live sporting events into high-fidelity, low-latency data feeds and build models that extract predictive insights from this live stream.

Product-sense cases reward reasoning from a mechanism to a testable prediction. Reciting every metric you can name reads as pattern matching; naming the single quantity that would move if your explanation were true reads as thinking.

Focus areas

• Separate novelty effects from durable behaviour change
• Turn a vague request into a measurable question
• Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference

Overview

This role has a direct, tangible impact on how millions of sports fans, broadcasters, and betting operators interact with sports globally. You will contribute to products that power live betting odds, real-time broadcast overlays, and deep performance analytics for elite sports teams. Whether you are working on computer vision tracking systems, predictive modeling for in-game events, or optimizing the pipeline for live game data entry, your work ensures that Genius Sports maintains its reputation for speed, accuracy, and reliability.

What makes this position unique is the hybrid nature of the work. Depending on your specific team, you may find yourself bridging the gap between highly technical statistical modeling and real-time sports operations. It is a highly dynamic environment where a passion for sports is just as valuable as your quantitative toolkit.

The Genius Sports interview process

Genius Sports candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Automated Screening

An added round often puts you in front of someone outside the core hiring team: a partner engineer, a product owner, a domain expert, sometimes a more senior manager. The question they are really asking is not whether you can do the work but whether they would trust a number that came from you. That changes what a good answer looks like. Lead with what the decision cost and what it changed, keep the method available but not central, and be plain about the limits of your evidence. Overstating a result is the fastest way to lose this round.

What to demonstrate

• Whether you can explain a technical choice to someone who will never read your code, without either flattening it into nothing or hiding inside jargon
• Honesty about evidence strength: what the analysis establishes, what it only suggests, and what it cannot say at all
• How you take disagreement, specifically whether you update on a good objection, hold your position with reasons, or fold on contact

How to prepare

• Write the two-sentence version of your most technical project for a non-specialist, then check that neither sentence needs a method name to make sense.
• For one result you are proud of, write the strongest objection someone could raise and a response that concedes the part of it that is correct.
• Prepare one decision that turned out to be wrong: how you found out, what it cost, and what you changed afterwards. A senior cross-functional interviewer asks for this more often than a technical one does.

Practical Training

An extra round usually exists because something is still open after the standard loop: a skill the earlier interviews did not sample, a level decision, or two interviewers who disagreed. It is rarely a rerun of what you already did well. Ask the recruiter who you are meeting, what function they sit in, and how long the session runs. That is an ordinary scheduling question, and the answer changes what you should prepare. What separates a strong candidate here is treating the round as a fresh evaluation with its own bar, rather than assuming earlier performance carries you through or sinks you.

What to demonstrate

• Whether you can answer well on ground the earlier rounds did not cover, without leaning on what you already said to someone else
• Consistency of the facts in your stories: the same sample size, timeframe, team size and scope of your own role as in earlier conversations
• How you handle an unfamiliar format live, including whether you ask what kind of answer is wanted before producing one

How to prepare

• Ask the recruiter for the interviewer's function, the length, and whether to expect a coding surface, a discussion, or a presentation. Preparing for a 30 minute conversation with a partner team is not the same work as preparing for a 60 minute technical block.
• Write out what each earlier round actually covered, then list the two or three areas nobody probed. That gap is the most likely subject of the extra round.
• Re-read the numbers in the project stories you have already told, so a second telling does not quietly contradict the first.

Statistical Discussions

Because the format is not fixed, prepare the reasoning rather than the ritual. Nearly every version of this round draws on the same underlying material: a design you can defend, a metric you can define exactly, an analysis whose assumptions you can state out loud. Only the wrapper changes, whether that is a take-home, a live case, a deep dive on past work, or a rough estimate on a whiteboard. Answers rehearsed to fit one shape stall the moment the shape differs. Practise naming the assumption behind a number, then saying how much the conclusion moves if that assumption is wrong.

What to demonstrate

• Whether your justification for a method survives the question 'why not the simpler thing', including when the simpler thing would have worked
• Precision under pressure: what exactly counts as an active user, a conversion or a success, over what window, with what exclusions
• Whether you carry an argument through to a recommendation instead of stopping at a list of tradeoffs

How to prepare

• For each project you plan to mention, write the metric definition in one sentence: numerator, denominator, time window, exclusions. Say it out loud once, because vagueness shows up in speech before it shows up on paper.
• Rehearse the same project at three lengths: two minutes, ten minutes, and a deep dive on one technical decision. Cutting live is harder than it sounds.
• For your headline result, write down what would have had to be true for it to be wrong, and how you ruled that out.

Recorded Video Interview

Rounds outside the standard loop often open with something deliberately under-specified: a loose business problem, an open question about a product area, a dataset described in one sentence. The common failure is surveying, listing six plausible approaches and committing to none of them. The thing that separates a strong answer is scoping out loud. State what you are treating as the goal, name the metric you would move, say what you are choosing not to do and why, then take one path through to an actual answer. An interviewer can follow you down a narrow path. Nobody can grade a menu.

What to demonstrate

• Whether you turn an ambiguous prompt into a stated question with a measurable outcome before doing any work
• The judgement visible in what you cut, and whether you say why you cut it rather than silently dropping it
• Whether you land on a concrete recommendation with its caveat attached, rather than an unranked set of options

How to prepare

• Take three vague prompts, such as 'is this feature working', 'why did retention drop', and 'should we expand into a new segment'. For each, write one sentence of goal, one primary metric with its window, and two things you are explicitly not doing.
• Practise giving the recommendation first and the reasoning second, in five minutes. Loosely defined rounds are usually time-boxed, and an answer that arrives last often does not arrive.
• Keep a running assumption list as you talk, on paper or in the shared doc, so the interviewer can challenge one assumption instead of your whole answer.

Where candidates lose points

Slicing a flat experiment until a segment reaches significance

Testing one metric across twenty segments at a nominal 5% level produces a significant result about two thirds of the time when nothing is happening anywhere, and the segment that surfaces is by construction the one with the most favourable noise. The reported effect in that slice is then badly overstated, because selection on significance conditions the estimate on being large. What makes it dangerous rather than merely wrong is that a post-hoc segment always has a plausible story attached, so it survives the meeting. The controls are declaring the small number of segments of interest before launch, correcting across the ones tested, and treating anything discovered afterwards as a hypothesis that needs its own adequately-powered test rather than a finding.

Reading a pooled rate that moved because the mix moved, not because any behaviour changed

A pooled conversion rate is a weighted average, and a shift in the weights can move it in the opposite direction to every one of its parts. A paid campaign that brings low-converting traffic drops overall signup conversion even if desktop, mobile web and app conversion each rose that week, which is Simpson's paradox and it is the single most common cause of an inexplicable dashboard move. The discipline is to decompose before explaining: recompute the rate holding last period's segment weights fixed, and compare that counterfactual to the actual, so the mix effect and the rate effect are separated numerically rather than argued about. Segment on the dimensions that actually reweight, which in this domain are almost always device_type, referrer_channel, country and new versus returning.

Solving silently instead of narrating the reasoning

Say which branch you are taking and why you chose it over the alternative, for example checking the denominator first because it changes what the comparison means. A correct answer that arrives with no visible path scores below a rigorous one that needed a hint.

Stopping an experiment the moment it crosses significance

Fix the sample size or duration before launch, or use a method built for continuous monitoring such as a sequential test, always-valid confidence intervals, or group-sequential boundaries. Repeatedly checking a fixed-horizon p-value against 0.05 pushes the real false-positive rate well above 5 percent.

Questions & practice

How do you define and calculate probability in the context of live, in-game betting odds?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

1. Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
2. Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
3. Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.

Follow-up

• How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
• What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?

How would you handle missing or corrupted data points in a real-time streaming data pipeline?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

1. Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
2. Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
3. Sanity-check the answer against a simple bound or a simulated case.

Follow-up

• Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?
• What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?

Describe a predictive modeling project you have worked on in the past. What challenges did you face with data quality?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

1. Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
2. Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
3. Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.

Follow-up

• What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?
• How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?

Explain regression analysis in simple terms and describe how you would use it to predict player performance.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

1. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
2. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
3. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

• Where could label leakage enter this setup?
• What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

Implement seven-day activation from its written definition

Medium · metric definition · cohorts · pandas · joins

Implement the seven-day activation rate. Inputs: dim_user with user_id, account_created_at_utc and is_internal; fct_event with user_id, occurred_at_utc and is_core_action. A user activates when core-action events carrying a non-NULL user_id fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). The denominator is every non-internal user whose account_created_at_utc lands in the cohort week, including users with no events at all. Return one row per cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, publishing only weeks whose last signup is at least eight days old.

Approach

1. Build the denominator first, from dim_user alone, filtered on is_internal = False. Deriving it from the join is the standard way to lose every user who never fired an event, which is exactly the population the metric is about.
2. Join events to users on user_id with a left join from the user side, then apply the window as a half-open interval: occurred_at >= created AND occurred_at < created + 7 days. The right bound is exclusive, so an event at exactly created + 7 days does not count.
3. Count distinct UTC dates per user, not distinct events. Floor occurred_at_utc to date before the nunique, and do it in UTC rather than local time so the threshold does not move with the user's country.
4. Apply the >= 2 threshold, aggregate to cohort week, and compute the rate by re-summing numerator and denominator per week rather than averaging any per-user or per-day rate. Fix the week anchor explicitly: cohort_week is the Monday of the signup week in UTC, which is what Postgres DATE_TRUNC('week') returns and what any SQL version of this metric will produce. In pandas, subtract dt.weekday days from the floored timestamp. If you reach for periods instead, the anchor that matches is to_period('W') (equivalently 'W-SUN'), whose weeks end Sunday and therefore start Monday; to_period('W-MON') labels weeks that end on Monday, so it runs Tuesday through Monday and its start_time is a Tuesday. Mixing the two shifts every cohort label by one day and silently moves Mondays into the previous week.
5. Suppress immature weeks: drop any cohort week whose maximum account_created_at_utc is within 8 days of the data cut, and return them as absent rather than as a partial number.

Worked solution (30 min)

1. users = dim_user[~dim_user.is_internal].copy(); created = users['account_created_at_utc']; users['cohort_week'] = created.dt.floor('D') - pd.to_timedelta(created.dt.weekday, unit='D'), which is the Monday-start week. The period spelling that agrees with it is created.dt.to_period('W').dt.start_time; 'W-MON' does not agree and is off by a day.
2. ev = events[events.is_core_action & events.user_id.notna()]; merge onto users on user_id with how='inner' for the numerator side only.
3. Filter to the half-open window, add ev_date = occurred_at_utc.dt.date, group by user_id and count distinct dates, keep users with >= 2.
4. numer = users.merge(activated_user_ids, how='left', indicator=True) then group by cohort_week and sum the indicator; denom = users.groupby('cohort_week').size().
5. rate = numer / denom; drop weeks where users.groupby('cohort_week')['account_created_at_utc'].max() > data_max - 8 days.

Expected result: One row per mature cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, where denominator equals the count of non-internal signups in that week regardless of activity, numerator is less than or equal to denominator, and the most recent 1 to 2 weeks are absent rather than reported low.

Verify it yourself

• For a synthetic user with two core actions 90 minutes apart on the same UTC date, activation is False.
• For a synthetic user with one core action on day 0 and one at exactly created + 7 days, activation is False; move the second to created + 6 days 23 hours and it becomes True.
• Pin the week anchor with two users created at Sunday 23:59 UTC and the following Monday 00:01 UTC: they must land in different cohort weeks, and the Sunday user's cohort_week must be the Monday six days before them. to_period('W-MON') puts both in one period, which is the off-by-one this check exists to catch.
• The denominator summed across all published weeks equals the count of non-internal users created in that date range.
• Re-summing numerator and denominator to a monthly figure gives a different answer from averaging the weekly rates; the re-summed one is the metric.

Follow-up

• The threshold is 2 distinct days. What changes in the reported history if someone moves it to 3, and how would you publish that change?
• Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users have no pre-signup session. Should they be in this denominator at all, and what does including them do to the rate for sales-assisted accounts?
• How would you produce the same metric at account grain, and which of the two would you put on the dashboard?

Why do you want to join Genius Sports specifically, and what do you hope to contribute to our data operations?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

1. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
2. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
3. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

• What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
• How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Choose a sport you are highly familiar with and explain how you would design a simple data schema to track player movements.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

1. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
3. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.

Follow-up

• What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
• How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Rebuild sessions from raw events with a thirty-minute gap

Medium · window-functions · sessionisation · gaps-and-islands

From fct_event (event_id, visitor_id, occurred_at_utc) alone, rebuild sessions: a new session begins when the gap from that visitor's previous event exceeds 30 minutes, and every session is force-closed at UTC midnight so none spans two calendar dates. Return one row per session with visitor_id, session_start, session_end, event_count and session_date. Do not read fct_session; the point is to reproduce it. Assume duplicate occurred_at_utc values exist for the same visitor.

Approach

1. Get the previous timestamp per visitor with LAG(occurred_at_utc) OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY occurred_at_utc, event_id). The event_id tiebreaker is required, not stylistic: with duplicate timestamps an unstable ordering makes the boundary flags non-deterministic between runs.
2. Set a boundary flag when prev IS NULL, or occurred_at_utc - prev > interval '30 minutes', or occurred_at_utc::date <> prev::date. The third disjunct is the midnight rule, expressed as a date change rather than a clock comparison so it holds across any gap length.
3. Number the islands with SUM(flag::int) OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY occurred_at_utc, event_id ROWS UNBOUNDED PRECEDING). Because event_id is unique the ordering is total, so no two rows are peers and RANGE UNBOUNDED PRECEDING would compute exactly the same numbers here. Write ROWS anyway: it is the half of the guard that survives someone later simplifying the ORDER BY back to occurred_at_utc alone, at which point the default RANGE frame gives every row sharing a timestamp one shared running total.
4. GROUP BY visitor_id and the island number, then MIN(occurred_at_utc) AS session_start, MAX(...) AS session_end, COUNT(*) AS event_count, session_start::date AS session_date.
5. Reconcile against fct_session on one sample day. The counts should agree except for server-emitted events carrying no client session, so a systematic difference beyond those is a bug in the gap rule or in the ordering.

Worked solution (30 min)

1. Pick one high-volume visitor and dump their ordered event timestamps for a day to trace by hand.
2. Add LAG with the tiebreaker and eyeball the computed gaps.
3. Add the three-part boundary flag and confirm the first event of each date is flagged.
4. Add the running SUM with an explicit ROWS frame, then group and aggregate.
5. Compare total event_count against the raw input count, and compare session counts to fct_session for the sample day.

Expected result: One row per (visitor_id, island). SUM(event_count) equals the input row count exactly, with no events lost or duplicated. No session_end falls on a different date from its session_start.

Verify it yourself

• Total events in equals total events out.
• MAX(session_end::date - session_start::date) is 0 across all rows.
• For a visitor ordered 09:00, 09:10, 09:55, 23:58, 00:02, the result is four sessions, not three.
• No two sessions for the same visitor have overlapping [session_start, session_end] ranges.
• Swapping ROWS for RANGE while event_id stays in the ORDER BY changes nothing; dropping event_id from both ORDER BY clauses does change the boundaries for a visitor with duplicate timestamps, which locates the guard in the tiebreaker rather than in the frame keyword.

Follow-up

• Why 30 minutes? What does a 5-minute rule do to sessions-per-visitor and to any per-session conversion rate?
• The same person uses phone then laptop. Two visitor_ids, two sessions. What breaks if you sessionise on user_id instead?
• The midnight rule splits an overnight session. Which metrics does that bias, and in which direction?

Why are you interested in working with sports data, and how do you stay updated on sports analytics trends?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
2. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
3. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

• How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
• What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Explain the offside rule in soccer, or describe what constitutes a legal kickoff and possession change in American football.

Medium

Approach

1. State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
2. Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
3. Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.

Follow-up

• What assumption would you test first?
• How would you know your answer was wrong?

Choose one success number for a homepage redesign

Easy · conversion · guardrails · mix effects

A homepage redesign is ready to test. Marketing wants visit-to-signup conversion as the single success metric: distinct fct_session.visitor_id with a 'signup_completed' event in fct_event, over distinct visitor_id with a session started in the window where is_bot_flagged = FALSE and consent_state <> 'denied'. Sessions carry referrer_channel and device_type. Argue for or against that metric, name what you would decide on instead, and give the one guardrail you would refuse to ship without. Deliverable: the metric, the guardrail, and the failure mode in writing.

Approach

1. List everything that moves this rate without the page changing: referrer_channel mix, device_type mix, cookie lifetime and bot-rule changes, then pre-register the segments you will decompose on so the decomposition is not chosen after seeing the result.
2. Argue that signup is an intermediate outcome the homepage can inflate by over-promising, and propose activated signups per 1,000 eligible visitors — the same numerator further restricted to users clearing the seven-day activation bar — as the number the decision actually rests on.
3. Explain the consent exclusion rather than copying it: a 'denied' session can never be joined forward to a user, so leaving it in the denominator puts visitors there who have no path into the numerator and depresses the level permanently.
4. Separate what the metric can and cannot be used for: inside a randomised comparison over one window it is fine, but as a trend line across a platform privacy change it will step down because visitor_id resets more often, with no behaviour change behind it.
5. State the trade you would accept in advance: a smaller conversion gain with flat activation beats a larger conversion gain with activation down, and write the threshold before the readout.

Worked solution (15 min)

1. Restate the proposed metric and list every input that can move it with the page unchanged.
2. Compute the mix-held-fixed counterfactual: reweight this period's per-segment rates by last period's segment volumes, and report the difference against the pooled rate as the mix effect.
3. Define the decision metric: activated signups per 1,000 eligible visitors, with the seven-day activation predicate spelled out.
4. Write the guardrail and the explicit trade-off sentence you would put in the ship decision.
5. Record the denominator exclusions with the reason for each, not just the predicate.

Expected result: Conversion kept as a diagnostic, activated signups per 1,000 visitors named as the decision metric, a specified mix decomposition, and one guardrail carrying a written trade-off.

Verify it yourself

• Weekly rates rolled up by re-summing numerator and denominator differ from the average of the weekly rates whenever weekly traffic is uneven. If the two agree, a rate-of-rates has been computed somewhere.
• Per-segment numerators must sum to the pooled numerator. If they do not, a visitor is appearing in two segments and the segmentation is not a partition.
• Activation can only be read eight days after the last signup in the window, so the earliest honest decision date is eight days after the test stops.

Follow-up

• The redesign wins overall but the entire gain sits in paid social. What do you do, and what would change your mind?
• How do you roll four weekly conversion rates up to a month, and why does the obvious way give a different answer?
• Where does holding the segment mix fixed stop working as a correction?

Gross revenue churn doubled with no cancellations behind it

Hard · billing-periods · fx · revenue-churn · decomposition

Gross monthly revenue churn computed from fct_subscription_period doubled from 1.8% to 3.6% in one month. The support queue shows no rise in cancellations and renewals look normal. You have fct_subscription_period with subscription_id, account_id, period_start_utc, period_end_utc, mrr_cents, mrr_cents_constant_fx, seats_billed, period_status, change_reason and canceled_at_utc, plus dim_account. Decompose the 1.8-point rise into named mechanisms, size each in points of the headline, and state the remainder you cannot explain.

Approach

1. Reconstruct the numerator row by row and group it by change_reason before arguing about causes. A mid-period plan or seat change closes the current period row and opens a new one, so any implementation that treats a closed row as lost revenue books upgrades, downgrades and seat changes as churn; the change_reason breakdown of the numerator makes that visible in one query.
2. Check the recognition timestamp. Churn belongs at period_end_utc, because revenue continues until the period ends, not at canceled_at_utc when the button was pressed. Then count period_end_utc rows per month across thirteen months: annual cohorts concentrate their period ends in the month twelve months after they were signed, so a spike that repeats in the same month last year is seasonality in the book, not an event this month.
3. Recompute the whole numerator and denominator on mrr_cents_constant_fx. If the constant-currency figure is materially flatter, the move is an exchange-rate translation and belongs nowhere in a churn narrative.
4. Check period_status handling. Rows with period_status = 'past_due' are dunning, not cancellation; a status-based rule counts them as loss while a period-end rule does not, and a dunning backlog can move the number by itself.
5. Express every mechanism in points of the headline, sum them, and print the residual explicitly next to the month-to-month standard deviation of the prior twelve months. A decomposition without a stated remainder is a story, not an accounting.

Follow-up

• Which of these mechanisms should be fixed in the metric definition and which should be reported as a genuine business fact?
• How would you present a month whose churn is dominated by an annual cohort anniversary without the audience concluding the business is deteriorating?
• What would you change so that an upgrade can never enter the churn numerator again, and how would you test that it worked?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

• Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
• Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
• State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

• Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
• Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
• Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

• Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
• Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
• Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

• Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
• Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
• Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

• Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
• Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
• List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

• Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
• Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
• Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

• Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
• Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
• Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Getting an analysis acted on

Work that nobody used is a common and unflattering pattern in data careers, and interviewers probe for it. Have a story about an analysis that changed a decision, and be specific about how you got it in front of the person who could act. Also have one about work that went nowhere, with your reading of why.

Describe a situation where you had a disagreement with a team member about a data interpretation. How did you resolve it?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

1. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
2. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

• What did you decide not to do, and why?
• How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Handle a request for numbers supporting a decision already made

Hard · integrity · framing · stakeholder

A senior leader has already decided to sunset a plan tier and asks you for the analysis showing it is the right call. Accounts on that tier carry 6% of MRR at constant FX and have the highest licensed-seat utilisation in the book. The leader's support matters to your next review cycle, and the decision is being presented in four days. Deliver what you produce, what you decline to produce, and the exact sentence you will say in the meeting where the number appears on a slide.

Approach

1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you can find the legitimate request inside an illegitimate framing instead of either complying or refusing on principle. The generic answer promises to push back; the strong one produces something genuinely useful and states its limits in the room, without ambushing anybody.
2. Separate the decision from the justification. Sunsetting the tier may be correct for reasons the data does not hold, such as support cost, roadmap surface area or sales motion. What you decline is a one-sided document. What you produce is the case read both ways, which also happens to be more useful to the leader.
3. Build the symmetric analysis: MRR at risk at constant FX, the share of affected accounts with a plausible migration path given seats_licensed and billing_term, the recovery rate assumed for that migration and where it came from, and the downside case in which high-utilisation accounts treat the sunset as a reason to re-evaluate the vendor entirely.
4. Surface the inconvenient fact privately and early. The highest seat utilisation in the book is a retention signal, and the leader should hold it before the room does, so they can incorporate it rather than be caught by it.
5. Agree the meeting sentence in advance with the leader, so that nobody is surprised. Something to the effect that the tier is 6% of MRR and its accounts are the most heavily used in the book, and that the case for sunsetting rests on cost and focus rather than on revenue. That is true, it supports the decision on its real grounds, and it stops the deck claiming the numbers endorse it.
6. Decide your own line before you need it: what you will not put your name to, and that the route if asked anyway is your own manager rather than a confrontation in the meeting.

Follow-up

• The deck circulates with your analysis included and the downside case removed. What do you do, and by when?
• What changes if the honest analysis says the sunset is clearly the wrong call?
• How do you write the same memo when the leader is your skip-level and the meeting is tomorrow?

Defend a flat experiment readout against a post-hoc segment

Medium · experiments · segmentation · pushback

A feature you evaluated is flat on seven-day activation: +0.05pp with a 95% interval of [-0.47pp, +0.57pp], from 61,000 exposed users per arm in fct_experiment_exposure joined to dim_user and fct_event. Baseline activation is 32%. The launch team asks you to drop every surface except mobile_web, where the point estimate is +1.1pp, and re-run. You have ten minutes in their planning meeting. Deliver a spoken position: what you will and will not do, and the decision you recommend.

Approach

1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you hold a statistical position under social pressure without becoming either rigid or apologetic. A generic answer says the segment is not significant; a strong one separates the request into a question that is answerable (is the mobile_web number real?) and one that is not (can we ship on it?), and answers both.
2. Price the multiplicity out loud. The slice was chosen after seeing the results, so its estimate is selected on favourable noise and is biased away from zero. With k independent looks at a nominal 5% level, the chance of at least one false positive is 1 - 0.95^k: 26% at six segments, 64% at twenty. Quote the k you actually inspected, not the k you reported.
3. Use the arithmetic already in front of you. On the point estimates, a +1.1pp mobile_web effect combined with a pooled +0.05pp implies the remaining surfaces average negative in proportion to mobile_web's share of exposures. State that as a testable implication of their story rather than as a rebuttal of it.
4. Ask the one question that settles the category: was mobile_web named in the analysis plan before launch? If it was, it is a planned comparison and gets a corrected reading. If it was not, it is a hypothesis, and the honest move is to size the test that would confirm it.
5. Convert the refusal into a cost. Size a mobile_web-only confirmatory test at the claimed effect, state the weeks of mobile_web traffic it needs, and close with the recommendation: do not ship this as a lift, and note that the interval already rules out anything at or above +0.6pp, which is itself a useful input to the roadmap.

Follow-up

• The confirmatory test you sized needs nine weeks of mobile_web traffic and the team has three. What do you recommend instead?
• Suppose mobile_web was pre-registered. How does your reading change, and what correction do you apply?
• Your interval excludes +0.6pp. Is that the same as saying the feature does nothing?