Interview guides · Futures First
Futures First Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Data scientist prep for Futures First candidates: drill A/B design, power and minimum detectable effect on original exercises.
The 60-second brief
The Data Scientist role at Futures First is pivotal in transforming raw data into actionable insights that drive strategic business decisions. As a Data Scientist, you will leverage advanced statistical analysis, machine learning, and data visualization techniques to enhance the company's trading strategies and improve risk management practices. Your contributions will directly impact the efficiency and effectiveness of product offerings, optimizing user experiences and driving business growth.
Allocate prep to your weakest link rather than your favourite topic. Of the three things that usually gate the outcome (SQL that is correct under messy joins, sound reasoning about experiments, and structured framing of an open-ended problem), candidates tend to over-invest in modelling theory and under-invest in framing.
Focus areas
- Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference
- Turn a vague request into a measurable question
- Decompose a metric move by segment and mix
Overview
In this role, you will collaborate closely with cross-functional teams, including traders, product managers, and engineers, to solve complex problems and develop innovative solutions. The work you do will not only influence the company's bottom line but also contribute to the evolution of trading technologies and methodologies in the financial sector. Expect to engage with large datasets and sophisticated algorithms, making this position both challenging and intellectually rewarding.
The Futures First interview process
Futures First candidates report 5 rounds · ≈ 4-6 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Initial Screening
Data Scientist covers at least four different jobs: experimentation, product analytics, causal work on observational data, and applied modelling that ships into a system. A screening call is the cheapest place to find out which of them is being hired for, and doing that diagnosis openly reads as senior rather than fussy. Ask what the last few pieces of work on the team actually were, and roughly how a week splits between querying, modelling and stakeholder time. Then say which parts of that you have done and which you have not. Claiming the whole range is the fastest way to be caught one round later.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you can distinguish the flavours of the role and locate your own experience inside one of them honestly
- Whether you name what you have not done instead of stretching to cover every line of the posting
- Whether your hard constraints (notice period, location, work authorisation, level) surface now rather than at offer stage
How to prepare
- Map the last two years of your time into rough percentages across query writing, experiment design, modelling and stakeholder work, so a question about scope has a real answer
- Mark every responsibility in the posting as done, adjacent or new, and prepare one sentence for each adjacent item naming the closest thing you have actually built
- Decide which logistics are non-negotiable before the call so you can state them in one sentence rather than negotiating live
Technical Assessment
Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
- What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
- Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly
How to prepare
- Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
- Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
- Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock
Case Study
Underneath the business framing, this round is usually asking whether you can turn a fuzzy goal into a quantity that could be computed from data such a business would plausibly hold. That means a metric with a stated numerator, denominator, eligibility rule and time window, plus an honest account of the conditions under which it would mislead you. Answers come apart when a candidate names a familiar metric and never defines it, because every follow-up then lands on an ambiguity that was left open and the candidate has to invent the definition under pressure.
What to demonstrate
- Whether a named metric arrives with its denominator, eligibility rule and window attached rather than assumed
- Whether the measure follows from the mechanism you proposed, or is a recognisable metric retrofitted to it afterwards
- Whether you name a guardrail that would reveal the gain came from somewhere you did not want it to come from
- Whether you can say what data the plan requires and what you would settle for if that logging were never implemented
How to prepare
- Take five metrics you reach for by reflex and write each as one sentence containing numerator, denominator, eligibility rule and time window. The ones you cannot finish are the ones that will fail under follow-up.
- For a product you use daily, write the measurement plan you would propose for a change to it: primary metric, one guardrail, the unit of analysis, and the table the numbers would come from.
- Practise the substitution question. For three metrics you like, write what you would measure instead if the event you depend on were not being logged.
Behavioral Interview
This round decides whether you owned a decision or watched one happen nearby. Interviewers for data roles listen for the point where the analysis stopped being a report and started changing what someone did, so build each story around that hinge: what was going to happen by default, what you found, and what happened instead. The most common weakness is a story that ends at delivery. If you can name the decision your work changed and the number that moved because of it, most follow-ups become easy.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the decision was yours to influence, or whether you are narrating a team outcome in the first person
- The counterfactual: what would have been done without your analysis, and why that default was worse
- How far your involvement ran past the handoff, and whether you checked that the change did what you predicted
How to prepare
- Pick three projects and write one sentence for each naming the decision-maker, the choice in front of them, and what they chose after seeing your work. If you cannot name a person and a choice, the story is not ready for this round.
- Reconstruct the baseline for your strongest project from the original query or dashboard rather than memory, so the before-number survives a follow-up asking where it came from.
- Prepare an honest version of a project where your recommendation was overruled, including what you did with the analysis afterwards.
Final Interview
A day of back-to-back interviews samples your floor, not your ceiling. Four hours in, the habits that carry a good answer are the first to go: restating the question before solving it, asking what the data would have to look like, checking a number before quoting it. What the day decides is whether the tired version of you is still someone to leave alone with an ambiguous problem. The round that sinks a candidate is usually not the hardest one. It is the one immediately after the round that went badly.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the late rounds get the same clarifying questions as the first one, or whether you start answering immediately to save effort
- Whether a weak answer stays in the room it happened in, instead of following you into the next conversation as apology or distraction
- Whether the quality of your questions holds up, since fatigue removes curiosity about the problem before it removes knowledge of the method
How to prepare
- Rehearse the length, not just the content: book four mock interviews of different types in one afternoon with short gaps, because the one you need to observe is the fourth
- Put the two or three questions you ask at the start of any problem on a card in front of you, so that under fatigue it is a habit you run rather than a decision you make
- Decide in advance what the gap between rooms is for: water, one line of notes on anything you promised to follow up, and an explicit close on the round that just ended so it does not travel
- Prepare a different closing question for each interviewer, so the end of a long day does not produce the same one four times
Where candidates lose points
Comparing cohort retention curves of different maturities, or building the curve from users who are still present
A cohort four weeks old has no week-8 value, so an average taken across cohorts silently drops young cohorts from the later columns and keeps them in the earlier ones. The curve then bends upward at the tail, and the reading that 'retention is improving over time' is an artefact of which cohorts survived to be measured. The same error appears in the denominator when retention is computed over users active in the current period rather than over the full original cohort, which conditions on survival and guarantees a flattering number. The fix is a triangle: fix the cohort at signup, bound every window on both sides, and only compare cells where every cohort has had the full elapsed time, publishing the rest as blank rather than as a partial average.
Slicing a flat experiment until a segment reaches significance
Testing one metric across twenty segments at a nominal 5% level produces a significant result about two thirds of the time when nothing is happening anywhere, and the segment that surfaces is by construction the one with the most favourable noise. The reported effect in that slice is then badly overstated, because selection on significance conditions the estimate on being large. What makes it dangerous rather than merely wrong is that a post-hoc segment always has a plausible story attached, so it survives the meeting. The controls are declaring the small number of segments of interest before launch, correcting across the ones tested, and treating anything discovered afterwards as a hypothesis that needs its own adequately-powered test rather than a finding.
Analysing at a different unit than the one randomised
Say out loud what was randomised (user, device, account, cluster) and make the analysis unit match, or account for the clustering with cluster-robust standard errors, the delta method, or aggregation up to the randomised unit. Randomising users and then running a test over sessions understates variance and inflates the false-positive rate.
Defining the cohort on a post-treatment condition
Ask how rows entered the table. Filtering on something that treatment itself influences, such as users who finished onboarding or accounts still active at ninety days, breaks comparability between arms; define the population at an entry point that precedes exposure and keep everyone in it.
Questions & practice
Write a function that calculates the mean and standard deviation of a list of numbers.
Medium · statistics and probability
Approach
- Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
- Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
- Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
Follow-up
- Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?
- How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
Explain how you would approach a classification problem with imbalanced data.
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
- Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Follow-up
- Where could label leakage enter this setup?
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
Sessionise an event stream with gap and midnight rules
Hard · sessionisation · vectorisation · event streams
Sessionise a raw event stream. Input: a DataFrame with visitor_id, user_id (often NULL), occurred_at_utc and event_name, unsorted, up to 5 million rows. A session breaks when the gap from that visitor's previous event exceeds 30 minutes, and is force-closed at UTC midnight so no session spans two calendar dates. A gap of exactly 30 minutes does not break. Emit one row per session with session_id, visitor_id, the user_id as of the last event in the session, started_at_utc, ended_at_utc, session_date, duration_seconds and event_count. Vectorise; do not loop per visitor.
Approach
- Sort by ['visitor_id', 'occurred_at_utc', 'event_id'] once, then express the whole problem as one boolean vector: a row starts a new session when the visitor changed, or the gap exceeds 30 minutes, or the UTC date differs from the previous row's UTC date. Cumsum that vector and you have the session key.
- Get the comparison direction right on the gap: the rule is strictly greater than 1800 seconds, so an event at exactly 1800 seconds continues the session. Write it as gap > pd.Timedelta(minutes=30), and make the tie a test case rather than an assumption.
- Derive the midnight break from the date change, not from inserting synthetic boundary rows. A date change implies a break even when the gap is two seconds, which is precisely the force-close rule and is why the two conditions are ORed rather than one subsuming the other.
- Aggregate with a single groupby on the session key: min and max of occurred_at_utc, size for event_count, and last for user_id, which is correct because the frame is already sorted so 'last' is the final event in the session. That is the identity-as-of-session-end rule.
- Compute duration_seconds as (max - min).dt.total_seconds(), which makes a single-event session 0 seconds. Say so explicitly, because a downstream mean session duration is sensitive to whether single-event sessions are 0 or excluded.
Worked solution (35 min)
- df = df.sort_values(['visitor_id','occurred_at_utc','event_id']).reset_index(drop=True).
- new_visitor = df.visitor_id.ne(df.visitor_id.shift()); gap = df.occurred_at_utc.diff(); new_day = df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.ne(df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.shift()).
- is_start = new_visitor | (gap > Timedelta(minutes=30)) | new_day; df['session_key'] = is_start.cumsum().
- g = df.groupby('session_key'); out = g.agg(visitor_id=('visitor_id','first'), user_id=('user_id','last'), started_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','min'), ended_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','max'), event_count=('event_id','size')).
- out['session_date'] = out.started_at_utc.dt.date; out['duration_seconds'] = (out.ended_at_utc - out.started_at_utc).dt.total_seconds(); assign session_id from the sorted index.
Expected result: One row per session where session_count equals is_start.sum(), event_count sums exactly to len(input), every session's started_at and ended_at share one UTC date, and duration_seconds is at least 0 and strictly less than 86400.
Verify it yourself
- out['event_count'].sum() equals len(df); a mismatch means rows were lost to a join or a dropna.
- started_at_utc.dt.date equals ended_at_utc.dt.date on every row.
- For a planted visitor with events at 12:00:00 and 12:30:00 exactly, one session is emitted; move the second to 12:30:01 and two are emitted.
- For a planted visitor with events at 23:59:50 and 00:00:10, two sessions are emitted on consecutive dates despite a 20-second gap.
Follow-up
- Sessions are used as the denominator of a conversion rate. How does moving the inactivity gap from 30 to 45 minutes move that rate, and in which direction?
- A visitor's clock is 40 minutes ahead, so their events arrive with future occurred_at values. What does your sessioniser do, and what would you rather it did?
- The same person signs up mid-session on mobile and continues on desktop. How many sessions and how many users does your output show, and is that the right answer?
Explain the differences between various data structures and their use cases.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
Follow-up
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
- How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
Given a dataset, write a code snippet to preprocess the data for modeling.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Follow-up
- How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
Find reactivation gaps in account paid-period history
Hard · gaps-and-islands · window-functions · subscriptions
fct_subscription_period holds account_id, subscription_id, period_start_utc, period_end_utc, period_status and change_reason. A mid-period plan or seat change closes one row and opens another, so a single continuous paid tenure is often many rows, and an account may hold two overlapping subscriptions. Collapse rows with period_status in ('active','past_due') into continuous tenures per account, treating gaps of three days or less as continuous. Return account_id, tenure_start, tenure_end, and for every tenure after the first, the gap in days that preceded it.
Approach
- Filter to paid rows only: period_status IN ('active','past_due'). Trialing periods are not tenure, and including them turns every trial that never converted into a one-period tenure followed by a fake churn.
- Order by period_start_utc and take a running maximum of all prior ends: MAX(period_end_utc) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND 1 PRECEDING). Those three columns are the only stable ordering this schema exposes, so check first that they are unique within an account; if rows tie on all three, the island numbering is order-dependent between runs and you need a real row key before the result is reproducible.
- LAG on its own is wrong here because with overlapping or nested periods the immediately preceding row by start date is not the one that ends latest, so the running maximum is the part that cannot be shortcut.
- Flag a new island when prior_max_end IS NULL OR period_start_utc > prior_max_end + interval '3 days', then number islands with a running SUM of the flag over the same ordering and an explicit ROWS frame.
- Group to (account_id, island) taking MIN(period_start_utc) and MAX(period_end_utc), then LAG(tenure_end) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY tenure_start) to compute the preceding gap in days for every tenure after the first.
- Sanity-check with change_reason, which is the only lineage this schema carries: list its distinct values first, then confirm that rows recording a plan or seat change sit inside a tenure rather than opening one, and that every tenure after the first opens on a row whose reason records a restart rather than an ordinary renewal. Do not reconcile against a churn timestamp on dim_account, which this schema does not define; and where such a column does exist, a cancellation timestamp records when the request was made and routinely sits weeks before the period it ends.
Worked solution (35 min)
- Find an account with a known mid-period upgrade and dump its period rows to use as the trace case.
- Check that (period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id) is unique per account, since the whole ordering rests on it.
- Write the paid-rows CTE and the running MAX with the explicit frame.
- Add the island flag and the running SUM, then verify the trace account yields one island.
- Group to tenures and add the LAG-based gap in days.
- List the distinct change_reason values, then count accounts with more than one tenure and compare against the count of accounts carrying a restart-flavoured reason anywhere in their history.
Expected result: One row per (account_id, tenure). An account with a continuous history returns a single row with a NULL preceding gap. Every non-first tenure has gap_days strictly greater than 3 by construction.
Verify it yourself
- No two tenures for the same account overlap or touch within the grace window.
- MIN(tenure_start) per account equals MIN(period_start_utc) per account in the filtered input.
- The account with a known mid-period upgrade produces one tenure, not two.
- (period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id) has no duplicates within an account; if it does, say how many accounts are affected before reading the output.
- The share of accounts with more than one tenure is small; if it is most accounts, the status filter or the grace window is wrong.
Follow-up
- Why three days of grace? What do 0 and 30 days each do to the count of accounts classed as reactivated?
- An account runs two concurrent subscriptions for different teams. One tenure or two, and what does the revenue reader expect?
- How would you turn these tenures into a monthly gross logo churn series without double-counting an account that churned and returned in the same month?
How do you prioritize tasks when you have multiple deadlines?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
Given a dataset, how would you identify outliers? What methods would you use?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
If you were asked to predict future sales for a product, what factors would you consider?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
You have 12 pills, and all weigh the same except for one, which is either heavier or lighter. You can use a scale only three times. How do you find the odd pill?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Follow-up
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you design an A/B test to measure the impact of a new feature on user engagement?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
- Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
Follow-up
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
- How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
Describe the differences between supervised and unsupervised learning.
Medium
Approach
- Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
- Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
- State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
Follow-up
- What assumption would you test first?
- How would you know your answer was wrong?
A surrogate for twelve-month value inside a three-week test
Hard · surrogate metrics · experimentation · long-term value
A monetisation change — an earlier and harder paywall — will be tested for three weeks. The decision quantity is twelve-month cumulative net revenue per acquired account, which cannot be observed in three weeks. Available: fct_event, fct_session, fct_subscription_period (mrr_cents_constant_fx, period_status, change_reason, is_first_paid_period), dim_account, and fct_experiment_exposure (unit_type, unit_id, variant, first_exposed_at_utc, is_in_analysis_population). Construct a surrogate index readable at three weeks, state the assumption that makes it valid, name the mechanism that breaks it, and give the pre-registered rule for refusing to decide. Deliverable: the index, the assumption, and the refusal rule.
Approach
- State the surrogacy condition before building anything: a surrogate is valid only if the treatment's entire effect on twelve-month revenue runs through it. Then say where it fails here, because a paywall moves short-run revenue directly and long-run revenue through churn and through who becomes a payer at all.
- Fit the index on history rather than on intuition: regress twelve-month cumulative net revenue per account on features observable by day 21 — first-paid flag, activation days, week-3 core-action days, seats billed — using cohorts old enough to have a twelve-month outcome, and hold out a later cohort.
- Report the out-of-sample fit as the headline rather than the point estimate: the held-out R-squared and the calibration of predicted against actual deciles are what license any use of the index, and a decile plot catches the mis-calibration an R-squared hides.
- Name the bias direction explicitly: the relationship was estimated under the old paywall, so under a harder paywall the marginal payer is a different person and the index over-predicts their value, biasing the treatment arm optimistic.
- Surround the index with the direct three-week readouts it cannot contain — revenue per exposed unit, cancel-within-first-period rate, and the free-side signup and activation counts — and pre-register a numeric refusal rule, because the failure mode of a surrogate is being used confidently in exactly the case it was not fit for.
Worked solution (40 min)
- Assemble the training set: accounts with first_paid_at_utc at least twelve months old, their realised twelve-month cumulative net revenue, and the day-21 features.
- Fit on pre-change cohorts, evaluate on a held-out later cohort, and report both out-of-sample R-squared and predicted-versus-actual decile calibration.
- Write the surrogacy assumption as a falsifiable sentence, then write the specific mechanism in this treatment that violates it.
- Specify the direct arm readouts on fct_experiment_exposure with is_in_analysis_population = TRUE: revenue per exposed unit, cancel-within-first-period rate, and free-side signup and activation counts.
- Write the refusal rule with numbers attached, covering both the fit threshold and the free-side divergence case.
Expected result: A fitted surrogate with a reported out-of-sample R-squared and calibration, a written surrogacy assumption plus the mechanism that violates it, the resulting bias direction, and a numeric refusal rule agreed before launch.
Verify it yourself
- Standard errors are clustered on fct_experiment_exposure.unit_id, the identifier of the randomisation unit. unit_type is the kind label for that unit — a single value such as 'user' across the whole table — so clustering on it collapses the design to one or two clusters and carries no information about who was randomised together. A per-event or per-session standard error on a user-randomised test is the opposite error: too small, and it will manufacture significance.
- The analysis population is the exposed set with is_in_analysis_population = TRUE, and a sample-ratio check against the intended split passes before any outcome is read.
- The index applied to the control arm should reproduce the historical relationship. If control is already mis-calibrated, the treatment estimate is not interpretable at all.
Follow-up
- What evidence would make you trust a surrogate for this particular change rather than a different one?
- The index reads plus 8 percent while three-week cancel-within-period is up. Which do you act on, and what do you tell the decision-maker?
- How would you size this test, on what unit, and what does that do to the three-week horizon?
Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose
Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition
Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.
Approach
- Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
- Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
- Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
- Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
- Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.
Follow-up
- Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
- Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
- How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?
Suggested practice checklist
For someone who has spent the last year in notebooks, dashboards or modelling work and has not written raw SQL under time pressure. The first four days rebuild query fluency against a fixture you control and can verify by hand; the last three attach that fluency to the rest of the loop.
Day 1 — Build a fixture you can check answers against
- Create a local Postgres or SQLite database with four tables (users, sessions, events, orders) holding roughly 200 rows you generated yourself, so you know the contents well enough to predict every result.
- Deliberately seed the cases that break queries: a user with no sessions, a session with no events, two orders sharing a timestamp, a NULL in one join key, and one duplicated user row.
- Before writing any SQL, hand-compute five answers on paper (how many users placed at least one order, median orders per ordering user, and three others) and save them as the ground truth for the week.
Deliverable: A one-command seed script plus a text file of five hand-computed answers to grade every later query against.
Day 2 — Joins, filters and NULL semantics
- Answer "which users have no orders" three ways (LEFT JOIN with IS NULL, NOT EXISTS, NOT IN) and confirm that the NOT IN version returns zero rows once the subquery contains a NULL, because the comparison is never TRUE.
- Reproduce the LEFT JOIN that silently collapses to an inner join by putting a right-table predicate in WHERE, then fix it by moving the predicate into the ON clause, and record both row counts.
- Create a fan-out bug on purpose by joining orders to order_items and summing the order total, then correct it with a pre-aggregated subquery and explain in one line which table changed the grain.
Deliverable: One annotated .sql file holding the three join traps, each with the wrong result and the corrected result side by side.
Day 3 — Window functions and frames
- Write three window queries against the fixture: a running order total per user, the rank of each order within its user by value, and the day gap to that user's previous order, then check each against the day-one ground truth.
- Run ROW_NUMBER, RANK and DENSE_RANK over a column containing ties, print all three side by side, and write one sentence on when each is the correct choice.
- Switch one query from the default frame (RANGE BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, which is what you get when ORDER BY is present and no frame is written) to ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, and explain why the output differs only when the ORDER BY column has duplicates.
Deliverable: Three verified window queries plus a short note explaining the RANGE versus ROWS difference in your own words.
Day 4 — The four analytical query patterns
- Write a monthly retention grid: first order month per user, then months-since-first as the column, and verify that month zero equals the cohort size exactly.
- Sessionize the events table under a 30-minute inactivity rule using LAG plus a cumulative sum over a new-session flag.
- Build a four-step funnel that counts distinct users rather than events at each step, and state the rule you applied to a user who reaches step three without ever logging step two.
Deliverable: One file with the retention, sessionization and funnel patterns, each carrying a one-line note on the assumption it bakes in.
Day 5 — Write SQL the way you will have to write it live
- Set a 12-minute timer and solve three medium prompts in a plain editor with no execution and no autocomplete, then run them and tally syntax errors separately from logic errors.
- Narrate one solution aloud while writing it, stating the grain of each intermediate result (one row per user, one row per user-day) before you type its body.
- Rewrite your slowest solution as a CTE chain where every CTE name states its grain, and time yourself re-solving it from blank.
Deliverable: A recording of one narrated solution plus an error tally that separates syntax from logic.
Day 6 — One day for everything that is not SQL
- Write the preconditions of the two-sample t-test from memory, then check them: independent observations, and a difference in means whose sampling distribution is approximately normal, which at large sample sizes follows from the central limit theorem rather than from normality of the raw values.
- Write the difference between an odds ratio from logistic regression and a relative risk, and state the condition under which the two are close (low outcome prevalence).
- Prepare a 90-second answer to "how would you know this model is any good" that names the metric, the baseline you would beat, and the cost of the errors you care about.
Deliverable: One page of notes covering test preconditions, the odds-ratio caveat and the model-quality answer.
Day 7 — Full loop rehearsal
- Run a 45-minute mock with someone willing to interrupt: 20 minutes of SQL, 15 minutes defining a metric, 10 minutes on a past project.
- Re-solve from blank the two queries you were slowest on this week and compare the times against day five.
- Write a five-line answer to "walk me through a project" that puts a number in the first sentence and names the decision the work changed.
Deliverable: Mock feedback notes plus a timed project narrative you can deliver without reading it.
Getting an analysis acted on
Work that nobody used is a common and unflattering pattern in data careers, and interviewers probe for it. Have a story about an analysis that changed a decision, and be specific about how you got it in front of the person who could act. Also have one about work that went nowhere, with your reading of why.
Describe a time when you had to optimize a model. What strategies did you use?
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
- Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
- Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
Follow-up
- What did you decide not to do, and why?
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
Quantify your own impact without claiming the topline you touched
Hard · self-assessment · attribution · communication
You are writing the impact section of your own review. Over the year you ran four experiments, one of which shipped and three of which were flat; you corrected the definition of gross monthly revenue churn so that cancellation is recognised at period_end_utc; and you built a self-serve funnel dashboard. Weekly active accounts rose 14% over the same period. Your reviewer knows the data well. Write the three impact claims you would defend, stating for each what you contributed, what evidence supports it, and what portion of the outcome you are not claiming.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you apply to your own work the causal standard you would apply to somebody else's roadmap claim. Nearly everyone who would reject 'accounts that do Y retain better' will write 'I drove a 14% increase' without noticing it is the same error with a friendlier subject.
- Sort the work by the kind of evidence it can carry. The shipped experiment is the only item with a randomised estimate, so it is the only one where an effect size is defensible, and you claim the interval rather than the point estimate.
- Claim the three flat experiments as decisions prevented and price them. Features not built, or built differently, on evidence, with the engineering weeks reallocated as the number somebody else can verify. A defensible null is a delivered decision and should be written as one.
- Claim the definition fix as correctness, not as improvement. The old figure was overstated by a specific percentage and appeared in a specific set of recurring documents; the impact is the change it produced in the forecast built on top of it, not a change in churn itself.
- Claim the dashboard on usage and displacement: distinct weekly users of it, and the ad-hoc request count for six months before against six months after. If the request log does not exist, record the claim as unverified rather than estimating it upward.
- Disclaim the 14% explicitly and once. State that it cannot be separated from seasonality, other teams' launches and a pricing change, and bound your own contribution from above using the shipped experiment's interval converted into headline units.
Follow-up
- Your shipped experiment's interval was +0.2pp to +1.4pp on activation. How much of the 14% can that account for, and how do you say so without undercutting yourself?
- A peer in the same cycle claims the full 14%. What, if anything, do you do about it?
- If you could only keep two of your three claims, which do you drop, and why that one?
Defend a flat experiment readout against a post-hoc segment
Medium · experiments · segmentation · pushback
A feature you evaluated is flat on seven-day activation: +0.05pp with a 95% interval of [-0.47pp, +0.57pp], from 61,000 exposed users per arm in fct_experiment_exposure joined to dim_user and fct_event. Baseline activation is 32%. The launch team asks you to drop every surface except mobile_web, where the point estimate is +1.1pp, and re-run. You have ten minutes in their planning meeting. Deliver a spoken position: what you will and will not do, and the decision you recommend.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you hold a statistical position under social pressure without becoming either rigid or apologetic. A generic answer says the segment is not significant; a strong one separates the request into a question that is answerable (is the mobile_web number real?) and one that is not (can we ship on it?), and answers both.
- Price the multiplicity out loud. The slice was chosen after seeing the results, so its estimate is selected on favourable noise and is biased away from zero. With k independent looks at a nominal 5% level, the chance of at least one false positive is 1 - 0.95^k: 26% at six segments, 64% at twenty. Quote the k you actually inspected, not the k you reported.
- Use the arithmetic already in front of you. On the point estimates, a +1.1pp mobile_web effect combined with a pooled +0.05pp implies the remaining surfaces average negative in proportion to mobile_web's share of exposures. State that as a testable implication of their story rather than as a rebuttal of it.
- Ask the one question that settles the category: was mobile_web named in the analysis plan before launch? If it was, it is a planned comparison and gets a corrected reading. If it was not, it is a hypothesis, and the honest move is to size the test that would confirm it.
- Convert the refusal into a cost. Size a mobile_web-only confirmatory test at the claimed effect, state the weeks of mobile_web traffic it needs, and close with the recommendation: do not ship this as a lift, and note that the interval already rules out anything at or above +0.6pp, which is itself a useful input to the roadmap.
Follow-up
- The confirmatory test you sized needs nine weeks of mobile_web traffic and the team has three. What do you recommend instead?
- Suppose mobile_web was pre-registered. How does your reading change, and what correction do you apply?
- Your interval excludes +0.6pp. Is that the same as saying the feature does nothing?