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freenet Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

freenet data scientist prep: probability, sampling distributions, and stating the assumption behind every test you run.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at freenet, you are at the intersection of customer behavior and digital product strategy. You play a vital role in transforming complex data sets into actionable insights that directly influence how freenet serves its massive customer base in the telecommunications and digital lifestyle space. Your work is not just about modeling; it is about understanding the customer journey, identifying growth opportunities, and ensuring that freenet's product decisions are backed by rigorous empirical evidence.

Seniority shifts the scope more than the words in the title do. Earlier-career loops mostly check that you execute a well-posed analysis correctly; senior loops check that you can decide which question is worth answering and defend what you chose not to do.

Focus areas

  • Set fraud thresholds by expected cost
  • Separate authorization, settlement and dispute outcomes cleanly
  • Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD

Overview

You will collaborate closely with product managers, marketing teams, and engineering units to define the success metrics that drive the business forward. Whether you are analyzing churn, optimizing subscription funnels, or evaluating the impact of new features, your output will be a cornerstone of the company’s decision-making process. The environment is fast-paced and data-centric, requiring you to balance deep technical proficiency with the ability to communicate findings to non-technical stakeholders effectively.

The freenet interview process

freenet candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Initial Screening

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
  • Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
  • Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

  • Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
  • Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
  • Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

Technical Assessment

Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
  • Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
  • Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day

How to prepare

  • Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
  • On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
  • Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over

Behavioral Interviews

Rounds of this kind usually include one question about work that did not go well, and it is the part that carries the most information. Anyone can narrate a shipped win. What the interviewer learns from a project that stalled is how you behave without a result to hide behind: whether you noticed the problem yourself, how long it took, and who you told. Answers that route the failure onto a data pipeline or a reorganisation close the topic without answering it, and the follow-up comes back to your own part.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you found the error yourself or someone else found it, and how long it sat before anyone knew
  • What you changed afterwards, stated as a check you now run rather than a lesson you now believe
  • Whether the mistake you choose has real cost attached, such as a quarter of misdirected roadmap or a metric that was reported upward, instead of one that flatters you

How to prepare

  • Choose a failure you caught yourself and be ready to say what tipped you off. A story where someone else caught it is still usable, but you will be asked why you missed it.
  • Write down the check you added afterwards and where it lives now, so the correction is a concrete artefact rather than a resolution.
  • Rehearse saying the cost out loud. Candidates shrink the number by instinct once the interviewer is in the room.

Panel Interviews

A day of back-to-back interviews samples your floor, not your ceiling. Four hours in, the habits that carry a good answer are the first to go: restating the question before solving it, asking what the data would have to look like, checking a number before quoting it. What the day decides is whether the tired version of you is still someone to leave alone with an ambiguous problem. The round that sinks a candidate is usually not the hardest one. It is the one immediately after the round that went badly.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the late rounds get the same clarifying questions as the first one, or whether you start answering immediately to save effort
  • Whether a weak answer stays in the room it happened in, instead of following you into the next conversation as apology or distraction
  • Whether the quality of your questions holds up, since fatigue removes curiosity about the problem before it removes knowledge of the method

How to prepare

  • Rehearse the length, not just the content: book four mock interviews of different types in one afternoon with short gaps, because the one you need to observe is the fourth
  • Put the two or three questions you ask at the start of any problem on a card in front of you, so that under fatigue it is a habit you run rather than a decision you make
  • Decide in advance what the gap between rooms is for: water, one line of notes on anything you promised to follow up, and an explicit close on the round that just ended so it does not travel
  • Prepare a different closing question for each interviewer, so the end of a long day does not produce the same one four times

Where candidates lose points

Averaging delinquency across a book that is growing

A loan three months old cannot be 90 days past due, so a portfolio with many recent originations reports a low blended 90+ rate purely from age mix. The blended rate falls fastest exactly when originations grow fastest, which is precisely when credit quality most needs watching, so the metric moves in the reassuring direction during the riskiest period. Only comparisons at equal months on book are valid, which is what a vintage or roll-rate view enforces.

Assuming a model is fair because protected attributes are not among its inputs

Postcode, device, tenure, income proxies and even transaction patterns correlate with protected characteristics, so a model can produce a disparate outcome without ever reading the attribute. Credit decisions additionally carry an explainability obligation in many jurisdictions, since a denial has to be accompanied by its principal reasons, which constrains model form and feature engineering rather than being a reporting afterthought. Treating fairness testing and reason-code generation as design constraints from the first model version is far cheaper than retrofitting them to a deployed one.

Ending an analysis without a recommendation or next step

Close with what you would do and what would change your mind, stated as a condition you can check later. If the evidence is genuinely inconclusive, recommend the specific next measurement and say what it costs in time or exposure.

Dropping rows with missing values without naming the mechanism

Say whether the values are missing at random, missing by a known process, or missing in a way that depends on the outcome, and handle them accordingly. Deleting incomplete rows silently redefines the population whenever missingness correlates with what you are measuring.

Questions & practice

Implement accident-quarter loss ratio at twelve months development

Medium · loss ratio · development age · earned premium

fct_policy_period_monthly arrives as a stack of month-end snapshots: each row carries valuation_month alongside as_of_month, policy_id, product_line, written_premium_minor, earned_premium_minor, paid_loss_minor, case_reserve_minor, ibnr_reserve_minor and loss_adjustment_expense_minor. Compute the accident-quarter loss ratio at exactly 12 months of development: incurred losses over earned premium, both taken from rows whose as_of_month falls in the accident quarter, read from the snapshot 12 months after that quarter closes. Report quarters that cannot reach that age as incomplete rather than dropping them.

Approach

  1. Derive accident_quarter from as_of_month, then define the evaluation snapshot per quarter as valuation_month equal to the quarter's final month plus twelve months. Every figure in the ratio comes from that one snapshot, not from whichever snapshot happens to be newest.
  2. Numerator is paid_loss_minor plus case_reserve_minor plus ibnr_reserve_minor over the accident quarter's rows in that snapshot. Loss adjustment expense may be included or not, but the choice applies to every quarter and is named in an output column.
  3. Denominator is earned_premium_minor over the same rows. Written premium is booked in full at inception, so in a growing book it runs ahead of earned premium and drags the ratio down, with the error reversing when the book shrinks.
  4. Left-join the full quarter list against available valuation months so a quarter with no 12-month snapshot yields status incomplete and a null ratio, instead of disappearing and shortening the series without saying so.
  5. Split by product_line, since both the loss ratio level and the speed of development differ by line, and a blended series moves with mix as much as with experience.

Follow-up

  • The most recent complete quarter came in four points better than the one before. What do you check before calling it an improvement?
  • How would you estimate the 12-month figure for a quarter that is only 6 months developed, and how would you label the estimate?
  • Why can an expense ratio legitimately use a different denominator from the loss ratio in the same presentation?

Measure calibration of a twelve-month default probability from scratch

Hard · calibration · brier score · binning

fct_loan_application gives application_id, model_pd_12m, model_version, decision, funded_at and loan_id. fct_loan_performance_monthly gives loan_id, months_on_book, days_past_due and charge_off_flag. Define the outcome as ever 90 or more days past due, or charged off, by months_on_book = 12. Without sklearn or scipy, build an equal-count binned reliability table, the expected calibration error, the Brier score and its reliability, resolution and uncertainty components, and report the residual the binned identity leaves behind. Restrict to cohorts that have actually reached 12 months on book.

Approach

  1. Build the label first and name the population it covers out loud: only funded loans have outcomes, so this measures calibration on the approved population. The declined region is unmeasured, and no binning scheme repairs that.
  2. Restrict to applications whose loans have reached months_on_book = 12. A cohort observed at 8 months has a mechanically lower default rate and will read as systematic over-prediction that is really just immaturity.
  3. Bin by equal count, deciles of model_pd_12m through a rank-based cut, not equal width. The PD distribution is heavily right-skewed, so equal-width bins put most of the mass in the first bin and leave the risky bins with single-digit counts whose observed rates mean nothing.
  4. Per bin compute n, mean predicted, observed rate, and the binomial standard error sqrt(o(1-o)/n) so a gap can be read against noise. ECE is the count-weighted mean absolute gap between mean predicted and observed.
  5. Compute Brier directly as the mean squared error, then reliability = sum of n_k (pbar_k - obar_k)^2 over N, resolution = sum of n_k (obar_k - obar)^2 over N, uncertainty = obar(1 - obar). Report residual = Brier - (reliability - resolution + uncertainty). That identity is exact only for discrete forecasts, so with binned continuous scores the residual is the within-bin spread of the score; a large one means the bins are too wide to support the decomposition.
  6. Split by model_version. A mixed-version population can look well calibrated in aggregate while each version is biased in opposite directions.

Worked solution (45 min)

  1. Reduce fct_loan_performance_monthly to one row per loan_id with the maximum days_past_due and any charge_off_flag over months_on_book 0 to 12, plus the maximum months_on_book observed, and keep only loans reaching 12.
  2. Inner-join to approved and funded applications, and record how many approved applications were dropped for immaturity and how many decisions were declines that never enter the measurement at all.
  3. Assign deciles with a rank-based cut on model_pd_12m, then aggregate n, mean predicted, observed rate and standard error per bin.
  4. Compute ECE, Brier, reliability, resolution, uncertainty and the residual, and print all six.
  5. Repeat the whole computation split by model_version and compare the per-version reliability against the pooled figure.

Expected result: A ten-row reliability table with n, mean predicted, observed and standard error; an ECE of a few tenths of a percentage point to a couple of points; a Brier score close to the uncertainty term, because a rare-event model has little resolution to subtract; and a residual small relative to the reliability term.

Verify it yourself

  • Bin counts sum to the filtered row count, and the count-weighted mean of bin observed rates equals the overall observed rate.
  • Uncertainty equals obar(1 - obar) computed directly, and reliability is zero on a synthetic input where observed is set equal to predicted in every bin.
  • The residual shrinks as the bin count rises from 5 to 20; if it does not, the label or the binning is wrong.
  • Multiplying every PD by 1.5 must raise reliability and ECE while leaving resolution, uncertainty and AUC unchanged, since equal-count bins are invariant to a monotone transform.

Follow-up

  • AUC is unchanged after a population shift but the reliability curve has moved. What happened, and what do you do about it?
  • How would you recalibrate without retraining, and what would you check afterwards?
  • The top decile shows observed default well above predicted. Is that a calibration problem or a policy problem?

Collapse retry chains and compute a dollar-weighted approval rate

Medium · sessionisation · window functions · dollar-weighted rates

fct_payment_authorization gives auth_id, card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor, transaction_currency, requested_at, auth_result, is_reversal, channel and issuer_country. Two reference frames give the minor-unit exponent per currency and a daily rate to one reporting currency. Collapse retry chains first: attempts sharing card_token_id, merchant_id and amount_minor whose consecutive gaps are under 15 minutes form a single attempt, whose outcome is its last row. Exclude reversals and zero-amount verifications. Return a 7-day rolling dollar-weighted approval rate by channel and issuer_country.

Approach

  1. Filter before grouping: drop is_reversal rows and zero-amount verifications, since neither is a purchase attempt and both would otherwise sit in the denominator.
  2. Sort by card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor and requested_at, take the gap to the previous row within that key, mark a chain start where the gap exceeds 15 minutes or the key changes, and label chains with a cumulative sum of that flag. This is a gap rule between consecutive attempts, not a fixed clock bucket, so a chain may span more than 15 minutes in total.
  3. Keep each chain's terminal row by requested_at. If a retry was approved, the purchase was approved; keeping the first row reports the decline that caused the retry as the outcome.
  4. Convert amounts exactly once: amount_minor divided by 10 to the power of the currency exponent, multiplied by the reference rate for the authorization date. Do not reach for settlement_fx_rate, which is null on precisely the declined rows the denominator needs.
  5. Build the rolling window as a ratio of two rolling sums, approved value over total value, per channel and issuer_country. A rolling mean of daily ratios weights a quiet Sunday the same as a busy Friday.

Follow-up

  • The count-weighted rate is flat while the dollar-weighted rate falls 80 basis points. What do you look at first?
  • How would you choose the 15-minute window rather than inheriting it?
  • A merchant moves from two retries to five. Which of your two rates moves, and is that a real change in approval quality?

Explain how you would optimize a slow-running query that processes millions of rows.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  3. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

How do you structure a query to identify top-performing customer segments?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  2. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  3. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

Count-weighted and dollar-weighted approval rates on one currency

Easy · aggregation · denominators · minor units

Using fct_payment_authorization, report the trailing 7-day authorization approval rate two ways for transaction_currency = 'EUR': count-weighted, and dollar-weighted on amount_minor. Exclude is_reversal = true, exclude incremental authorizations (parent_auth_id not null), and exclude zero-amount account verifications. auth_result = 'approved' is the numerator; the four declined_* values make up the rest of the denominator. Return channel, attempts, approved_attempts, approval_rate_count and approval_rate_value. State every exclusion and its reason before you write the SELECT.

Approach

  1. Say the denominator out loud first: attempts on a single transaction currency, excluding reversals, incremental authorizations and zero-amount verifications, because none of those is a purchase attempt a merchant is trying to get approved.
  2. Filter requested_at against a half-open interval (>= start AND < end) so the boundary day is neither dropped nor double counted.
  3. Compute both rates in one pass with FILTER clauses: COUNT() FILTER (WHERE auth_result = 'approved') over COUNT(), and SUM(amount_minor) FILTER (WHERE auth_result = 'approved') over SUM(amount_minor).
  4. Cast one side of each ratio to numeric before dividing, since amount_minor and the counts are integers and integer division silently truncates to zero.
  5. Group by channel and sort by the value-weighted rate, then read the gap between the two rates as a statement about where the declines sit rather than as noise.

Worked solution (20 min)

  1. Write the exclusion list as comments above the query: is_reversal = false, parent_auth_id is null, amount_minor > 0, transaction_currency = 'EUR'.
  2. Build a single aggregate query over fct_payment_authorization with a half-open requested_at predicate and those four filters.
  3. Emit attempts, approved_attempts, approval_rate_count and approval_rate_value with FILTER clauses and a numeric cast on the numerator.
  4. Group by channel, order by approval_rate_value ascending so the worst channel is on top.

Expected result: One row per channel present in the window, with attempts and approved_attempts as integers and both rates as numerics strictly between 0 and 1. approval_rate_value is typically lower than approval_rate_count on ecommerce and moto, because declines concentrate in higher-value card-not-present traffic.

Verify it yourself

  • SUM(attempts) across channels equals a separate COUNT(*) run with the same four filters and no GROUP BY.
  • Dropping the amount_minor > 0 filter raises attempts and moves approval_rate_count while leaving approval_rate_value unchanged, which confirms the zero-amount rows were only ever affecting the count-weighted figure.
  • Both rates are strictly less than 1 unless a channel had no declines at all in the window.

Follow-up

  • The two rates diverge by four points on the ecommerce channel but agree on card_present. What does that tell you, and what would you cut next?
  • How would you extend this to all currencies without summing amount_minor across them?
  • Which of the four decline reasons belong in the denominator of a rate you would put in front of a risk team, and which are really the network's problem?

How would you prioritize two competing product features using data?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  2. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  3. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How would you design a metric to measure the success of a new customer loyalty feature?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
  3. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

A key conversion metric has suddenly dropped by 10%; how would you investigate the root cause?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
  3. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

What are the primary trade-offs when designing a subscription-based product metric?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  2. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
  3. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

What are the most common experimentation pitfalls you have encountered in your previous work?

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
  2. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
  3. Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.

Follow-up

  • What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?

Describe the process of designing an A/B test for a new landing page.

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
  2. State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
  3. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.

Follow-up

  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
  • What would you do if you could not randomise at all?

Evaluate a staggered country rollout without a randomised control

Hard · difference-in-differences · synthetic control · staggered adoption

A step-up authentication rule was enabled for ecommerce traffic in three issuer_country markets on three different dates across five months; twelve comparable markets never received it. You have fct_payment_authorization and fct_card_dispute at daily grain and cannot randomise. Estimate the effect on the dollar-weighted authorization approval rate and on matured fraud basis points, name the estimator and why the obvious one is wrong here, and justify your inference given that there are only three treated clusters.

Approach

  1. Rule out the default first. A two-way fixed effects regression with a single post-times-treated indicator is not valid under staggered adoption with effects that vary over time, because it constructs comparisons that use already-treated markets as controls for later-treated ones and can assign negative weights to some of those comparisons, so the coefficient need not lie inside the range of the true effects.
  2. Use an estimator built for staggered timing: Callaway and Sant'Anna group-time average treatment effects, or the Sun and Abraham interaction-weighted estimator, restricting the comparison group to the twelve never-treated markets and aggregating into an event study indexed on time since adoption.
  3. Defend parallel trends with evidence, not a single test. Show the pre-period leads with their intervals and state their magnitude relative to the post-period effect, because pre-trend tests are underpowered and failing to reject is not evidence of parallelism. Pre-register the maximum pre-period lead you would tolerate before abandoning the design.
  4. Fix the inference problem directly. With three treated clusters, cluster-robust standard errors are severely anti-conservative. Fit a separate synthetic control for each treated market against the twelve donors, with non-negative weights summing to one fitted on pre-period outcomes and predictors, then use in-space placebo permutation and the ratio of post-period to pre-period root mean squared prediction error as the test statistic. With twelve donors the smallest attainable one-sided permutation p-value is 1 / 13, about 0.077, so say that before anyone asks for p below 0.05.
  5. Split the two outcomes by maturity. The dollar-weighted approval rate is observable immediately and can be read on the full post window. Matured fraud basis points require at least 120 days of dispute maturity from the transaction month, so the fraud event study must terminate at the last matured month and the immature months must be marked incomplete rather than plotted as low.
  6. Enumerate and test the confounds specific to this setting: network mandates or regulatory deadlines that landed on the same dates, merchant-side changes in the treated markets, currency mix and settlement FX, and seasonality. Exclude donors subject to a concurrent mandate, and confirm that donors and treated markets do not share an acquirer whose outage would move both.

Worked solution (45 min)

  1. Build a market-by-day panel of the dollar-weighted approval rate from fct_payment_authorization, applying the retry-collapsing and reversal exclusions and converting to one reporting currency at a pinned rate table so FX movement is not mistaken for effect.
  2. Fit Callaway and Sant'Anna group-time ATTs with the twelve never-treated markets as the comparison group, and aggregate into an event study with at least six pre-period leads and the full post window.
  3. Fit a separate synthetic control per treated market on the pre-period outcome plus predictors, verify weights are non-negative and sum to one, and record the pre-period root mean squared prediction error.
  4. Run in-space placebos by applying the same procedure to each of the twelve donors and rank the treated markets' post-over-pre RMSPE ratios among them to obtain permutation p-values.
  5. Repeat the whole pipeline for matured fraud basis points from fct_card_dispute attributed to the authorization's requested_at month, truncating the series at the last month with 120 days of maturity.
  6. Report both event studies side by side, state the permutation p-value floor of about 0.077, and present the approval-rate gain against the matured fraud change in the north-star units.

Expected result: A Callaway and Sant'Anna event study on the dollar-weighted approval rate using never-treated donors, corroborated by per-market synthetic controls with in-space placebo inference, plus a matured fraud basis points event study truncated at 120 days of dispute maturity. Inference is by permutation, not cluster-robust standard errors, and the candidate states up front that with twelve donors the smallest one-sided p-value attainable is about 0.077.

Verify it yourself

  • Pre-period event-study leads should be small relative to the post-period effect and jointly indistinguishable from zero; a visible pre-trend invalidates the design regardless of the post-period estimate.
  • Synthetic control pre-period RMSPE must be small relative to post-period RMSPE, otherwise the post-period gap is fit error rather than effect.
  • Donor weights must be non-negative and sum to one, and leave-one-donor-out refits should not move the estimate materially.
  • A placebo adoption date three months before the real one should produce no jump; if it does, something else changed in those markets.

Follow-up

  • Your synthetic control for one market puts 80 percent of the weight on a single donor. What do you do, and what does the leave-one-out check tell you?
  • The approval rate rises and matured fraud basis points also rise. How do you express the trade-off in a single decision-grade number, and what does that require you to assume about the value of a declined good transaction?
  • Suppose a fourth market adopts mid-analysis. How does that change the estimator, the donor pool and the permutation inference?

Approval rate fell but approved value did not

Easy · approval rate · retry chains · denominators

Over ten days the count-weighted 7-day approval rate on fct_payment_authorization fell from 91 to 86 percent, while captured value in the reporting currency is flat. Available columns: auth_id, card_token_id, merchant_id, mcc, channel, requested_at, amount_minor, transaction_currency, auth_result, decline_reason_code, risk_score, is_reversal, parent_auth_id, captured_at, captured_amount_minor, issuer_country. In twenty minutes, decide whether approved value is actually at risk, and hand back a corrected rate together with its denominator and every exclusion written down.

Approach

  1. Restate the denominator before querying anything. The current one counts every row, so reversals (is_reversal = true), incremental authorizations (parent_auth_id not null) and zero-amount verification attempts (amount_minor = 0) are all sitting in it.
  2. Chart numerator and denominator separately by day. If approved counts are flat and total attempts rose, the rate moved because the denominator grew, which is a different investigation from a rule change and points at a different owner.
  3. Group declines by decline_reason_code and merchant_id. Retry-driven inflation concentrates in a few soft decline codes at a few merchants; a genuine policy change spreads across merchants within one code family.
  4. Collapse retry chains: partition by (card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor), keep one attempt per 15-minute window taking the best outcome, and recompute both count-weighted and dollar-weighted rates on the collapsed set.
  5. Convert amount_minor to one reporting currency using each currency's ISO 4217 exponent before any dollar weighting, then cut by channel and issuer_country to confirm nothing is hiding underneath a flat total.
  6. Report both rates side by side with the exclusion list attached, and state which definition the alert should have been built on.

Follow-up

  • How would you pick the retry-collapsing window when merchants retry on different schedules?
  • Flat captured value could itself be hiding a mix shift. How do you rule that out?
  • What monitor would have caught denominator inflation on the day it started, rather than ten days later?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

  • Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
  • Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
  • State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

  • Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
  • Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
  • Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

  • Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
  • Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
  • Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

  • Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
  • Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
  • Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

  • Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
  • Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
  • List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

  • Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
  • Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
  • Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

  • Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
  • Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
  • Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Stories where someone disagreed with you

Have two ready. In one, the data was on your side and you had to move someone who outranked you. In the other, the pushback was correct and you changed position. The second is the harder story and it lands better, because it shows you separate being right from being attached to an answer. Name the person's actual objection.

Give an example of a project where you had to lead a cross-functional team to achieve a goal.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
  2. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
  3. Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Turn a one-line fraud-number request into a scoped brief

Easy · scoping · metric definition · denominators

A stakeholder messages: what is our fraud rate, and is it going up? You have fct_payment_authorization, fct_card_dispute and dim_customer. At least four defensible answers exist: count-weighted or value-weighted, attributed to the transaction month or to the dispute filing month, and gross or net of recoveries and successful representments. You get one reply before someone else produces an uncaveated number. Write that reply: the clarifying questions you ask, the single default you will produce if nobody answers, and what the default excludes.

Approach

  1. Establish the decision behind the question first, because a risk-rule change, a board number and a merchant contract negotiation need different denominators, and asking which one is not stalling.
  2. Offer a short menu rather than an open question: a stakeholder can choose between two named options but cannot specify a denominator from scratch.
  3. Commit to a default so the reply is useful even if nobody answers, for example net fraud loss in basis points of settled volume, attributed to the requested_at month, matured months only.
  4. State the exclusions in the same breath as the default: non-fraud dispute categories, transaction months with less than 120 days of maturity, and first-party abuse that arrives coded as consumer_dispute.
  5. Give a delivery time for the default and a longer one for the fuller cut, so the choice between them carries a visible cost.

Follow-up

  • They come back wanting it by merchant for a contract negotiation. What changes in the definition and in the maturity rule?
  • How would you separate first-party abuse from third-party fraud in this data, and what would you refuse to conclude from the split?

Allocate one analyst-week across three competing risk requests

Medium · prioritisation · decision deadlines · stakeholder negotiation

Three requests land in the same week and you have one analyst-week. Payments wants a merchant-level decline teardown before a contract renewal in nine days. Credit wants a swap-set analysis on a cutoff change scheduled to ship in six weeks. Insurance wants accident-quarter loss ratios at 12 months development for a reserving review with no fixed date. Each sponsor believes theirs is first, and each has escalated before. Produce the allocation, the reasoning you would say out loud to all three at once, and what you explicitly drop.

Approach

  1. Score each request on the decision it unblocks rather than on effort or on how loudly it arrived: what changes if it is late, and is that change reversible.
  2. Separate deadline from value. The nine-day renewal is a hard, irreversible date with a bounded prize; the six-week cutoff has slack but a much larger downside if it ships unmeasured; the reserving number has no date but feeds external reporting, which is its own kind of hard.
  3. Hunt for the cheap partial in each: a decline teardown restricted to the top merchants by declined value usually answers the contract question at a fraction of the full cut.
  4. Sequence by hard date first, then by largest irreversible downside, and deliver the trade-off to all three sponsors in one message rather than three, so nobody negotiates privately against a version you told someone else.
  5. Name what is dropped and who now owns that consequence, in writing, so the trade-off is visible rather than silently absorbed by you.

Follow-up

  • The credit sponsor escalates to your manager. What do you change, and what do you refuse to change?
  • How would you make this allocation reproducible so the next contested week is a rule application rather than a negotiation?