Interview guides · Featurespace
Featurespace Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Data scientist interview prep for Featurespace: original practice on experiment design, SQL and metric reasoning, with worked solutions.
The 60-second brief
As a Data Scientist at Featurespace, you play a pivotal role in driving innovation and delivering advanced analytical solutions that enhance the company's cutting-edge fraud detection and risk management systems. Your work will directly impact how businesses protect themselves from fraud, ensuring that clients can operate securely and efficiently in an increasingly complex digital landscape. By harnessing large datasets and employing sophisticated machine learning algorithms, you will contribute to developing solutions that not only detect fraud but also predict potential risks before they materialize.
Allocate prep to your weakest link rather than your favourite topic. Of the three things that usually gate the outcome (SQL that is correct under messy joins, sound reasoning about experiments, and structured framing of an open-ended problem), candidates tend to over-invest in modelling theory and under-invest in framing.
Focus areas
- Separate authorization, settlement and dispute outcomes cleanly
- Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD
- Read vintage curves, not blended portfolio averages
Overview
This role is critical due to the scale at which Featurespace operates, requiring you to tackle complex problems and work collaboratively with cross-functional teams. You will engage with stakeholders to understand their needs, develop models, and translate data insights into actionable strategies that drive business growth. Expect to work on exciting projects that leverage your technical expertise and creativity, fostering an environment of continuous improvement and innovation.
The Featurespace interview process
Featurespace candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Screening Interview
An extra round usually exists because something is still open after the standard loop: a skill the earlier interviews did not sample, a level decision, or two interviewers who disagreed. It is rarely a rerun of what you already did well. Ask the recruiter who you are meeting, what function they sit in, and how long the session runs. That is an ordinary scheduling question, and the answer changes what you should prepare. What separates a strong candidate here is treating the round as a fresh evaluation with its own bar, rather than assuming earlier performance carries you through or sinks you.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you can answer well on ground the earlier rounds did not cover, without leaning on what you already said to someone else
- Consistency of the facts in your stories: the same sample size, timeframe, team size and scope of your own role as in earlier conversations
- How you handle an unfamiliar format live, including whether you ask what kind of answer is wanted before producing one
How to prepare
- Ask the recruiter for the interviewer's function, the length, and whether to expect a coding surface, a discussion, or a presentation. Preparing for a 30 minute conversation with a partner team is not the same work as preparing for a 60 minute technical block.
- Write out what each earlier round actually covered, then list the two or three areas nobody probed. That gap is the most likely subject of the extra round.
- Re-read the numbers in the project stories you have already told, so a second telling does not quietly contradict the first.
Take-Home Assignment
The clock is part of the test. Three to six hours is not enough to do everything the dataset supports, so the submission mostly reveals how you spend a fixed budget against an open question. A reviewer sees which paths you took and, by absence, which you abandoned. Work that runs out of time inside the analysis ships a thin conclusion, while work that cuts scope early protects the last hour for writing. The most reliable way to lose here is to leave the scoping decision implicit, so it reads as something you missed rather than something you chose.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the scope you settled on is presented as a decision with a reason, rather than left for the reader to infer from what is missing
- Whether the depth of the work is consistent with the stated time budget, instead of several half-finished directions left open
- Whether the closing section reads as something written on purpose rather than assembled from whichever cells survived
How to prepare
- Run a timed rehearsal on a public dataset with a hard stop, holding the final sixty minutes for writing no matter where the analysis has got to
- Before opening the data, list the questions it could plausibly answer, pick one, and keep the discarded ones as a short note on what you did not attempt and why
- Commit a one-line finding after each analysis step so the writeup is assembled from recorded results rather than from memory at midnight
Technical Interview
Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.
What to demonstrate
- Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
- Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
- Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day
How to prepare
- Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
- On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
- Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over
Where candidates lose points
Counting authorizations instead of weighting them, and summing amounts across currencies
Declines skew toward high-value, cross-border and card-not-present transactions, so an unweighted approval rate can sit flat while approved value falls. Merchant retry logic also turns one declined purchase into several rows, inflating the denominator by an amount that varies by merchant and by decline reason. Amounts are held in the minor unit of the transaction currency and that unit is not always two decimals, since some currencies have none and some have three, so summing amount_minor across currencies produces a figure with no interpretation at all.
Recalibrating an underwriting cutoff on approved and funded applicants only
Rejected applicants have no repayment outcome, and they were rejected because the incumbent model scored them badly, so the missingness depends directly on the outcome being modelled. Reject inference by augmentation or parcelling fills the gap using the incumbent model's own assumptions, which means it can confirm those assumptions but cannot test them. The only genuinely new information about the reject region comes from bureau performance on rejects who borrowed elsewhere, or from a deliberately randomised approval band around the cutoff.
Building features from data that postdates the prediction time
Check every feature against the timestamp at which the model would actually score, and drop anything computed from a window that includes or follows the label event. For a forecasting use case, split train and test by time rather than at random, and split by entity when the same entity recurs.
Extrapolating a first-week lift inflated by novelty effects
Plot the treatment effect by days since first exposure instead of quoting one pooled average. A lift that decays toward zero across the test window is behaviour that will not persist, and annualising it produces a forecast that misses by an order of magnitude.
Questions & practice
Given a dataset, how would you approach feature engineering?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
- Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Follow-up
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
- How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
Simulate false alarms in a merchant chargeback monitoring rule
Medium · simulation · rare events · monitoring thresholds
Baseline matured first-chargeback rate is 12 per 10,000 settled transactions. A monitoring rule alerts when a merchant's observed monthly rate exceeds twice baseline. For monthly settled transaction counts of 500, 2,000, 10,000 and 50,000, simulate the false-alarm probability per merchant-month under the baseline, and the power to detect a merchant whose true rate is 30 per 10,000. Then, for a portfolio of 4,000 merchants split 60, 25, 10 and 5 percent across those four counts, give the expected number of false alarms per month.
Approach
- Recognise the rule is a threshold on an integer count, not on a continuous rate. At n = 500, twice baseline is 24 per 10,000, so the first observable value above it is 2 chargebacks, or 40 per 10,000. Derive the trigger count for every n before simulating anything.
- Draw binomial counts with numpy at p = 0.0012 and take the share at or above the trigger for the false-alarm rate, then repeat at p = 0.0030 for power. Use at least 200,000 draws per cell so a probability near 0.001 has a usable standard error.
- Cross-check every simulated cell against the Poisson approximation with lambda = n*p, which is tight here because p is tiny. A mismatch almost always means the trigger count is off by one.
- Weight the per-merchant false-alarm probabilities by the portfolio mix, and report the share of expected alerts contributed by each size band rather than only the total.
- Close on the operating consequence: a fixed multiplicative threshold is not a constant false-alarm rate across merchant sizes, so either the threshold scales with n or small merchants need a minimum volume before the rule applies.
Follow-up
- How would you set a threshold that holds the false-alarm rate roughly constant across merchant size?
- The rule reads the transaction month, but disputes arrive for up to 120 days afterwards. What does that do to the alert and how would you fix it?
- What does a month of these false alarms cost, and how would you decide whether it is worth paying?
Bootstrap a fraud loss rate that clusters within merchant
Medium · bootstrap · clustered resampling · heavy tails
You have a per-transaction frame with auth_id, merchant_id, settled_amount_reporting and net_loss_reporting, both already in one reporting currency. Most rows carry zero loss, a few carry large ones, and losses cluster within merchant. Using only numpy's random generator and no resampling helper from any library, write a bootstrap that returns a 95 percent interval for net fraud loss in basis points of settled volume, resampling merchants with replacement and taking all rows belonging to each drawn merchant. Also produce the naive row-level interval and state which you would report.
Approach
- State the estimator before writing it: total net loss divided by total settled volume, times 10,000. It is a ratio of sums, so each replicate recomputes both sums. Averaging per-transaction loss rates instead would weight a five-unit transaction like a five-thousand-unit one.
- Pre-aggregate loss and volume to merchant level once. For a ratio of sums, drawing merchants and taking all their rows is arithmetically identical to drawing merchant-level (loss_sum, volume_sum) pairs, so a replicate becomes one integer draw plus two vectorised sums rather than a groupby inside the loop.
- Draw B replicates of M merchant indices with replacement, where M is the observed merchant count, compute the ratio per replicate, and take the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles. Say explicitly that this is a percentile interval and that BCa would correct the skew-induced bias if the decision is close.
- Repeat with independent row draws for the naive interval and compare widths on the same replicate count.
- Report the clustered interval. Rows within a merchant share an acceptance profile, a category code and a fraud exposure, so they are not independent, and the row-level interval understates variance by roughly the design effect.
Worked solution (30 min)
- Compute the point estimate directly on the full data and keep it for comparison.
- Aggregate to merchant-level loss and volume arrays, record M, and set B to 2,000 with a seeded numpy Generator.
- In a vectorised loop, draw integer indices of shape (B, M), index both arrays, sum along axis 1, and take the ratio times 10,000.
- Repeat for the row-level version using the per-transaction arrays and N draws.
- Take the 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles of each replicate array and report both intervals alongside the point estimate.
Expected result: Two intervals in basis points sharing the same point estimate. The clustered interval is materially wider, commonly two to four times, and is right-skewed because a heavy merchant can be drawn more than once in a replicate.
Verify it yourself
- The point estimate equals the direct ratio on the full data and lies inside both intervals.
- A synthetic input where every merchant holds exactly one transaction makes the clustered and naive intervals coincide; this is the test that the resampling unit is wired correctly.
- Raising B from 2,000 to 10,000 shifts the endpoints by less than the reporting precision; if it does not, a handful of merchants is driving the tail and the estimate needs that caveat.
- Replicate ratios never fall outside the range implied by drawing only the lowest-loss or only the highest-loss merchants.
Follow-up
- Your clustered interval is three times wider. How do you explain that to someone who wanted a tighter number?
- One merchant accounts for 40 percent of losses. What does that do to the interval, and what would you do about it?
- How does this change if the question is whether two months differ rather than what this month's rate is?
Solve a coding challenge related to data manipulation using Python or SQL.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
Follow-up
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
Write a function to perform a binary search on a sorted array.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
Follow-up
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
Reconcile captured authorizations against the daily settlement total
Easy · reconciliation · currency · rounding
fct_payment_authorization holds captured_amount_minor in transaction_currency, and settlement_amount_minor in settlement_currency with settlement_fx_rate applied at settlement rather than at authorization. The rate is quoted in major units of settlement_currency per major unit of transaction_currency, and dim_currency.minor_unit_exponent carries the ISO 4217 exponent for each code (0, 2 or 3 depending on the currency). Produce a daily reconciliation: for each settled_at date and settlement_currency, return settled_count, total settlement_amount_minor, and the sum of captured_amount_minor converted into settlement minor units. Flag any date and currency pair whose two totals differ by more than one minor unit per settled authorization. Do not sum amounts across currencies anywhere in the output.
Approach
- Restrict to rows that actually settled: settled_at is not null and settlement_amount_minor is not null, which is a smaller population than captured rows because a capture can still be in flight.
- Truncate settled_at to a date with an explicit time zone so the cut matches the ledger's cut, since settled_at is timestamptz and date_trunc on timestamptz silently uses the session time zone.
- Join dim_currency twice, once on transaction_currency and once on settlement_currency, so both exponents are on the row. Minor units are not a common scale: a bare captured_amount_minor * settlement_fx_rate is correct only when the two exponents are equal, and a zero-decimal currency settling into a two-decimal one is wrong by a factor of 100.
- Convert per row as ROUND(captured_amount_minor::numeric / POWER(10::numeric, exp_txn) * settlement_fx_rate * POWER(10::numeric, exp_settle)) — minor units to major in the transaction currency, apply the major-per-major rate, then back to minor units in the settlement currency. The collapsed form ROUND(captured_amount_minor::numeric * settlement_fx_rate * POWER(10::numeric, exp_settle - exp_txn)) is the same expression. Round per row and then sum, not SUM(...) * an average rate, because the rate varies row by row and rounding per row is what the settlement file did.
- Group by the settlement date and settlement_currency together, never by date alone, and carry the currency into every output column name or row.
- Compare the two totals with a tolerance scaled by settled_count, since per-row rounding accumulates linearly in the number of rows rather than being a fixed constant.
Worked solution (25 min)
- Filter to settled rows and derive settlement_date from settled_at with an explicit time zone.
- Join dim_currency on transaction_currency and again on settlement_currency to pick up exp_txn and exp_settle; fail the run if either is null rather than defaulting to 2.
- Aggregate by settlement_date and settlement_currency: COUNT(*), SUM(settlement_amount_minor), and SUM(ROUND(captured_amount_minor::numeric / POWER(10::numeric, exp_txn) * settlement_fx_rate * POWER(10::numeric, exp_settle))).
- Add a derived difference column and a boolean flag where ABS(difference) > settled_count.
- Order by the flag first and then by settlement_date so the exceptions surface at the top.
Expected result: One row per settlement_date and settlement_currency, carrying settled_count, settlement_total_minor, converted_capture_total_minor, their signed difference, and a boolean exception flag. On clean days the difference is small relative to settled_count and has no consistent sign. Pairs with unequal exponents reconcile exactly as well as equal-exponent pairs; if they do not, the exponent terms are missing rather than the FX rate being wrong.
Verify it yourself
- The difference divided by settled_count stays well under one minor unit on unflagged days, which is the expected size of per-row rounding.
- Restricted to rows where exp_txn = exp_settle, the exponent-aware conversion and a bare captured_amount_minor * settlement_fx_rate agree exactly; restricted to rows where the exponents differ by 2, the bare form is smaller by exactly a factor of 100. That is the direct test that the dim_currency join is load-bearing.
- Re-running with SUM over all currencies at once produces a number that changes when a zero-decimal currency's volume moves, which demonstrates why the cross-currency total is meaningless.
- settled_count summed over all dates equals COUNT(*) on the same settled-row filter with no grouping.
Follow-up
- A partial capture means captured_amount_minor is less than amount_minor. Where does that show up in this reconciliation, and where does it not?
- On one currency pair the converted total is consistently about one hundredth of the settlement total, on every date, while the other pairs reconcile. Which two columns do you inspect first, and what single change fixes it?
- The rate is documented as major-per-major. If a feed started publishing it minor-per-minor instead, which pairs would still reconcile and which would break?
- How would you present a total across currencies to a finance partner who has asked for one number?
Given a dataset on transaction data, how would you identify potential fraud?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you prioritize competing data science projects based on business impact?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
Present a case study where you used data to make a business decision.
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How do you stay current with industry trends and advancements in data science?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
Describe how you would design an experiment to evaluate the effectiveness of a new feature in a product.
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
- Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
Follow-up
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
What steps would you take to handle missing data in a dataset?
Medium
Approach
- State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
- Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
- Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
Follow-up
- How would you know your answer was wrong?
- What assumption would you test first?
Judge a rate increase without letting price flatter the ratio
Hard · mix shift · adverse selection · loss development
A rating change raises premium on one product_line's renewal book. Using fct_policy_period_monthly (earned_premium_minor, written_premium_minor, exposure_units, paid_loss_minor, case_reserve_minor, ibnr_reserve_minor, loss_adjustment_expense_minor, rating_tier, policy_status, renewal_flag, policy_term_end), the accident-period loss ratio improves two points over the following year. Explain why that number alone cannot tell you the change worked, decompose the movement into the effects you would separate, and specify the primary metric and guardrails you would commit to before the next rating change.
Approach
- Start with the arithmetic. A rate increase raises earned premium per exposure unit, so the loss ratio falls even if every policyholder behaves identically and every claim is unchanged. Part of the two points is mechanical and carries no information about risk at all.
- Switch the risk measure to one price cannot move: pure premium, being incurred losses (paid_loss_minor plus case_reserve_minor plus ibnr_reserve_minor, with loss_adjustment_expense_minor included or excluded consistently and the choice stated) divided by exposure_units, evaluated by accident period at a fixed development age. Flat pure premium alongside an improved loss ratio means the improvement was entirely price.
- Decompose the loss ratio movement into three named components: the price effect at constant exposure and mix, the mix effect from which rating_tiers renewed and which lapsed, and the residual change in pure premium within tier. Only the third is evidence about risk selection, and it is usually the smallest.
- Name the adverse-selection risk directly. Price sensitivity and loss propensity are not independent, and the policyholders most able to leave after a rate rise are often the ones worth keeping. Retention by rating_tier is therefore a guardrail with teeth, and it has to be read at tier level because a flat blended retention hides tiers moving in opposite directions.
- Add prior-period reserve development as the second guardrail. The same two points are producible by setting case reserves or IBNR light, which surfaces only later as adverse development, so the reserve guardrail is what stops the primary metric being satisfiable by an accounting choice.
- Commit the primary before the next change: underwriting margin per exposure unit, being earned premium minus incurred losses minus loss adjustment expense minus allocated expense, over exposure_units, at a fixed development age, reported by accident period and by rating_tier with exposure volume printed beside it so that improving margin by shrinking the book is visible in the same table.
Worked solution (40 min)
- By accident quarter at a fixed twelve-month development age, compute both the loss ratio (incurred over earned_premium_minor) and the pure premium (incurred over exposure_units), before and after the change.
- Build the three-way decomposition: move price only at constant mix and exposure, then move the tier mix to the post-change distribution at constant price, then take the remainder as the within-tier pure premium change.
- Compute renewal retention by rating_tier from policies reaching policy_term_end, excluding cancelled_midterm and terms where no renewal offer was made, and cross each tier's retention with its prior pure premium.
- Pull prior-period reserve development for the periods used and state whether the improvement survives it.
Expected result: A decomposition splitting the two-point improvement into price, mix and within-tier pure premium components that reconcile to the total, alongside retention by rating_tier and an explicit statement of whether the within-tier component is distinguishable from zero.
Verify it yourself
- The three components reconcile to the observed change up to the interaction term. Decide in advance where the interaction is allocated and say so on the chart.
- Pure premium contains no price term by construction, so a step change in it exactly at the rate effective date points to an exposure or earning-pattern error rather than to a risk effect.
- Recent accident periods have no value at the fixed development age, which means unavailable rather than favourable, so any period younger than that age is excluded from the comparison.
- Retention measured at tier level reconciles to the blended figure once terms with no renewal offer are excluded from both.
Follow-up
- Retention is flat overall but fell nine points in the lowest-loss tier. What do you expect next year's pure premium to do?
- Why not use written premium as the denominator, and where would you still legitimately see it used?
- How would you separate a genuine underwriting improvement from a year of mild weather?
Approval rate rose in every band yet fell overall
Medium · mix shift · simpsons paradox · segmentation
Monthly application approval rate on fct_loan_application fell from 62 to 57 percent. Cut by bureau_score band, the rate rose in every band, including the null-bureau band. Columns: application_id, channel, submitted_at, requested_amount_minor, declared_annual_income_minor, bureau_score, model_pd_12m, model_version, policy_rule_hits, decision, decided_by, decision_at. The denominator is decision in ('approve','decline'). Explain the arithmetic, quantify how much of the five-point fall is mix versus within-band movement, and say what you would tell the team that owns acquisition.
Approach
- Confirm the paradox is real rather than a banding artefact. Rebuild the bands on fixed cutpoints taken from the earlier period, because quantile bands re-cut each month move with the population and can manufacture this pattern on their own.
- Compute the exact decomposition rather than describing it: within = sum of w_i0 * (r_i1 - r_i0), mix = sum of r_i0 * (w_i1 - w_i0), interaction = sum of (w_i1 - w_i0) * (r_i1 - r_i0). The three terms sum identically to the change in the blended rate, so the report can state the split.
- Attribute the weight change by cutting the same fixed bands by channel. Keep null bureau_score as its own band; a thin file is a population signal, not missing data to be imputed away.
- Check whether the new arrivals also changed the population inside a band, by comparing requested_amount_minor and declared_annual_income_minor distributions within one band across the two months.
- Deliver two numbers rather than one story: policy is looser in every band, and the funnel is being fed a different population. Those have different owners and different fixes.
Follow-up
- If the new channel is profitable at its own approval rate, is the blended fall a problem at all?
- How would you present this so that nobody reads the blended series unaccompanied again?
- What breaks if you fix the mix by reweighting to a frozen band distribution every month?
Suggested practice checklist
For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.
Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper
- Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
- Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
- State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.
Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.
Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic
- Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
- Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
- Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.
Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.
Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem
- Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
- Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
- Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.
Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.
Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for
- Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
- Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
- Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.
Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.
Day 5 — When randomization is not available
- Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
- Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
- List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.
Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.
Day 6 — The readout query
- Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
- Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
- Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.
Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.
Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix
- Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
- Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
- Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.
Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.
Rigour against a deadline
Nearly every data role forces a trade between the analysis you want and the one that fits the decision window. Prepare a case where you deliberately shipped something less rigorous, named the weakness to the person relying on it, and said what would change your answer. The naming is the part interviewers listen for.
Tell me about a time you had to work with a difficult team member. How did you handle it?
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
- Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
- Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Follow-up
- What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
Explain an incomplete dispute chart to a non-technical executive
Easy · dispute maturity · stakeholder communication · right-censoring
A finance lead is looking at first-chargeback rate by transaction month, built from fct_card_dispute joined to fct_payment_authorization on auth_id and attributed to requested_at. The last three months slope sharply down and the lead wants to announce a fraud improvement at tomorrow's review. Consumer dispute rights commonly run around 120 days from the transaction or expected delivery date, so those months are not complete. In five minutes, with no statistics vocabulary, explain why the decline is not yet evidence and say exactly what you would put on the slide instead.
Approach
- Lead with the mechanism in the listener's own terms, not with the statistical name for it: a dispute is attributed to the month the transaction happened, but it can be filed up to roughly 120 days later, so recent months contain only the disputes filed so far.
- Show completeness rather than arguing about the rate: for each transaction month, plot the share of its eventual disputes already filed, estimated from months that are fully matured. The last three months will sit visibly below 100 percent.
- Replace the chart with two artefacts: a matured series that stops 120 days back and is labelled final, and a development-factor estimate for the immature months drawn as a dashed range and labelled an estimate.
- Hand over one sentence the executive can repeat without you in the room: the recent months look better because the disputes have not arrived yet, not because fewer will arrive.
- Offer a weekly signal they can watch instead, such as the risk-score mix of approved volume or the decline-rule hit rate, and state up front what it does and does not predict.
Follow-up
- The deck ships tomorrow regardless. What exactly goes on the slide, and what wording do you insist on?
- How would you estimate the development factors, and how would you notice if they had shifted?
Disagree with a product manager over an approval-rate target
Medium · metric design · denominators · influence without authority
A product manager proposes a quarterly goal of raising card authorization approval rate by 150 basis points, measured as approved authorizations divided by all authorizations in fct_payment_authorization. You believe that metric can be hit with no customer benefit, because merchant retry chains, zero-amount verification authorizations, incremental authorizations and reversals all sit in the denominator, and declines skew toward high-value cross-border ecommerce. You support the underlying goal. In one working session, change the metric without killing the initiative, and name the guardrail you would accept.
Approach
- Separate the goal from the metric out loud and agree with the goal first, so the disagreement stays narrow and technical rather than becoming positional.
- Demonstrate the failure rather than asserting it: compute the proposed metric and the dollar-weighted collapsed version over the same recent window, and find a period where they moved in opposite directions.
- Propose the replacement precisely: sum of approved amount_minor over sum of attempted amount_minor, after collapsing retries to one attempt per card_token_id, merchant_id and amount_minor within a 15-minute window, excluding is_reversal rows and zero-amount verifications, with everything converted to one reporting currency before summing.
- Attach the guardrail that makes the target honest: matured first-chargeback rate and net fraud loss in basis points of settled volume, read only on transaction months carrying at least 120 days of maturity.
- Give the product manager something back: the replacement metric cuts cleanly by channel and issuer_country, which makes a roadmap of merchant-specific and authentication fixes legible in a way the blended rate never was.
Follow-up
- How do you identify a retry chain when the merchant varies the amount slightly between attempts?
- The product manager wants a weekly read on the guardrail. What is the earliest defensible signal, and how do you label it?