Interview guides · DONE by NONE
DONE by NONE Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Causal inference drills for DONE by NONE data scientist prep: diff-in-diff, matching, instruments, and the limits of observed data.
The 60-second brief
As a Data Scientist at DONE by NONE, you are the analytical engine driving our most critical product and business decisions. This role is not simply about building models in isolation; it is about translating complex, ambiguous business challenges into rigorous quantitative frameworks. You will leverage vast amounts of data to uncover hidden patterns, optimize user experiences, and directly influence the strategic roadmap of our core products.
Allocate prep to your weakest link rather than your favourite topic. Of the three things that usually gate the outcome (SQL that is correct under messy joins, sound reasoning about experiments, and structured framing of an open-ended problem), candidates tend to over-invest in modelling theory and under-invest in framing.
Focus areas
- Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference
- Turn a vague request into a measurable question
- Size an experiment before anyone launches it
Overview
Your impact will be felt across multiple teams and touchpoints. Whether you are designing sophisticated A/B tests for new feature rollouts, building predictive models to understand user retention, or optimizing backend algorithms, your work ensures that DONE by NONE remains fundamentally data-driven. The scale of our data presents unique challenges, requiring you to balance statistical purity with practical, scalable execution.
This position demands a blend of technical excellence and business intuition. You will be expected to advocate for your findings, collaborating closely with engineering, product management, and design teams. If you thrive in an environment where your statistical rigor and modeling expertise directly shape the user experience, this role will be deeply rewarding.
The DONE by NONE interview process
DONE by NONE candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Recruiter Phone Screen
A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
- Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
- Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling
How to prepare
- Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
- Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
- Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice
Technical Phone Interview
Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.
What to demonstrate
- Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
- Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
- Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day
How to prepare
- Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
- On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
- Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over
Final Interview Stage
A day of back-to-back interviews samples your floor, not your ceiling. Four hours in, the habits that carry a good answer are the first to go: restating the question before solving it, asking what the data would have to look like, checking a number before quoting it. What the day decides is whether the tired version of you is still someone to leave alone with an ambiguous problem. The round that sinks a candidate is usually not the hardest one. It is the one immediately after the round that went badly.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the late rounds get the same clarifying questions as the first one, or whether you start answering immediately to save effort
- Whether a weak answer stays in the room it happened in, instead of following you into the next conversation as apology or distraction
- Whether the quality of your questions holds up, since fatigue removes curiosity about the problem before it removes knowledge of the method
How to prepare
- Rehearse the length, not just the content: book four mock interviews of different types in one afternoon with short gaps, because the one you need to observe is the fourth
- Put the two or three questions you ask at the start of any problem on a card in front of you, so that under fatigue it is a habit you run rather than a decision you make
- Decide in advance what the gap between rooms is for: water, one line of notes on anything you promised to follow up, and an explicit close on the round that just ended so it does not travel
- Prepare a different closing question for each interviewer, so the end of a long day does not produce the same one four times
Where candidates lose points
Treating last-touch attribution as the causal value of a channel
The attribution label on dim_user is the output of a rule that assigns full credit to whichever touch happened to be recorded last inside a lookback window, and that rule systematically rewards channels that sit close to the conversion, especially branded search and retargeting, which largely intercept demand that already existed. Reallocating spend on those labels moves budget toward the channels that are best at being last, which is why attributed return on ad spend often improves while total signups do not. Nothing in the touchpoint data can settle this, because the counterfactual of not running the channel was never observed. The credible reads are a geo holdout or a scheduled pause, sized in advance on the total-signups metric rather than on the attributed one, and the honest framing in the meantime is that the label describes correlation with conversion and not incremental contribution.
Counting on an identity key that changes underneath the metric
visitor_id is per browser and per device, and it resets on cookie clearance, private browsing and platform privacy changes, so the distinct-visitor count drifts upward for reasons unrelated to reach. Any rate with visitors in the denominator therefore decays over time even when behaviour is constant, and any rate with visitors in the numerator inflates. The stitching at signup makes it worse in both directions: a user who signed up on mobile and returns on desktop is two visitors and one user, while a shared device is one visitor and several users. Decide which key each metric is counted on, write it into the definition, and when comparing a period before and after a platform privacy change, expect a level shift in every visitor-keyed metric and do not attribute it to the product.
Generalising beyond the population the sample actually supports
State the frame the sample was drawn from and where it diverges from the population you want to talk about: time window, platform, geography, opt-in. If a group is excluded from the frame, either weight to known margins or narrow the claim rather than quietly extending it.
Comparing periods without accounting for seasonality or day-of-week
Compare whole weeks against whole weeks and check whether the same swing appeared in prior cycles or prior years before attributing it to anything you changed. Weekday and weekend populations often differ enough that a Tuesday-to-Saturday comparison is meaningless.
Questions & practice
You are flipping a coin that you suspect is biased. How many flips do you need to be 95% confident it is biased?
Medium · statistics and probability
Approach
- Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
- Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
- Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
Follow-up
- Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?
- How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
What is the difference between frequentist and Bayesian statistics? Provide an example of when you would use each.
Medium · statistics and probability
Approach
- Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
- Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
- Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
Follow-up
- What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?
- How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
Explain gradient descent. What are the challenges with learning rates that are too high or too low?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
- Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Follow-up
- How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
If your classification model has high accuracy but low recall, what does that tell you about the data and the model?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
- Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
- Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
Follow-up
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
- Where could label leakage enter this setup?
Implement seven-day activation from its written definition
Medium · metric definition · cohorts · pandas · joins
Implement the seven-day activation rate. Inputs: dim_user with user_id, account_created_at_utc and is_internal; fct_event with user_id, occurred_at_utc and is_core_action. A user activates when core-action events carrying a non-NULL user_id fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). The denominator is every non-internal user whose account_created_at_utc lands in the cohort week, including users with no events at all. Return one row per cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, publishing only weeks whose last signup is at least eight days old.
Approach
- Build the denominator first, from dim_user alone, filtered on is_internal = False. Deriving it from the join is the standard way to lose every user who never fired an event, which is exactly the population the metric is about.
- Join events to users on user_id with a left join from the user side, then apply the window as a half-open interval: occurred_at >= created AND occurred_at < created + 7 days. The right bound is exclusive, so an event at exactly created + 7 days does not count.
- Count distinct UTC dates per user, not distinct events. Floor occurred_at_utc to date before the nunique, and do it in UTC rather than local time so the threshold does not move with the user's country.
- Apply the >= 2 threshold, aggregate to cohort week, and compute the rate by re-summing numerator and denominator per week rather than averaging any per-user or per-day rate. Fix the week anchor explicitly: cohort_week is the Monday of the signup week in UTC, which is what Postgres DATE_TRUNC('week') returns and what any SQL version of this metric will produce. In pandas, subtract dt.weekday days from the floored timestamp. If you reach for periods instead, the anchor that matches is to_period('W') (equivalently 'W-SUN'), whose weeks end Sunday and therefore start Monday; to_period('W-MON') labels weeks that end on Monday, so it runs Tuesday through Monday and its start_time is a Tuesday. Mixing the two shifts every cohort label by one day and silently moves Mondays into the previous week.
- Suppress immature weeks: drop any cohort week whose maximum account_created_at_utc is within 8 days of the data cut, and return them as absent rather than as a partial number.
Worked solution (30 min)
- users = dim_user[~dim_user.is_internal].copy(); created = users['account_created_at_utc']; users['cohort_week'] = created.dt.floor('D') - pd.to_timedelta(created.dt.weekday, unit='D'), which is the Monday-start week. The period spelling that agrees with it is created.dt.to_period('W').dt.start_time; 'W-MON' does not agree and is off by a day.
- ev = events[events.is_core_action & events.user_id.notna()]; merge onto users on user_id with how='inner' for the numerator side only.
- Filter to the half-open window, add ev_date = occurred_at_utc.dt.date, group by user_id and count distinct dates, keep users with >= 2.
- numer = users.merge(activated_user_ids, how='left', indicator=True) then group by cohort_week and sum the indicator; denom = users.groupby('cohort_week').size().
- rate = numer / denom; drop weeks where users.groupby('cohort_week')['account_created_at_utc'].max() > data_max - 8 days.
Expected result: One row per mature cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, where denominator equals the count of non-internal signups in that week regardless of activity, numerator is less than or equal to denominator, and the most recent 1 to 2 weeks are absent rather than reported low.
Verify it yourself
- For a synthetic user with two core actions 90 minutes apart on the same UTC date, activation is False.
- For a synthetic user with one core action on day 0 and one at exactly created + 7 days, activation is False; move the second to created + 6 days 23 hours and it becomes True.
- Pin the week anchor with two users created at Sunday 23:59 UTC and the following Monday 00:01 UTC: they must land in different cohort weeks, and the Sunday user's cohort_week must be the Monday six days before them. to_period('W-MON') puts both in one period, which is the off-by-one this check exists to catch.
- The denominator summed across all published weeks equals the count of non-internal users created in that date range.
- Re-summing numerator and denominator to a monthly figure gives a different answer from averaging the weekly rates; the re-summed one is the metric.
Follow-up
- The threshold is 2 distinct days. What changes in the reported history if someone moves it to 3, and how would you publish that change?
- Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users have no pre-signup session. Should they be in this denominator at all, and what does including them do to the rate for sales-assisted accounts?
- How would you produce the same metric at account grain, and which of the two would you put on the dashboard?
Weekly visit-to-signup conversion split by acquisition channel
Easy · funnel · conversion · aggregation
From fct_session (session_id, visitor_id, started_at_utc, referrer_channel, is_bot_flagged, consent_state) and fct_event (visitor_id, occurred_at_utc, event_name), compute visit-to-signup conversion for one ISO week, split by channel. session_id is the unique key of fct_session. Denominator: distinct visitor_id with a session starting in the week, is_bot_flagged = FALSE and consent_state <> 'denied'. Numerator: those visitors with a 'signup_completed' event in the same week. Label each visitor with the referrer_channel of their first session in the window. Return channel, visitors, signups and rate, plus one all-channel total row.
Approach
- Build a visitor spine that is one row per visitor: filter sessions to the week, drop is_bot_flagged and consent_state = 'denied', then take the first session per visitor with ROW_NUMBER() OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY started_at_utc, session_id) = 1 to carry the channel label. Collapsing to one row here is what makes the channel buckets mutually exclusive and the totals additive.
- session_id is the unique key, so that ordering is total and the label is reproducible. If the table carried no unique key you would have to write an explicit tie rule instead, because two sessions on different channels at the identical timestamp would otherwise label the visitor differently between runs.
- Attach the outcome as a semi-join (EXISTS on a signup_completed event for that visitor inside the same week) rather than a join to the event table, so a visitor who fires the event twice does not count twice and inflate the numerator past the denominator.
- Aggregate with COUNT() as visitors and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE signed_up) as signups, and compute the rate as signups::numeric / NULLIF(visitors, 0) so an empty channel returns NULL rather than a division error.
- Produce the total with GROUP BY GROUPING SETS ((channel), ()), which re-sums numerator and denominator for the total row. Averaging the channel rates gives a different and wrong number whenever channel volumes differ, which they always do.
- Verify the spine before trusting the output: COUNT(*) must equal COUNT(DISTINCT visitor_id), and the per-channel visitor counts must sum to the total row.
Worked solution (20 min)
- Write the filtered session CTE and check its row count against an unfiltered count, so you know how much volume the bot and consent filters removed.
- Add the ROW_NUMBER first-session pick and assert one row per visitor.
- Add the EXISTS outcome flag and aggregate with FILTER.
- Add GROUPING SETS for the total and format the rate to four decimal places.
- Spot-check one channel by hand: pull its visitor list, count signups directly, compare.
Expected result: One row per referrer_channel plus a total row, with visitors, signups and a decimal rate. Channels with zero signups appear with rate 0, not missing. The total rate lies strictly between the minimum and maximum channel rate unless one channel holds all the volume.
Verify it yourself
- Per-channel visitor counts sum exactly to the total row's visitor count.
- COUNT(*) equals COUNT(DISTINCT visitor_id) on the spine CTE.
- Replacing the EXISTS with a plain inner join changes the signup count only if duplicate signup_completed events exist; if it does change, say by how much.
- Every rate is between 0 and 1.
- Re-running the first-session pick with session_id removed from the ORDER BY returns the same labels; if it does not, visitors hold same-timestamp sessions on different channels and the tie rule is doing real work.
Follow-up
- The denominator is distinct visitors. If a browser release shortens cookie lifetime, what happens to this rate, and how would you tell that apart from a genuine drop?
- A visitor's first session is direct and their signup session is paid search. Your label says direct. When is that the wrong answer for the decision being made?
- How do you roll four weeks into a month, and why is averaging the four weekly rates wrong?
Pair flow starts to completions within a thirty-minute bound
Medium · event-streams · conditional-aggregation · flow-funnel
fct_event holds event_id, flow_id, flow_instance_id, event_name, occurred_at_utc, surface, app_version. Using only rows where event_name is 'flow_started', 'flow_completed' or 'error_shown', compute the daily core-flow completion rate by surface and app_version. Numerator: distinct flow_instance_id whose flow_completed occurs within 30 minutes of its flow_started with no error_shown for the same instance in between. Denominator: distinct flow_instance_id with a flow_started that day. Report rows with a NULL flow_instance_id as a separate coverage count, not inside either side.
Approach
- Collapse the stream to one row per flow_instance_id using conditional aggregation: MIN(occurred_at_utc) FILTER (WHERE event_name = 'flow_started') AS started, MIN(...) FILTER (WHERE event_name = 'flow_completed') AS completed, MIN(...) FILTER (WHERE event_name = 'error_shown') AS first_error. This makes the 'first' semantics explicit and avoids a self-join entirely.
- Apply the predicates on that single row: completed IS NOT NULL AND completed <= started + interval '30 minutes' AND (first_error IS NULL OR first_error > completed). Note the last clause encodes 'in between' literally, so an error surfaced after a successful completion does not disqualify the attempt.
- Bucket by started::date, surface and app_version. Splitting by app_version is not decoration: a completion-rate regression is nearly always confined to one client build, and a pooled daily rate hides it behind the installed base.
- Count NULL flow_instance_id rows as a separate coverage figure. They cannot be attributed to an attempt at all, so they belong in neither numerator nor denominator, and their share tells you how much of the rate is unmeasurable.
- For any roll-up to week or to all surfaces, re-sum the numerator and denominator rather than averaging the daily rates.
Follow-up
- occurred_at_utc is client-supplied. What do you do with an instance whose completion timestamp precedes its start?
- flow_instance_id is missing on 4 percent of starts for one app_version. What can and cannot you conclude about that build?
- An instance starts at 23:55 and completes at 00:04. Which day owns it, and what does the alternative do to the daily series?
What metrics would you use to evaluate the success of a new recommendation algorithm on our homepage?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
Explain the concept of statistical power and how it relates to sample size in an A/B test.
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
Follow-up
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
Describe a situation where your A/B test results contradicted the product manager's intuition. How did you handle the conversation?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
Follow-up
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
A surrogate for twelve-month value inside a three-week test
Hard · surrogate metrics · experimentation · long-term value
A monetisation change — an earlier and harder paywall — will be tested for three weeks. The decision quantity is twelve-month cumulative net revenue per acquired account, which cannot be observed in three weeks. Available: fct_event, fct_session, fct_subscription_period (mrr_cents_constant_fx, period_status, change_reason, is_first_paid_period), dim_account, and fct_experiment_exposure (unit_type, unit_id, variant, first_exposed_at_utc, is_in_analysis_population). Construct a surrogate index readable at three weeks, state the assumption that makes it valid, name the mechanism that breaks it, and give the pre-registered rule for refusing to decide. Deliverable: the index, the assumption, and the refusal rule.
Approach
- State the surrogacy condition before building anything: a surrogate is valid only if the treatment's entire effect on twelve-month revenue runs through it. Then say where it fails here, because a paywall moves short-run revenue directly and long-run revenue through churn and through who becomes a payer at all.
- Fit the index on history rather than on intuition: regress twelve-month cumulative net revenue per account on features observable by day 21 — first-paid flag, activation days, week-3 core-action days, seats billed — using cohorts old enough to have a twelve-month outcome, and hold out a later cohort.
- Report the out-of-sample fit as the headline rather than the point estimate: the held-out R-squared and the calibration of predicted against actual deciles are what license any use of the index, and a decile plot catches the mis-calibration an R-squared hides.
- Name the bias direction explicitly: the relationship was estimated under the old paywall, so under a harder paywall the marginal payer is a different person and the index over-predicts their value, biasing the treatment arm optimistic.
- Surround the index with the direct three-week readouts it cannot contain — revenue per exposed unit, cancel-within-first-period rate, and the free-side signup and activation counts — and pre-register a numeric refusal rule, because the failure mode of a surrogate is being used confidently in exactly the case it was not fit for.
Worked solution (40 min)
- Assemble the training set: accounts with first_paid_at_utc at least twelve months old, their realised twelve-month cumulative net revenue, and the day-21 features.
- Fit on pre-change cohorts, evaluate on a held-out later cohort, and report both out-of-sample R-squared and predicted-versus-actual decile calibration.
- Write the surrogacy assumption as a falsifiable sentence, then write the specific mechanism in this treatment that violates it.
- Specify the direct arm readouts on fct_experiment_exposure with is_in_analysis_population = TRUE: revenue per exposed unit, cancel-within-first-period rate, and free-side signup and activation counts.
- Write the refusal rule with numbers attached, covering both the fit threshold and the free-side divergence case.
Expected result: A fitted surrogate with a reported out-of-sample R-squared and calibration, a written surrogacy assumption plus the mechanism that violates it, the resulting bias direction, and a numeric refusal rule agreed before launch.
Verify it yourself
- Standard errors are clustered on fct_experiment_exposure.unit_id, the identifier of the randomisation unit. unit_type is the kind label for that unit — a single value such as 'user' across the whole table — so clustering on it collapses the design to one or two clusters and carries no information about who was randomised together. A per-event or per-session standard error on a user-randomised test is the opposite error: too small, and it will manufacture significance.
- The analysis population is the exposed set with is_in_analysis_population = TRUE, and a sample-ratio check against the intended split passes before any outcome is read.
- The index applied to the control arm should reproduce the historical relationship. If control is already mis-calibrated, the treatment estimate is not interpretable at all.
Follow-up
- What evidence would make you trust a surrogate for this particular change rather than a different one?
- The index reads plus 8 percent while three-week cancel-within-period is up. Which do you act on, and what do you tell the decision-maker?
- How would you size this test, on what unit, and what does that do to the three-week horizon?
Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose
Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition
Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.
Approach
- Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
- Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
- Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
- Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
- Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.
Follow-up
- Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
- Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
- How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?
Suggested practice checklist
For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.
Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper
- Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
- Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
- State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.
Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.
Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic
- Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
- Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
- Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.
Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.
Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem
- Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
- Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
- Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.
Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.
Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for
- Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
- Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
- Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.
Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.
Day 5 — When randomization is not available
- Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
- Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
- List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.
Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.
Day 6 — The readout query
- Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
- Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
- Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.
Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.
Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix
- Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
- Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
- Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.
Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.
Ambiguous requests are the test
Most of the questions in this section reduce to one thing: can you be handed a vague request and come back with something useful? Prepare an example where the ask was underspecified, you chose an interpretation, and you said out loud which interpretation you chose. Describing how you narrowed the question matters more than the technique you eventually used.
How do you handle missing data in a dataset before training a model?
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
- Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
- Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
Follow-up
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
- What did you decide not to do, and why?
Disagree with a product manager's roadmap claim using data
Medium · causal inference · selection bias · stakeholder
A product manager proposes building a feature on the argument that accounts connecting an integration in week one retain three times better at week four. The figure is correctly computed from dim_user and fct_event, and it has already been shown to leadership. You have one scheduled 1:1 before the roadmap locks. Deliver the specific analysis you would run to test whether the relationship is causal, the result that would change your own mind, and how you open the conversation so that the PM is not put in the position of defending the number in public.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you can separate a number being right from an inference being wrong, and do it without costing the PM face. The generic answer recites that correlation is not causation; the strong one names the specific confound and proposes the cheapest design that could distinguish the explanations.
- State the alternative concretely. Accounts that connect an integration in week one are accounts that already have a workflow and a technical owner, so week-one intent plausibly drives both the connection and week-four retention. The selection is on intent, which no amount of post-hoc adjustment observes.
- Order the discriminating analyses by cost. First, condition on pre-connection activity by comparing retention within strata of week-one core-action count, which removes the crude version of the confound but not unobserved intent. Second, look for variation in integration availability that was unrelated to intent, such as a staggered release or an outage window. Third, an encouragement design that randomises a prompt to connect and reads the intent-to-treat effect on week-four retention, which is the only version that identifies an effect.
- Run the timing check, because it is nearly free and it is the most persuasive single piece of evidence. If the retention advantage among connectors is already visible before any of them connected, the causal story is largely finished.
- Pre-commit to what would change your mind and say it before you show anything: if the gap survives stratification and the encouragement arm moves week-four retention at all, the feature has a case and you will say so.
- Open the 1:1 by agreeing with the true part, that the correlation is real and worth chasing, then ask what effect size the roadmap plan assumes. That makes the size of the claim the topic instead of its authorship.
Follow-up
- The encouragement test needs six weeks and the roadmap locks in two. What do you recommend in the interim?
- Stratifying on week-one activity closes half the gap. What do you conclude, and what do you still not know?
- How would you word this in the roadmap document so the PM's original number is reframed rather than deleted?
Walk through an analysis you got wrong and what changed
Easy · postmortem · data quality · self-assessment
Describe an analysis of yours that turned out to be wrong after somebody had already acted on it. You have four minutes. The account must name the defect mechanically, the join, the filter, the window or the identity key, rather than describing it as a communication problem. It must also say who did what because of the wrong number, how the error surfaced, how long it stood, and what control you put in place so that class of error cannot reach a decision again. Do not pick an error nobody acted on.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you can be specific about your own failure without minimising it or performing contrition. The discriminator is whether the defect has a mechanism the listener could reproduce in their own warehouse.
- Choose the case by blast radius rather than by comfort. An error nobody acted on tests nothing, and picking one signals that you are managing the interview instead of answering it.
- Structure the account in six beats: the number, the decision it drove, the defect, the detection, the correction, the control. Keep the defect to one reproducible sentence, for example an inner join to fct_subscription_period that dropped accounts with no subscription row and so computed retention over payers only.
- State the direction of the bias, not only its existence. A filter or join that removes rows usually moves a metric predictably, and knowing which way shows you diagnosed the mechanism rather than patched the symptom.
- Be exact about detection and elapsed time. 'A colleague noticed' and 'the row-count assertion failed before publication' are different answers about the same organisation, and the second one is the one your control is supposed to produce next time.
- End on the control, its cost, whether it has fired since, and one thing it does not cover.
Follow-up
- What did the control cost, and has it fired since? If it never has, how do you know it works?
- How long did the wrong number stand before anyone questioned it, and what does that say about the review path it went through?
- What is the equivalent mistake you are most likely to make in this role, given the tables you would be working in?