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Decision Point Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Data scientist prep for Decision Point: practice defining a product and business analytics metric, picking its guardrails and defending the tradeoff.

The 60-second brief

A Data Scientist at Decision Point plays a critical role in driving business transformation for global clients, particularly in the consumer packaged goods (CPG), retail, and marketing sectors. Unlike traditional technology companies where data science can be siloed, Decision Point operates at the intersection of advanced analytics and business strategy. You will be responsible for translating complex, messy, real-world data into actionable insights and predictive models that directly influence multi-million dollar business decisions.

If the team owns experimentation, expect depth past a two-sample test: minimum detectable effect and its roughly inverse-square-root dependence on sample size (holding power, significance level and variance fixed), variance reduction from pre-period covariates, interference between units, and when a sequential design is the right call.

Focus areas

Size an experiment before anyone launches it
Turn a vague request into a measurable question
Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference

Overview

The work is highly dynamic and intellectually stimulating. You will build and deploy models for sales forecasting, demand planning, promotion optimization, and market mix modeling. Your models will help global brands understand consumer behavior, optimize their supply chains, and maximize their marketing return on investment.

To succeed in this role, you must possess a unique blend of deep technical expertise and strong business acumen. You are not just expected to write efficient Python code and build accurate machine learning models; you must also be able to explain the mathematical foundations of your algorithms and present your findings as clear, logical business solutions.

The Decision Point interview process

Decision Point candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Screening Stage

An extra round usually exists because something is still open after the standard loop: a skill the earlier interviews did not sample, a level decision, or two interviewers who disagreed. It is rarely a rerun of what you already did well. Ask the recruiter who you are meeting, what function they sit in, and how long the session runs. That is an ordinary scheduling question, and the answer changes what you should prepare. What separates a strong candidate here is treating the round as a fresh evaluation with its own bar, rather than assuming earlier performance carries you through or sinks you.

What to demonstrate

Whether you can answer well on ground the earlier rounds did not cover, without leaning on what you already said to someone else
Consistency of the facts in your stories: the same sample size, timeframe, team size and scope of your own role as in earlier conversations
How you handle an unfamiliar format live, including whether you ask what kind of answer is wanted before producing one

How to prepare

Ask the recruiter for the interviewer's function, the length, and whether to expect a coding surface, a discussion, or a presentation. Preparing for a 30 minute conversation with a partner team is not the same work as preparing for a 60 minute technical block.
Write out what each earlier round actually covered, then list the two or three areas nobody probed. That gap is the most likely subject of the extra round.
Re-read the numbers in the project stories you have already told, so a second telling does not quietly contradict the first.

Technical Round 1

Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.

What to demonstrate

Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly

How to prepare

Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock

Technical Round 2

This round decides whether someone can hand you a schema and a question and trust the number that comes back. Correctness under a clock is the bar, not clever syntax. The habit that separates strong from weak answers is checking the grain: after every join, know how many rows you expect and whether the count moved. Most wrong answers in this format are not wrong logic, they are a fan-out from a key that turned out not to be unique, or a filter applied before an aggregate when it belonged after. Say what you expect before you run it.

What to demonstrate

Whether your row counts survive each join, and whether you notice on your own when they do not
Deliberate handling of rows that fail to match, including whether the question needs an inner join or a left join with the non-matches kept and counted
Whether NULLs are treated on purpose, given that a NULL compares equal to nothing and that COUNT of a column skips it
Reaching a defensible answer inside the window instead of a refined one after it

How to prepare

Take a two-table schema, write a join that fans out on purpose, then fix it by collapsing the many-side to one row per key before joining. Repeat until the fix is reflex rather than recall.
Write a funnel as one query and print the distinct user count at each stage, then confirm each stage is a subset of the one above it rather than assuming it
Do a few timed runs in a plain text box with no autocomplete and no formatter, since assessment editors often have neither

Cultural and HR Round

Most of the weight in this round sits on the disagreement questions. Data work routinely produces an answer someone senior did not want, and the interviewer is trying to learn what you do in that hour. Both failure modes are common: folding as soon as a director pushes back, and treating the pushback as ignorance to be corrected with a better chart. A strong answer usually contains a specific thing the other person knew that you did not, and describes how you found out whether it changed the conclusion.

What to demonstrate

Whether you can state the other side's argument accurately before you explain why you disagreed
What you treated as evidence during the disagreement, such as a rerun under their assumption or a holdout check, rather than persuasion technique
Whether you distinguish being overruled from being wrong, and can give an example of each

How to prepare

Write out one disagreement where you turned out to be wrong, and say what in the data misled you. Candidates prepare the story where they were right, and the follow-up asks for the other one.
For your main disagreement story, be ready to say what result would have made you drop your position. If no such result exists, you were not arguing from the data.
Practise stating the opposing position out loud in one sentence the stakeholder would accept, then continue the story.

Where candidates lose points

Treating last-touch attribution as the causal value of a channel

The attribution label on dim_user is the output of a rule that assigns full credit to whichever touch happened to be recorded last inside a lookback window, and that rule systematically rewards channels that sit close to the conversion, especially branded search and retargeting, which largely intercept demand that already existed. Reallocating spend on those labels moves budget toward the channels that are best at being last, which is why attributed return on ad spend often improves while total signups do not. Nothing in the touchpoint data can settle this, because the counterfactual of not running the channel was never observed. The credible reads are a geo holdout or a scheduled pause, sized in advance on the total-signups metric rather than on the attributed one, and the honest framing in the meantime is that the label describes correlation with conversion and not incremental contribution.

Comparing cohort retention curves of different maturities, or building the curve from users who are still present

A cohort four weeks old has no week-8 value, so an average taken across cohorts silently drops young cohorts from the later columns and keeps them in the earlier ones. The curve then bends upward at the tail, and the reading that 'retention is improving over time' is an artefact of which cohorts survived to be measured. The same error appears in the denominator when retention is computed over users active in the current period rather than over the full original cohort, which conditions on survival and guarantees a flattering number. The fix is a triangle: fix the cohort at signup, bound every window on both sides, and only compare cells where every cohort has had the full elapsed time, publishing the rest as blank rather than as a partial average.

Dropping rows with missing values without naming the mechanism

Say whether the values are missing at random, missing by a known process, or missing in a way that depends on the outcome, and handle them accordingly. Deleting incomplete rows silently redefines the population whenever missingness correlates with what you are measuring.

Reading an observational correlation as a causal effect

Name the confounder you are most worried about and the design that would remove it: an experiment, a difference-in-differences with a checked pre-period trend, an instrument, or a regression discontinuity. When none is available, state which direction the bias likely runs and bound the claim accordingly.

Questions & practice

How do L1 (Lasso) and L2 (Ridge) regularization work, and when would you use one over the other?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.

Follow-up

How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?

How do you handle highly imbalanced datasets when training a classification model?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.

Follow-up

What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
Where could label leakage enter this setup?

Permutation test for a difference in conversion rates

Medium · permutation test · resampling · inference

Write a two-sided permutation test from scratch for a difference in conversion rates, using no scipy hypothesis function. Input: a DataFrame with unit_id, variant in {control, treatment} and converted in {0,1}, one row per randomisation unit. Compute the observed difference in proportions, then build the null distribution by reshuffling the variant labels while holding each arm's size fixed. Report the p-value as (1 + the count of permuted statistics at least as extreme in absolute value) / (B + 1) with B at least 10,000, and return the permutation distribution.

Approach

Name the null being tested: the sharp null that each unit's outcome is the same under either label. That is what licenses permuting labels, and it is stronger than the null of equal means, which matters when someone asks whether the test is valid under unequal variances.
Extract converted to a single numpy array of 0s and 1s and record n_treatment. Every permutation is then just a reshuffle of one array, and the treatment mean is the mean of the first n_treatment entries of the shuffled array.
Vectorise the B permutations with rng.permuted on a tiled 2-D array, or with argsort of a (B, n) random matrix. A Python loop calling np.random.shuffle B times is correct but roughly an order of magnitude slower and often runs past the time limit.
Use the +1 correction in both numerator and denominator. Without it a p-value of exactly 0 is reportable, which is false: the observed labelling is itself one of the permutations, so the smallest attainable p-value is 1/(B+1).
Compare the resulting p-value against a two-proportion z-test as a sanity check. At these sample sizes they should agree closely; a large divergence means the statistic or the shuffle is wrong, not that the permutation test found something subtle.

Worked solution (25 min)

y = df['converted'].to_numpy(); n_t = (df['variant'] == 'treatment').sum(); obs = y[treat_mask].mean() - y[~treat_mask].mean().
Build the null: for B draws, shuffle y and take the mean of the first n_t entries minus the mean of the rest.
p = (1 + (np.abs(null) >= abs(obs) - 1e-12).sum()) / (B + 1), with the small tolerance so exact ties count as at least as extreme.
Return obs, p and the null array; plot or describe the null to confirm it is centred at 0.

Expected result: The observed difference, a p-value in [1/(B+1), 1], and a null distribution whose mean is approximately 0 and whose standard deviation approximately matches the analytic pooled standard error sqrt(p_pool*(1-p_pool)*(1/n1 + 1/n2)).

Verify it yourself

The null distribution's mean is within a few Monte Carlo standard errors of 0; if it is centred on the observed difference, the code bootstrapped instead of permuted.
The null's standard deviation agrees with the analytic pooled standard error to within a couple of percent.
The p-value agrees with a hand-computed two-proportion z-test p-value to within about 0.01 at these sample sizes.
Setting converted identical in both arms by construction yields a p-value near 1, and a planted large effect yields the floor of 1/(B+1).

Follow-up

The arms are 200 and 20,000 units. Does the permutation test stay valid, and what happens to its resolution at B = 10,000?
Give a 95 percent confidence interval for the difference. Can you get it from this permutation distribution, and if not, what would you run instead?
The randomisation unit is user_id but the outcome is per session. What breaks, and what is the fix?

Why do you want to join Decision Point, and how do your skills align with our focus on CPG and retail analytics?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Explain the difference between deep copy and shallow copy in Python.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.

Follow-up

How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Write a Python script using Pandas to merge two large transaction datasets and calculate the monthly rolling average of sales.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Rebuild sessions from raw events with a thirty-minute gap

Medium · window-functions · sessionisation · gaps-and-islands

From fct_event (event_id, visitor_id, occurred_at_utc) alone, rebuild sessions: a new session begins when the gap from that visitor's previous event exceeds 30 minutes, and every session is force-closed at UTC midnight so none spans two calendar dates. Return one row per session with visitor_id, session_start, session_end, event_count and session_date. Do not read fct_session; the point is to reproduce it. Assume duplicate occurred_at_utc values exist for the same visitor.

Approach

Get the previous timestamp per visitor with LAG(occurred_at_utc) OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY occurred_at_utc, event_id). The event_id tiebreaker is required, not stylistic: with duplicate timestamps an unstable ordering makes the boundary flags non-deterministic between runs.
Set a boundary flag when prev IS NULL, or occurred_at_utc - prev > interval '30 minutes', or occurred_at_utc::date <> prev::date. The third disjunct is the midnight rule, expressed as a date change rather than a clock comparison so it holds across any gap length.
Number the islands with SUM(flag::int) OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY occurred_at_utc, event_id ROWS UNBOUNDED PRECEDING). Because event_id is unique the ordering is total, so no two rows are peers and RANGE UNBOUNDED PRECEDING would compute exactly the same numbers here. Write ROWS anyway: it is the half of the guard that survives someone later simplifying the ORDER BY back to occurred_at_utc alone, at which point the default RANGE frame gives every row sharing a timestamp one shared running total.
GROUP BY visitor_id and the island number, then MIN(occurred_at_utc) AS session_start, MAX(...) AS session_end, COUNT(*) AS event_count, session_start::date AS session_date.
Reconcile against fct_session on one sample day. The counts should agree except for server-emitted events carrying no client session, so a systematic difference beyond those is a bug in the gap rule or in the ordering.

Worked solution (30 min)

Pick one high-volume visitor and dump their ordered event timestamps for a day to trace by hand.
Add LAG with the tiebreaker and eyeball the computed gaps.
Add the three-part boundary flag and confirm the first event of each date is flagged.
Add the running SUM with an explicit ROWS frame, then group and aggregate.
Compare total event_count against the raw input count, and compare session counts to fct_session for the sample day.

Expected result: One row per (visitor_id, island). SUM(event_count) equals the input row count exactly, with no events lost or duplicated. No session_end falls on a different date from its session_start.

Verify it yourself

Total events in equals total events out.
MAX(session_end::date - session_start::date) is 0 across all rows.
For a visitor ordered 09:00, 09:10, 09:55, 23:58, 00:02, the result is four sessions, not three.
No two sessions for the same visitor have overlapping [session_start, session_end] ranges.
Swapping ROWS for RANGE while event_id stays in the ORDER BY changes nothing; dropping event_id from both ORDER BY clauses does change the boundaries for a visitor with duplicate timestamps, which locates the guard in the tiebreaker rather than in the frame keyword.

Follow-up

Why 30 minutes? What does a 5-minute rule do to sessions-per-visitor and to any per-session conversion rate?
The same person uses phone then laptop. Two visitor_ids, two sessions. What breaks if you sessionise on user_id instead?
The midnight rule splits an overnight session. Which metrics does that bias, and in which direction?

Walk me through how you would evaluate the success of a newly launched promotional campaign for a CPG brand.

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How would you approach a market mix modeling problem to optimize a client's advertising budget?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How would you estimate the total number of retail grocery stores in a metropolitan city like Delhi?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Define success for halving the free trial length

Hard · monetisation · cohort horizon · trials

A proposal cuts the free trial from 30 days to 14. Trial-to-paid conversion is defined on fct_subscription_period: numerator, subscription_id whose first row with is_first_paid_period = TRUE has period_status IN ('active','past_due') and period_start_utc no later than 14 days after trial end; denominator, subscription_id whose first row has period_status = 'trialing' and period_start_utc in the cohort week. dim_account (account_id, account_created_at_utc, signup_surface) is also available and joins to fct_subscription_period on account_id. Explain why conversion rate alone cannot decide this, define the metric that can, and state the horizon and lag your readout needs. Deliverable: the decision metric and the readout schedule.

Approach

Show the incomparability numerically before arguing about it: at a fixed calendar readout date, a larger share of the 14-day arm's cohorts have completed trial end plus 14 days plus settlement, so the short arm leads mechanically and the lead shrinks as both arms mature.
Fix the censoring first, and do not mistake a rescaling for a fix. The given conversion rate already has trial starts as its denominator, so 'paid accounts per 1,000 trial starts' is that same ratio multiplied by 1,000 and answers nothing new. What the censoring needs is a fixed cohort age: read both arms at account_created_at_utc plus 60 days, which clears the long arm's full 30 + 14 + 3 = 47-day path to a settled first payment, so neither arm is censored at readout.
Then move the denominator upstream, which is a separate fix and the only one that catches a higher share of a smaller population: paid accounts per 1,000 dim_account rows created in the cohort week. Precondition — this diverges from the conversion rate only when trial length is visible before the trial starts, on pricing pages, in ads or in the signup flow. If the arms are assigned at trial start and nothing upstream differs, trial starts per 1,000 new accounts is equal across arms by construction and the two metrics are the same comparison rescaled. Report that ratio per arm and say which regime you are in rather than assuming one.
Add the leg neither denominator can see: a shorter trial converts users who had less time to reach activation, so read month-3 gross revenue churn and week-4 retention of the converted cohort, and read activation at trial day 7 to see whether the converted population changed composition.
Audit 'past_due' before comparing, since the definition counts it as converted: report the rate with and without it per arm, because a gain that sits entirely inside past_due is a billing artefact rather than a conversion effect.
Be explicit that the twelve-month consequence is not observable inside a planning cycle: pre-register that the decision is made on the 60-day metric, that the twelve-month cohort read will be published as a check, and what action follows if the two disagree.

Worked solution (35 min)

Tabulate, at a fixed calendar readout date, the share of each arm's cohorts that have completed trial end plus 14 days plus 3 days of settlement, and show the gap.
Define the decision metric as paid accounts per 1,000 dim_account rows created in the cohort week, evaluated at account_created_at_utc plus 60 days for both arms, and write the 30 + 14 + 3 = 47 arithmetic that justifies 60 as the common clock.
Report trial starts per 1,000 new accounts per arm beside it, so the reader can see whether the upstream denominator is doing any work in this test or whether it is arithmetically pinned to the conversion rate.
Compute the earliest honest readout date from the enrolment window: 60 days after the last account creation in the window plus a 3-day settlement lag, with no partial-cohort comparison permitted before it.
Add the quality leg: month-3 gross revenue churn, week-4 retention of converted accounts, and day-7 activation per arm.
Report the conversion rate with and without past_due per arm, and state which version the decision uses.

Expected result: A decision metric stated as paid accounts per 1,000 new accounts at a fixed 60-day cohort age measured from account creation, the trial-start rate published per arm so it is explicit whether that denominator change carries any information here, a readout date computed from the enrolment window, and at least two quality metrics capable of overturning a conversion-rate win.

Verify it yourself

Both arms must have identical elapsed time at readout: compute min and max of (readout_date minus account_created_at_utc) per arm and confirm the two ranges match.
Trial starts per 1,000 new accounts must be reported per arm. If that ratio is equal across arms, the conversion rate and the per-new-account metric are the same comparison rescaled and cannot diverge — so never present them as two independent confirmations. Only a gap in that ratio gives the per-new-account metric information the conversion rate does not carry.
The past_due share of the numerator should be similar across arms; a gap there is a payment-failure effect and does not belong in a conversion claim.

Follow-up

What happens to a user who would have converted on day 20, and how would you detect that population in the data?
The short arm has lower day-7 activation but higher conversion. Reconcile those two facts into one story.
What randomisation unit do you use here, and what goes wrong with the obvious alternatives?

Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose

Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition

Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.

Approach

Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.

Follow-up

Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Being wrong in public

A number you shipped turned out to be wrong, and someone had already acted on it. That is one of the most useful stories a data person can carry. What is being scored is how fast you noticed, who you told first, and what you changed in the process so the same class of error could not repeat quietly.

How do you handle tight deadlines and shifting priorities when working on client deliverables?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
What did you decide not to do, and why?

Choose between three teams' requests with one analyst-week

Medium · prioritisation · stakeholder · judgement

You have one analyst-week. Three requests land the same morning. A growth team wants a paid-channel readout before a Friday spend decision. A billing team wants gross monthly revenue churn rebuilt, because the current figure recognises cancellation at canceled_at_utc rather than period_end_utc and is therefore wrong. A product team wants a dashboard for a feature launching in six weeks. All three sponsors are peers of your manager. Deliver your ranking, the explicit rule that produced it, and the message you send to the two teams you defer.

Approach

Recognise what is being probed: whether you prioritise on decision value and reversibility or on who asked most recently and most loudly. The generic answer sorts by importance; the strong one states a rule, applies it, and accepts the ranking it produces even where that is uncomfortable.
Score each request on three statable things: the decision it unblocks and the date that decision is made, the cost of being wrong in the meantime, and whether the work is one-off or compounding. A wrong published churn figure compounds, because it is quoted downstream and enters forecasts; the channel readout has a fixed date that cannot move; the dashboard has six weeks of slack.
Notice the tension between value and urgency rather than resolving it by feel. The churn defect is the most valuable item and the least urgent one, which is exactly the shape of work that never gets done.
Break the churn item in two. A one-hour severity check, sizing the gap between the two recognition points in MRR, is cheap enough to do before ranking anything and may promote the item outright. Do that first, then rank.
Make the deferrals concrete. Each deferred team gets a date, a reason expressed as another team's decision deadline rather than as relative importance, and the smallest thing you can hand them immediately.

Follow-up

The dashboard team escalates to your manager. What do you say in that conversation?
Your severity check shows churn is overstated by 15%. Does the ranking change, and does anybody need to be told today regardless of the ranking?
A fourth request arrives Wednesday with a Thursday deadline. What comes off the list, and who do you tell first?

Turn an ambiguous onboarding question into a measurable metric

Easy · scoping · metric definition · stakeholder

Two days before a planning review, a director asks whether onboarding is working. You have dim_user (account_created_at_utc, signup_surface, is_internal), fct_event (is_core_action, flow_id, flow_instance_id, event_name, occurred_at_utc, received_at_utc) and fct_session. No further meeting with the director is possible before you start work. Deliver three clarifying questions you would send in writing, the metric you will compute in the meantime with its numerator, denominator, window and exclusions, and one sentence naming the question you are deliberately not answering.

Approach

Recognise what is being probed: whether you convert a goal into a computable predicate without stalling for requirements or guessing in silence. Listing clarifying questions is the generic answer; shipping a defensible default alongside them is the strong one, because the review is in two days and it will happen with or without you.
Infer the decision behind the request. A question about whether onboarding works, arriving before a planning cycle, usually means whether to staff it next quarter. That points at a rate with visible headroom over several cohorts, not at a descriptive dashboard.
Write the three questions so that each one changes the SQL. Which population, all signups or only self-serve from dim_user.signup_surface. What counts as working, reaching a core action or completing the onboarding flow_id. Against what bar, last quarter's cohorts or a stated target.
Propose the default explicitly: seven-day activation on weekly signup cohorts. Numerator, users with is_core_action = TRUE events on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). Denominator, the signup cohort with is_internal = FALSE. Publish with an eight-day lag, and state that the two-distinct-days threshold is a frozen choice rather than a discovery.
Name the exclusion in the same breath as the number. The series shows whether users activate; it does not establish that onboarding caused the level, which needs a staged rollout or an experiment.

Follow-up

The director replies that they meant the onboarding flow specifically, not activation. What changes in the query and in the caveats?
Your cohort metric needs an eight-day lag and the review is in two days. What do you present, and how do you label it?
Two of your three questions come back unanswered. Which one do you refuse to proceed without?