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Cummins Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

SQL practice for Cummins data scientist candidates: window functions, funnel and retention queries, joins that quietly drop rows.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at Cummins, you play a pivotal role in harnessing data to drive informed decision-making and strategic initiatives. This position is crucial to the success of Cummins, as it directly impacts product development, operational efficiency, and customer satisfaction. You will be working at the intersection of advanced analytics and engineering, contributing to projects that affect millions of users globally.

Seniority shifts the scope more than the words in the title do. Earlier-career loops mostly check that you execute a well-posed analysis correctly; senior loops check that you can decide which question is worth answering and defend what you chose not to do.

Focus areas

  • Define numerator, denominator and window precisely
  • Size an experiment before anyone launches it
  • Turn a vague request into a measurable question

Overview

In this role, you will collaborate with cross-functional teams, utilizing your expertise in machine learning, statistical analysis, and data visualization. You will engage with complex datasets, develop predictive models, and translate analytical insights into actionable strategies that enhance Cummins' product offerings and operational performance. The work is intellectually stimulating and impactful, making it an exciting opportunity for candidates looking to make a difference in a leading global power solutions company.

The Cummins interview process

Cummins candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Phone Screening

Whoever runs this call is usually not a practitioner. They take notes, and a hiring manager skims those notes later, so the real question is whether your work survives being written down by someone outside the field. Test every project sentence against that: could a non-specialist repeat it correctly without knowing what a propensity score is? Carry a plain-language version of each project and one reason you want this particular role that you could not copy onto another application. Vagueness at this stage reads as inexperience, even when the underlying work was genuinely deep.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether a non-specialist can restate your projects accurately, since their paraphrase is what reaches the hiring manager
  • Whether your reason for wanting the role points at the work itself rather than the company's reputation
  • Whether your language signals the level being screened for: what you decided yourself versus what you were handed

How to prepare

  • Write a two-sentence, jargon-free version of each major project: the question nobody could answer, and the decision your work changed. Read it to someone outside data and have them repeat it back
  • Point your 'why this role' answer at something concrete in the job description or the product surface you would be working on, and keep it to two sentences
  • Have two questions ready about measurement: which metric the team is held to, and who acts on an analysis once it lands

Technical Assessment

This round decides whether someone can hand you a schema and a question and trust the number that comes back. Correctness under a clock is the bar, not clever syntax. The habit that separates strong from weak answers is checking the grain: after every join, know how many rows you expect and whether the count moved. Most wrong answers in this format are not wrong logic, they are a fan-out from a key that turned out not to be unique, or a filter applied before an aggregate when it belonged after. Say what you expect before you run it.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether your row counts survive each join, and whether you notice on your own when they do not
  • Deliberate handling of rows that fail to match, including whether the question needs an inner join or a left join with the non-matches kept and counted
  • Whether NULLs are treated on purpose, given that a NULL compares equal to nothing and that COUNT of a column skips it
  • Reaching a defensible answer inside the window instead of a refined one after it

How to prepare

  • Take a two-table schema, write a join that fans out on purpose, then fix it by collapsing the many-side to one row per key before joining. Repeat until the fix is reflex rather than recall.
  • Write a funnel as one query and print the distinct user count at each stage, then confirm each stage is a subset of the one above it rather than assuming it
  • Do a few timed runs in a plain text box with no autocomplete and no formatter, since assessment editors often have neither

Panel Interviews

Where a loop ends with a senior leader, that conversation is rarely another skills test. The technical signal already exists by then, so the questions tend to open up: what you would look at first, where a metric you have heard about could mislead, what you would push back on. The decision being made is scope, which in practice means level and how much you would be trusted to own unsupervised. Treating it as a formality is the usual mistake. An open question late in the day is still being scored, and a vague answer reads as someone who has not run anything themselves.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether your view of the business has anything specific behind it, given that you are working only from what is public and are expected to say so
  • Whether the scope of work you describe owning matches the scope of the role, instead of sitting a level below it
  • Whether you can disagree with something concrete and stay useful about it, rather than agreeing with everything said in the room
  • Whether your questions are ones only this person could answer, as opposed to ones the recruiter already covered

How to prepare

  • Build one view you could defend for two minutes using only public information: what the funnel probably looks like, which metric likely drives decisions, and where that metric could mislead. Being wrong for a stated reason survives this round; having no view does not
  • Write down the largest piece of work you have owned from question to decision, who else touched it, and what you decided alone, then check that it reads at the level you are interviewing for
  • Prepare one thing you would want changed if you joined and phrase it as a question rather than a verdict, so it opens a conversation instead of closing one

Where candidates lose points

Watching an experiment daily and stopping when it crosses significance

A fixed-sample test controls type I error at one pre-declared look. Checking repeatedly and stopping at the first p < 0.05 inflates the false positive rate to roughly 0.15 to 0.20 for ten looks, and it rises further with more frequent checks, because the p-value takes a random walk that will eventually dip below the threshold under the null. The usual defences are a fixed horizon declared before launch, group-sequential boundaries such as O'Brien-Fleming that spend alpha across a planned number of looks, or always-valid confidence sequences that are correct under continuous monitoring. Compounding it, the effect size reported conditional on having crossed the threshold is biased away from zero, and the bias is larger the lower the power was, so an underpowered test that 'won' typically overstates the lift it found.

Comparing cohort retention curves of different maturities, or building the curve from users who are still present

A cohort four weeks old has no week-8 value, so an average taken across cohorts silently drops young cohorts from the later columns and keeps them in the earlier ones. The curve then bends upward at the tail, and the reading that 'retention is improving over time' is an artefact of which cohorts survived to be measured. The same error appears in the denominator when retention is computed over users active in the current period rather than over the full original cohort, which conditions on survival and guarantees a flattering number. The fix is a triangle: fix the cohort at signup, bound every window on both sides, and only compare cells where every cohort has had the full elapsed time, publishing the rest as blank rather than as a partial average.

Building features from data that postdates the prediction time

Check every feature against the timestamp at which the model would actually score, and drop anything computed from a window that includes or follows the label event. For a forecasting use case, split train and test by time rather than at random, and split by entity when the same entity recurs.

Sizing estimates built on unnamed, unrevisable assumptions

Write each assumption as a named number you can change, then show the arithmetic so the interviewer can challenge one input instead of the whole answer. Finish by saying which assumption the result is most sensitive to, which matters more than the point estimate.

Questions & practice

What is the bias-variance tradeoff?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

  1. Sanity-check the answer against a simple bound or a simulated case.
  2. Say what the estimate is of, and over what population it generalises.
  3. Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.

Follow-up

  • How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
  • What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?

What steps do you take to evaluate the performance of a model?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  2. Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
  3. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.

Follow-up

  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
  • Where could label leakage enter this setup?

Implement seven-day activation from its written definition

Medium · metric definition · cohorts · pandas · joins

Implement the seven-day activation rate. Inputs: dim_user with user_id, account_created_at_utc and is_internal; fct_event with user_id, occurred_at_utc and is_core_action. A user activates when core-action events carrying a non-NULL user_id fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). The denominator is every non-internal user whose account_created_at_utc lands in the cohort week, including users with no events at all. Return one row per cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, publishing only weeks whose last signup is at least eight days old.

Approach

  1. Build the denominator first, from dim_user alone, filtered on is_internal = False. Deriving it from the join is the standard way to lose every user who never fired an event, which is exactly the population the metric is about.
  2. Join events to users on user_id with a left join from the user side, then apply the window as a half-open interval: occurred_at >= created AND occurred_at < created + 7 days. The right bound is exclusive, so an event at exactly created + 7 days does not count.
  3. Count distinct UTC dates per user, not distinct events. Floor occurred_at_utc to date before the nunique, and do it in UTC rather than local time so the threshold does not move with the user's country.
  4. Apply the >= 2 threshold, aggregate to cohort week, and compute the rate by re-summing numerator and denominator per week rather than averaging any per-user or per-day rate. Fix the week anchor explicitly: cohort_week is the Monday of the signup week in UTC, which is what Postgres DATE_TRUNC('week') returns and what any SQL version of this metric will produce. In pandas, subtract dt.weekday days from the floored timestamp. If you reach for periods instead, the anchor that matches is to_period('W') (equivalently 'W-SUN'), whose weeks end Sunday and therefore start Monday; to_period('W-MON') labels weeks that end on Monday, so it runs Tuesday through Monday and its start_time is a Tuesday. Mixing the two shifts every cohort label by one day and silently moves Mondays into the previous week.
  5. Suppress immature weeks: drop any cohort week whose maximum account_created_at_utc is within 8 days of the data cut, and return them as absent rather than as a partial number.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. users = dim_user[~dim_user.is_internal].copy(); created = users['account_created_at_utc']; users['cohort_week'] = created.dt.floor('D') - pd.to_timedelta(created.dt.weekday, unit='D'), which is the Monday-start week. The period spelling that agrees with it is created.dt.to_period('W').dt.start_time; 'W-MON' does not agree and is off by a day.
  2. ev = events[events.is_core_action & events.user_id.notna()]; merge onto users on user_id with how='inner' for the numerator side only.
  3. Filter to the half-open window, add ev_date = occurred_at_utc.dt.date, group by user_id and count distinct dates, keep users with >= 2.
  4. numer = users.merge(activated_user_ids, how='left', indicator=True) then group by cohort_week and sum the indicator; denom = users.groupby('cohort_week').size().
  5. rate = numer / denom; drop weeks where users.groupby('cohort_week')['account_created_at_utc'].max() > data_max - 8 days.

Expected result: One row per mature cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, where denominator equals the count of non-internal signups in that week regardless of activity, numerator is less than or equal to denominator, and the most recent 1 to 2 weeks are absent rather than reported low.

Verify it yourself

  • For a synthetic user with two core actions 90 minutes apart on the same UTC date, activation is False.
  • For a synthetic user with one core action on day 0 and one at exactly created + 7 days, activation is False; move the second to created + 6 days 23 hours and it becomes True.
  • Pin the week anchor with two users created at Sunday 23:59 UTC and the following Monday 00:01 UTC: they must land in different cohort weeks, and the Sunday user's cohort_week must be the Monday six days before them. to_period('W-MON') puts both in one period, which is the off-by-one this check exists to catch.
  • The denominator summed across all published weeks equals the count of non-internal users created in that date range.
  • Re-summing numerator and denominator to a monthly figure gives a different answer from averaging the weekly rates; the re-summed one is the metric.

Follow-up

  • The threshold is 2 distinct days. What changes in the reported history if someone moves it to 3, and how would you publish that change?
  • Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users have no pre-signup session. Should they be in this denominator at all, and what does including them do to the rate for sales-assisted accounts?
  • How would you produce the same metric at account grain, and which of the two would you put on the dashboard?

How would you optimize a SQL query for performance?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  3. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.

Follow-up

  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Write a function to check if a string is a palindrome.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  3. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Provide a solution for a data filtering problem.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  2. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
  3. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Read an experiment from first exposure, not assignment

Hard · experiments · window-functions · srm

fct_experiment_exposure holds experiment_id, unit_type, unit_id, variant, user_id, assigned_at_utc, first_exposed_at_utc, is_in_analysis_population and planned_end_utc. fct_event holds user_id, occurred_at_utc, is_core_action, and carries events up to a known data cut, :data_cut_utc. For one experiment randomised on unit_type = 'user', return per variant: exposed units, units with at least one core action in the seven days after that unit's own first exposure, the rate, and the variant share of exposed units. Only units whose seven-day window has fully elapsed as of the data cut belong in the readout. Units appearing under more than one variant are excluded from both arms and counted separately.

Approach

  1. Run the contamination pass as an aggregate, not a window: SELECT unit_id FROM fct_experiment_exposure WHERE experiment_id = :exp GROUP BY unit_id HAVING COUNT(DISTINCT variant) > 1, then anti-join it away. PostgreSQL rejects COUNT(DISTINCT variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) outright, since DISTINCT is not implemented for window functions; if you want the test inline, MIN(variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) <> MAX(variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) is the equivalent that does run.
  2. Do not resolve contamination by keeping the earliest variant. A unit that saw both arms carries treatment from both, so assigning it to either one biases that arm.
  3. Define the population as is_in_analysis_population = TRUE AND unit_type = 'user' AND first_exposed_at_utc < planned_end_utc AND first_exposed_at_utc + interval '7 days' <= :data_cut_utc. The horizon filter is what makes the readout reproducible next week instead of drifting with every re-run; the data-cut filter is the one that actually buys seven days of follow-up, since a unit exposed an hour before the horizon otherwise contributes an hour of observation to a seven-day rate.
  4. Measure the outcome on a per-unit relative window: LEFT JOIN fct_event on user_id with is_core_action = TRUE and occurred_at_utc in [first_exposed_at_utc, first_exposed_at_utc + interval '7 days'). LEFT JOIN so units with no outcome stay in the denominator at zero rather than being deleted by an inner join.
  5. Check the sample ratio before reading the effect: variant share of exposed units against the intended split, tested as a binomial. Run it on the truncated population as well as on the full exposed set, because if one arm exposes later on average the data-cut filter removes more of that arm and can manufacture a ratio mismatch the randomisation did not have. A mismatch on the full set means the exposure data is not a valid randomisation and invalidates the readout rather than being a footnote under it.
  6. Report the per-variant rate, the absolute difference, and the fact that the variance unit is unit_id. That is straightforward here only because the grain is already one row per user; a per-session outcome under user randomisation would need a delta-method or bootstrap standard error instead.

Worked solution (35 min)

  1. Count units per variant and units with more than one variant; report the contaminated count before anything else.
  2. Build the exposed population CTE with both the horizon filter and the seven-days-before-data-cut filter, assert one row per unit_id, and record per variant how many units the second filter removed.
  3. LEFT JOIN the bounded outcome events and flag conversion with a boolean aggregate.
  4. Aggregate per variant to exposed, converted, rate and share, and run the binomial check on the share, both before and after the truncation.
  5. Re-run with a fixed calendar window from experiment_start_utc and record the difference as the size of the dilution you avoided.

Expected result: One row per variant with exposed, converted, rate and share, plus a scalar count of excluded contaminated units. Every retained unit was first exposed at least seven days before the data cut, so each one has a full seven days of observation and the rates are directly comparable.

Verify it yourself

  • Exposed counts across variants sum to the population count minus the contaminated units.
  • MAX(first_exposed_at_utc) among retained units is at least seven days before :data_cut_utc.
  • Variant shares sum to 1.
  • No unit_id contributes to two variant rows.
  • The truncation drops a similar share of each arm; if it does not, note the imbalance alongside the SRM result rather than reading the effect.
  • Swapping the relative window for a calendar one changes the rates; if it does not, exposure timing is balanced and you can say so.

Follow-up

  • Some units were assigned days before they were exposed. What does analysing the assigned set instead do to the estimated effect, and in which direction?
  • The split is 51/49 on 400,000 exposed units. Do you read the result?
  • The treatment arm exposes on average two days later than control. What does that do to a fixed calendar outcome window, and which arm does it favour?

How do you prioritize tasks when managing multiple projects?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

How would you approach a problem where customers are reporting a decline in product performance?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  3. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

Discuss how you would design an experiment to test a new feature.

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
  2. Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
  3. Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
  • What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?

Explain the difference between supervised and unsupervised learning.

Medium

Approach

  1. Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.
  2. Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
  3. Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.

Follow-up

  • How would you know your answer was wrong?
  • What assumption would you test first?

Estimate a threshold-triggered programme with regression discontinuity

Hard · regression discontinuity · instrumental variables · identification

Accounts reaching seats_licensed >= 25 in dim_account are automatically assigned a dedicated onboarding specialist; below 25 they are not. Leadership wants the programme's effect on 12-month net revenue retention and will not randomise coverage away from any account. Three years of dim_account and fct_subscription_period rows are available, including mrr_cents_constant_fx. Specify the design, the estimand it identifies, two threats that would invalidate it, and what changes when 8% of accounts below the threshold received a specialist anyway.

Approach

  1. Set up a regression discontinuity on the running variable seats_licensed with a cutoff at 25, comparing accounts just below with accounts just above. The identifying assumption is continuity: absent the programme, expected 12-month NRR would be a continuous function of seat count through 25.
  2. Name the estimand honestly and early. This is a local average treatment effect at 25 seats. It says nothing about a 5-seat or a 200-seat account, and that belongs in the first line of the answer rather than a footnote.
  3. Estimate with local linear regression on each side, a triangular kernel, an MSE-optimal bandwidth and robust bias-corrected confidence intervals. Do not fit a high-order global polynomial; it imports weight from observations far from the cutoff and is known to manufacture discontinuities.
  4. Test the two threats that actually apply. Manipulation: an account that wants the specialist can buy a 25th seat, which piles density just above the cutoff, so run a density test on seats_licensed around 25 and look for a spike at exactly 25. Bundling: if a price break, a plan tier or a support SLA also switches at 25 seats, the discontinuity measures the whole bundle, so check current_plan_tier and the price schedule at the cutoff.
  5. Treat the 8% crossover as a fuzzy design. Treatment probability jumps at the cutoff without going from 0 to 1, so divide the jump in NRR by the jump in the probability of receiving a specialist. That is a Wald instrumental-variables estimator with the cutoff indicator as the instrument; it needs exclusion, which is exactly what the bundling check is about, plus monotonicity, and it narrows the estimand further to compliers at the cutoff.

Worked solution (45 min)

  1. Fix the running variable as seats_licensed at the moment the assignment rule was evaluated, and fix the outcome as 12-month NRR computed from fct_subscription_period on mrr_cents_constant_fx for the account's cohort.
  2. Plot mean NRR in one-seat bins on each side of 25 with a local linear fit. The picture comes before the estimate, because a discontinuity invisible in the binned plot is rarely real.
  3. Run the density test at 25 and a continuity check on pre-cutoff characteristics such as billing_country, account_type and pre-programme MRR; these must be smooth through the cutoff.
  4. Estimate the sharp RD with an MSE-optimal bandwidth and robust bias-corrected intervals, then repeat at half and double the bandwidth as a sensitivity check.
  5. Estimate the first stage, the jump in specialist assignment at 25, and report the fuzzy estimate as the ratio with the estimand stated as the complier effect at the cutoff.

Expected result: A fuzzy regression discontinuity at 25 seats, estimated as the ratio of the NRR jump to the specialist-probability jump, identifying the local complier average effect at the cutoff under continuity, exclusion and monotonicity. With 8% crossover below the cutoff and near-full compliance above it, the first stage is about 0.92, so the fuzzy estimate is roughly 1.09 times the reduced-form jump and its standard error inflates by the same factor.

Verify it yourself

  • Characteristics fixed before the cutoff is crossed must not jump at 25. If account_type mix or billing_country jumps, the local comparison is not as-good-as-random.
  • The estimate should be stable across half and double the MSE-optimal bandwidth. Strong bandwidth sensitivity means the functional form is doing the work, not the discontinuity.
  • The reduced-form jump divided by the first-stage jump must reproduce the fuzzy point estimate exactly; if it does not, the two are being computed on different samples.
  • The effective sample inside the bandwidth, not the full account count, drives the standard error. Local linear RD typically needs on the order of three to four times the sample a randomised comparison would for the same power.

Follow-up

  • The density test shows a spike at exactly 25 seats. Is the design dead, and what would you do next?
  • You have 40,000 accounts but the bandwidth keeps 900. How does the detectable effect compare with a randomised comparison of the same nominal size?
  • Seat counts change over time. Which value of seats_licensed is the running variable, and what breaks if you pick the wrong one?

Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose

Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition

Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.

Approach

  1. Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
  2. Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
  3. Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
  4. Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
  5. Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.

Follow-up

  • Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
  • Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
  • How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?

Suggested practice checklist

For someone who can already write the query and train the model but stalls when asked what to measure or whether a change is worth making. Metric definition and case structure come first; the technical work is kept as maintenance rather than the centre of the week.

Day 1 — Metric anatomy

  • For three products you use daily, write one primary metric, two input metrics that plausibly move it, and one guardrail that would catch a cheap way of moving the primary at the cost of the product.
  • For one of them, specify the metric precisely enough that two analysts would return the same number: numerator, denominator, unit of observation, time window, and how returning and deleted accounts are treated.
  • Pick a ratio metric and write what happens to it when the denominator shrinks for reasons unrelated to the numerator, with a concrete example of that happening.

Deliverable: A one-page metric tree for one product, with the primary metric written as an unambiguous spec.

Day 2 — Diagnosing a drop without guessing

  • Take the prompt "weekly active users fell 8 percent week over week" and write the segmentation plan before proposing any cause: platform, region, tenure cohort, acquisition channel, and whether the movement sits in the numerator or in a changed denominator.
  • List the instrumentation failures that manufacture fake drops (a client release that stopped firing an event, a bot filter change, a shifted date boundary or timezone) and write the query that rules out each one.
  • Rehearse stating the boring explanations first, seasonality and day-of-week composition, before reaching for a product cause.

Deliverable: A drop-diagnosis checklist short enough to recite from memory in under a minute.

Day 3 — Should we build it

  • Take a feature idea and write it as a bet: what you believe is true, what would have to be true for it to pay off, the metric that would confirm it, and the effect size that would justify the engineering cost.
  • Size the opportunity top-down and bottom-up, then reconcile the two numbers in writing instead of quoting whichever is friendlier.
  • Write the counter-metric that would make you kill the feature even if it wins on the primary metric.

Deliverable: A one-page product memo ending in a decision rather than a list of considerations.

Day 4 — The places aggregate numbers lie

  • Construct a Simpson's paradox numerically: two segments where the treatment wins within each segment yet loses overall, and identify the shift in segment weights that causes it.
  • Take a heavy right-tailed quantity such as revenue per user and write why the mean is the wrong summary, which percentile you would report instead, and what a moving mean with a stable median tells you.
  • Write your definition of a session for the product from day one, then name two real behaviours it misclassifies.

Deliverable: One page holding a worked Simpson's paradox table and a session definition with its two known failure cases.

Day 5 — Technical maintenance, aimed at metrics

  • Solve four timed SQL prompts that all end in a ratio metric, so the question of grain stays live in every answer.
  • Compute a 95 percent confidence interval for a proportion on a small sample, and state why the normal approximation is unreliable when either np or n(1 minus p) falls below roughly 10, along with which interval you would use instead.
  • Take one metric from your day-one tree, write the query that computes it correctly, then write the query that computes it wrong in the most plausible way and explain how you would notice.

Deliverable: Four solved prompts plus a matched correct and plausible-wrong query for one metric.

Day 6 — Turning engineering work into data science stories

  • Write three project stories as situation, decision, trade-off, outcome, each carrying one number and one thing you got wrong.
  • For the story you will lead with, prepare an answer to "what would you do differently" that names a decision you made, not a constraint you were handed.
  • Practise the sentence that reframes a systems project as a question project: the question the work answered, ahead of the pipeline it shipped.

Deliverable: Three written stories with the lead story delivered aloud and timed under four minutes.

Day 7 — Mock case and gap list

  • Run a 40-minute mock case with someone playing a product manager who pushes back on your metric choice, and record it.
  • Listen back and mark every moment you proposed a solution before the success metric existed.
  • Rewrite those moments as the question you should have asked, and rehearse the first 90 seconds of the case until scoping comes before solving.

Deliverable: A recorded case plus a rewritten opening 90 seconds.

Ambiguous requests are the test

Most of the questions in this section reduce to one thing: can you be handed a vague request and come back with something useful? Prepare an example where the ask was underspecified, you chose an interpretation, and you said out loud which interpretation you chose. Describing how you narrowed the question matters more than the technique you eventually used.

Describe a challenging project you worked on and how you overcame obstacles.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  2. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
  3. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Choose between three teams' requests with one analyst-week

Medium · prioritisation · stakeholder · judgement

You have one analyst-week. Three requests land the same morning. A growth team wants a paid-channel readout before a Friday spend decision. A billing team wants gross monthly revenue churn rebuilt, because the current figure recognises cancellation at canceled_at_utc rather than period_end_utc and is therefore wrong. A product team wants a dashboard for a feature launching in six weeks. All three sponsors are peers of your manager. Deliver your ranking, the explicit rule that produced it, and the message you send to the two teams you defer.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you prioritise on decision value and reversibility or on who asked most recently and most loudly. The generic answer sorts by importance; the strong one states a rule, applies it, and accepts the ranking it produces even where that is uncomfortable.
  2. Score each request on three statable things: the decision it unblocks and the date that decision is made, the cost of being wrong in the meantime, and whether the work is one-off or compounding. A wrong published churn figure compounds, because it is quoted downstream and enters forecasts; the channel readout has a fixed date that cannot move; the dashboard has six weeks of slack.
  3. Notice the tension between value and urgency rather than resolving it by feel. The churn defect is the most valuable item and the least urgent one, which is exactly the shape of work that never gets done.
  4. Break the churn item in two. A one-hour severity check, sizing the gap between the two recognition points in MRR, is cheap enough to do before ranking anything and may promote the item outright. Do that first, then rank.
  5. Make the deferrals concrete. Each deferred team gets a date, a reason expressed as another team's decision deadline rather than as relative importance, and the smallest thing you can hand them immediately.

Follow-up

  • The dashboard team escalates to your manager. What do you say in that conversation?
  • Your severity check shows churn is overstated by 15%. Does the ranking change, and does anybody need to be told today regardless of the ranking?
  • A fourth request arrives Wednesday with a Thursday deadline. What comes off the list, and who do you tell first?

Defend a flat experiment readout against a post-hoc segment

Medium · experiments · segmentation · pushback

A feature you evaluated is flat on seven-day activation: +0.05pp with a 95% interval of [-0.47pp, +0.57pp], from 61,000 exposed users per arm in fct_experiment_exposure joined to dim_user and fct_event. Baseline activation is 32%. The launch team asks you to drop every surface except mobile_web, where the point estimate is +1.1pp, and re-run. You have ten minutes in their planning meeting. Deliver a spoken position: what you will and will not do, and the decision you recommend.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you hold a statistical position under social pressure without becoming either rigid or apologetic. A generic answer says the segment is not significant; a strong one separates the request into a question that is answerable (is the mobile_web number real?) and one that is not (can we ship on it?), and answers both.
  2. Price the multiplicity out loud. The slice was chosen after seeing the results, so its estimate is selected on favourable noise and is biased away from zero. With k independent looks at a nominal 5% level, the chance of at least one false positive is 1 - 0.95^k: 26% at six segments, 64% at twenty. Quote the k you actually inspected, not the k you reported.
  3. Use the arithmetic already in front of you. On the point estimates, a +1.1pp mobile_web effect combined with a pooled +0.05pp implies the remaining surfaces average negative in proportion to mobile_web's share of exposures. State that as a testable implication of their story rather than as a rebuttal of it.
  4. Ask the one question that settles the category: was mobile_web named in the analysis plan before launch? If it was, it is a planned comparison and gets a corrected reading. If it was not, it is a hypothesis, and the honest move is to size the test that would confirm it.
  5. Convert the refusal into a cost. Size a mobile_web-only confirmatory test at the claimed effect, state the weeks of mobile_web traffic it needs, and close with the recommendation: do not ship this as a lift, and note that the interval already rules out anything at or above +0.6pp, which is itself a useful input to the roadmap.

Follow-up

  • The confirmatory test you sized needs nine weeks of mobile_web traffic and the team has three. What do you recommend instead?
  • Suppose mobile_web was pre-registered. How does your reading change, and what correction do you apply?
  • Your interval excludes +0.6pp. Is that the same as saying the feature does nothing?