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Coalition Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Diagnose a metric move for Coalition data scientist prep: split by segment, rule out a logging change, separate mix shift from behaviour.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at Coalition, you play a vital role in driving data-informed decision-making that impacts the company's strategic direction and product development. Your expertise in data analysis and modeling is crucial for understanding complex data sets and delivering actionable insights that enhance user experiences and optimize business processes. You'll collaborate closely with cross-functional teams, including product managers and engineers, to design and implement solutions that address real-world challenges faced by our clients in the insurance sector.

How much statistics you need depends on the flavour of the seat. Experiment-facing work wants you deep enough to notice that repeated looks at accumulating data inflate the false positive rate of a fixed-sample test; modelling-facing work wants estimation and honest uncertainty intervals.

Focus areas

Report only matured cohorts for loss metrics
Set fraud thresholds by expected cost
Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD

Overview

The Data Scientist position is particularly exciting due to the scale and complexity of the data you will work with. Coalition is at the forefront of leveraging data to reshape the insurance landscape, making your contributions not only impactful but also central to the company's mission. You will engage with advanced analytics, machine learning models, and innovative data solutions to drive the business forward, making this role both challenging and rewarding.

The Coalition interview process

Coalition candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Initial Screening Call

Whoever runs this call is usually not a practitioner. They take notes, and a hiring manager skims those notes later, so the real question is whether your work survives being written down by someone outside the field. Test every project sentence against that: could a non-specialist repeat it correctly without knowing what a propensity score is? Carry a plain-language version of each project and one reason you want this particular role that you could not copy onto another application. Vagueness at this stage reads as inexperience, even when the underlying work was genuinely deep.

What to demonstrate

Whether a non-specialist can restate your projects accurately, since their paraphrase is what reaches the hiring manager
Whether your reason for wanting the role points at the work itself rather than the company's reputation
Whether your language signals the level being screened for: what you decided yourself versus what you were handed

How to prepare

Write a two-sentence, jargon-free version of each major project: the question nobody could answer, and the decision your work changed. Read it to someone outside data and have them repeat it back
Point your 'why this role' answer at something concrete in the job description or the product surface you would be working on, and keep it to two sentences
Have two questions ready about measurement: which metric the team is held to, and who acts on an analysis once it lands

Technical Assessments

Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.

What to demonstrate

Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day

How to prepare

Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over

Final Discussions

A loop is not scored one interview at a time. The people you meet compare notes afterwards, usually in a meeting you are not in, and the outcome turns on what each of them can say about you when asked. That rewards something other than survival: every room needs one specific thing worth repeating, and none of them can contradict another. The common way to lose is to tell the same project four times with different numbers in it, or to be uniformly fine in a way that leaves nobody with anything to argue for.

What to demonstrate

Whether your account of a project survives being told twice, with the same scale, the same metric definition and the same numbers each time
Whether each interviewer leaves with one concrete claim they could make on your behalf later, rather than an absence of complaints
Whether a question you already answered in an earlier room gets the same answer at the same depth, without visible impatience

How to prepare

Write a one-page fact sheet for your two or three main projects that fixes the numbers you will quote: rows of data, the metric as a single sentence, the effect you measured and how long the work took. Say them aloud from the sheet until they come out identical every time
For each kind of room you expect, decide the one sentence you want that interviewer repeating in a debrief, then check during the mock that you said it outright instead of implying it
Rehearse answering the same project question twice in one sitting, the second time as though you had not just answered it, because the thing that needs fixing is the flatness that creeps into a repeated story

Where candidates lose points

Averaging delinquency across a book that is growing

A loan three months old cannot be 90 days past due, so a portfolio with many recent originations reports a low blended 90+ rate purely from age mix. The blended rate falls fastest exactly when originations grow fastest, which is precisely when credit quality most needs watching, so the metric moves in the reassuring direction during the riskiest period. Only comparisons at equal months on book are valid, which is what a vintage or roll-rate view enforces.

Assuming a model is fair because protected attributes are not among its inputs

Postcode, device, tenure, income proxies and even transaction patterns correlate with protected characteristics, so a model can produce a disparate outcome without ever reading the attribute. Credit decisions additionally carry an explainability obligation in many jurisdictions, since a denial has to be accompanied by its principal reasons, which constrains model form and feature engineering rather than being a reporting afterthought. Treating fairness testing and reason-code generation as design constraints from the first model version is far cheaper than retrofitting them to a deployed one.

Extrapolating a first-week lift inflated by novelty effects

Plot the treatment effect by days since first exposure instead of quoting one pooled average. A lift that decays toward zero across the test window is behaviour that will not persist, and annualising it produces a forecast that misses by an order of magnitude.

Stopping an experiment the moment it crosses significance

Fix the sample size or duration before launch, or use a method built for continuous monitoring such as a sequential test, always-valid confidence intervals, or group-sequential boundaries. Repeatedly checking a fixed-horizon p-value against 0.05 pushes the real false-positive rate well above 5 percent.

Questions & practice

Write a function in Python to calculate the correlation between two variables.

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.

Follow-up

What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?
How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?

Describe a project where you applied machine learning algorithms. What were the results?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.

Follow-up

Where could label leakage enter this setup?
How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

Collapse retry chains and compute a dollar-weighted approval rate

Medium · sessionisation · window functions · dollar-weighted rates

fct_payment_authorization gives auth_id, card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor, transaction_currency, requested_at, auth_result, is_reversal, channel and issuer_country. Two reference frames give the minor-unit exponent per currency and a daily rate to one reporting currency. Collapse retry chains first: attempts sharing card_token_id, merchant_id and amount_minor whose consecutive gaps are under 15 minutes form a single attempt, whose outcome is its last row. Exclude reversals and zero-amount verifications. Return a 7-day rolling dollar-weighted approval rate by channel and issuer_country.

Approach

Filter before grouping: drop is_reversal rows and zero-amount verifications, since neither is a purchase attempt and both would otherwise sit in the denominator.
Sort by card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor and requested_at, take the gap to the previous row within that key, mark a chain start where the gap exceeds 15 minutes or the key changes, and label chains with a cumulative sum of that flag. This is a gap rule between consecutive attempts, not a fixed clock bucket, so a chain may span more than 15 minutes in total.
Keep each chain's terminal row by requested_at. If a retry was approved, the purchase was approved; keeping the first row reports the decline that caused the retry as the outcome.
Convert amounts exactly once: amount_minor divided by 10 to the power of the currency exponent, multiplied by the reference rate for the authorization date. Do not reach for settlement_fx_rate, which is null on precisely the declined rows the denominator needs.
Build the rolling window as a ratio of two rolling sums, approved value over total value, per channel and issuer_country. A rolling mean of daily ratios weights a quiet Sunday the same as a busy Friday.

Worked solution (35 min)

Filter out reversals and zero-amount rows, then sort by the chain key and requested_at.
Compute the within-key time difference, derive the chain start flag and the chain id, and take the last row per chain with groupby(chain_id).tail(1) after sorting.
Join the exponent and daily rate tables, compute value_reporting, and assert no nulls remain after the join.
Aggregate approved value and total value to a daily grain by channel and issuer_country, reindex to a complete date range per group so missing days are zero rather than absent.
Take 7-day rolling sums of both columns and divide, then confirm one hand-picked group-day against a direct filter.

Expected result: A DataFrame keyed by date, channel and issuer_country with approved_value, total_value and approval_rate. The collapsed attempt count is materially below the raw row count, with the gap concentrated in declined ecommerce rows, and ecommerce sits below card_present.

Verify it yourself

Within every chain, all consecutive requested_at gaps are under 15 minutes; across chains with the same key, at least one gap is not.
Chain count is strictly below raw attempt count, and the difference is concentrated in declined rows rather than spread evenly.
Total converted value on a single-currency single-day subset equals the raw amount_minor sum divided by that currency's exponent power, times that day's rate.
The rolling rate on one chosen day matches a direct filter-and-divide over the preceding seven days.

Follow-up

The count-weighted rate is flat while the dollar-weighted rate falls 80 basis points. What do you look at first?
How would you choose the 15-minute window rather than inheriting it?
A merchant moves from two retries to five. Which of your two rates moves, and is that a real change in approval quality?

How would you optimize a slow-running SQL query?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Given a dataset, write a Python script that cleans and prepares the data for analysis.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

Vintage ninety-plus rate at twelve months on book

Medium · vintage analysis · window functions · right censoring

From fct_loan_performance_monthly, build a vintage table keyed on origination_month: the share of each cohort that ever reached days_past_due of 90 or more, or charge_off_flag = true, at or before months_on_book = 12. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so for any loan with restructured_flag true, evaluate only the month ends strictly before its first restructured month. Return origination_month, loans_funded, bad_loans and bad_rate. Exclude any cohort that does not yet have a months_on_book = 12 observation for every loan still on book.

Approach

Establish the cohort denominator from the first month end each loan appears at, months_on_book = 0, so a loan is counted once in its origination_month rather than once per monthly row.
Find each loan's first restructured month with MIN(as_of_month_end) FILTER (WHERE restructured_flag) OVER (PARTITION BY loan_id), or the equivalent grouped subquery, and keep it null for loans never restructured.
Flag a loan bad if any row with months_on_book <= 12 and as_of_month_end earlier than that first restructured month has days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag = true, which is what 'pre-restructure worst state' means in practice.
Gate maturity by requiring the cohort's newest month end to be at least 12 months after origination_month, and report immature cohorts as incomplete rather than letting them appear at a flattering low rate.
Aggregate to one row per origination_month and read the column downward, not across calendar time, because the whole point is comparing cohorts at equal age.

Worked solution (35 min)

CTE 1: per loan_id, derive origination_month, the first restructured month end, and the maximum months_on_book observed.
CTE 2: join back to the monthly rows, filter to months_on_book <= 12 and to month ends before any restructure, then flag bad with a BOOL_OR.
CTE 3: aggregate to origination_month with COUNT() as loans_funded and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE is_bad) as bad_loans.
Apply the maturity gate and compute bad_rate with a numeric cast.

Expected result: One row per matured origination_month with loans_funded, bad_loans and a bad_rate between 0 and 1. The most recent immature cohorts are absent from the output entirely rather than present with a small bad_rate.

Verify it yourself

SUM(loans_funded) across reported cohorts equals COUNT(DISTINCT loan_id) restricted to those same origination months.
Recomputing without the months_on_book cap raises bad_rate monotonically for every cohort, and raises it most for the oldest, which is the seasoning effect made visible.
No cohort in the output has a maximum months_on_book below 12.

Follow-up

Should a restructure inside 12 months count as bad in its own right? Argue both sides and say what you would actually ship.
A loan that prepaid in full at month 4 never had a chance to go 90 days past due. In or out of the denominator, and why?
The 2025-11 cohort is two points worse at month 12 than its neighbours. What three queries do you run before you call it a credit-quality change?

Describe how you would approach a project to predict customer churn for an insurance product.

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

What steps would you take to assess whether a new feature in a product is valuable to users?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

Given a dataset, how would you identify outliers? What steps would you take to handle them?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How would you analyze the effectiveness of a marketing campaign using data?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Explain the difference between supervised and unsupervised learning.

Medium

Approach

Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.

Follow-up

How would you know your answer was wrong?
What assumption would you test first?

Monitor a rollout daily without inflating false positives

Medium · peeking · sequential testing · alpha spending

A risk-rule change is ramped to 50 percent and the team reads the dashboard every morning for twenty business days, intending to stop the first time the two-sided p-value on the count-weighted approval rate falls below 0.05. Quantify how much that inflates the false positive rate, propose a monitoring scheme that still permits an early stop for harm, and explain what dispute maturity does to the matured fraud basis points guardrail when it is read on day twenty.

Approach

Quantify rather than assert. Repeatedly applying a fixed-horizon test at nominal two-sided 0.05 inflates the family-wise type I error to roughly 8 percent at 2 looks, 14 percent at 5, 19 percent at 10 and about 25 percent at 20 equally spaced looks. Under continuous monitoring with no stopping rule the probability of crossing at some point tends to 1.
Pick a scheme matched to how the team actually behaves. If looks are on a fixed schedule, use a group-sequential design with an alpha-spending function: O'Brien-Fleming spends almost nothing early so the final boundary stays near nominal, which suits a team that mostly wants to ship at the end; Pocock spends evenly and buys genuine early-stopping power at the cost of a stricter final boundary. If looks are truly continuous and ad hoc, use an always-valid confidence sequence such as a mixture sequential probability ratio test, which is valid at every moment in exchange for a larger fixed-horizon sample at equal power.
Treat the harm stop as a separate, asymmetric decision. Stopping a change because it looks harmful costs one abandoned experiment; failing to stop costs real loss every day it runs. Run the guardrail as a one-sided monitor at a looser alpha with its own pre-registered stop rule, and do not spend the primary metric's alpha budget on it.
Fix the schedule before launch: the number of looks, their timing, the boundaries, and the maximum sample. Boundaries computed after the fact from however many times someone opened the dashboard are not a correction.
Separate peeking from immaturity on the fraud guardrail. Disputes on a transaction can be filed for roughly 120 days, and some reason codes run longer, so a day-twenty read covers transactions with at most twenty days of dispute exposure. The number is not low, it is incomplete. Either report only matured transaction months, or apply development factors estimated from completed months and label the result an estimate with its interval.

Worked solution (25 min)

Quote the inflation for the stated plan: twenty looks at nominal two-sided 0.05 gives a family-wise type I error of about 25 percent, so one rule change in four would appear significant with no true effect.
Specify the replacement: five pre-scheduled looks at 20, 40, 60, 80 and 100 percent of planned sample under an O'Brien-Fleming spending function, with z boundaries of approximately 4.56, 3.23, 2.63, 2.28 and 2.04. For comparison, a Pocock design at five looks uses a constant boundary of about 2.41.
Add a one-sided harm monitor on the fraud guardrail and the decline-rate guardrail with its own alpha and its own pre-registered rule, documented before launch.
For the fraud read, restrict to transaction months with at least 120 days of maturity; if none exist yet, present a development-factor estimate from completed months with its uncertainty and mark the recent months incomplete on the chart rather than plotting them as low.
If the boundary is crossed early, report a bias-adjusted effect estimate, because the estimate at a stopping boundary is systematically larger in magnitude than the truth.

Expected result: Twenty daily looks at nominal 0.05 give a family-wise type I error of roughly 25 percent. The recommendation is a pre-registered five-look O'Brien-Fleming group-sequential design with a final z boundary near 2.04, or an always-valid confidence sequence if looks cannot be scheduled, plus a separate one-sided harm monitor. The day-twenty fraud guardrail is reported as incomplete, not as a pass.

Verify it yourself

Simulate the stated stopping rule under the null a few thousand times; the crossing rate should reproduce the quoted inflation, and under the group-sequential boundaries it should land near 5 percent.
The alpha spent across the planned looks under the chosen spending function must sum to the total alpha; if it does not, the boundaries were not computed from a spending function.
Plot the fraud rate by transaction month against dispute maturity. If the curve slopes down at the right edge on historical data where nothing changed, that slope is maturity, not effect.
Compare the effect estimate at the crossing look with the estimate at the planned maximum sample on historical tests; the gap is the stopping bias you owe the sponsor.

Follow-up

Under an O'Brien-Fleming boundary you cross on day three. What do you say about the effect size, and why is the naive point estimate biased?
How would you set the stopping rule for the fraud guardrail given that its true value is not observable inside the test window?
The team argues that they are only looking, not deciding, so peeking is harmless. Under what precise condition is that true, and how would you verify it?

Portfolio delinquency improving while the loan book doubles

Easy · vintage analysis · age mix · right censoring

The blended 90-plus days-past-due rate across fct_loan_performance_monthly fell from 3.1 to 2.2 percent over two quarters while monthly funded volume roughly doubled. Credit leadership wants to know whether underwriting improved. Columns: loan_id, as_of_month_end, origination_month, months_on_book, original_principal_minor, principal_balance_minor, days_past_due, delinquency_bucket, restructured_flag, charge_off_flag, charge_off_date. Produce the view that answers the question honestly, and state in one sentence what the blended rate can and cannot tell you.

Approach

Name the mechanical floor first. A first instalment falls due roughly a month after funding, so a loan cannot reach dpd_90_plus until around its fourth month on book. Every recent origination therefore enters the denominator with a numerator that is structurally zero.
Build a vintage table: rows origination_month, columns months_on_book, cell equal to the share of that cohort whose worst days_past_due reached 90 or more, or whose charge_off_flag became true, at or before that age.
Use each loan's worst state to date rather than its current bucket, and take the pre-restructure worst state, because restructuring resets days_past_due and would otherwise read as a cure.
Compare cohorts only at equal months_on_book, and render cells beyond a cohort's current maturity as absent rather than zero, so the table cannot be misread left to right.
Decompose the blended move into an age-mix component and a within-age component, so the write-up states how much of the 0.9 point improvement is arithmetic rather than asserting it.

Follow-up

What does the diagonal of a vintage table represent, and when is reading it the right thing to do?
How would a change in charge-off timing policy show up in this table, and how would you separate it from credit quality?
Which single chart goes in front of the credit committee, and what do you say when someone asks for the blended series anyway?

Suggested practice checklist

Four days spend equal time on query work, statistics, modelling and product judgement at deliberately shallow depth, which produces a scored map of where you actually stand. The last three days spend everything on the two areas the role weights most, and close by re-running day one to measure movement.

Day 1 — Breadth pass: query fluency

Solve six prompts spanning aggregation, joins, window functions and date arithmetic in 60 minutes total, stopping at 10 minutes each whether or not it works, and mark every prompt as solved, solved slowly, or stuck.
For each unsolved prompt write the single blocking sentence (I lost the grain, I did not know the frame clause, I could not express the date boundary) instead of reading the solution.
Translate one pandas transformation you know well into SQL and one SQL query into pandas, checking that both return the same row count and the same totals.

Deliverable: A scored six-row table, one line per prompt, saved for the day-seven re-run.

Day 2 — Breadth pass: statistics and inference

Answer ten short questions in writing with nothing open: what a p-value is conditional on, what a 95 percent interval covers across repeated samples, when a paired test is the right one, what the bootstrap estimates, why multiple comparisons inflate false positives, how controlling the family-wise error rate differs from controlling the false discovery rate, what power depends on, what a missed real effect costs a product, the three situations where the central limit theorem does not rescue you (small n, very heavy tails, dependent observations), and what a standard error is the standard deviation of.
Grade yourself against a reference and count only the answers that were exactly right, not the ones that were nearly right.
Rewrite the two weakest answers the following morning from memory in full sentences.

Deliverable: Ten graded answers with an honest count of exact hits.

Day 3 — Breadth pass: modelling

Take one tabular dataset end to end in 90 minutes: a leakage-safe split, a baseline that is not a model (majority class or historical mean), one regularized linear model, one gradient-boosted tree, and a single evaluation metric chosen before you look at any result.
Write why that metric fits the cost structure: precision at a fixed recall for alerting, calibration for anything feeding a price or a threshold, ranking metrics for retrieval, and note that area under the ROC curve is insensitive to class balance in a way that can flatter a rare-positive problem.
Name the leak you were most likely to introduce (an encoding fit on all rows before splitting, or a feature computed after the label's timestamp) and write the check that would have caught it.

Deliverable: A notebook whose first cell states the metric and the baseline, plus two lines on what beat what and by how much.

Day 4 — Breadth pass: product judgement

Answer three case prompts aloud at 15 minutes each, timing how long passes before you state a success metric.
For one case write the first segmentation you would run and the row counts you expect per segment, so that a tiny segment cannot quietly drive the conclusion.
Take a metric definition you did not write, from a public dashboard, a textbook, or documentation you already have open, and list every place two analysts implementing it would diverge: which rows the denominator admits, whether the unit is an account or a person, what the time window is anchored to, and what happens to data that arrives late. Then write the one question that would close the largest of those gaps.

Deliverable: Three recorded case answers plus an ambiguity list for a metric someone else defined, ending in the single question you would ask about it.

Day 5 — Depth, first area

Rank the four areas by how many bullet points in the role description each one covers, pick the top one, and spend the entire day inside it.
Work the six hardest problems you can find in that area and for each write the generalizable move you should have reached for first, rather than the answer.
Re-solve the two you failed the same evening with notes closed.

Deliverable: Six generalizable moves written as instructions to yourself, not as solutions.

Day 6 — Depth, second area, and the seam between them

Repeat the depth protocol on the second-ranked area with the same six-problem structure.
Construct one problem that requires both areas at once, for example a metric redefinition whose effect you must validate with a test whose readout you then have to query.
Solve your own combined problem end to end and note where the handoff between the two areas cost you time.

Deliverable: One combined problem, solved end to end, with the handoff failure written down.

Day 7 — Integration and re-measurement

Re-run the six prompts from day one under the same clock and compare both correctness and time.
Run a 60-minute mixed mock that moves between areas without warning, since switching cost is what breadth passes do not train.
Write the two areas you would still fail on, and the sentence you will use in the interview when you hit one of them.

Deliverable: A before-and-after score table plus a written plan for the two remaining gaps.

Being wrong in public

A number you shipped turned out to be wrong, and someone had already acted on it. That is one of the most useful stories a data person can carry. What is being scored is how fast you noticed, who you told first, and what you changed in the process so the same class of error could not repeat quietly.

How do you handle missing data in a dataset?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.

Follow-up

How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
What did you decide not to do, and why?

State honestly what your cutoff change actually contributed

Hard · impact attribution · swap set · counterfactual

Six months ago your recommendation moved a credit cutoff, using fct_loan_application and fct_loan_performance_monthly. Since then approval rate rose four points and the 12-month vintage 90-plus rate on affected cohorts is flat. In the same window the bureau changed a score attribute, marketing shifted channel mix toward broker, and the internal funding rate moved. Your performance review asks for impact in currency terms. Give the number you would stand behind, the counterfactual it rests on, and the part of the observed movement you would not claim.

Approach

Define the counterfactual before computing anything: the claim is not what happened after the change, it is what would have happened had the old cutoff scored the same applications, which means replaying the old threshold on the post-change population.
Build the swap set: applications the new cutoff approves that the old one declined, applications the old one approved that the new one declines, and everyone else held out as unaffected. Only the swap groups carry your effect. Note that the swap-out group has no outcome under the new rule, because those loans were never funded, so its forgone margin must be estimated from matched pre-change approvals rather than observed.
Price each swap group at months_on_book equal to 12 on the measure the cutoff was meant to move: interest and fees collected, minus net charge-offs, minus funding cost at the internal transfer rate.
Strip the confounders explicitly. Cohorts affected by the bureau attribute change are either recomputed on the old attribute or excluded; channel mix is held fixed by reweighting to the pre-change mix; funding cost is charged at the rate in force each month rather than one blended average.
State the residual you will not claim, with its size, and give a range rather than a point wherever cohorts have not yet reached 12 months on book.

Follow-up

The swap-in group is only 6 percent of applications. How does that change the way you present the number, and to whom?
What would you have needed to set up at launch to make this attribution clean, and why was a randomised band around the cutoff not used?

Recommend a decision whose true outcome matures a year later

Hard · decision under censoring · leading indicators · staged rollout

An underwriting rule change must be decided in six weeks. Its real outcome, the vintage 90-plus rate at months_on_book 12 in fct_loan_performance_monthly, matures in a year. The executive wants a yes or no, not a range. Randomising the credit decision across the whole population is not available. Name the leading indicator you would accept, state its bias and the direction of that bias, define the decision rule and stopping condition before any rollout starts, and say what reading would make you recommend reversing the change.

Approach

Fix the readout before the rollout, because a readout chosen after the data arrives is a story rather than a decision rule: indicator, window, threshold and reversal condition all go in writing first.
Choose the leading indicator on its measured relationship to the matured outcome in historical vintages rather than on availability. Early delinquency, typically the share reaching dpd_1_29 or missing a first scheduled payment by months_on_book 3, is the usual candidate, and you quantify how well it predicted the 12-month rate across past cohorts.
State the bias and its direction plainly: early delinquency under-represents default that emerges later and is contaminated by servicing and payment-date effects, so treat it as a floor on risk rather than an estimate of it.
Buy identification where full randomisation is unavailable: a narrow randomised approval band around the cutoff, or a staged rollout by channel or region read as a difference-in-differences, with the parallel-trends assumption stated and checked in the pre-period rather than assumed.
Give the executive the binary they asked for with the trigger attached in the same sentence: yes, conditional on the month-3 indicator staying inside a stated band, with an automatic hold if it breaches.

Follow-up

How would you validate that the month-3 indicator predicts the 12-month outcome, and what evidence would invalidate it mid-rollout?
Compliance refuses a randomised band. What is your next-best identification strategy, and what precision do you lose by taking it?