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City National Bank Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Data scientist interview prep for City National Bank: original practice on experiment design, SQL and metric reasoning, with worked solutions.

The 60-second brief

A Data Scientist at City National Bank plays a pivotal role in harnessing data to drive strategic insights and improve decision-making within the Commercial Banking Pricing & Profitability team. This position is integral to designing and optimizing pricing strategies that enhance profitability while maintaining customer satisfaction. As a Data Scientist, you will leverage advanced analytical techniques and machine learning algorithms to extract meaningful patterns from complex datasets, ultimately guiding product offerings and improving market competitiveness.

Ask early whether the loop includes an asynchronous take-home or a timed live case, because the two are graded on different things. A take-home is read as an artifact: the question you decided to answer, what you did about missing or malformed records, and a conclusion stated plainly enough for someone to act on. A reviewer who cannot rerun your notebook discounts the result whatever score is printed in it. Hold to the stated time box and write down what you would have done with more of it, since the follow-up round is usually a live defence of the same work.

Focus areas

Separate authorization, settlement and dispute outcomes cleanly
Reconcile amounts in minor units and currency
Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD

Overview

You will engage with diverse teams, including product management, risk assessment, and marketing, to ensure that data-driven insights are effectively translated into actionable business strategies. The complexity of banking data, combined with the urgency of real-time decision-making, makes this role both challenging and rewarding. You will contribute to projects that involve customer segmentation, revenue forecasting, and pricing optimization, which are crucial for achieving City National Bank’s goals.

This role is critical not just for immediate financial outcomes but also for shaping the bank's long-term strategy in a rapidly evolving market. Expect to work on high-impact projects that influence both internal operations and customer experiences, making your contributions vital to the bank's success.

The City National Bank interview process

City National Bank candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Phone Screen

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

Technical Interviews

Before anything else, this round is a reading test. You are given a small schema and a question phrased in business language, and most of the difficulty sits in the gap between them. Who counts as an active user, does a refunded order still count as an order, is that date column an event time or a load time. Weak answers start typing immediately and compute something precise about the wrong population. Strong ones pin the definition in one sentence, name the column that encodes it, then write the query. On a timed assessment with nobody to tell, write the definition in a comment anyway.

What to demonstrate

Whether an ambiguous term becomes a specific column and filter before any computation happens
Whether you read the schema for keys and cardinality rather than only for column names
Whether the result answers the question at the grain it was asked at, per user or per session or per day

How to prepare

Take three metrics you already use and write down the exact filter and exact grain behind each, then practise stating one of them in a single sentence out loud
On a schema you have never seen, spend the first minute writing what one row of each table means and which key it is unique on, then predict which joins can duplicate rows
Rehearse a version where the definition changes halfway through, and edit the query you have instead of starting over

Behavioral Assessments

Behavioural answers from data candidates get audited in a way that answers from other roles do not. When you say a model lifted retention, the next question is the denominator, the window, and how you knew the lift was not seasonal. So attach the measurement to each claim while you tell it: what the metric was before, over what period, and against what comparison. Numbers with no baseline read as rounded-up memory, and one unsupported figure tends to make the rest of the story sound rehearsed.

What to demonstrate

Whether each impact number arrives with a baseline, a window and a comparison, or as a bare percentage
Whether you can name the method that attributed the effect to your work (an experiment, a staged rollout, a seasonal control) or concede the link was correlational
Whether the magnitudes stay internally consistent when the interviewer multiplies them against the scale you described earlier

How to prepare

For each story, write the impact line as metric, value before, value after, window, and how attribution was established. Any line missing two of those five is a follow-up you will answer badly.
Re-derive one headline number from the source table rather than the deck that reported it. Resume numbers drift upward across retellings.
Decide in advance which figures you cannot share, and prepare the ratio or relative change you can give instead, so a confidentiality limit does not read as evasion.

Where candidates lose points

Averaging delinquency across a book that is growing

A loan three months old cannot be 90 days past due, so a portfolio with many recent originations reports a low blended 90+ rate purely from age mix. The blended rate falls fastest exactly when originations grow fastest, which is precisely when credit quality most needs watching, so the metric moves in the reassuring direction during the riskiest period. Only comparisons at equal months on book are valid, which is what a vintage or roll-rate view enforces.

Reading the most recent months of fraud and dispute rates as final

Consumer dispute rights commonly run around 120 days from the transaction or expected delivery date, and several reason codes run considerably longer, so the disputes belonging to a recent transaction month have simply not been filed yet. Any chart attributed by transaction date therefore slopes down at the right edge regardless of what is happening. The fix is to report only matured cohorts, or to apply development factors estimated from completed months and to show the estimate as an estimate.

Answering a product-sense question with a list of features

Answer with a decision and the measurement that would settle it: the hypothesis, the primary metric, the guardrails, and the result that would make you not ship. A feature brainstorm cannot be wrong, which is exactly why it earns no points.

Stopping an experiment the moment it crosses significance

Fix the sample size or duration before launch, or use a method built for continuous monitoring such as a sequential test, always-valid confidence intervals, or group-sequential boundaries. Repeatedly checking a fixed-horizon p-value against 0.05 pushes the real false-positive rate well above 5 percent.

Questions & practice

Describe a time you implemented a machine learning model in a production environment.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

Can you explain the time complexity of your algorithm?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.

Follow-up

Where could label leakage enter this setup?
How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

Build a vintage delinquency table without pivot or unstack

Easy · vintage analysis · cohorts · groupby · cumulative max

fct_loan_performance_monthly gives loan_id, origination_month, months_on_book, days_past_due, charge_off_flag and restructured_flag. Produce a DataFrame with one row per origination_month and columns for months_on_book 0 through 12, each cell holding the share of that vintage's funded loans that had ever reached 90 or more days past due, or charge-off, by that age. You may not use pivot, pivot_table, crosstab or unstack. Cells for ages a cohort has not yet reached must be NaN rather than zero.

Approach

Define the per-row indicator as days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag, then take a cumulative maximum of it per loan ordered by months_on_book, because the metric is reached-by-age-m, not in-that-state-at-age-m.
Deal with restructuring before the cumulative max. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so a restructured loan re-enters at current and, without the cumulative maximum carrying its pre-restructure worst state, reads as a cure.
Fix the denominator once as the count of distinct loan_id per origination_month across the whole cohort. Prepaid and charged-off loans stop producing rows, so a denominator recomputed at each age silently shrinks exactly where losses land.
Aggregate with groupby(['origination_month','months_on_book'])['ever_90'].sum(), then pre-build the output frame indexed by sorted origination months with integer columns 0 to 12 and assign from the grouped Series by .loc on its index.
Mask cells beyond each cohort's maximum observed months_on_book so an immature cell reads NaN instead of an artificially low rate.

Worked solution (30 min)

Sort by loan_id and months_on_book, build the ever_90 indicator, then apply groupby('loan_id')['ever_90'].cummax().
Compute cohort_size as the distinct loan_id count per origination_month, before any filtering on age.
Group the cumulative indicator by origination_month and months_on_book and sum it to get the numerator per cell.
Create the output frame with the sorted origination months as index and range(0, 13) as columns, fill it from the grouped Series, and divide each row by its cohort_size.
Compute each cohort's maximum observed months_on_book and set every cell to the right of it to NaN.

Expected result: A DataFrame with one row per origination_month and columns 0 to 12, values non-decreasing left to right within every row, near zero in column 0, and NaN forming an upper-right triangle where cohorts have not yet aged.

Verify it yourself

Every row is non-decreasing across columns; a decrease means the cumulative maximum was not applied or a restructure reset leaked through.
The denominator per row equals the cohort's distinct loan count and does not change across columns.
Column 0 is at or near zero for every vintage, since a loan cannot be 90 days past due at its first month end.
origination_month plus months_on_book is constant along an anti-diagonal, so one anti-diagonal should reproduce a direct calendar-month filter.

Follow-up

Two adjacent vintages diverge at months_on_book 6. How would you separate seasoning, mix shift and a genuine credit-quality change?
The three most recent vintages look best on this table. What do you check before saying so?
How does the table change if charge-off policy moved from 180 to 120 days past due partway through the series?

What libraries do you commonly use for data analysis and why?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Write a SQL query to find the top 5 customers based on transaction volume.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.

Follow-up

What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?

Vintage ninety-plus rate at twelve months on book

Medium · vintage analysis · window functions · right censoring

From fct_loan_performance_monthly, build a vintage table keyed on origination_month: the share of each cohort that ever reached days_past_due of 90 or more, or charge_off_flag = true, at or before months_on_book = 12. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so for any loan with restructured_flag true, evaluate only the month ends strictly before its first restructured month. Return origination_month, loans_funded, bad_loans and bad_rate. Exclude any cohort that does not yet have a months_on_book = 12 observation for every loan still on book.

Approach

Establish the cohort denominator from the first month end each loan appears at, months_on_book = 0, so a loan is counted once in its origination_month rather than once per monthly row.
Find each loan's first restructured month with MIN(as_of_month_end) FILTER (WHERE restructured_flag) OVER (PARTITION BY loan_id), or the equivalent grouped subquery, and keep it null for loans never restructured.
Flag a loan bad if any row with months_on_book <= 12 and as_of_month_end earlier than that first restructured month has days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag = true, which is what 'pre-restructure worst state' means in practice.
Gate maturity by requiring the cohort's newest month end to be at least 12 months after origination_month, and report immature cohorts as incomplete rather than letting them appear at a flattering low rate.
Aggregate to one row per origination_month and read the column downward, not across calendar time, because the whole point is comparing cohorts at equal age.

Worked solution (35 min)

CTE 1: per loan_id, derive origination_month, the first restructured month end, and the maximum months_on_book observed.
CTE 2: join back to the monthly rows, filter to months_on_book <= 12 and to month ends before any restructure, then flag bad with a BOOL_OR.
CTE 3: aggregate to origination_month with COUNT() as loans_funded and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE is_bad) as bad_loans.
Apply the maturity gate and compute bad_rate with a numeric cast.

Expected result: One row per matured origination_month with loans_funded, bad_loans and a bad_rate between 0 and 1. The most recent immature cohorts are absent from the output entirely rather than present with a small bad_rate.

Verify it yourself

SUM(loans_funded) across reported cohorts equals COUNT(DISTINCT loan_id) restricted to those same origination months.
Recomputing without the months_on_book cap raises bad_rate monotonically for every cohort, and raises it most for the oldest, which is the seasoning effect made visible.
No cohort in the output has a maximum months_on_book below 12.

Follow-up

Should a restructure inside 12 months count as bad in its own right? Argue both sides and say what you would actually ship.
A loan that prepaid in full at month 4 never had a chance to go 90 days past due. In or out of the denominator, and why?
The 2025-11 cohort is two points worse at month 12 than its neighbours. What three queries do you run before you call it a credit-quality change?

How do you prioritize tasks when managing multiple projects?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Describe your process for conducting a market analysis using data.

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

If given a dataset with various features, how would you determine which features are most significant?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

What steps would you take to identify anomalies in a dataset?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Explain the difference between supervised and unsupervised learning.

Medium

Approach

Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.
State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.

Follow-up

What assumption would you test first?
How would you know your answer was wrong?

Size a two-week test on the ecommerce authorization path

Easy · power · mde · ratio metrics · clustering

Your team wants to test a new decline-retry policy on the ecommerce channel. The metric is the dollar-weighted authorization approval rate from fct_payment_authorization: approved amount_minor over attempted amount_minor, after collapsing retry chains within a 15-minute window on (card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor) and excluding is_reversal rows and zero-amount verifications, all converted to one reporting currency. Baseline is 87 percent on roughly 900,000 collapsed attempts in two weeks. Randomisation is by customer_id, mean six attempts per customer. Give the minimum detectable effect at 80 percent power, two-sided alpha 0.05, and say what you would change if it is too large.

Approach

Compute the count-weighted binomial anchor first, because it is the number everyone expects and you need it to show why it is wrong. With n = 450,000 attempts per arm and p = 0.87, MDE = (1.96 + 0.8416) * sqrt(2p(1-p)/n).
State that the real metric is a ratio of two sums with a random denominator, not a Bernoulli mean, so the binomial standard error is not the right one. Linearise: Var(R) is approximately Var(Y_i - R * D_i) / (n * Dbar^2), where Y_i and D_i are the approved and attempted amount totals for customer i, n is the number of customers, and Dbar is the mean attempted amount per customer.
Apply the clustering correction, since assignment is by customer and attempts within a customer are correlated. Ask for or estimate the intra-customer correlation; the design effect is 1 + (m - 1) * rho with m = 6, so rho = 0.05 gives 1.25 and inflates the MDE by sqrt(1.25) = 1.118.
Do not assume the amount-weighted variance; estimate it by bootstrapping customers from the last eight weeks of history and resampling whole customers, which captures both the skew in amount_minor and the within-customer correlation in one step.
If the MDE exceeds the plausible effect, list the levers in order of cost: extend duration (MDE falls as 1/sqrt(n)), restrict to the segment where the rule can bind at all rather than diluting across all traffic, apply CUPED on the customer's pre-period approved amount, or switch the primary to the count-weighted rate and demote the dollar-weighted rate to a secondary read.

Worked solution (20 min)

Split 900,000 collapsed attempts into 450,000 per arm and compute the binomial anchor: sqrt(2 * 0.87 * 0.13 / 450000) = sqrt(5.027e-7) = 7.090e-4; multiply by 2.8016 to get 1.99e-3.
Derive the customer count: 900,000 / 6 = 150,000 customers, 75,000 per arm, and note that this is the true sample size for inference.
Apply the design effect at rho = 0.05: 1 + 5 * 0.05 = 1.25, so the count-weighted MDE becomes 1.99e-3 * 1.118 = 2.22e-3.
State that the dollar-weighted MDE requires the linearised variance and cannot be derived from p alone; specify the customer-level bootstrap that would produce it and note it will be larger because amount_minor is right-skewed.

Expected result: Count-weighted MDE is about 0.20 percentage points unclustered and about 0.22 percentage points at a design effect of 1.25, against an 87 percent baseline (roughly 0.26 percent relative). The dollar-weighted MDE is not computable from the stated inputs and must be estimated by a customer-level bootstrap; the candidate should say so rather than quote the binomial figure for it.

Verify it yourself

z(0.975) + z(0.80) = 1.9600 + 0.8416 = 2.8016; any MDE quoted with a different multiplier is using different power or alpha than stated.
Doubling the test duration should shrink the MDE by exactly sqrt(2) = 1.414 if the traffic mix is stable; if a candidate's arithmetic does not, the formula is wrong.
Run the bootstrap on two historical periods split A/A: the bootstrap standard error of the difference times 2.8016 should reproduce the analytic MDE.
A/A splits of historical data should reject at roughly 5 percent; materially more means the variance model is understated.

Follow-up

The rule only changes behaviour on declined attempts, which are 13 percent of traffic. How does restricting the analysis population to attempts that could have triggered the rule change both the MDE and the estimand?
How would your sizing change if the split were 90/10 instead of 50/50, and why is the loss more than proportional?
Currency: the metric sums amounts converted to one reporting currency. Would you use settlement_fx_rate or a rate table pinned at test start, and what does the choice do to variance?

A single day of settled volume comes in thirty percent low

Medium · pipeline failure · null rates · data freshness

Yesterday's settled volume is 30 percent below the same weekday across the previous eight weeks, while authorization counts and approved counts for the day look normal. You have fct_payment_authorization with requested_at, captured_at, captured_amount_minor, settled_at, settlement_amount_minor, settlement_currency, created_at and updated_at, plus warehouse load metadata. Decide within the hour whether this is a real drop or a load problem, and say what you would post to the on-call channel in either case.

Approach

Check the data before the business. Compare max(updated_at) and row counts per load partition for the affected day against the prior eight same weekdays; a truncated load usually shows as a count deficit confined to a specific hour range.
Measure null rates per column by requested_at date. Authorization fields present while settled_at and settlement_amount_minor are null points at the settlement feed; a uniform deficit across all columns points at ingestion.
Separate late arrival from loss. Settlement lands after authorization by design, so re-measure the same day 24 and 48 hours later. A deficit that closes on the next load is lag, not a drop.
Reconcile against the independent source: tie the day's settled total to the settlement ledger or acquirer file. If the ledger has the money and the warehouse does not, the business number was never wrong.
Only after those four steps consider a business explanation, and then only if a segment cut produces a coherent story rather than a flat haircut spread evenly across every merchant and channel.
Close by splitting the alert: a freshness and completeness check on the settlement feed, separate from the volume alert, so the next occurrence is classified automatically.

Follow-up

How would you make the daily volume alert immune to settlement lag without also hiding a genuine drop?
What is the right way to restate a published number after a backfill lands?
Which check catches a partial load that is uniform across the day rather than concentrated in one window?

Suggested practice checklist

Four days spend equal time on query work, statistics, modelling and product judgement at deliberately shallow depth, which produces a scored map of where you actually stand. The last three days spend everything on the two areas the role weights most, and close by re-running day one to measure movement.

Day 1 — Breadth pass: query fluency

Solve six prompts spanning aggregation, joins, window functions and date arithmetic in 60 minutes total, stopping at 10 minutes each whether or not it works, and mark every prompt as solved, solved slowly, or stuck.
For each unsolved prompt write the single blocking sentence (I lost the grain, I did not know the frame clause, I could not express the date boundary) instead of reading the solution.
Translate one pandas transformation you know well into SQL and one SQL query into pandas, checking that both return the same row count and the same totals.

Deliverable: A scored six-row table, one line per prompt, saved for the day-seven re-run.

Day 2 — Breadth pass: statistics and inference

Answer ten short questions in writing with nothing open: what a p-value is conditional on, what a 95 percent interval covers across repeated samples, when a paired test is the right one, what the bootstrap estimates, why multiple comparisons inflate false positives, how controlling the family-wise error rate differs from controlling the false discovery rate, what power depends on, what a missed real effect costs a product, the three situations where the central limit theorem does not rescue you (small n, very heavy tails, dependent observations), and what a standard error is the standard deviation of.
Grade yourself against a reference and count only the answers that were exactly right, not the ones that were nearly right.
Rewrite the two weakest answers the following morning from memory in full sentences.

Deliverable: Ten graded answers with an honest count of exact hits.

Day 3 — Breadth pass: modelling

Take one tabular dataset end to end in 90 minutes: a leakage-safe split, a baseline that is not a model (majority class or historical mean), one regularized linear model, one gradient-boosted tree, and a single evaluation metric chosen before you look at any result.
Write why that metric fits the cost structure: precision at a fixed recall for alerting, calibration for anything feeding a price or a threshold, ranking metrics for retrieval, and note that area under the ROC curve is insensitive to class balance in a way that can flatter a rare-positive problem.
Name the leak you were most likely to introduce (an encoding fit on all rows before splitting, or a feature computed after the label's timestamp) and write the check that would have caught it.

Deliverable: A notebook whose first cell states the metric and the baseline, plus two lines on what beat what and by how much.

Day 4 — Breadth pass: product judgement

Answer three case prompts aloud at 15 minutes each, timing how long passes before you state a success metric.
For one case write the first segmentation you would run and the row counts you expect per segment, so that a tiny segment cannot quietly drive the conclusion.
Take a metric definition you did not write, from a public dashboard, a textbook, or documentation you already have open, and list every place two analysts implementing it would diverge: which rows the denominator admits, whether the unit is an account or a person, what the time window is anchored to, and what happens to data that arrives late. Then write the one question that would close the largest of those gaps.

Deliverable: Three recorded case answers plus an ambiguity list for a metric someone else defined, ending in the single question you would ask about it.

Day 5 — Depth, first area

Rank the four areas by how many bullet points in the role description each one covers, pick the top one, and spend the entire day inside it.
Work the six hardest problems you can find in that area and for each write the generalizable move you should have reached for first, rather than the answer.
Re-solve the two you failed the same evening with notes closed.

Deliverable: Six generalizable moves written as instructions to yourself, not as solutions.

Day 6 — Depth, second area, and the seam between them

Repeat the depth protocol on the second-ranked area with the same six-problem structure.
Construct one problem that requires both areas at once, for example a metric redefinition whose effect you must validate with a test whose readout you then have to query.
Solve your own combined problem end to end and note where the handoff between the two areas cost you time.

Deliverable: One combined problem, solved end to end, with the handoff failure written down.

Day 7 — Integration and re-measurement

Re-run the six prompts from day one under the same clock and compare both correctness and time.
Run a 60-minute mixed mock that moves between areas without warning, since switching cost is what breadth passes do not train.
Write the two areas you would still fail on, and the sentence you will use in the interview when you hit one of them.

Deliverable: A before-and-after score table plus a written plan for the two remaining gaps.

Your part, not the team's

Most data work is done by groups, so an interviewer has to work out which piece was yours. An answer that runs on 'we' for several minutes gets interrupted with a question about what you personally did, and by then the answer sounds defensive even when it is true. Mark your own contribution as you go, and name the parts that belonged to someone else instead of leaving them ambiguous. Keep a few specifics back as well, like the name of the metric or who actually objected, so a probe can be answered with something you had not already said.

Tell me about a challenging project you worked on. What was your role?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
Close with what you would do differently, concretely.

Follow-up

What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Recommend a decision whose true outcome matures a year later

Hard · decision under censoring · leading indicators · staged rollout

An underwriting rule change must be decided in six weeks. Its real outcome, the vintage 90-plus rate at months_on_book 12 in fct_loan_performance_monthly, matures in a year. The executive wants a yes or no, not a range. Randomising the credit decision across the whole population is not available. Name the leading indicator you would accept, state its bias and the direction of that bias, define the decision rule and stopping condition before any rollout starts, and say what reading would make you recommend reversing the change.

Approach

Fix the readout before the rollout, because a readout chosen after the data arrives is a story rather than a decision rule: indicator, window, threshold and reversal condition all go in writing first.
Choose the leading indicator on its measured relationship to the matured outcome in historical vintages rather than on availability. Early delinquency, typically the share reaching dpd_1_29 or missing a first scheduled payment by months_on_book 3, is the usual candidate, and you quantify how well it predicted the 12-month rate across past cohorts.
State the bias and its direction plainly: early delinquency under-represents default that emerges later and is contaminated by servicing and payment-date effects, so treat it as a floor on risk rather than an estimate of it.
Buy identification where full randomisation is unavailable: a narrow randomised approval band around the cutoff, or a staged rollout by channel or region read as a difference-in-differences, with the parallel-trends assumption stated and checked in the pre-period rather than assumed.
Give the executive the binary they asked for with the trigger attached in the same sentence: yes, conditional on the month-3 indicator staying inside a stated band, with an automatic hold if it breaches.

Follow-up

How would you validate that the month-3 indicator predicts the 12-month outcome, and what evidence would invalidate it mid-rollout?
Compliance refuses a randomised band. What is your next-best identification strategy, and what precision do you lose by taking it?

State honestly what your cutoff change actually contributed

Hard · impact attribution · swap set · counterfactual

Six months ago your recommendation moved a credit cutoff, using fct_loan_application and fct_loan_performance_monthly. Since then approval rate rose four points and the 12-month vintage 90-plus rate on affected cohorts is flat. In the same window the bureau changed a score attribute, marketing shifted channel mix toward broker, and the internal funding rate moved. Your performance review asks for impact in currency terms. Give the number you would stand behind, the counterfactual it rests on, and the part of the observed movement you would not claim.

Approach

Define the counterfactual before computing anything: the claim is not what happened after the change, it is what would have happened had the old cutoff scored the same applications, which means replaying the old threshold on the post-change population.
Build the swap set: applications the new cutoff approves that the old one declined, applications the old one approved that the new one declines, and everyone else held out as unaffected. Only the swap groups carry your effect. Note that the swap-out group has no outcome under the new rule, because those loans were never funded, so its forgone margin must be estimated from matched pre-change approvals rather than observed.
Price each swap group at months_on_book equal to 12 on the measure the cutoff was meant to move: interest and fees collected, minus net charge-offs, minus funding cost at the internal transfer rate.
Strip the confounders explicitly. Cohorts affected by the bureau attribute change are either recomputed on the old attribute or excluded; channel mix is held fixed by reweighting to the pre-change mix; funding cost is charged at the rate in force each month rather than one blended average.
State the residual you will not claim, with its size, and give a range rather than a point wherever cohorts have not yet reached 12 months on book.

Follow-up

The swap-in group is only 6 percent of applications. How does that change the way you present the number, and to whom?
What would you have needed to set up at launch to make this attribution clean, and why was a randomised band around the cutoff not used?