Interview guides · CACI
CACI Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Diagnose a metric move for CACI data scientist prep: split by segment, rule out a logging change, separate mix shift from behaviour.
The 60-second brief
As a Data Scientist at CACI, you play a pivotal role in transforming data into actionable insights that drive strategic decisions and enhance operational efficiency. This position is integral to the company’s mission of delivering innovative solutions to complex challenges across various sectors, including defense, intelligence, and civil markets. By leveraging advanced analytical techniques, you will contribute significantly to the development of products and services that impact users and stakeholders alike.
How much statistics you need depends on the flavour of the seat. Experiment-facing work wants you deep enough to notice that repeated looks at accumulating data inflate the false positive rate of a fixed-sample test; modelling-facing work wants estimation and honest uncertainty intervals.
Focus areas
- Turn a vague request into a measurable question
- Define numerator, denominator and window precisely
- Separate novelty effects from durable behaviour change
Overview
The Data Scientist role at CACI involves working with large datasets, applying machine learning algorithms, and creating predictive models to solve real-world problems. You will collaborate with cross-functional teams, including engineers and product managers, to ensure that data-driven insights are effectively integrated into project workflows. The complexity and scale of the data you will handle create an exciting and dynamic environment, pushing the boundaries of technology and analytics.
In this role, you will not only enhance existing processes but also innovate new methodologies, making it a critical position that influences both the immediate team and the broader organizational objectives. Candidates can expect to engage in a variety of projects that challenge their technical skills while contributing to the national security and public service sectors.
The CACI interview process
CACI candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Phone Screen
A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
- Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
- Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling
How to prepare
- Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
- Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
- Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice
Technical Assessments
A handful of shapes account for most of what gets asked in this format: a ranking or deduplication inside groups, a running or rolling total, a period-over-period comparison, and a cohort tracked forward over time. Recognising the shape quickly is most of the speed here; deriving it from scratch while a clock runs is where the time goes. Know that a window function keeps every row while a GROUP BY collapses them, and know which one the question needs. If the exercise is in Python instead of SQL, the same shapes arrive as groupby with transform, shift and merge, and the same grain mistakes are available.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you reach the right construct without a detour, such as ROW_NUMBER over a partition to deduplicate instead of a self-join against a MAX subquery
- Whether you know what your window frame actually is, since adding ORDER BY inside OVER changes the default frame and silently changes a running total
- Whether the thing runs. A near-miss that throws an error scores below a plainer query that returns the right rows.
How to prepare
- Write each of the four shapes once from memory against a small schema and keep the working version somewhere you will reread it: dedupe with ROW_NUMBER, a running total, a month-over-month change with LAG, and a retention table
- Compute one running total twice on data with tied timestamps, once on the default frame and once with ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, and look at where the two disagree
- If Python is on the table, rebuild the dedupe and the running total with groupby and cumsum, then assert the two implementations return identical rows
Behavioral Questions
Rounds of this kind usually include one question about work that did not go well, and it is the part that carries the most information. Anyone can narrate a shipped win. What the interviewer learns from a project that stalled is how you behave without a result to hide behind: whether you noticed the problem yourself, how long it took, and who you told. Answers that route the failure onto a data pipeline or a reorganisation close the topic without answering it, and the follow-up comes back to your own part.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you found the error yourself or someone else found it, and how long it sat before anyone knew
- What you changed afterwards, stated as a check you now run rather than a lesson you now believe
- Whether the mistake you choose has real cost attached, such as a quarter of misdirected roadmap or a metric that was reported upward, instead of one that flatters you
How to prepare
- Choose a failure you caught yourself and be ready to say what tipped you off. A story where someone else caught it is still usable, but you will be asked why you missed it.
- Write down the check you added afterwards and where it lives now, so the correction is a concrete artefact rather than a resolution.
- Rehearse saying the cost out loud. Candidates shrink the number by instinct once the interviewer is in the room.
Case Studies
Underneath the business framing, this round is usually asking whether you can turn a fuzzy goal into a quantity that could be computed from data such a business would plausibly hold. That means a metric with a stated numerator, denominator, eligibility rule and time window, plus an honest account of the conditions under which it would mislead you. Answers come apart when a candidate names a familiar metric and never defines it, because every follow-up then lands on an ambiguity that was left open and the candidate has to invent the definition under pressure.
What to demonstrate
- Whether a named metric arrives with its denominator, eligibility rule and window attached rather than assumed
- Whether the measure follows from the mechanism you proposed, or is a recognisable metric retrofitted to it afterwards
- Whether you name a guardrail that would reveal the gain came from somewhere you did not want it to come from
- Whether you can say what data the plan requires and what you would settle for if that logging were never implemented
How to prepare
- Take five metrics you reach for by reflex and write each as one sentence containing numerator, denominator, eligibility rule and time window. The ones you cannot finish are the ones that will fail under follow-up.
- For a product you use daily, write the measurement plan you would propose for a change to it: primary metric, one guardrail, the unit of analysis, and the table the numbers would come from.
- Practise the substitution question. For three metrics you like, write what you would measure instead if the event you depend on were not being logged.
Where candidates lose points
Slicing a flat experiment until a segment reaches significance
Testing one metric across twenty segments at a nominal 5% level produces a significant result about two thirds of the time when nothing is happening anywhere, and the segment that surfaces is by construction the one with the most favourable noise. The reported effect in that slice is then badly overstated, because selection on significance conditions the estimate on being large. What makes it dangerous rather than merely wrong is that a post-hoc segment always has a plausible story attached, so it survives the meeting. The controls are declaring the small number of segments of interest before launch, correcting across the ones tested, and treating anything discovered afterwards as a hypothesis that needs its own adequately-powered test rather than a finding.
Comparing cohort retention curves of different maturities, or building the curve from users who are still present
A cohort four weeks old has no week-8 value, so an average taken across cohorts silently drops young cohorts from the later columns and keeps them in the earlier ones. The curve then bends upward at the tail, and the reading that 'retention is improving over time' is an artefact of which cohorts survived to be measured. The same error appears in the denominator when retention is computed over users active in the current period rather than over the full original cohort, which conditions on survival and guarantees a flattering number. The fix is a triangle: fix the cohort at signup, bound every window on both sides, and only compare cells where every cohort has had the full elapsed time, publishing the rest as blank rather than as a partial average.
Explaining an aggregate move without decomposing the mix shift
Split the change in the aggregate into within-segment movement and movement in segment weights before you explain it. Every segment's rate can fall while the overall rate rises, purely because volume shifted toward segments that already had higher rates.
Reporting a mean for a heavy-tailed metric without saying what it hides
For spend, session length or items per order, a small fraction of units carries most of the total, so the mean has a wide standard error and one account can move it. Fix the handling before you see the result: cap or winsorise at a pre-declared percentile, and report the median or the share above a threshold next to the mean. Capping changes the estimand, so say which question the capped number answers, and check how much of any difference comes from the top 0.1 percent of units.
Questions & practice
What are the time complexities of common sorting algorithms?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
- Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Follow-up
- Where could label leakage enter this setup?
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
Split a pooled conversion drop into rate and mix
Medium · mix shift · decomposition · pandas
You have weekly visit-to-signup counts by segment: a DataFrame with week, device_type, referrer_channel, visitors and signups. The pooled rate fell 0.84 percentage points between two consecutive weeks while several individual segments rose. Write a function that, for a caller-supplied list of segment columns, splits the pooled change into a rate effect, a mix effect and an interaction term that sum exactly to the observed change. Return those three scalars plus a per-segment contribution table sorted by absolute contribution, so the largest single driver can be named.
Approach
- State the algebra before coding: the pooled rate is r = sum over segments of w_s * r_s, with w_s the segment's share of the denominator. Then r1 - r0 decomposes exactly into sum(w_s0 * (r_s1 - r_s0)) for rate, sum((w_s1 - w_s0) * r_s0) for mix, and sum((w_s1 - w_s0) * (r_s1 - r_s0)) for interaction. The identity is per-segment, so it holds for any numbers you put in the four slots.
- Pivot both weeks onto a common segment index with an outer join so a segment that appeared or vanished is kept rather than dropped, then decide what rate to give a segment with no visitors in one of the weeks, and document the choice. The identity stays exact either way because the missing week's weight is 0, but the attribution does not. Filling the missing rate with 0 sends an appearing segment's entire w_s1 * r_s1 into the interaction term, since w_s0 = 0 makes both the rate term and the mix term (w_s1 - w_s0) * r_s0 identically zero; a vanishing segment then splits as -w_s0 * r_s0 in rate, -w_s0 * r_s0 in mix and +w_s0 * r_s0 in interaction.
- The convention used below instead imputes the missing week's rate as that week's pooled rate. A vanishing segment then lands wholly in mix at -w_s0 * r_s0, with rate and interaction cancelling; an appearing segment puts w_s1 * r_pooled0 in mix (volume arriving at the average rate) and only w_s1 * (r_s1 - r_pooled0) in interaction (its rate differing from that average). Impute by which week the segment is missing from, never by argument order, or the swap identities below stop holding.
- Guard the division where visitors is 0 so no NaN enters the vectors, because a single NaN poisons every sum. A segment with zero visitors in both weeks contributes exactly 0 and can be dropped; a segment missing from only one week does not contribute 0, and where its contribution lands is settled by the convention above, not by the guard.
- Compute the three components as vectors over segments, then sum. Keep the vectors, because the per-segment contribution table is what turns the decomposition into an explanation.
- Assert that the three components sum to the observed pooled change within floating-point tolerance. This identity is exact, so a mismatch means an implementation bug, not a modelling judgement.
Worked solution (25 min)
- Aggregate to one row per (week, segment tuple) with summed visitors and signups, then split into w0 and w1 frames and align with an outer join, filling missing visitors and signups with 0.
- Compute w_s = visitors / visitors.sum() within each week, and r_s = signups / visitors only where visitors > 0. Where a week's visitors are 0, set that week's r_s to that week's pooled rate, the stated convention; never leave it NaN.
- rate_effect = (w0 * (r1 - r0)).sum(); mix_effect = ((w1 - w0) * r0).sum(); interaction = ((w1 - w0) * (r1 - r0)).sum().
- contribution = w0*(r1-r0) + (w1-w0)r0 + (w1-w0)(r1-r0) per segment, which reduces to w1r1 - w0r0; sort by abs and return the head.
- assert abs(rate + mix + interaction - (pooled1 - pooled0)) < 1e-12.
Expected result: Three scalars summing exactly to the observed pooled change, plus a segment table whose contribution column also sums to that change. In the stated case rate and mix carry opposite signs: several segments converted better while volume moved toward a weaker-converting one, which is what makes the pooled move look inexplicable until it is split.
Verify it yourself
- On synthetic data where every segment appears in both weeks, every segment rate is held constant and only the weights move, rate_effect and interaction are exactly 0.
- On synthetic data where every segment appears in both weeks, weights are held constant and only rates move, mix_effect and interaction are exactly 0.
- The per-segment contribution column sums to the pooled change, matching the sum of the three scalars.
- Swapping the two weeks negates the total, as it must, but not the parts. Assert the three identities that actually hold: the interaction term is exactly invariant, because both of its factors change sign; the swapped rate effect equals -(rate_effect + interaction); and the swapped mix effect equals -(mix_effect + interaction). They still sum to the negated pooled change. Expecting all three to flip sign is the common wrong assertion.
- Plant a segment present only in week 1, holding 3 percent of week-1 visitors at a rate well below pooled. Under the documented pooled-rate convention its mix contribution is w_s1 * r_pooled0 and its interaction contribution is w_s1 * (r_s1 - r_pooled0), with a rate contribution of exactly 0; under a zero-fill convention its mix contribution is exactly 0 and the whole w_s1 * r_s1 lands in interaction. Assert whichever one the function documents, and fail if mix is asserted non-zero while the code zero-fills.
Follow-up
- The mix effect accounts for 0.71 of the 0.84 point drop, driven by paid_social volume. What is your recommendation, and what would change it?
- Why is a two-way split into a counterfactual rate and a residual also exact, and when would you prefer it to the three-way version?
- Segmenting on device and channel leaves a large interaction term. What does that tell you about the choice of segments?
Implement seven-day activation from its written definition
Medium · metric definition · cohorts · pandas · joins
Implement the seven-day activation rate. Inputs: dim_user with user_id, account_created_at_utc and is_internal; fct_event with user_id, occurred_at_utc and is_core_action. A user activates when core-action events carrying a non-NULL user_id fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). The denominator is every non-internal user whose account_created_at_utc lands in the cohort week, including users with no events at all. Return one row per cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, publishing only weeks whose last signup is at least eight days old.
Approach
- Build the denominator first, from dim_user alone, filtered on is_internal = False. Deriving it from the join is the standard way to lose every user who never fired an event, which is exactly the population the metric is about.
- Join events to users on user_id with a left join from the user side, then apply the window as a half-open interval: occurred_at >= created AND occurred_at < created + 7 days. The right bound is exclusive, so an event at exactly created + 7 days does not count.
- Count distinct UTC dates per user, not distinct events. Floor occurred_at_utc to date before the nunique, and do it in UTC rather than local time so the threshold does not move with the user's country.
- Apply the >= 2 threshold, aggregate to cohort week, and compute the rate by re-summing numerator and denominator per week rather than averaging any per-user or per-day rate. Fix the week anchor explicitly: cohort_week is the Monday of the signup week in UTC, which is what Postgres DATE_TRUNC('week') returns and what any SQL version of this metric will produce. In pandas, subtract dt.weekday days from the floored timestamp. If you reach for periods instead, the anchor that matches is to_period('W') (equivalently 'W-SUN'), whose weeks end Sunday and therefore start Monday; to_period('W-MON') labels weeks that end on Monday, so it runs Tuesday through Monday and its start_time is a Tuesday. Mixing the two shifts every cohort label by one day and silently moves Mondays into the previous week.
- Suppress immature weeks: drop any cohort week whose maximum account_created_at_utc is within 8 days of the data cut, and return them as absent rather than as a partial number.
Follow-up
- The threshold is 2 distinct days. What changes in the reported history if someone moves it to 3, and how would you publish that change?
- Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users have no pre-signup session. Should they be in this denominator at all, and what does including them do to the rate for sales-assisted accounts?
- How would you produce the same metric at account grain, and which of the two would you put on the dashboard?
Can you explain the difference between supervised and unsupervised learning?
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
- Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
Follow-up
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
Write a function to calculate the mean and median of a list of numbers.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
- Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
Follow-up
- How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
Weekly visit-to-signup conversion split by acquisition channel
Easy · funnel · conversion · aggregation
From fct_session (session_id, visitor_id, started_at_utc, referrer_channel, is_bot_flagged, consent_state) and fct_event (visitor_id, occurred_at_utc, event_name), compute visit-to-signup conversion for one ISO week, split by channel. session_id is the unique key of fct_session. Denominator: distinct visitor_id with a session starting in the week, is_bot_flagged = FALSE and consent_state <> 'denied'. Numerator: those visitors with a 'signup_completed' event in the same week. Label each visitor with the referrer_channel of their first session in the window. Return channel, visitors, signups and rate, plus one all-channel total row.
Approach
- Build a visitor spine that is one row per visitor: filter sessions to the week, drop is_bot_flagged and consent_state = 'denied', then take the first session per visitor with ROW_NUMBER() OVER (PARTITION BY visitor_id ORDER BY started_at_utc, session_id) = 1 to carry the channel label. Collapsing to one row here is what makes the channel buckets mutually exclusive and the totals additive.
- session_id is the unique key, so that ordering is total and the label is reproducible. If the table carried no unique key you would have to write an explicit tie rule instead, because two sessions on different channels at the identical timestamp would otherwise label the visitor differently between runs.
- Attach the outcome as a semi-join (EXISTS on a signup_completed event for that visitor inside the same week) rather than a join to the event table, so a visitor who fires the event twice does not count twice and inflate the numerator past the denominator.
- Aggregate with COUNT() as visitors and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE signed_up) as signups, and compute the rate as signups::numeric / NULLIF(visitors, 0) so an empty channel returns NULL rather than a division error.
- Produce the total with GROUP BY GROUPING SETS ((channel), ()), which re-sums numerator and denominator for the total row. Averaging the channel rates gives a different and wrong number whenever channel volumes differ, which they always do.
- Verify the spine before trusting the output: COUNT(*) must equal COUNT(DISTINCT visitor_id), and the per-channel visitor counts must sum to the total row.
Worked solution (20 min)
- Write the filtered session CTE and check its row count against an unfiltered count, so you know how much volume the bot and consent filters removed.
- Add the ROW_NUMBER first-session pick and assert one row per visitor.
- Add the EXISTS outcome flag and aggregate with FILTER.
- Add GROUPING SETS for the total and format the rate to four decimal places.
- Spot-check one channel by hand: pull its visitor list, count signups directly, compare.
Expected result: One row per referrer_channel plus a total row, with visitors, signups and a decimal rate. Channels with zero signups appear with rate 0, not missing. The total rate lies strictly between the minimum and maximum channel rate unless one channel holds all the volume.
Verify it yourself
- Per-channel visitor counts sum exactly to the total row's visitor count.
- COUNT(*) equals COUNT(DISTINCT visitor_id) on the spine CTE.
- Replacing the EXISTS with a plain inner join changes the signup count only if duplicate signup_completed events exist; if it does change, say by how much.
- Every rate is between 0 and 1.
- Re-running the first-session pick with session_id removed from the ORDER BY returns the same labels; if it does not, visitors hold same-timestamp sessions on different channels and the tie rule is doing real work.
Follow-up
- The denominator is distinct visitors. If a browser release shortens cookie lifetime, what happens to this rate, and how would you tell that apart from a genuine drop?
- A visitor's first session is direct and their signup session is paid search. Your label says direct. When is that the wrong answer for the decision being made?
- How do you roll four weeks into a month, and why is averaging the four weekly rates wrong?
How would you communicate complex data findings to a non-technical audience?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
If you were given a new dataset, outline your steps for analysis from start to finish.
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
Given a dataset with missing values, how would you handle it?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How do you prioritize tasks when working on multiple projects?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you design an experiment to test a hypothesis?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
- Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
Follow-up
- How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
What tools and programming languages are you most comfortable using in your data analysis work?
Medium
Approach
- Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.
- Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
- State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
Follow-up
- How would you know your answer was wrong?
- What assumption would you test first?
Choose one success number for a homepage redesign
Easy · conversion · guardrails · mix effects
A homepage redesign is ready to test. Marketing wants visit-to-signup conversion as the single success metric: distinct fct_session.visitor_id with a 'signup_completed' event in fct_event, over distinct visitor_id with a session started in the window where is_bot_flagged = FALSE and consent_state <> 'denied'. Sessions carry referrer_channel and device_type. Argue for or against that metric, name what you would decide on instead, and give the one guardrail you would refuse to ship without. Deliverable: the metric, the guardrail, and the failure mode in writing.
Approach
- List everything that moves this rate without the page changing: referrer_channel mix, device_type mix, cookie lifetime and bot-rule changes, then pre-register the segments you will decompose on so the decomposition is not chosen after seeing the result.
- Argue that signup is an intermediate outcome the homepage can inflate by over-promising, and propose activated signups per 1,000 eligible visitors — the same numerator further restricted to users clearing the seven-day activation bar — as the number the decision actually rests on.
- Explain the consent exclusion rather than copying it: a 'denied' session can never be joined forward to a user, so leaving it in the denominator puts visitors there who have no path into the numerator and depresses the level permanently.
- Separate what the metric can and cannot be used for: inside a randomised comparison over one window it is fine, but as a trend line across a platform privacy change it will step down because visitor_id resets more often, with no behaviour change behind it.
- State the trade you would accept in advance: a smaller conversion gain with flat activation beats a larger conversion gain with activation down, and write the threshold before the readout.
Worked solution (15 min)
- Restate the proposed metric and list every input that can move it with the page unchanged.
- Compute the mix-held-fixed counterfactual: reweight this period's per-segment rates by last period's segment volumes, and report the difference against the pooled rate as the mix effect.
- Define the decision metric: activated signups per 1,000 eligible visitors, with the seven-day activation predicate spelled out.
- Write the guardrail and the explicit trade-off sentence you would put in the ship decision.
- Record the denominator exclusions with the reason for each, not just the predicate.
Expected result: Conversion kept as a diagnostic, activated signups per 1,000 visitors named as the decision metric, a specified mix decomposition, and one guardrail carrying a written trade-off.
Verify it yourself
- Weekly rates rolled up by re-summing numerator and denominator differ from the average of the weekly rates whenever weekly traffic is uneven. If the two agree, a rate-of-rates has been computed somewhere.
- Per-segment numerators must sum to the pooled numerator. If they do not, a visitor is appearing in two segments and the segmentation is not a partition.
- Activation can only be read eight days after the last signup in the window, so the earliest honest decision date is eight days after the test stops.
Follow-up
- The redesign wins overall but the entire gain sits in paid social. What do you do, and what would change your mind?
- How do you roll four weekly conversion rates up to a month, and why does the obvious way give a different answer?
- Where does holding the segment mix fixed stop working as a correction?
Tell a pipeline outage from a collapse in usage
Medium · pipeline-failure · instrumentation · event-volume
Weekly active accounts completing a core action fell 9%, and almost the entire fall sits in accounts whose events carry surface = 'ios'. App crash rates and store reviews are unchanged. You have fct_event with occurred_at_utc, received_at_utc, event_name, is_core_action, app_version and surface, plus fct_session and the ingestion job run log. Establish within the hour whether iOS engagement fell or iOS events stopped arriving, name the evidence that distinguishes them, and say what you would publish on the dashboard in the meantime.
Approach
- Compare the event-name composition inside surface = 'ios' against the prior four weeks as shares, not counts. A behaviour collapse scales most event names together; a dropped event definition or a broken downstream filter hits specific event_name values while page_view and session-opening events hold steady. That shape difference is the fastest discriminator available.
- Profile the received_at_utc minus occurred_at_utc distribution per day for surface = 'ios'. A stalled-then-backfilling pipeline shows a fat upper tail and a recovering p99; a silently dropped stream shows an unchanged lag distribution over a smaller volume. The two failure modes have different remedies and different histories.
- Cut by app_version. A logging SDK change arrives with one build and ramps with its adoption curve; an infrastructure fault arrives across every build within the same hour. Checking this costs one group-by and rules out half the hypothesis space.
- Cross-check against a signal that does not travel the suspect path: server-emitted events with session_id NULL, and subscription or billing activity for the same accounts. If those accounts are still transacting, the users did not leave.
- Publish an ex-iOS total with an explicit annotated break rather than a blended total. A blended number during a known ingestion gap is wrong in a direction you can already name, and republishing it daily spreads the artefact into every downstream report.
Follow-up
- Suppose the events do eventually backfill. What is your policy for restating the published weekly numbers, and who needs to be told?
- What monitor would have caught this before a human noticed the weekly metric, and what would it alert on?
- If is_core_action is maintained in the tracking plan, what governance would stop a change to that list from silently moving a north-star metric?
Suggested practice checklist
For someone who has spent the last year in notebooks, dashboards or modelling work and has not written raw SQL under time pressure. The first four days rebuild query fluency against a fixture you control and can verify by hand; the last three attach that fluency to the rest of the loop.
Day 1 — Build a fixture you can check answers against
- Create a local Postgres or SQLite database with four tables (users, sessions, events, orders) holding roughly 200 rows you generated yourself, so you know the contents well enough to predict every result.
- Deliberately seed the cases that break queries: a user with no sessions, a session with no events, two orders sharing a timestamp, a NULL in one join key, and one duplicated user row.
- Before writing any SQL, hand-compute five answers on paper (how many users placed at least one order, median orders per ordering user, and three others) and save them as the ground truth for the week.
Deliverable: A one-command seed script plus a text file of five hand-computed answers to grade every later query against.
Day 2 — Joins, filters and NULL semantics
- Answer "which users have no orders" three ways (LEFT JOIN with IS NULL, NOT EXISTS, NOT IN) and confirm that the NOT IN version returns zero rows once the subquery contains a NULL, because the comparison is never TRUE.
- Reproduce the LEFT JOIN that silently collapses to an inner join by putting a right-table predicate in WHERE, then fix it by moving the predicate into the ON clause, and record both row counts.
- Create a fan-out bug on purpose by joining orders to order_items and summing the order total, then correct it with a pre-aggregated subquery and explain in one line which table changed the grain.
Deliverable: One annotated .sql file holding the three join traps, each with the wrong result and the corrected result side by side.
Day 3 — Window functions and frames
- Write three window queries against the fixture: a running order total per user, the rank of each order within its user by value, and the day gap to that user's previous order, then check each against the day-one ground truth.
- Run ROW_NUMBER, RANK and DENSE_RANK over a column containing ties, print all three side by side, and write one sentence on when each is the correct choice.
- Switch one query from the default frame (RANGE BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, which is what you get when ORDER BY is present and no frame is written) to ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, and explain why the output differs only when the ORDER BY column has duplicates.
Deliverable: Three verified window queries plus a short note explaining the RANGE versus ROWS difference in your own words.
Day 4 — The four analytical query patterns
- Write a monthly retention grid: first order month per user, then months-since-first as the column, and verify that month zero equals the cohort size exactly.
- Sessionize the events table under a 30-minute inactivity rule using LAG plus a cumulative sum over a new-session flag.
- Build a four-step funnel that counts distinct users rather than events at each step, and state the rule you applied to a user who reaches step three without ever logging step two.
Deliverable: One file with the retention, sessionization and funnel patterns, each carrying a one-line note on the assumption it bakes in.
Day 5 — Write SQL the way you will have to write it live
- Set a 12-minute timer and solve three medium prompts in a plain editor with no execution and no autocomplete, then run them and tally syntax errors separately from logic errors.
- Narrate one solution aloud while writing it, stating the grain of each intermediate result (one row per user, one row per user-day) before you type its body.
- Rewrite your slowest solution as a CTE chain where every CTE name states its grain, and time yourself re-solving it from blank.
Deliverable: A recording of one narrated solution plus an error tally that separates syntax from logic.
Day 6 — One day for everything that is not SQL
- Write the preconditions of the two-sample t-test from memory, then check them: independent observations, and a difference in means whose sampling distribution is approximately normal, which at large sample sizes follows from the central limit theorem rather than from normality of the raw values.
- Write the difference between an odds ratio from logistic regression and a relative risk, and state the condition under which the two are close (low outcome prevalence).
- Prepare a 90-second answer to "how would you know this model is any good" that names the metric, the baseline you would beat, and the cost of the errors you care about.
Deliverable: One page of notes covering test preconditions, the odds-ratio caveat and the model-quality answer.
Day 7 — Full loop rehearsal
- Run a 45-minute mock with someone willing to interrupt: 20 minutes of SQL, 15 minutes defining a metric, 10 minutes on a past project.
- Re-solve from blank the two queries you were slowest on this week and compare the times against day five.
- Write a five-line answer to "walk me through a project" that puts a number in the first sentence and names the decision the work changed.
Deliverable: Mock feedback notes plus a timed project narrative you can deliver without reading it.
Rigour against a deadline
Nearly every data role forces a trade between the analysis you want and the one that fits the decision window. Prepare a case where you deliberately shipped something less rigorous, named the weakness to the person relying on it, and said what would change your answer. The naming is the part interviewers listen for.
Tell me about a time when you failed to meet a deadline. What did you learn?
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
- Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
- Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
Follow-up
- What did you decide not to do, and why?
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
Choose between three teams' requests with one analyst-week
Medium · prioritisation · stakeholder · judgement
You have one analyst-week. Three requests land the same morning. A growth team wants a paid-channel readout before a Friday spend decision. A billing team wants gross monthly revenue churn rebuilt, because the current figure recognises cancellation at canceled_at_utc rather than period_end_utc and is therefore wrong. A product team wants a dashboard for a feature launching in six weeks. All three sponsors are peers of your manager. Deliver your ranking, the explicit rule that produced it, and the message you send to the two teams you defer.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you prioritise on decision value and reversibility or on who asked most recently and most loudly. The generic answer sorts by importance; the strong one states a rule, applies it, and accepts the ranking it produces even where that is uncomfortable.
- Score each request on three statable things: the decision it unblocks and the date that decision is made, the cost of being wrong in the meantime, and whether the work is one-off or compounding. A wrong published churn figure compounds, because it is quoted downstream and enters forecasts; the channel readout has a fixed date that cannot move; the dashboard has six weeks of slack.
- Notice the tension between value and urgency rather than resolving it by feel. The churn defect is the most valuable item and the least urgent one, which is exactly the shape of work that never gets done.
- Break the churn item in two. A one-hour severity check, sizing the gap between the two recognition points in MRR, is cheap enough to do before ranking anything and may promote the item outright. Do that first, then rank.
- Make the deferrals concrete. Each deferred team gets a date, a reason expressed as another team's decision deadline rather than as relative importance, and the smallest thing you can hand them immediately.
Follow-up
- The dashboard team escalates to your manager. What do you say in that conversation?
- Your severity check shows churn is overstated by 15%. Does the ranking change, and does anybody need to be told today regardless of the ranking?
- A fourth request arrives Wednesday with a Thursday deadline. What comes off the list, and who do you tell first?
Disagree with a product manager's roadmap claim using data
Medium · causal inference · selection bias · stakeholder
A product manager proposes building a feature on the argument that accounts connecting an integration in week one retain three times better at week four. The figure is correctly computed from dim_user and fct_event, and it has already been shown to leadership. You have one scheduled 1:1 before the roadmap locks. Deliver the specific analysis you would run to test whether the relationship is causal, the result that would change your own mind, and how you open the conversation so that the PM is not put in the position of defending the number in public.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you can separate a number being right from an inference being wrong, and do it without costing the PM face. The generic answer recites that correlation is not causation; the strong one names the specific confound and proposes the cheapest design that could distinguish the explanations.
- State the alternative concretely. Accounts that connect an integration in week one are accounts that already have a workflow and a technical owner, so week-one intent plausibly drives both the connection and week-four retention. The selection is on intent, which no amount of post-hoc adjustment observes.
- Order the discriminating analyses by cost. First, condition on pre-connection activity by comparing retention within strata of week-one core-action count, which removes the crude version of the confound but not unobserved intent. Second, look for variation in integration availability that was unrelated to intent, such as a staggered release or an outage window. Third, an encouragement design that randomises a prompt to connect and reads the intent-to-treat effect on week-four retention, which is the only version that identifies an effect.
- Run the timing check, because it is nearly free and it is the most persuasive single piece of evidence. If the retention advantage among connectors is already visible before any of them connected, the causal story is largely finished.
- Pre-commit to what would change your mind and say it before you show anything: if the gap survives stratification and the encouragement arm moves week-four retention at all, the feature has a case and you will say so.
- Open the 1:1 by agreeing with the true part, that the correlation is real and worth chasing, then ask what effect size the roadmap plan assumes. That makes the size of the claim the topic instead of its authorship.
Follow-up
- The encouragement test needs six weeks and the roadmap locks in two. What do you recommend in the interim?
- Stratifying on week-one activity closes half the gap. What do you conclude, and what do you still not know?
- How would you word this in the roadmap document so the PM's original number is reframed rather than deleted?