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BBC Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Modeling drills for a BBC data scientist interview: baselines, regression interpretation, class imbalance, model defense.

The 60-second brief

The Data Scientist role at the BBC is a pivotal position that sits at the intersection of world-class content creation and advanced data analytics. In this role, you are not just building models; you are helping the BBC understand how millions of users engage with news, entertainment, and educational content across digital platforms. Your work directly informs the personalization of web recommendations, the optimization of streaming services, and the strategic direction of product development.

Allocate prep to your weakest link rather than your favourite topic. Of the three things that usually gate the outcome (SQL that is correct under messy joins, sound reasoning about experiments, and structured framing of an open-ended problem), candidates tend to over-invest in modelling theory and under-invest in framing.

Focus areas

  • Define numerator, denominator and window precisely
  • Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference
  • Separate novelty effects from durable behaviour change

Overview

This position is inherently collaborative and requires a unique blend of technical rigor and product intuition. You will work closely with cross-functional teams—including product managers, software engineers, and content editors—to translate complex user behavior into actionable insights. Because the BBC operates at a massive scale, you will tackle high-stakes problems where your metrics-driven decisions have a measurable impact on the public service mission of the organization.

Expect a working environment that values intellectual curiosity and evidence-based decision-making. Whether you are investigating a sudden drop in engagement metrics or designing an experimentation framework for a new feature, you will be expected to balance technical precision with a clear understanding of the product’s goals and user-centric values.

The BBC interview process

BBC candidates report 2 rounds · ≈ 2-4 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Presentation Phase

Rounds outside the standard loop often open with something deliberately under-specified: a loose business problem, an open question about a product area, a dataset described in one sentence. The common failure is surveying, listing six plausible approaches and committing to none of them. The thing that separates a strong answer is scoping out loud. State what you are treating as the goal, name the metric you would move, say what you are choosing not to do and why, then take one path through to an actual answer. An interviewer can follow you down a narrow path. Nobody can grade a menu.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you turn an ambiguous prompt into a stated question with a measurable outcome before doing any work
  • The judgement visible in what you cut, and whether you say why you cut it rather than silently dropping it
  • Whether you land on a concrete recommendation with its caveat attached, rather than an unranked set of options

How to prepare

  • Take three vague prompts, such as 'is this feature working', 'why did retention drop', and 'should we expand into a new segment'. For each, write one sentence of goal, one primary metric with its window, and two things you are explicitly not doing.
  • Practise giving the recommendation first and the reasoning second, in five minutes. Loosely defined rounds are usually time-boxed, and an answer that arrives last often does not arrive.
  • Keep a running assumption list as you talk, on paper or in the shared doc, so the interviewer can challenge one assumption instead of your whole answer.

Competency-Based Rounds

Because the format is not fixed, prepare the reasoning rather than the ritual. Nearly every version of this round draws on the same underlying material: a design you can defend, a metric you can define exactly, an analysis whose assumptions you can state out loud. Only the wrapper changes, whether that is a take-home, a live case, a deep dive on past work, or a rough estimate on a whiteboard. Answers rehearsed to fit one shape stall the moment the shape differs. Practise naming the assumption behind a number, then saying how much the conclusion moves if that assumption is wrong.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether your justification for a method survives the question 'why not the simpler thing', including when the simpler thing would have worked
  • Precision under pressure: what exactly counts as an active user, a conversion or a success, over what window, with what exclusions
  • Whether you carry an argument through to a recommendation instead of stopping at a list of tradeoffs

How to prepare

  • For each project you plan to mention, write the metric definition in one sentence: numerator, denominator, time window, exclusions. Say it out loud once, because vagueness shows up in speech before it shows up on paper.
  • Rehearse the same project at three lengths: two minutes, ten minutes, and a deep dive on one technical decision. Cutting live is harder than it sounds.
  • For your headline result, write down what would have had to be true for it to be wrong, and how you ruled that out.

Where candidates lose points

Counting on an identity key that changes underneath the metric

visitor_id is per browser and per device, and it resets on cookie clearance, private browsing and platform privacy changes, so the distinct-visitor count drifts upward for reasons unrelated to reach. Any rate with visitors in the denominator therefore decays over time even when behaviour is constant, and any rate with visitors in the numerator inflates. The stitching at signup makes it worse in both directions: a user who signed up on mobile and returns on desktop is two visitors and one user, while a shared device is one visitor and several users. Decide which key each metric is counted on, write it into the definition, and when comparing a period before and after a platform privacy change, expect a level shift in every visitor-keyed metric and do not attribute it to the product.

Reading a pooled rate that moved because the mix moved, not because any behaviour changed

A pooled conversion rate is a weighted average, and a shift in the weights can move it in the opposite direction to every one of its parts. A paid campaign that brings low-converting traffic drops overall signup conversion even if desktop, mobile web and app conversion each rose that week, which is Simpson's paradox and it is the single most common cause of an inexplicable dashboard move. The discipline is to decompose before explaining: recompute the rate holding last period's segment weights fixed, and compare that counterfactual to the actual, so the mix effect and the rate effect are separated numerically rather than argued about. Segment on the dimensions that actually reweight, which in this domain are almost always device_type, referrer_channel, country and new versus returning.

Crediting a treatment for regression to the mean

Selecting a group because it is extreme (lowest-engagement users, accounts having their worst month, the bottom decile of a score) moves that group's expected next-period value back toward the average even under no treatment, by exactly as much as the selecting measure is imperfectly correlated with its own later value. Compare against units that met the same selection rule and went untreated, or use two pre-periods so the bounce-back is visible before the intervention starts. A pre-post number on a group chosen for being extreme measures the selection rule, not the treatment.

Accepting a metric definition without asking about the denominator

Pin down the denominator, the eligibility filter and the time window before computing anything: conversion rate per session, per user, per eligible user and per new user are four different numbers with different behaviour. Restate the definition in one sentence and get agreement before you analyse.

Questions & practice

Sessionise an event stream with gap and midnight rules

Hard · sessionisation · vectorisation · event streams

Sessionise a raw event stream. Input: a DataFrame with visitor_id, user_id (often NULL), occurred_at_utc and event_name, unsorted, up to 5 million rows. A session breaks when the gap from that visitor's previous event exceeds 30 minutes, and is force-closed at UTC midnight so no session spans two calendar dates. A gap of exactly 30 minutes does not break. Emit one row per session with session_id, visitor_id, the user_id as of the last event in the session, started_at_utc, ended_at_utc, session_date, duration_seconds and event_count. Vectorise; do not loop per visitor.

Approach

  1. Sort by ['visitor_id', 'occurred_at_utc', 'event_id'] once, then express the whole problem as one boolean vector: a row starts a new session when the visitor changed, or the gap exceeds 30 minutes, or the UTC date differs from the previous row's UTC date. Cumsum that vector and you have the session key.
  2. Get the comparison direction right on the gap: the rule is strictly greater than 1800 seconds, so an event at exactly 1800 seconds continues the session. Write it as gap > pd.Timedelta(minutes=30), and make the tie a test case rather than an assumption.
  3. Derive the midnight break from the date change, not from inserting synthetic boundary rows. A date change implies a break even when the gap is two seconds, which is precisely the force-close rule and is why the two conditions are ORed rather than one subsuming the other.
  4. Aggregate with a single groupby on the session key: min and max of occurred_at_utc, size for event_count, and last for user_id, which is correct because the frame is already sorted so 'last' is the final event in the session. That is the identity-as-of-session-end rule.
  5. Compute duration_seconds as (max - min).dt.total_seconds(), which makes a single-event session 0 seconds. Say so explicitly, because a downstream mean session duration is sensitive to whether single-event sessions are 0 or excluded.

Worked solution (35 min)

  1. df = df.sort_values(['visitor_id','occurred_at_utc','event_id']).reset_index(drop=True).
  2. new_visitor = df.visitor_id.ne(df.visitor_id.shift()); gap = df.occurred_at_utc.diff(); new_day = df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.ne(df.occurred_at_utc.dt.date.shift()).
  3. is_start = new_visitor | (gap > Timedelta(minutes=30)) | new_day; df['session_key'] = is_start.cumsum().
  4. g = df.groupby('session_key'); out = g.agg(visitor_id=('visitor_id','first'), user_id=('user_id','last'), started_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','min'), ended_at_utc=('occurred_at_utc','max'), event_count=('event_id','size')).
  5. out['session_date'] = out.started_at_utc.dt.date; out['duration_seconds'] = (out.ended_at_utc - out.started_at_utc).dt.total_seconds(); assign session_id from the sorted index.

Expected result: One row per session where session_count equals is_start.sum(), event_count sums exactly to len(input), every session's started_at and ended_at share one UTC date, and duration_seconds is at least 0 and strictly less than 86400.

Verify it yourself

  • out['event_count'].sum() equals len(df); a mismatch means rows were lost to a join or a dropna.
  • started_at_utc.dt.date equals ended_at_utc.dt.date on every row.
  • For a planted visitor with events at 12:00:00 and 12:30:00 exactly, one session is emitted; move the second to 12:30:01 and two are emitted.
  • For a planted visitor with events at 23:59:50 and 00:00:10, two sessions are emitted on consecutive dates despite a 20-second gap.

Follow-up

  • Sessions are used as the denominator of a conversion rate. How does moving the inactivity gap from 30 to 45 minutes move that rate, and in which direction?
  • A visitor's clock is 40 minutes ahead, so their events arrive with future occurred_at values. What does your sessioniser do, and what would you rather it did?
  • The same person signs up mid-session on mobile and continues on desktop. How many sessions and how many users does your output show, and is that the right answer?

Permutation test for a difference in conversion rates

Medium · permutation test · resampling · inference

Write a two-sided permutation test from scratch for a difference in conversion rates, using no scipy hypothesis function. Input: a DataFrame with unit_id, variant in {control, treatment} and converted in {0,1}, one row per randomisation unit. Compute the observed difference in proportions, then build the null distribution by reshuffling the variant labels while holding each arm's size fixed. Report the p-value as (1 + the count of permuted statistics at least as extreme in absolute value) / (B + 1) with B at least 10,000, and return the permutation distribution.

Approach

  1. Name the null being tested: the sharp null that each unit's outcome is the same under either label. That is what licenses permuting labels, and it is stronger than the null of equal means, which matters when someone asks whether the test is valid under unequal variances.
  2. Extract converted to a single numpy array of 0s and 1s and record n_treatment. Every permutation is then just a reshuffle of one array, and the treatment mean is the mean of the first n_treatment entries of the shuffled array.
  3. Vectorise the B permutations with rng.permuted on a tiled 2-D array, or with argsort of a (B, n) random matrix. A Python loop calling np.random.shuffle B times is correct but roughly an order of magnitude slower and often runs past the time limit.
  4. Use the +1 correction in both numerator and denominator. Without it a p-value of exactly 0 is reportable, which is false: the observed labelling is itself one of the permutations, so the smallest attainable p-value is 1/(B+1).
  5. Compare the resulting p-value against a two-proportion z-test as a sanity check. At these sample sizes they should agree closely; a large divergence means the statistic or the shuffle is wrong, not that the permutation test found something subtle.

Follow-up

  • The arms are 200 and 20,000 units. Does the permutation test stay valid, and what happens to its resolution at B = 10,000?
  • Give a 95 percent confidence interval for the difference. Can you get it from this permutation distribution, and if not, what would you run instead?
  • The randomisation unit is user_id but the outcome is per session. What breaks, and what is the fix?

Rebuild per-visitor ordering without groupby convenience methods

Easy · pandas · vectorisation · window logic

You have a DataFrame of 2 million fct_event rows with visitor_id, occurred_at_utc and event_id, unsorted and containing duplicate timestamps within a visitor. Produce three new columns: event_rank, the 1-based position of the event within its visitor ordered by occurred_at_utc; seconds_since_prev, the gap to that visitor's previous event, NULL for the first; and is_first_for_visitor. You may use sort_values, shift, cumsum, numpy and boolean masking. You may not use groupby.transform, groupby.apply, groupby.cumcount, groupby.rank or merge_asof. Break timestamp ties on event_id.

Approach

  1. Sort once by ['visitor_id', 'occurred_at_utc', 'event_id'] and reset the index. The whole exercise reduces to row arithmetic on a sorted frame, and the tiebreak on event_id is what makes the result reproducible across runs.
  2. Mark visitor boundaries with is_first = df['visitor_id'].ne(df['visitor_id'].shift()). This is the single fact every other column derives from.
  3. Compute seconds_since_prev as the diff of the timestamp column, then overwrite it with NaT/NaN wherever is_first is True. The shift crosses the boundary between visitors and will otherwise hand the first row of each visitor the last event of the previous one.
  4. Build event_rank from a running counter that resets at boundaries: take a global cumulative position (np.arange(len(df))) and subtract, per row, the global position at which that visitor started. Get the start position by forward-filling the positions where is_first is True, which is a cumsum-free reset and is O(n).
  5. Verify against the forbidden method once, as a test rather than as the implementation, and confirm the two agree on every row.

Follow-up

  • The frame does not fit in memory. How does your approach change if you can only process one visitor-partitioned chunk at a time?
  • occurred_at_utc is client-supplied and sometimes runs backwards within a visitor. Does your seconds_since_prev go negative, and should it?
  • How would you extend this to reset the counter at every change of surface as well as visitor?

How do you use SQL window functions to calculate rolling averages or identify user retention cohorts?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
  2. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  3. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Can you explain how you would join multiple tables to track a user journey across different BBC platforms?

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  2. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
  3. State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

  • How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Attribute account MRR to first-touch channel without seat fan-out

Medium · fan-out · joins · revenue · attribution

dim_user holds user_id, account_id, first_touch_channel, account_created_at_utc. dim_account holds account_id, lifecycle_status. fct_subscription_period holds account_id, period_start_utc, period_end_utc, period_status, mrr_cents_constant_fx. For a given as-of date, report active MRR by the first-touch channel of the account's earliest-created user. An account has many users and many periods. The channel totals must sum exactly to total active MRR on that date, and accounts whose label is NULL must appear as their own bucket.

Approach

  1. Reduce the label side to one row per account before any join: ROW_NUMBER() OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY account_created_at_utc, user_id) = 1 over dim_user, carrying first_touch_channel. Joining dim_user to the period table directly repeats each revenue row once per seat.
  2. Reduce the money side to one row per account too: the period where period_start_utc <= :as_of AND period_end_utc > :as_of AND period_status IN ('active','past_due'). If more than one row survives that filter the account holds overlapping subscriptions, which must be deduped or deliberately summed, and either way the choice is stated rather than left to the join.
  3. Join the two one-row-per-account CTEs and SUM(mrr_cents_constant_fx). Use the constant-FX column, since the same query run in two quarters otherwise reports currency moves as channel performance.
  4. Bucket NULL first_touch_channel as 'unattributed' with COALESCE instead of letting it drop. Roughly the share of users with no observed touch is not small, and dropping it understates the total and inflates every named channel's share.
  5. Reconcile: the SUM over the joined result must equal the SUM over the period CTE alone. That single equality check catches fan-out immediately, which is why it is worth writing before presenting the number.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Compute total active MRR on the as-of date from the period table alone and write the number down as the target.
  2. Build the label CTE and assert COUNT(*) = COUNT(DISTINCT account_id).
  3. Build the as-of period CTE and assert the same, investigating any account with more than one surviving row.
  4. Join, COALESCE the channel, aggregate, and compare the total to the target.
  5. Deliberately run the naive dim_user join and record the inflation factor, which is the MRR-weighted mean seat count.

Expected result: One row per first_touch_channel plus an 'unattributed' bucket, whose MRR values sum exactly to the independently computed total active MRR for the as-of date.

Verify it yourself

  • Channel total equals the standalone total from the period CTE, to the cent.
  • Both CTEs satisfy COUNT(*) = COUNT(DISTINCT account_id).
  • The unattributed bucket is present and non-zero rather than silently absent.
  • The naive join version produces a strictly larger total, and you can state the ratio.

Follow-up

  • Which user should own the account's label: earliest created, the 'owner' role, or the one who converted? What does each choice systematically favour?
  • What does this table entitle you to say about the value of a channel, and what does it not?
  • Some accounts have a parent_account_id. How does rolling those up change both the numerator and the channel mix?

How would you design a metric to measure the success of a new video recommendation feature?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
  3. Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How do you balance short-term clicks versus long-term user satisfaction in your models?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

What are the most important trade-offs when designing a new product KPI?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  2. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
  3. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

A key engagement metric has suddenly dropped by 10%. How would you diagnose the root cause?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
  2. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  3. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

How do you account for network effects or interference in an A/B test?

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
  2. Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
  3. Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?

What are the most common experimentation pitfalls you have encountered in previous projects?

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
  2. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
  3. Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.

Follow-up

  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
  • What would you do if you could not randomise at all?

Size an activation test before anyone writes code

Easy · power · minimum detectable effect · proportions

A team wants to test a new onboarding checklist against the seven-day activation rate: users with is_core_action = TRUE events on at least two distinct UTC dates inside the first seven days, counted from dim_user.account_created_at_utc with is_internal = FALSE. Baseline is 22%. Weekly non-internal signups are 9,000, split evenly between two arms. State the minimum detectable effect after two weeks of enrolment, the enrolment needed to detect a 1.5 percentage point absolute lift, and the earliest date a readout would be honest.

Approach

  1. Use the two-proportion sizing shortcut n = 16 p(1-p) / d^2 per arm, where d is the absolute lift. The 16 is 2(1.96 + 0.84)^2 = 15.7 rounded, i.e. two-sided alpha 0.05, 80% power, equal arms.
  2. Invert it for the MDE at fixed n: d = sqrt(16 p(1-p) / n). Two weeks gives 9,000 per arm, so d = sqrt(2.746 / 9000) = 0.0175, which is 1.75 percentage points absolute or 7.9% relative on a 22% base.
  3. Run it forward for d = 0.015: n = 2.746 / 0.000225 = 12,202 per arm, 24,404 total, about 2.7 weeks of enrolment. Round up to three whole weeks so the enrolment window contains no partial week, since signups are not uniform across weekdays.
  4. Add the metric's own lag rather than reporting the enrolment end date. Activation is unobservable until seven days after the last enrolled signup, and the definition publishes on an eight-day lag, so the readout lands 29 days after launch.
  5. Close by testing whether the ask is realistic. If the team's honest prior is a 0.5pp lift, the requirement is about 110,000 per arm and roughly 24 weeks of enrolment, and saying so before launch is the deliverable.

Worked solution (20 min)

  1. Compute p(1-p) = 0.22 x 0.78 = 0.1716 and 16 x 0.1716 = 2.746.
  2. MDE at two weeks: n = 4,500 per arm per week x 2 = 9,000; d = sqrt(2.746 / 9000) = 0.0175.
  3. Sample for d = 0.015: n = 2.746 / 0.000225 = 12,202 per arm, which is 2.71 weeks of enrolment, so enrol three whole weeks.
  4. Readout date = 21 days of enrolment + 8 days of follow-up and publication lag = 29 days from launch.
  5. State the boundary of what this quarter can answer: below roughly 0.7pp the requirement passes 56,000 per arm and more than a full quarter of enrolment.

Expected result: MDE after two weeks is 1.75 percentage points absolute, 7.9% relative. Detecting 1.5pp needs 12,202 users per arm, so three weeks of enrolment and a readout 29 days after launch. Detecting 0.5pp needs about 110,000 per arm, roughly 24 weeks, which is the answer the team needs to hear before the code is written.

Verify it yourself

  • MDE must fall as 1 / sqrt(n). Doubling enrolment from two weeks to four should move 1.75pp to 1.24pp, not to 0.88pp.
  • Substituting d = 0.0175 back into 16 p(1-p) / d^2 must return about 9,000 per arm.
  • An exact two-proportion calculator at alpha 0.05 two-sided, power 0.80, p1 = 0.22, p2 = 0.235 returns about 12,260 per arm, within half a percent of the shortcut.

Follow-up

  • The team also wants trial-to-paid read from the same test. What does a second primary metric do to your alpha, and what would you actually do about it?
  • Signups are heavier on weekdays. What goes wrong if enrolment runs 17 days instead of 14?
  • The activation definition uses a two-distinct-days threshold. If that were loosened to one day, what happens to the baseline rate and to the sample you need?

A conversion rate that fell in one regulatory region

Medium · consent · identity-keys · denominator · geography

Visit-to-signup conversion fell 1.3 points over six weeks. Signups cut by dim_user.country_code put the fall in one regulatory region where a consent banner shipped in week one, but absolute signups from that region are flat. fct_session carries consent_state, visitor_id, is_bot_flagged and session_date and no country column, so the denominator cannot be cut the same way. Using fct_session and fct_event, decide whether behaviour changed or the denominator did, state what these tables cannot settle, and name the one column that would settle it.

Approach

  1. Name the asymmetry before computing anything. The numerator is user-keyed and therefore cuttable by country; the denominator is visitor-keyed and is not. Dividing a region-filtered numerator by an unfiltered denominator produces a quantity that is not a rate, and presenting it as a regional conversion rate is the first mistake available here.
  2. Attack the denominator on the dimension you do have. Compute distinct visitor_id per week and sessions per distinct visitor_id per week: a consent banner that blocks or shortens the identity cookie raises the distinct-visitor count and lowers sessions per visitor, which depresses any visitor-keyed rate with no behaviour behind it.
  3. Split on consent_state. Sessions with consent_state = 'denied' can enter the denominator but can never be joined forward to a signup, so a rising denied share mechanically drives the pooled rate down by roughly its own share. Report the granted-only rate and the denied share as two separate numbers rather than one blended figure.
  4. Cross-check with measures that do not depend on the visitor key at all: absolute weekly signups, which are given as flat, and signups per session rather than per visitor.
  5. State the limit honestly. Without country on the session or on its entry event, the regional attribution rests on the numerator alone, and the correct request is that one column, not a more elaborate model on top of the data you have.

Follow-up

  • If granted-only conversion is the metric going forward, what selection bias have you accepted, and in which direction does it point?
  • How would you handle the six weeks of already-published history once the new definition is adopted?
  • What is the smallest instrumentation change that restores a cuttable denominator without collecting more personal data than before?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

  • Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
  • Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
  • State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

  • Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
  • Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
  • Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

  • Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
  • Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
  • Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

  • Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
  • Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
  • Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

  • Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
  • Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
  • List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

  • Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
  • Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
  • Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

  • Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
  • Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
  • Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Getting an analysis acted on

Work that nobody used is a common and unflattering pattern in data careers, and interviewers probe for it. Have a story about an analysis that changed a decision, and be specific about how you got it in front of the person who could act. Also have one about work that went nowhere, with your reading of why.

Describe a conflict you had with a team member and how you resolved it.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
  2. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  3. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Handle a request for numbers supporting a decision already made

Hard · integrity · framing · stakeholder

A senior leader has already decided to sunset a plan tier and asks you for the analysis showing it is the right call. Accounts on that tier carry 6% of MRR at constant FX and have the highest licensed-seat utilisation in the book. The leader's support matters to your next review cycle, and the decision is being presented in four days. Deliver what you produce, what you decline to produce, and the exact sentence you will say in the meeting where the number appears on a slide.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you can find the legitimate request inside an illegitimate framing instead of either complying or refusing on principle. The generic answer promises to push back; the strong one produces something genuinely useful and states its limits in the room, without ambushing anybody.
  2. Separate the decision from the justification. Sunsetting the tier may be correct for reasons the data does not hold, such as support cost, roadmap surface area or sales motion. What you decline is a one-sided document. What you produce is the case read both ways, which also happens to be more useful to the leader.
  3. Build the symmetric analysis: MRR at risk at constant FX, the share of affected accounts with a plausible migration path given seats_licensed and billing_term, the recovery rate assumed for that migration and where it came from, and the downside case in which high-utilisation accounts treat the sunset as a reason to re-evaluate the vendor entirely.
  4. Surface the inconvenient fact privately and early. The highest seat utilisation in the book is a retention signal, and the leader should hold it before the room does, so they can incorporate it rather than be caught by it.
  5. Agree the meeting sentence in advance with the leader, so that nobody is surprised. Something to the effect that the tier is 6% of MRR and its accounts are the most heavily used in the book, and that the case for sunsetting rests on cost and focus rather than on revenue. That is true, it supports the decision on its real grounds, and it stops the deck claiming the numbers endorse it.
  6. Decide your own line before you need it: what you will not put your name to, and that the route if asked anyway is your own manager rather than a confrontation in the meeting.

Follow-up

  • The deck circulates with your analysis included and the downside case removed. What do you do, and by when?
  • What changes if the honest analysis says the sunset is clearly the wrong call?
  • How do you write the same memo when the leader is your skip-level and the meeting is tomorrow?

Defend a flat experiment readout against a post-hoc segment

Medium · experiments · segmentation · pushback

A feature you evaluated is flat on seven-day activation: +0.05pp with a 95% interval of [-0.47pp, +0.57pp], from 61,000 exposed users per arm in fct_experiment_exposure joined to dim_user and fct_event. Baseline activation is 32%. The launch team asks you to drop every surface except mobile_web, where the point estimate is +1.1pp, and re-run. You have ten minutes in their planning meeting. Deliver a spoken position: what you will and will not do, and the decision you recommend.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you hold a statistical position under social pressure without becoming either rigid or apologetic. A generic answer says the segment is not significant; a strong one separates the request into a question that is answerable (is the mobile_web number real?) and one that is not (can we ship on it?), and answers both.
  2. Price the multiplicity out loud. The slice was chosen after seeing the results, so its estimate is selected on favourable noise and is biased away from zero. With k independent looks at a nominal 5% level, the chance of at least one false positive is 1 - 0.95^k: 26% at six segments, 64% at twenty. Quote the k you actually inspected, not the k you reported.
  3. Use the arithmetic already in front of you. On the point estimates, a +1.1pp mobile_web effect combined with a pooled +0.05pp implies the remaining surfaces average negative in proportion to mobile_web's share of exposures. State that as a testable implication of their story rather than as a rebuttal of it.
  4. Ask the one question that settles the category: was mobile_web named in the analysis plan before launch? If it was, it is a planned comparison and gets a corrected reading. If it was not, it is a hypothesis, and the honest move is to size the test that would confirm it.
  5. Convert the refusal into a cost. Size a mobile_web-only confirmatory test at the claimed effect, state the weeks of mobile_web traffic it needs, and close with the recommendation: do not ship this as a lift, and note that the interval already rules out anything at or above +0.6pp, which is itself a useful input to the roadmap.

Follow-up

  • The confirmatory test you sized needs nine weeks of mobile_web traffic and the team has three. What do you recommend instead?
  • Suppose mobile_web was pre-registered. How does your reading change, and what correction do you apply?
  • Your interval excludes +0.6pp. Is that the same as saying the feature does nothing?