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Axs Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Practice explaining analysis before a Axs data scientist interview: the recommendation, the uncertainty, the follow-ups.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at Axs, you are at the forefront of transforming the live entertainment and ticketing industry. Your work directly impacts how millions of fans discover, purchase, and experience live events globally. By leveraging vast amounts of transactional, behavioral, and market data, you help build the systems that drive dynamic pricing, inventory optimization, and personalized fan recommendations.

Scope your preparation by the data you would actually touch, because the title will not tell you. A seat that lives in event logs and weekly readouts rewards fluency in aggregation and metric definitions; a seat that owns a model in production rewards fluency in train/serve skew, retraining cadence and drift monitoring. The fastest way to find out which one you are interviewing for is to ask what the team shipped last quarter and what it gets paged about.

Focus areas

  • Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference
  • Define numerator, denominator and window precisely
  • Turn a vague request into a measurable question

Overview

This role is critical because the ticketing ecosystem is highly complex, involving massive spikes in high-demand traffic, sophisticated fraud prevention needs, and intricate B2B relationships with venues and promoters. You will not just be building models in a vacuum; you will be solving real-world challenges that dictate the success of massive global tours and local events alike.

Expect a highly collaborative environment where your insights influence product roadmaps and business strategies. You will work closely with engineering, product management, and operations teams to deploy scalable machine learning solutions. At Axs, a successful Data Scientist combines deep technical rigor with a strong commercial mindset, ensuring that every algorithm developed translates into a measurable improvement for both our partners and our fans.

The Axs interview process

Axs candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Recruiter Screening

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
  • Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
  • Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

  • Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
  • Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
  • Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

Hiring Manager Interview

Underneath the questions about your past work sits a resourcing question. Given four things worth doing and one of you, which gets done and what happens to the rest? Managers ask because that is the daily texture of the job, and because the answer shows whether you rank work by effort or by what it changes. The weak version sorts by personal interest or by whoever asked most insistently. The strong version ties each candidate piece of work to a decision somebody downstream is waiting on, and then names the one you would drop and who you would tell.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you rank work by the decision it unblocks or by how interesting the method is
  • How you describe a request you declined, and whether you can say who you said it to
  • Whether your sense of how long something takes survives one follow-up question about the messy part
  • How you decide something is good enough to hand over unfinished

How to prepare

  • Write out your current queue and, next to each item, the decision that stays stalled until it lands. Anything with no waiting decision becomes your example of work you would cut
  • Rehearse turning down a plausible stakeholder request out loud, including the smaller alternative you offered instead
  • Have one case where you shipped a rough answer early and one where you refused to, with the reason that separated them

Potential Team Rounds

Because the format is not fixed, prepare the reasoning rather than the ritual. Nearly every version of this round draws on the same underlying material: a design you can defend, a metric you can define exactly, an analysis whose assumptions you can state out loud. Only the wrapper changes, whether that is a take-home, a live case, a deep dive on past work, or a rough estimate on a whiteboard. Answers rehearsed to fit one shape stall the moment the shape differs. Practise naming the assumption behind a number, then saying how much the conclusion moves if that assumption is wrong.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether your justification for a method survives the question 'why not the simpler thing', including when the simpler thing would have worked
  • Precision under pressure: what exactly counts as an active user, a conversion or a success, over what window, with what exclusions
  • Whether you carry an argument through to a recommendation instead of stopping at a list of tradeoffs

How to prepare

  • For each project you plan to mention, write the metric definition in one sentence: numerator, denominator, time window, exclusions. Say it out loud once, because vagueness shows up in speech before it shows up on paper.
  • Rehearse the same project at three lengths: two minutes, ten minutes, and a deep dive on one technical decision. Cutting live is harder than it sounds.
  • For your headline result, write down what would have had to be true for it to be wrong, and how you ruled that out.

Where candidates lose points

Counting on an identity key that changes underneath the metric

visitor_id is per browser and per device, and it resets on cookie clearance, private browsing and platform privacy changes, so the distinct-visitor count drifts upward for reasons unrelated to reach. Any rate with visitors in the denominator therefore decays over time even when behaviour is constant, and any rate with visitors in the numerator inflates. The stitching at signup makes it worse in both directions: a user who signed up on mobile and returns on desktop is two visitors and one user, while a shared device is one visitor and several users. Decide which key each metric is counted on, write it into the definition, and when comparing a period before and after a platform privacy change, expect a level shift in every visitor-keyed metric and do not attribute it to the product.

Watching an experiment daily and stopping when it crosses significance

A fixed-sample test controls type I error at one pre-declared look. Checking repeatedly and stopping at the first p < 0.05 inflates the false positive rate to roughly 0.15 to 0.20 for ten looks, and it rises further with more frequent checks, because the p-value takes a random walk that will eventually dip below the threshold under the null. The usual defences are a fixed horizon declared before launch, group-sequential boundaries such as O'Brien-Fleming that spend alpha across a planned number of looks, or always-valid confidence sequences that are correct under continuous monitoring. Compounding it, the effect size reported conditional on having crossed the threshold is biased away from zero, and the bias is larger the lower the power was, so an underpowered test that 'won' typically overstates the lift it found.

Ignoring interference between units in a marketplace experiment

Ask whether one unit's treatment can change another unit's outcome through shared inventory, a matching pool, a social graph or a common budget. Where it can, randomise at a level that contains the spillover, such as region or time slice, and say explicitly what that costs you in statistical power.

Over-explaining the method and under-explaining the implication

Lead with the answer and what you would do about it, then give the approach when asked. Roughly one sentence of method per three of implication is the right ratio for a stakeholder-facing answer; the interviewer already knows what a regression is.

Questions & practice

How do you stay updated with the latest trends and advancements in machine learning?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  2. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  3. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

What challenges did you face when moving your model from a Jupyter notebook to production?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  2. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
  3. Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

What metrics would you look at to determine if a dynamic pricing algorithm is successful?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  2. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  3. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • Where could label leakage enter this setup?

Implement seven-day activation from its written definition

Medium · metric definition · cohorts · pandas · joins

Implement the seven-day activation rate. Inputs: dim_user with user_id, account_created_at_utc and is_internal; fct_event with user_id, occurred_at_utc and is_core_action. A user activates when core-action events carrying a non-NULL user_id fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). The denominator is every non-internal user whose account_created_at_utc lands in the cohort week, including users with no events at all. Return one row per cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, publishing only weeks whose last signup is at least eight days old.

Approach

  1. Build the denominator first, from dim_user alone, filtered on is_internal = False. Deriving it from the join is the standard way to lose every user who never fired an event, which is exactly the population the metric is about.
  2. Join events to users on user_id with a left join from the user side, then apply the window as a half-open interval: occurred_at >= created AND occurred_at < created + 7 days. The right bound is exclusive, so an event at exactly created + 7 days does not count.
  3. Count distinct UTC dates per user, not distinct events. Floor occurred_at_utc to date before the nunique, and do it in UTC rather than local time so the threshold does not move with the user's country.
  4. Apply the >= 2 threshold, aggregate to cohort week, and compute the rate by re-summing numerator and denominator per week rather than averaging any per-user or per-day rate. Fix the week anchor explicitly: cohort_week is the Monday of the signup week in UTC, which is what Postgres DATE_TRUNC('week') returns and what any SQL version of this metric will produce. In pandas, subtract dt.weekday days from the floored timestamp. If you reach for periods instead, the anchor that matches is to_period('W') (equivalently 'W-SUN'), whose weeks end Sunday and therefore start Monday; to_period('W-MON') labels weeks that end on Monday, so it runs Tuesday through Monday and its start_time is a Tuesday. Mixing the two shifts every cohort label by one day and silently moves Mondays into the previous week.
  5. Suppress immature weeks: drop any cohort week whose maximum account_created_at_utc is within 8 days of the data cut, and return them as absent rather than as a partial number.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. users = dim_user[~dim_user.is_internal].copy(); created = users['account_created_at_utc']; users['cohort_week'] = created.dt.floor('D') - pd.to_timedelta(created.dt.weekday, unit='D'), which is the Monday-start week. The period spelling that agrees with it is created.dt.to_period('W').dt.start_time; 'W-MON' does not agree and is off by a day.
  2. ev = events[events.is_core_action & events.user_id.notna()]; merge onto users on user_id with how='inner' for the numerator side only.
  3. Filter to the half-open window, add ev_date = occurred_at_utc.dt.date, group by user_id and count distinct dates, keep users with >= 2.
  4. numer = users.merge(activated_user_ids, how='left', indicator=True) then group by cohort_week and sum the indicator; denom = users.groupby('cohort_week').size().
  5. rate = numer / denom; drop weeks where users.groupby('cohort_week')['account_created_at_utc'].max() > data_max - 8 days.

Expected result: One row per mature cohort week with numerator, denominator and rate, where denominator equals the count of non-internal signups in that week regardless of activity, numerator is less than or equal to denominator, and the most recent 1 to 2 weeks are absent rather than reported low.

Verify it yourself

  • For a synthetic user with two core actions 90 minutes apart on the same UTC date, activation is False.
  • For a synthetic user with one core action on day 0 and one at exactly created + 7 days, activation is False; move the second to created + 6 days 23 hours and it becomes True.
  • Pin the week anchor with two users created at Sunday 23:59 UTC and the following Monday 00:01 UTC: they must land in different cohort weeks, and the Sunday user's cohort_week must be the Monday six days before them. to_period('W-MON') puts both in one period, which is the off-by-one this check exists to catch.
  • The denominator summed across all published weeks equals the count of non-internal users created in that date range.
  • Re-summing numerator and denominator to a monthly figure gives a different answer from averaging the weekly rates; the re-summed one is the metric.

Follow-up

  • The threshold is 2 distinct days. What changes in the reported history if someone moves it to 3, and how would you publish that change?
  • Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users have no pre-signup session. Should they be in this denominator at all, and what does including them do to the rate for sales-assisted accounts?
  • How would you produce the same metric at account grain, and which of the two would you put on the dashboard?

Find reactivation gaps in account paid-period history

Hard · gaps-and-islands · window-functions · subscriptions

fct_subscription_period holds account_id, subscription_id, period_start_utc, period_end_utc, period_status and change_reason. A mid-period plan or seat change closes one row and opens another, so a single continuous paid tenure is often many rows, and an account may hold two overlapping subscriptions. Collapse rows with period_status in ('active','past_due') into continuous tenures per account, treating gaps of three days or less as continuous. Return account_id, tenure_start, tenure_end, and for every tenure after the first, the gap in days that preceded it.

Approach

  1. Filter to paid rows only: period_status IN ('active','past_due'). Trialing periods are not tenure, and including them turns every trial that never converted into a one-period tenure followed by a fake churn.
  2. Order by period_start_utc and take a running maximum of all prior ends: MAX(period_end_utc) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY period_start_utc, period_end_utc, subscription_id ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND 1 PRECEDING). Those three columns are the only stable ordering this schema exposes, so check first that they are unique within an account; if rows tie on all three, the island numbering is order-dependent between runs and you need a real row key before the result is reproducible.
  3. LAG on its own is wrong here because with overlapping or nested periods the immediately preceding row by start date is not the one that ends latest, so the running maximum is the part that cannot be shortcut.
  4. Flag a new island when prior_max_end IS NULL OR period_start_utc > prior_max_end + interval '3 days', then number islands with a running SUM of the flag over the same ordering and an explicit ROWS frame.
  5. Group to (account_id, island) taking MIN(period_start_utc) and MAX(period_end_utc), then LAG(tenure_end) OVER (PARTITION BY account_id ORDER BY tenure_start) to compute the preceding gap in days for every tenure after the first.
  6. Sanity-check with change_reason, which is the only lineage this schema carries: list its distinct values first, then confirm that rows recording a plan or seat change sit inside a tenure rather than opening one, and that every tenure after the first opens on a row whose reason records a restart rather than an ordinary renewal. Do not reconcile against a churn timestamp on dim_account, which this schema does not define; and where such a column does exist, a cancellation timestamp records when the request was made and routinely sits weeks before the period it ends.

Follow-up

  • Why three days of grace? What do 0 and 30 days each do to the count of accounts classed as reactivated?
  • An account runs two concurrent subscriptions for different teams. One tenure or two, and what does the revenue reader expect?
  • How would you turn these tenures into a monthly gross logo churn series without double-counting an account that churned and returned in the same month?

Read an experiment from first exposure, not assignment

Hard · experiments · window-functions · srm

fct_experiment_exposure holds experiment_id, unit_type, unit_id, variant, user_id, assigned_at_utc, first_exposed_at_utc, is_in_analysis_population and planned_end_utc. fct_event holds user_id, occurred_at_utc, is_core_action, and carries events up to a known data cut, :data_cut_utc. For one experiment randomised on unit_type = 'user', return per variant: exposed units, units with at least one core action in the seven days after that unit's own first exposure, the rate, and the variant share of exposed units. Only units whose seven-day window has fully elapsed as of the data cut belong in the readout. Units appearing under more than one variant are excluded from both arms and counted separately.

Approach

  1. Run the contamination pass as an aggregate, not a window: SELECT unit_id FROM fct_experiment_exposure WHERE experiment_id = :exp GROUP BY unit_id HAVING COUNT(DISTINCT variant) > 1, then anti-join it away. PostgreSQL rejects COUNT(DISTINCT variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) outright, since DISTINCT is not implemented for window functions; if you want the test inline, MIN(variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) <> MAX(variant) OVER (PARTITION BY unit_id) is the equivalent that does run.
  2. Do not resolve contamination by keeping the earliest variant. A unit that saw both arms carries treatment from both, so assigning it to either one biases that arm.
  3. Define the population as is_in_analysis_population = TRUE AND unit_type = 'user' AND first_exposed_at_utc < planned_end_utc AND first_exposed_at_utc + interval '7 days' <= :data_cut_utc. The horizon filter is what makes the readout reproducible next week instead of drifting with every re-run; the data-cut filter is the one that actually buys seven days of follow-up, since a unit exposed an hour before the horizon otherwise contributes an hour of observation to a seven-day rate.
  4. Measure the outcome on a per-unit relative window: LEFT JOIN fct_event on user_id with is_core_action = TRUE and occurred_at_utc in [first_exposed_at_utc, first_exposed_at_utc + interval '7 days'). LEFT JOIN so units with no outcome stay in the denominator at zero rather than being deleted by an inner join.
  5. Check the sample ratio before reading the effect: variant share of exposed units against the intended split, tested as a binomial. Run it on the truncated population as well as on the full exposed set, because if one arm exposes later on average the data-cut filter removes more of that arm and can manufacture a ratio mismatch the randomisation did not have. A mismatch on the full set means the exposure data is not a valid randomisation and invalidates the readout rather than being a footnote under it.
  6. Report the per-variant rate, the absolute difference, and the fact that the variance unit is unit_id. That is straightforward here only because the grain is already one row per user; a per-session outcome under user randomisation would need a delta-method or bootstrap standard error instead.

Worked solution (35 min)

  1. Count units per variant and units with more than one variant; report the contaminated count before anything else.
  2. Build the exposed population CTE with both the horizon filter and the seven-days-before-data-cut filter, assert one row per unit_id, and record per variant how many units the second filter removed.
  3. LEFT JOIN the bounded outcome events and flag conversion with a boolean aggregate.
  4. Aggregate per variant to exposed, converted, rate and share, and run the binomial check on the share, both before and after the truncation.
  5. Re-run with a fixed calendar window from experiment_start_utc and record the difference as the size of the dilution you avoided.

Expected result: One row per variant with exposed, converted, rate and share, plus a scalar count of excluded contaminated units. Every retained unit was first exposed at least seven days before the data cut, so each one has a full seven days of observation and the rates are directly comparable.

Verify it yourself

  • Exposed counts across variants sum to the population count minus the contaminated units.
  • MAX(first_exposed_at_utc) among retained units is at least seven days before :data_cut_utc.
  • Variant shares sum to 1.
  • No unit_id contributes to two variant rows.
  • The truncation drops a similar share of each arm; if it does not, note the imbalance alongside the SRM result rather than reading the effect.
  • Swapping the relative window for a calendar one changes the rates; if it does not, exposure timing is balanced and you can say so.

Follow-up

  • Some units were assigned days before they were exposed. What does analysing the assigned set instead do to the estimated effect, and in which direction?
  • The split is 51/49 on 400,000 exposed units. Do you read the result?
  • The treatment arm exposes on average two days later than control. What does that do to a fixed calendar outcome window, and which arm does it favour?

Walk me through how you would set up an A/B test to evaluate a new checkout flow.

Medium · a/b testing and experimentation

Approach

  1. State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
  2. Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
  3. Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.

Follow-up

  • What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
  • How would you handle interference between treated and control units?

Walk me through the most impactful data science project on your resume.

Medium

Approach

  1. Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.
  2. Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
  3. Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.

Follow-up

  • What assumption would you test first?
  • How would you know your answer was wrong?

How would you design a recommendation engine to suggest upcoming concerts to our users?

Medium

Approach

  1. State your assumptions explicitly before working the problem.
  2. Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.
  3. Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.

Follow-up

  • What assumption would you test first?
  • How would you know your answer was wrong?

A completion rate the owning team can move without fixing anything

Medium · gaming · instrumentation · funnel

A team's target is core-flow completion rate: distinct fct_event.flow_instance_id with a 'flow_completed' event within 30 minutes of its 'flow_started' and no 'error_shown' carrying the same flow_instance_id in between, over distinct flow_instance_id with a 'flow_started' in the window, split by surface and app_version. The same team owns the client that emits those events and the tracking plan that defines them. List the ways this rate rises without any user completing more flows, then redefine the metric and its guardrails so those routes are closed. Deliverable: the hardened definition.

Approach

  1. Work the emission side first, because that is what the team controls: delay minting flow_started until after the first screen so the highest-dropping attempts leave the denominator; stop emitting or rename error_shown; mint a fresh flow_instance_id on each retry so one failed attempt becomes several attempts whose last one completes; move flow_completed earlier in the flow.
  2. Sort those moves by where they are visible. None of them shows in the rate itself; three of them show only in volume, which is why the denominator has to be published on the same chart as the rate.
  3. Re-anchor the numerator on something outside the flow's own instrumentation: require a downstream is_core_action = TRUE event for the same user_id within 30 minutes of flow_completed, so a completion only counts when it produced the thing the flow exists to produce.
  4. Add the guardrail that catches the retry route specifically: mean and p90 flow_instance_id per user per day, with the rule written down that a rising completion rate alongside rising attempts per user is a regression and not a win.
  5. Make definition changes visible instead of forbidden: stamp a tracking-plan version on the series and re-base the history when event semantics or the 30-minute window change, rather than splicing two definitions into one line.

Worked solution (25 min)

  1. Enumerate at least four emission-side moves and mark for each whether it shows in the rate or only in volume.
  2. Pin the denominator: publish flow_started per 1,000 sessions and per distinct user beside the rate.
  3. Rewrite the numerator to require a downstream core action for the same user within 30 minutes.
  4. Add the attempts-per-user guardrail with its interpretation rule stated as a sentence.
  5. Version the definition and write the re-base policy for the historical series.

Expected result: A hardened definition in which each enumerated gaming route is either blocked by the numerator, exposed by a published volume series, or forced to surface as a definition version change.

Verify it yourself

  • Replay one untouched historical week under the old and hardened definitions. A large gap means the hardening changed the meaning of the metric, not only the incentives around it.
  • flow_started per 1,000 sessions should be roughly continuous across an app_version boundary unless the flow's entry point genuinely moved; a step change there is an instrumentation change.
  • Attempts per user and completion rate should not rise together within one build.

Follow-up

  • How do you distinguish a genuine instrumentation fix from gaming, given both look like a step change confined to one release?
  • The jump appears in exactly one app_version. Does that exonerate the team or implicate it?
  • What do you do with eighteen months of history once the definition is hardened?

Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose

Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition

Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.

Approach

  1. Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
  2. Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
  3. Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
  4. Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
  5. Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.

Follow-up

  • Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
  • Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
  • How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?

Suggested practice checklist

For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.

Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper

  • Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
  • Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
  • State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.

Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.

Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic

  • Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
  • Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
  • Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.

Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.

Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem

  • Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
  • Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
  • Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.

Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.

Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for

  • Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
  • Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
  • Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.

Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.

Day 5 — When randomization is not available

  • Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
  • Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
  • List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.

Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.

Day 6 — The readout query

  • Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
  • Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
  • Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.

Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.

Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix

  • Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
  • Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
  • Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.

Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.

Being wrong in public

A number you shipped turned out to be wrong, and someone had already acted on it. That is one of the most useful stories a data person can carry. What is being scored is how fast you noticed, who you told first, and what you changed in the process so the same class of error could not repeat quietly.

Tell me about a successful collaboration you had with a data engineer or software developer.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
  2. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

  • What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
  • What did you decide not to do, and why?

How do you handle a situation where you are given a project with highly ambiguous requirements?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
  2. Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
  3. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

  • What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
  • What did you decide not to do, and why?

Explain a wide interval to a non-technical executive

Medium · communication · uncertainty · pricing

A pricing change is under consideration. Your best estimate of its effect on trial-to-paid conversion is a 1.8pp drop, with a 95% interval from a 4.6pp drop to a 1.0pp rise, read from a geo holdout rather than a randomised test. An executive preparing a board slide asks you for 'the number'. You have ninety seconds and one slide, and the words confidence interval, p-value and significance are not usable with this audience. Deliver the slide headline, the single supporting line, and what you say aloud.

Approach

  1. Recognise what is being probed: whether you can carry uncertainty into a decision instead of either hiding it or hiding behind it. The generic answer promises to explain the interval in plain English; the strong one replaces the question 'what is the number' with 'across this range, where does the decision change'.
  2. Find the threshold before you draft anything. Ask what the pricing case assumes, then compute the conversion drop at which the higher price stops adding revenue: price uplift on the conversions kept against the revenue lost from conversions forgone. That single figure is what makes the range legible.
  3. Restate the estimate and both bounds in the unit the audience already reasons in. Convert percentage points into monthly first-paid conversions at current trial volume, then into mrr_cents_constant_fx, so the slide reads as money per month rather than as statistics.
  4. Place the range against the break-even and say which part of it sits on each side. If most of the range clears the threshold, that is a recommendation to proceed with a monitoring plan; if the range straddles it, that is a recommendation to narrow the range first.
  5. Name what would narrow it and what that costs in weeks, then give one recommendation with an explicit condition for revisiting it. Uncertainty stated without a next step is read as indecision and the midpoint gets used anyway.

Follow-up

  • The executive says to give the midpoint and they will manage the risk. What do you do?
  • How does the slide change if the interval were a 4.6pp to 0.2pp drop, with no positive outcomes in range?
  • Why is a geo holdout the credible read here rather than the attributed channel numbers you already have?