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Ant Group Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Data scientist interview prep for Ant Group: original practice on experiment design, SQL and metric reasoning, with worked solutions.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at Ant Group, you are at the intersection of massive-scale financial data and cutting-edge algorithmic innovation. You will be tasked with building models that power one of the world's largest digital payment and financial service ecosystems, influencing how millions of users interact with credit, risk management, and wealth management products.

Seniority shifts the scope more than the words in the title do. Earlier-career loops mostly check that you execute a well-posed analysis correctly; senior loops check that you can decide which question is worth answering and defend what you chose not to do.

Focus areas

Reconcile amounts in minor units and currency
Set fraud thresholds by expected cost
Report only matured cohorts for loss metrics

Overview

The role demands more than just technical proficiency; it requires a deep understanding of the business context behind the data. You will work on complex, high-stakes problems—ranging from real-time fraud detection to personalized financial recommendations—where your models directly impact system stability, user security, and operational efficiency. Expect to collaborate closely with cross-functional teams, including engineers and product managers, to translate abstract business challenges into scalable, data-driven solutions.

The Ant Group interview process

Ant Group candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Technical Screening

A handful of shapes account for most of what gets asked in this format: a ranking or deduplication inside groups, a running or rolling total, a period-over-period comparison, and a cohort tracked forward over time. Recognising the shape quickly is most of the speed here; deriving it from scratch while a clock runs is where the time goes. Know that a window function keeps every row while a GROUP BY collapses them, and know which one the question needs. If the exercise is in Python instead of SQL, the same shapes arrive as groupby with transform, shift and merge, and the same grain mistakes are available.

What to demonstrate

Whether you reach the right construct without a detour, such as ROW_NUMBER over a partition to deduplicate instead of a self-join against a MAX subquery
Whether you know what your window frame actually is, since adding ORDER BY inside OVER changes the default frame and silently changes a running total
Whether the thing runs. A near-miss that throws an error scores below a plainer query that returns the right rows.

How to prepare

Write each of the four shapes once from memory against a small schema and keep the working version somewhere you will reread it: dedupe with ROW_NUMBER, a running total, a month-over-month change with LAG, and a retention table
Compute one running total twice on data with tied timestamps, once on the default frame and once with ROWS BETWEEN UNBOUNDED PRECEDING AND CURRENT ROW, and look at where the two disagree
If Python is on the table, rebuild the dedupe and the running total with groupby and cumsum, then assert the two implementations return identical rows

Multi-Faceted Evaluations

Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.

What to demonstrate

Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly

How to prepare

Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock

Final Offer Stage

Where a loop includes a partner from outside the data team, that conversation usually carries the same weight as the technical ones and gets the least preparation. The person opposite you will not follow a derivation and does not need to. They are working out whether having you involved would make their decisions better or slower. The failure mode is not being too technical. It is answering a question about a decision with a description of your method, leaving the translation to them. What they carry into the debrief is the sentence you handed them, not the analysis underneath it.

What to demonstrate

Whether a statistical result arrives as something the partner could act on, with the one caveat that would change their decision kept and the rest left out
Whether you can state what you need from their side, in their terms: instrumentation that does not exist yet, a definition they own, or a holdout they have to agree to
Whether uncertainty is given as a range someone can plan against, rather than as hedging that invites them to ignore the result
Whether you ask what decision is actually on the table before explaining anything

How to prepare

Take a result you know well and write the version for someone who stops reading after one sentence, then the three-minute version, and check the short one is not the long one with the qualifications stripped out
For a past project, list everything you asked a non-technical partner for and how you phrased it, then rewrite each ask so it names what goes unmeasured without it
Practise saying where a result does not apply, out loud, in one sentence that a partner could repeat accurately to someone else

Where candidates lose points

Counting authorizations instead of weighting them, and summing amounts across currencies

Declines skew toward high-value, cross-border and card-not-present transactions, so an unweighted approval rate can sit flat while approved value falls. Merchant retry logic also turns one declined purchase into several rows, inflating the denominator by an amount that varies by merchant and by decline reason. Amounts are held in the minor unit of the transaction currency and that unit is not always two decimals, since some currencies have none and some have three, so summing amount_minor across currencies produces a figure with no interpretation at all.

Reading the most recent months of fraud and dispute rates as final

Consumer dispute rights commonly run around 120 days from the transaction or expected delivery date, and several reason codes run considerably longer, so the disputes belonging to a recent transaction month have simply not been filed yet. Any chart attributed by transaction date therefore slopes down at the right edge regardless of what is happening. The fix is to report only matured cohorts, or to apply development factors estimated from completed months and to show the estimate as an estimate.

Optimising accuracy on a heavily imbalanced target

State the base rate first, then choose the metric from the relative cost of a false positive against a false negative: precision and recall at the operating threshold, PR-AUC, or expected cost. At a 1 percent positive rate, predicting the majority class for everyone scores 99 percent accuracy and is worthless.

Crediting a treatment for regression to the mean

Selecting a group because it is extreme (lowest-engagement users, accounts having their worst month, the bottom decile of a score) moves that group's expected next-period value back toward the average even under no treatment, by exactly as much as the selecting measure is imperfectly correlated with its own later value. Compare against units that met the same selection rule and went untreated, or use two pre-periods so the bounce-back is visible before the intervention starts. A pre-post number on a group chosen for being extreme measures the selection rule, not the treatment.

Questions & practice

Can you explain the trade-offs between different loss functions in your model?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.

Follow-up

How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

How did you handle feature selection and engineering in your most recent project?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.

Follow-up

What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
Where could label leakage enter this setup?

Estimate a delinquency roll-rate matrix and project twelve months

Hard · roll rates · markov chain · survivorship

fct_loan_performance_monthly gives loan_id, as_of_month_end, months_on_book, delinquency_bucket, charge_off_flag, prepaid_in_full_flag and restructured_flag. Build a month-to-month transition matrix over the five delinquency buckets plus absorbing charged_off and prepaid states. Loans that stop appearing must be routed to an absorbing state rather than dropped. Project the current book forward 12 months by repeated matrix multiplication and report the projected share reaching charge-off. Handle restructured_flag explicitly, and name one place the Markov assumption fails on this data.

Approach

Build consecutive month pairs per loan by shifting as_of_month_end within loan_id, then verify the shifted value is exactly one month later. A gap is not a transition, it is an exit you have not resolved yet.
Resolve exits before counting anything. A loan whose last row carries charge_off_flag moves to charged_off, one carrying prepaid_in_full_flag moves to prepaid, and one that disappears with neither is a data question to raise rather than silently discard, because discarding it is survivorship that inflates every cure rate.
Count pairs into a 7 by 7 matrix and row-normalise. Assert every row sums to one and the two absorbing rows are the identity; a row that does not sum to one means exits were dropped.
Decide and state the restructure rule. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so a dpd_60_89 to current move on a restructured loan is not a cure. Either give restructured loans their own state or carry the pre-restructure bucket, but do not let that move land in the cure cell.
Project by taking the current bucket distribution as a row vector and multiplying by the matrix twelve times. Report the charged_off entry, and report it again from an all-current starting vector so the reader can see how much of the projection comes from loans that are already delinquent today.
State the homogeneity failure plainly: transition rates depend strongly on months_on_book, so one pooled matrix applied to a book with a young mix understates early-life delinquency. If the mix is moving, estimate separate matrices by seasoning band.

Worked solution (45 min)

Sort by loan_id and as_of_month_end, shift to form (from_state, to_state) pairs, and flag pairs whose month gap is not exactly one.
For each loan's final row, assign the absorbing destination from charge_off_flag or prepaid_in_full_flag, and list loans that vanish with neither as an exception count to report.
Apply the restructure rule, then build the 7 by 7 count matrix with a cross-tabulation over ordered state categories and row-normalise it.
Assert row sums equal one and absorbing rows are the identity, then take the current month's bucket distribution as a row vector.
Multiply twelve times, report the charged_off component, and repeat from an all-current vector for comparison.

Expected result: A 7 by 7 row-stochastic matrix with identity rows for charged_off and prepaid, a current-to-current diagonal typically above 0.95, roll rates rising with bucket depth, and a 12-month projected charge-off share of a few percentage points from an all-current start and materially higher from the actual book.

Verify it yourself

Every row sums to one within floating-point tolerance, and both absorbing rows are exactly the identity.
No mass sits in cells that skip a bucket upward, such as dpd_1_29 to dpd_60_89 in one month; if there is, the pairs are not actually consecutive months.
The projection from an all-current start is strictly below the projection from the real book distribution.
Backtest by estimating on months up to t minus 12 and comparing the projected distribution with the realised one at t; a systematic optimistic gap points at dropped exits or at seasoning, not at noise.

Follow-up

How would you validate the projection against what actually happened, and over what window?
The cure rate out of dpd_30_59 rose five points last quarter. What are the candidate explanations and how would you separate them?
When would you prefer a vintage curve to a roll-rate projection, and why?

Write a function to perform a specific data transformation task from scratch.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.

Follow-up

How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?

Solve a medium-level LeetCode problem involving arrays or strings.

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.

Follow-up

How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Vintage ninety-plus rate at twelve months on book

Medium · vintage analysis · window functions · right censoring

From fct_loan_performance_monthly, build a vintage table keyed on origination_month: the share of each cohort that ever reached days_past_due of 90 or more, or charge_off_flag = true, at or before months_on_book = 12. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so for any loan with restructured_flag true, evaluate only the month ends strictly before its first restructured month. Return origination_month, loans_funded, bad_loans and bad_rate. Exclude any cohort that does not yet have a months_on_book = 12 observation for every loan still on book.

Approach

Establish the cohort denominator from the first month end each loan appears at, months_on_book = 0, so a loan is counted once in its origination_month rather than once per monthly row.
Find each loan's first restructured month with MIN(as_of_month_end) FILTER (WHERE restructured_flag) OVER (PARTITION BY loan_id), or the equivalent grouped subquery, and keep it null for loans never restructured.
Flag a loan bad if any row with months_on_book <= 12 and as_of_month_end earlier than that first restructured month has days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag = true, which is what 'pre-restructure worst state' means in practice.
Gate maturity by requiring the cohort's newest month end to be at least 12 months after origination_month, and report immature cohorts as incomplete rather than letting them appear at a flattering low rate.
Aggregate to one row per origination_month and read the column downward, not across calendar time, because the whole point is comparing cohorts at equal age.

Worked solution (35 min)

CTE 1: per loan_id, derive origination_month, the first restructured month end, and the maximum months_on_book observed.
CTE 2: join back to the monthly rows, filter to months_on_book <= 12 and to month ends before any restructure, then flag bad with a BOOL_OR.
CTE 3: aggregate to origination_month with COUNT() as loans_funded and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE is_bad) as bad_loans.
Apply the maturity gate and compute bad_rate with a numeric cast.

Expected result: One row per matured origination_month with loans_funded, bad_loans and a bad_rate between 0 and 1. The most recent immature cohorts are absent from the output entirely rather than present with a small bad_rate.

Verify it yourself

SUM(loans_funded) across reported cohorts equals COUNT(DISTINCT loan_id) restricted to those same origination months.
Recomputing without the months_on_book cap raises bad_rate monotonically for every cohort, and raises it most for the oldest, which is the seasoning effect made visible.
No cohort in the output has a maximum months_on_book below 12.

Follow-up

Should a restructure inside 12 months count as bad in its own right? Argue both sides and say what you would actually ship.
A loan that prepaid in full at month 4 never had a chance to go 90 days past due. In or out of the denominator, and why?
The 2025-11 cohort is two points worse at month 12 than its neighbours. What three queries do you run before you call it a credit-quality change?

Follow-up: How would you optimize your solution for larger datasets or time constraints?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.

Follow-up

What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

How do you prioritize tasks when you have multiple competing deadlines?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?

Read a segment-sliced result with a fading first-week lift

Medium · multiple comparisons · novelty effects · mix shift

A three-week test of an in-app credit-limit-increase offer had one pre-registered primary metric. The readout also slices 24 secondary segment-by-metric cells, of which three are significant at 0.05 with p-values 0.011, 0.028 and 0.041. The treatment effect on the primary was plus 8.1 percent in calendar week one, plus 3.4 percent in week two and plus 1.5 percent in week three. Say which claims survive, what the decay does and does not prove, and what you tell the sponsor.

Approach

Compute what chance alone produces before interpreting any cell. With 24 tests at 0.05 the expected number of false positives is 1.2, the probability of at least one is 1 - 0.95^24 = 0.708, and the probability of three or more under an independence approximation is about 0.12. Three hits is an unremarkable outcome, not a signal.
Apply a stated correction rather than a vibe, and be precise about which one the reported numbers can settle. Holm and Bonferroni both begin at 0.05 / 24 = 0.00208, so the smallest p-value alone decides them. Benjamini-Hochberg sorts all m p-values ascending and finds the largest k with p(k) <= k * q / m; at q = 0.10 and m = 24 the rank-k threshold k / 240 starts at 0.00417 and rises to 0.10 at k = 24, so it is a step-up test over the whole family and its verdict cannot be read off the three cells that happened to fall below 0.05. Ask for all 24 p-values, report the surviving set, which may be empty, and demote the rest to hypotheses for a future test.
Refuse to call the decay novelty until the competing explanations are ruled out. Three things produce a falling weekly effect: a genuine novelty response from existing users that reverts, a mix shift because week three's exposed population is not week one's, and an effect that is correctly one-shot because a limit increase is taken once per customer.
Separate them with concrete cuts. Plot the effect against time since first exposure instead of calendar week, which removes the mix shift. Compare users onboarded during the test, who never saw the previous experience and therefore cannot show novelty, against existing users. Hold back a small fraction of traffic for a long-run read.
Fix the estimand to match the mechanism. For a one-shot offer the meaningful quantity is cumulative take-up per exposed user over a fixed horizon, not a weekly rate, and under that estimand a declining weekly rate is exactly what a working feature looks like.
Give the sponsor one number with its interval, name the decision it supports, and list the exploratory cells separately under a heading that says they are not results.

Worked solution (25 min)

Compute the chance baseline: 0.95^24 = 0.292, so P(at least one false positive) = 0.708 and the expected count is 1.2.
Settle the corrections the reported numbers can settle. Holm and Bonferroni both require the smallest p-value to clear 0.05 / 24 = 0.00208; 0.011 does not, so neither rejects anything, and that conclusion needs only the one number. Benjamini-Hochberg is different: with m = 24 and q = 0.10 the rank-k threshold is k / 240, which runs 0.00417, 0.00833, 0.0125 for the three reported cells (all three fail their own thresholds) but passes 0.05 at k = 13 (0.05417) and reaches 0.10 at k = 24. Because BH rejects the k smallest hypotheses whenever any p(k) clears its threshold, one of the 21 unreported p-values sitting between 0.05 and its own rank threshold would make BH reject every cell down to rank 1, the three included. Demand the full ordered vector of 24 p-values before stating a BH verdict.
Rebuild the weekly series on time since first exposure and overlay new versus existing users, then state which of novelty, mix shift and one-shot mechanics the pattern is consistent with.
Recompute the primary as cumulative take-up per exposed user at a fixed 21-day horizon and report that with its confidence interval as the headline.
Write the sponsor summary: one confirmatory number, the exploratory cells listed as non-results pending the full p-value vector, and a proposed follow-up test for the single most plausible segment hypothesis.

Expected result: Holm and Bonferroni reject nothing, and that follows from the reported numbers alone: the smallest p-value, 0.011, exceeds 0.05 / 24 = 0.00208. Benjamini-Hochberg at q = 0.10 is not decidable from three p-values, because it is a step-up test over all 24 whose rank-k threshold k / 240 passes 0.05 at k = 13, so the correct move is to demand the full ordered vector and name the condition that would flip it rather than assert that nothing survives. Until that vector arrives the three cells are exploratory, not findings. Only the pre-registered primary is confirmatory, restated as cumulative take-up over a fixed horizon. The 8.1 to 1.5 percent decay is not established as novelty; the correct answer names mix shift and the one-shot nature of a limit increase as competing explanations and gives the cuts that separate them.

Verify it yourself

Binomial sanity check: P(3 or more hits out of 24 at 0.05) is about 0.12 under independence, so three hits is unremarkable; correlation among the cells makes the true probability higher still.
BH self-check: the rank-k thresholds k * 0.10 / 24 must run from 0.00417 at k = 1 to 0.10 at k = 24 and cross 0.05 between k = 12 and k = 13. Any BH conclusion that uses only the p-values below 0.05 is ignoring the ranks where the threshold is loosest.
The cumulative take-up curve per exposed user should be monotone increasing and flatten, while the weekly rate falls. Both are the same data, which is the point.
New users during the test should show no decay if the decay is novelty. If they decay the same way, novelty is not the explanation.
Re-run the segment slice on an A/A period: if it also produces two or three significant cells, the slicing procedure itself is the finding.

Follow-up

The three significant cells are all in the same segment. Does that change your reading, and how would you test whether it is a real interaction rather than three correlated slices of one population?
Design the long-term holdback: what size, for how long, and what does it cost you in foregone treatment?
If cumulative take-up is the estimand, what is the right horizon and how do you keep it from being chosen after seeing the data?

Trailing thirty day volume per customer drops week over week

Hard · seasonality · day of week · window alignment

The trailing 30-day settled volume per active customer is down 7 percent against the same metric seven days earlier. Nothing shipped. You have fct_payment_authorization with requested_at, channel, captured_at, captured_amount_minor, settled_at, settlement_amount_minor, plus dim_customer with is_current, kyc_status, onboarded_at and closed_at for the active denominator. Before anyone writes a retention narrative, decide how much of the 7 percent is calendar structure, and hand back a calendar-robust version of the comparison.

Approach

Do the window arithmetic first. Thirty days is four whole weeks plus two days, so exactly two weekdays appear five times and the other five appear four times. Sliding the window by seven days changes which two, and card-present and card-not-present volumes differ sharply by weekday.
Rebuild on a 28-day window, which contains exactly four of every weekday, and see how much of the 7 percent survives. That single change removes the weekday composition effect with no modelling and no assumptions.
Count the structural events inside each window: public holidays, and the billing anchor days that recurring authorizations cluster on. A window holding one fewer month boundary loses a block of recurring volume that has nothing to do with customer behaviour.
Decompose by channel, since recurring, card_present and ecommerce have different calendar signatures. A drop concentrated in recurring points at anchor-day placement; one spread evenly across channels does not.
Compare year over year at a 364-day lag rather than 365, which preserves weekday alignment, and only then read the residual.
Check the denominator on its own. Active customer counts on a trailing window carry their own calendar structure, and a ratio can move because either side moved.

Follow-up

Which window goes on the executive dashboard, and what do you give up by choosing it?
How would you handle a holiday that moves between years, so that a 364-day lag still misaligns it?
If a genuine 2 percent residual survives, what is the smallest cut that tells you whether it is breadth or depth?

Suggested practice checklist

For someone who can already write the query and train the model but stalls when asked what to measure or whether a change is worth making. Metric definition and case structure come first; the technical work is kept as maintenance rather than the centre of the week.

Day 1 — Metric anatomy

For three products you use daily, write one primary metric, two input metrics that plausibly move it, and one guardrail that would catch a cheap way of moving the primary at the cost of the product.
For one of them, specify the metric precisely enough that two analysts would return the same number: numerator, denominator, unit of observation, time window, and how returning and deleted accounts are treated.
Pick a ratio metric and write what happens to it when the denominator shrinks for reasons unrelated to the numerator, with a concrete example of that happening.

Deliverable: A one-page metric tree for one product, with the primary metric written as an unambiguous spec.

Day 2 — Diagnosing a drop without guessing

Take the prompt "weekly active users fell 8 percent week over week" and write the segmentation plan before proposing any cause: platform, region, tenure cohort, acquisition channel, and whether the movement sits in the numerator or in a changed denominator.
List the instrumentation failures that manufacture fake drops (a client release that stopped firing an event, a bot filter change, a shifted date boundary or timezone) and write the query that rules out each one.
Rehearse stating the boring explanations first, seasonality and day-of-week composition, before reaching for a product cause.

Deliverable: A drop-diagnosis checklist short enough to recite from memory in under a minute.

Day 3 — Should we build it

Take a feature idea and write it as a bet: what you believe is true, what would have to be true for it to pay off, the metric that would confirm it, and the effect size that would justify the engineering cost.
Size the opportunity top-down and bottom-up, then reconcile the two numbers in writing instead of quoting whichever is friendlier.
Write the counter-metric that would make you kill the feature even if it wins on the primary metric.

Deliverable: A one-page product memo ending in a decision rather than a list of considerations.

Day 4 — The places aggregate numbers lie

Construct a Simpson's paradox numerically: two segments where the treatment wins within each segment yet loses overall, and identify the shift in segment weights that causes it.
Take a heavy right-tailed quantity such as revenue per user and write why the mean is the wrong summary, which percentile you would report instead, and what a moving mean with a stable median tells you.
Write your definition of a session for the product from day one, then name two real behaviours it misclassifies.

Deliverable: One page holding a worked Simpson's paradox table and a session definition with its two known failure cases.

Day 5 — Technical maintenance, aimed at metrics

Solve four timed SQL prompts that all end in a ratio metric, so the question of grain stays live in every answer.
Compute a 95 percent confidence interval for a proportion on a small sample, and state why the normal approximation is unreliable when either np or n(1 minus p) falls below roughly 10, along with which interval you would use instead.
Take one metric from your day-one tree, write the query that computes it correctly, then write the query that computes it wrong in the most plausible way and explain how you would notice.

Deliverable: Four solved prompts plus a matched correct and plausible-wrong query for one metric.

Day 6 — Turning engineering work into data science stories

Write three project stories as situation, decision, trade-off, outcome, each carrying one number and one thing you got wrong.
For the story you will lead with, prepare an answer to "what would you do differently" that names a decision you made, not a constraint you were handed.
Practise the sentence that reframes a systems project as a question project: the question the work answered, ahead of the pipeline it shipped.

Deliverable: Three written stories with the lead story delivered aloud and timed under four minutes.

Day 7 — Mock case and gap list

Run a 40-minute mock case with someone playing a product manager who pushes back on your metric choice, and record it.
Listen back and mark every moment you proposed a solution before the success metric existed.
Rewrite those moments as the question you should have asked, and rehearse the first 90 seconds of the case until scoping comes before solving.

Deliverable: A recorded case plus a rewritten opening 90 seconds.

Bring numbers, including the ones you are unsure of

An answer without a quantity is hard to interrogate, so interviewers keep probing until they find one. Come with the baseline, the change, the window it was measured over, and how confident you were. If the effect never got measured, say so and say what you would have measured. Fabricated precision is worse than an honest gap.

Describe a situation where you had to explain a complex technical concept to a non-technical audience.

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
Close with what you would do differently, concretely.

Follow-up

What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
What did you decide not to do, and why?

How do you maintain leadership and initiative when working on ambiguous projects?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

What did you decide not to do, and why?
How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

State honestly what your cutoff change actually contributed

Hard · impact attribution · swap set · counterfactual

Six months ago your recommendation moved a credit cutoff, using fct_loan_application and fct_loan_performance_monthly. Since then approval rate rose four points and the 12-month vintage 90-plus rate on affected cohorts is flat. In the same window the bureau changed a score attribute, marketing shifted channel mix toward broker, and the internal funding rate moved. Your performance review asks for impact in currency terms. Give the number you would stand behind, the counterfactual it rests on, and the part of the observed movement you would not claim.

Approach

Define the counterfactual before computing anything: the claim is not what happened after the change, it is what would have happened had the old cutoff scored the same applications, which means replaying the old threshold on the post-change population.
Build the swap set: applications the new cutoff approves that the old one declined, applications the old one approved that the new one declines, and everyone else held out as unaffected. Only the swap groups carry your effect. Note that the swap-out group has no outcome under the new rule, because those loans were never funded, so its forgone margin must be estimated from matched pre-change approvals rather than observed.
Price each swap group at months_on_book equal to 12 on the measure the cutoff was meant to move: interest and fees collected, minus net charge-offs, minus funding cost at the internal transfer rate.
Strip the confounders explicitly. Cohorts affected by the bureau attribute change are either recomputed on the old attribute or excluded; channel mix is held fixed by reweighting to the pre-change mix; funding cost is charged at the rate in force each month rather than one blended average.
State the residual you will not claim, with its size, and give a range rather than a point wherever cohorts have not yet reached 12 months on book.

Follow-up

The swap-in group is only 6 percent of applications. How does that change the way you present the number, and to whom?
What would you have needed to set up at launch to make this attribution clean, and why was a randomised band around the cutoff not used?