Interview guides · Ameriprise
Ameriprise Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Case practice for Ameriprise data scientist candidates: scope a vague prompt into a measurable question before you analyze it.
The 60-second brief
As a Data Scientist at Ameriprise, you occupy a critical position bridging advanced statistical modeling, business strategy, and digital execution. You will drive high-impact initiatives across marketing, digital analytics, and financial services products, transforming complex data streams into actionable intelligence that protects and grows the wealth of millions of clients. Whether you are optimizing direct-to-client marketing campaigns, building predictive models for risk analytics, or scaling cloud-based machine learning pipelines, your work directly influences strategic decisions made by business leaders across the enterprise.
The boundary with engineering varies enough to be worth asking about directly. Some seats end at the analysis and the writeup; others carry feature pipelines, scheduling and alerting, which decides whether production data plumbing belongs in your prep at all.
Focus areas
- Pick a randomisation unit that respects interference
- Decompose a metric move by segment and mix
- Turn a vague request into a measurable question
Overview
This role requires a rare combination of technical execution and business acumen. You will work closely with engineering, product, and operations teams to deploy production-grade machine learning solutions, establish robust model governance standards, and interpret intricate behavioral and transactional data. Because Ameriprise manages over a trillion dollars in assets and serves diverse client needs through financial planning, asset management, and insurance, the scope for data-driven innovation is vast. You will encounter rich, multi-dimensional datasets that demand rigorous experimentation, sophisticated feature engineering, and a sharp focus on business value.
Expect an environment that values intellectual curiosity, cross-functional collaboration, and disciplined execution. Interviewers at Ameriprise look for professionals who can not only write clean code and build predictive algorithms, but also articulate complex technical findings to non-technical stakeholders. If you thrive on solving challenging financial problems, designing scalable analytical solutions, and seeing your models directly shape business outcomes, a career as a Data Scientist here offers immense professional growth.
The Ameriprise interview process
Ameriprise candidates report 3 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Recruiter Screening Call
A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
- Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
- Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling
How to prepare
- Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
- Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
- Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice
Technical and Behavioral Rounds
Most of the weight in this round sits on the disagreement questions. Data work routinely produces an answer someone senior did not want, and the interviewer is trying to learn what you do in that hour. Both failure modes are common: folding as soon as a director pushes back, and treating the pushback as ignorance to be corrected with a better chart. A strong answer usually contains a specific thing the other person knew that you did not, and describes how you found out whether it changed the conclusion.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you can state the other side's argument accurately before you explain why you disagreed
- What you treated as evidence during the disagreement, such as a rerun under their assumption or a holdout check, rather than persuasion technique
- Whether you distinguish being overruled from being wrong, and can give an example of each
How to prepare
- Write out one disagreement where you turned out to be wrong, and say what in the data misled you. Candidates prepare the story where they were right, and the follow-up asks for the other one.
- For your main disagreement story, be ready to say what result would have made you drop your position. If no such result exists, you were not arguing from the data.
- Practise stating the opposing position out loud in one sentence the stakeholder would accept, then continue the story.
Virtual Interviews
Rounds outside the standard loop often open with something deliberately under-specified: a loose business problem, an open question about a product area, a dataset described in one sentence. The common failure is surveying, listing six plausible approaches and committing to none of them. The thing that separates a strong answer is scoping out loud. State what you are treating as the goal, name the metric you would move, say what you are choosing not to do and why, then take one path through to an actual answer. An interviewer can follow you down a narrow path. Nobody can grade a menu.
What to demonstrate
- Whether you turn an ambiguous prompt into a stated question with a measurable outcome before doing any work
- The judgement visible in what you cut, and whether you say why you cut it rather than silently dropping it
- Whether you land on a concrete recommendation with its caveat attached, rather than an unranked set of options
How to prepare
- Take three vague prompts, such as 'is this feature working', 'why did retention drop', and 'should we expand into a new segment'. For each, write one sentence of goal, one primary metric with its window, and two things you are explicitly not doing.
- Practise giving the recommendation first and the reasoning second, in five minutes. Loosely defined rounds are usually time-boxed, and an answer that arrives last often does not arrive.
- Keep a running assumption list as you talk, on paper or in the shared doc, so the interviewer can challenge one assumption instead of your whole answer.
Where candidates lose points
Watching an experiment daily and stopping when it crosses significance
A fixed-sample test controls type I error at one pre-declared look. Checking repeatedly and stopping at the first p < 0.05 inflates the false positive rate to roughly 0.15 to 0.20 for ten looks, and it rises further with more frequent checks, because the p-value takes a random walk that will eventually dip below the threshold under the null. The usual defences are a fixed horizon declared before launch, group-sequential boundaries such as O'Brien-Fleming that spend alpha across a planned number of looks, or always-valid confidence sequences that are correct under continuous monitoring. Compounding it, the effect size reported conditional on having crossed the threshold is biased away from zero, and the bias is larger the lower the power was, so an underpowered test that 'won' typically overstates the lift it found.
Counting on an identity key that changes underneath the metric
visitor_id is per browser and per device, and it resets on cookie clearance, private browsing and platform privacy changes, so the distinct-visitor count drifts upward for reasons unrelated to reach. Any rate with visitors in the denominator therefore decays over time even when behaviour is constant, and any rate with visitors in the numerator inflates. The stitching at signup makes it worse in both directions: a user who signed up on mobile and returns on desktop is two visitors and one user, while a shared device is one visitor and several users. Decide which key each metric is counted on, write it into the definition, and when comparing a period before and after a platform privacy change, expect a level shift in every visitor-keyed metric and do not attribute it to the product.
Ignoring interference between units in a marketplace experiment
Ask whether one unit's treatment can change another unit's outcome through shared inventory, a matching pool, a social graph or a common budget. Where it can, randomise at a level that contains the spillover, such as region or time slice, and say explicitly what that costs you in statistical power.
Reading an observational correlation as a causal effect
Name the confounder you are most worried about and the design that would remove it: an experiment, a difference-in-differences with a checked pre-period trend, an instrument, or a regression discontinuity. When none is available, state which direction the bias likely runs and bound the claim accordingly.
Questions & practice
Describe Bayes theorem and give an example of how you might apply it to credit risk modeling.
Medium · statistics and probability
Approach
- Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
- Sanity-check the answer against a simple bound or a simulated case.
- Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
Follow-up
- Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?
- How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
What evaluation metrics would you choose for an imbalanced classification problem, such as detecting fraudulent transactions?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
- Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
- Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Follow-up
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
- How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
Permutation test for a difference in conversion rates
Medium · permutation test · resampling · inference
Write a two-sided permutation test from scratch for a difference in conversion rates, using no scipy hypothesis function. Input: a DataFrame with unit_id, variant in {control, treatment} and converted in {0,1}, one row per randomisation unit. Compute the observed difference in proportions, then build the null distribution by reshuffling the variant labels while holding each arm's size fixed. Report the p-value as (1 + the count of permuted statistics at least as extreme in absolute value) / (B + 1) with B at least 10,000, and return the permutation distribution.
Approach
- Name the null being tested: the sharp null that each unit's outcome is the same under either label. That is what licenses permuting labels, and it is stronger than the null of equal means, which matters when someone asks whether the test is valid under unequal variances.
- Extract converted to a single numpy array of 0s and 1s and record n_treatment. Every permutation is then just a reshuffle of one array, and the treatment mean is the mean of the first n_treatment entries of the shuffled array.
- Vectorise the B permutations with rng.permuted on a tiled 2-D array, or with argsort of a (B, n) random matrix. A Python loop calling np.random.shuffle B times is correct but roughly an order of magnitude slower and often runs past the time limit.
- Use the +1 correction in both numerator and denominator. Without it a p-value of exactly 0 is reportable, which is false: the observed labelling is itself one of the permutations, so the smallest attainable p-value is 1/(B+1).
- Compare the resulting p-value against a two-proportion z-test as a sanity check. At these sample sizes they should agree closely; a large divergence means the statistic or the shuffle is wrong, not that the permutation test found something subtle.
Worked solution (25 min)
- y = df['converted'].to_numpy(); n_t = (df['variant'] == 'treatment').sum(); obs = y[treat_mask].mean() - y[~treat_mask].mean().
- Build the null: for B draws, shuffle y and take the mean of the first n_t entries minus the mean of the rest.
- p = (1 + (np.abs(null) >= abs(obs) - 1e-12).sum()) / (B + 1), with the small tolerance so exact ties count as at least as extreme.
- Return obs, p and the null array; plot or describe the null to confirm it is centred at 0.
Expected result: The observed difference, a p-value in [1/(B+1), 1], and a null distribution whose mean is approximately 0 and whose standard deviation approximately matches the analytic pooled standard error sqrt(p_pool*(1-p_pool)*(1/n1 + 1/n2)).
Verify it yourself
- The null distribution's mean is within a few Monte Carlo standard errors of 0; if it is centred on the observed difference, the code bootstrapped instead of permuted.
- The null's standard deviation agrees with the analytic pooled standard error to within a couple of percent.
- The p-value agrees with a hand-computed two-proportion z-test p-value to within about 0.01 at these sample sizes.
- Setting converted identical in both arms by construction yields a p-value near 1, and a planted large effect yields the floor of 1/(B+1).
Follow-up
- The arms are 200 and 20,000 units. Does the permutation test stay valid, and what happens to its resolution at B = 10,000?
- Give a 95 percent confidence interval for the difference. Can you get it from this permutation distribution, and if not, what would you run instead?
- The randomisation unit is user_id but the outcome is per session. What breaks, and what is the fix?
Explain how you would optimize a slow-running SQL query that joins multiple large tables in a financial data warehouse.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
- Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
Follow-up
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
How would you identify duplicate records in a massive customer transaction table using SQL?
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
Follow-up
- How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
Seven-day activation rate by weekly signup cohort
Easy · cohorts · activation · date-bounds
dim_user holds user_id, account_created_at_utc, is_internal. fct_event holds user_id, occurred_at_utc, is_core_action. A user is activated when core-action events fall on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). Return, for the last twelve complete weekly signup cohorts, the cohort week, cohort size, activated users and the activation rate. Exclude is_internal users. Every signup in the cohort week stays in the denominator, including users who never returned.
Approach
- Start from dim_user as the denominator spine with is_internal = FALSE and DATE_TRUNC('week', account_created_at_utc) as the cohort key. Driving the query from the event table instead would silently condition on having events and delete the entire non-activating population.
- Join fct_event on user_id with is_core_action = TRUE and a per-user bound, occurred_at_utc >= u.account_created_at_utc AND occurred_at_utc < u.account_created_at_utc + interval '7 days'. The bound is correlated to each user's own signup timestamp, not a single global date range.
- Aggregate per user with COUNT(DISTINCT occurred_at_utc::date) >= 2, then LEFT JOIN that back onto the spine and COALESCE the flag to FALSE so non-activators contribute a zero rather than vanishing.
- Restrict the published cohorts to those whose week ended at least eight days ago. A cohort younger than that has not finished its seven-day window, so its rate is mechanically low and reads as a decline.
- Roll up by summing the numerator and denominator per cohort week, and state the two-distinct-days threshold next to the number since it is a choice that re-bases the whole history if changed.
Worked solution (20 min)
- Write the cohort spine and confirm its total equals the count of non-internal signups in the date range.
- Write the per-user distinct-active-days CTE with both interval bounds and inspect a handful of users manually.
- LEFT JOIN, COALESCE the flag, aggregate to cohort week.
- Apply the eight-day publication lag and drop the incomplete cohort.
- Re-run with a closed upper bound (<= +7 days) and note how many users change state, to show the boundary is doing work.
Expected result: Twelve rows, one per cohort week, each with cohort_size, activated and rate. Cohort sizes sum to the total non-internal signup count across those twelve weeks. No cohort is younger than eight days.
Verify it yourself
- activated is never greater than cohort_size in any row.
- A user with three core actions on a single day is not counted as activated.
- Removing the LEFT JOIN in favour of an inner join raises every rate, which demonstrates the denominator was being conditioned on survival.
- Cohort sizes sum to an independent COUNT(*) over dim_user for the same range.
Follow-up
- Why two distinct days rather than one event? What happens to the published history if someone changes it to three?
- Invited seats and SSO-provisioned users get an account_created_at_utc at provisioning and may never sign in. Should they be in this denominator?
- The rate rose 3 points this week. What do you check before believing it?
A key engagement metric dropped by fifteen percent week-over-week. Walk me through how you would diagnose this metric drop.
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
Design a metric to evaluate the effectiveness of a personalized retirement recommendation engine.
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you define lifetime value for a wealth management client, and what product features drive it?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you design a product metric framework to measure the success of a new digital financial planning tool?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How do you determine the required sample size and statistical power before launching an A/B test?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
Follow-up
- How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
What are some common experimentation pitfalls, such as sample ratio mismatch or network effects, and how do you avoid them?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Say whether units interfere with each other, and switch design if they do.
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
Follow-up
- How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
Size an activation test before anyone writes code
Easy · power · minimum detectable effect · proportions
A team wants to test a new onboarding checklist against the seven-day activation rate: users with is_core_action = TRUE events on at least two distinct UTC dates inside the first seven days, counted from dim_user.account_created_at_utc with is_internal = FALSE. Baseline is 22%. Weekly non-internal signups are 9,000, split evenly between two arms. State the minimum detectable effect after two weeks of enrolment, the enrolment needed to detect a 1.5 percentage point absolute lift, and the earliest date a readout would be honest.
Approach
- Use the two-proportion sizing shortcut n = 16 p(1-p) / d^2 per arm, where d is the absolute lift. The 16 is 2(1.96 + 0.84)^2 = 15.7 rounded, i.e. two-sided alpha 0.05, 80% power, equal arms.
- Invert it for the MDE at fixed n: d = sqrt(16 p(1-p) / n). Two weeks gives 9,000 per arm, so d = sqrt(2.746 / 9000) = 0.0175, which is 1.75 percentage points absolute or 7.9% relative on a 22% base.
- Run it forward for d = 0.015: n = 2.746 / 0.000225 = 12,202 per arm, 24,404 total, about 2.7 weeks of enrolment. Round up to three whole weeks so the enrolment window contains no partial week, since signups are not uniform across weekdays.
- Add the metric's own lag rather than reporting the enrolment end date. Activation is unobservable until seven days after the last enrolled signup, and the definition publishes on an eight-day lag, so the readout lands 29 days after launch.
- Close by testing whether the ask is realistic. If the team's honest prior is a 0.5pp lift, the requirement is about 110,000 per arm and roughly 24 weeks of enrolment, and saying so before launch is the deliverable.
Worked solution (20 min)
- Compute p(1-p) = 0.22 x 0.78 = 0.1716 and 16 x 0.1716 = 2.746.
- MDE at two weeks: n = 4,500 per arm per week x 2 = 9,000; d = sqrt(2.746 / 9000) = 0.0175.
- Sample for d = 0.015: n = 2.746 / 0.000225 = 12,202 per arm, which is 2.71 weeks of enrolment, so enrol three whole weeks.
- Readout date = 21 days of enrolment + 8 days of follow-up and publication lag = 29 days from launch.
- State the boundary of what this quarter can answer: below roughly 0.7pp the requirement passes 56,000 per arm and more than a full quarter of enrolment.
Expected result: MDE after two weeks is 1.75 percentage points absolute, 7.9% relative. Detecting 1.5pp needs 12,202 users per arm, so three weeks of enrolment and a readout 29 days after launch. Detecting 0.5pp needs about 110,000 per arm, roughly 24 weeks, which is the answer the team needs to hear before the code is written.
Verify it yourself
- MDE must fall as 1 / sqrt(n). Doubling enrolment from two weeks to four should move 1.75pp to 1.24pp, not to 0.88pp.
- Substituting d = 0.0175 back into 16 p(1-p) / d^2 must return about 9,000 per arm.
- An exact two-proportion calculator at alpha 0.05 two-sided, power 0.80, p1 = 0.22, p2 = 0.235 returns about 12,260 per arm, within half a percent of the shortcut.
Follow-up
- The team also wants trial-to-paid read from the same test. What does a second primary metric do to your alpha, and what would you actually do about it?
- Signups are heavier on weekdays. What goes wrong if enrolment runs 17 days instead of 14?
- The activation definition uses a two-distinct-days threshold. If that were loosened to one day, what happens to the baseline rate and to the sample you need?
Pooled signup conversion fell while every segment rose
Medium · mix-shift · simpsons-paradox · decomposition
Weekly visit-to-signup conversion, counted on distinct fct_session.visitor_id with is_bot_flagged = TRUE and consent_state = 'denied' sessions excluded, fell from 4.4% to 3.9% week over week. Split by device_type and referrer_channel, all twelve cells are flat or up. A paid_social campaign launched on Monday. Using fct_session and fct_event, quantify how much of the 0.5-point fall is mix and how much is within-segment rate, then state what you would tell the growth lead.
Approach
- Write the pooled rate explicitly as the sum over segments of weight times segment rate, and materialise both weeks' weights and rates into one table. Until that table exists there is nothing to decompose, only opinions.
- Compute three quantities and report all three: the rate effect holding the prior week's weights fixed, the mix effect holding the prior week's rates fixed, and the interaction residual. Reporting only the first two hides a term that can be material when both weights and rates move a lot.
- Rank segments by their individual mix contribution, computed as the change in that segment's weight multiplied by its prior-period rate. This is what lets you say one cell caused the move rather than gesturing at the campaign.
- Verify the new traffic is human and countable before accepting the mix story: check is_bot_flagged coverage on the new channel, the distribution of duration_seconds and event_count for its sessions, and whether its consent_state profile differs from the rest.
- Deliver the conclusion as a definition change rather than a diagnosis: a pooled rate over a mix that moves is not comparable week over week, so the recurring report should carry per-channel rates plus absolute signups, with the pooled figure demoted or dropped.
Follow-up
- Paid social converts at roughly a quarter of organic but absolute signups rose. Is the campaign working, and what would you need to answer that properly?
- Would you reach the same conclusion if the campaign had moved the mix by two points instead of sixteen? Where is your threshold and why?
- How would you present this to someone who has been watching the pooled number in a weekly meeting for a year?
Suggested practice checklist
For a candidate whose interviews will centre on A/B testing, metric movement and causal claims. Design comes before arithmetic, arithmetic before analysis, and the week ends by rehearsing the readout rather than the derivation.
Day 1 — Design one test end to end on paper
- Take a single feature change and write the full design: randomization unit, the exact point of exposure, the primary metric with its grain, guardrails, allocation, planned duration, and the decision rule committed before any data exists.
- Write why the randomization unit must sit at or above the level where treatment can spill over, and give one case where user-level randomization is still contaminated (shared accounts or devices, or two participants in the same marketplace).
- State in advance what you will do if the primary metric is flat while a secondary metric is significant.
Deliverable: A one-page test design with a decision rule written before launch.
Day 2 — Power arithmetic until it is automatic
- Compute required sample size per arm for a binary metric with the normal approximation, n is approximately 2 times (z for alpha/2 plus z for power) squared times p(1 minus p) divided by delta squared, for baselines of 2, 10 and 40 percent at a 5 percent relative lift, and note that for a fixed relative lift the requirement falls as the baseline rises because delta grows proportionally with p.
- Redo the calculation for a continuous metric using variance in place of p(1 minus p), and show why a heavy-tailed quantity such as revenue per user needs either far more traffic or a capped version with a stated cap.
- Convert one of the results into weeks given a weekly eligible traffic figure, then list the two honest ways to shorten it (accept a larger detectable effect, or reduce variance) and write why quietly lowering the power target is a decision to miss more real wins, not a speedup.
Deliverable: A small script or sheet that maps baseline, minimum detectable effect, alpha and power to sample size and weeks, cross-checked against a published calculator.
Day 3 — Variance and the unit-of-analysis problem
- Take a ratio metric whose denominator is not the randomization unit (clicks per session, randomized by user) and compute the standard error twice, once naively at session level and once by the delta method or a user-level bootstrap, then record how much the naive version understates it.
- Implement CUPED on simulated data: choose a pre-period covariate X measured before assignment, estimate theta as Cov(Y, X) divided by Var(X), and analyse Y minus theta times (X minus its mean) in place of Y. Confirm the variance of the adjusted outcome equals the raw variance multiplied by one minus the squared correlation between Y and X, so a correlation of 0.45 removes about 20 percent of the variance and not 80.
- Now run that simulation a few hundred times and confirm the adjusted effect estimate is unbiased for the same effect rather than numerically identical to the raw one. Within any single run the two differ, sometimes by a large fraction of the true effect, because the two arms' pre-period covariate means never coincide exactly in a finite sample; they agree in expectation, which is the property that matters and the one to state out loud.
Deliverable: A notebook showing the adjusted estimator with a measurably smaller variance than the raw one, plus a repeated-simulation table showing the two estimators agreeing on average while differing run by run.
Day 4 — Validity threats you can actually test for
- Run a sample ratio mismatch check as a chi-square goodness-of-fit test against the intended allocation, and write the three causes you would chase first (assignment logged before exposure, an arm-specific redirect or load failure, bot filtering applied asymmetrically).
- Simulate peeking: generate A/A data, test daily at alpha 0.05 across 14 looks, record the inflated false positive rate, then apply an alpha-spending boundary or commit to a fixed horizon and confirm the rate returns to nominal.
- Write how you would separate a novelty effect from a durable lift using the treatment effect plotted against days since first exposure, and what shape would change your recommendation.
Deliverable: One table showing the peeking false positive rate before and after correction, plus a written SRM triage list.
Day 5 — When randomization is not available
- Write the identifying assumption for difference-in-differences (parallel trends in the absence of treatment), then plot pre-period trends for two candidate control groups and justify rejecting one of them.
- Design a switchback test for a change where user-level randomization would leak across participants, choosing a time-block length against the carryover you expect and saying how you would detect carryover in the data.
- List what an interrupted time series or a synthetic control buys you and the one thing neither can rule out: an unobserved shock that coincides with the launch.
Deliverable: A one-page memo recommending a single quasi-experimental design and naming its weakest assumption explicitly.
Day 6 — The readout query
- Write the assignment-to-exposure join that returns exactly one row per unit per experiment, and handle units appearing in both arms by excluding and counting them rather than silently keeping one.
- Compute the per-arm metric, its variance and the relative lift with a confidence interval in SQL, then reproduce the identical numbers in a notebook as a cross-check.
- Add a segment breakdown and write the sentence that keeps it from being p-hacking: segments declared in advance, everything else reported as exploratory and corrected for multiplicity.
Deliverable: A single query that outputs the full readout table, matched to a notebook recomputation.
Day 7 — Present it to someone who will not read the appendix
- Give a 10-minute readout of a real or simulated experiment in the order decision, number, uncertainty, caveat.
- Have your listener ask "can we ship it" in the case where the primary is flat and a guardrail moved, and answer with a recommendation rather than a request for more data.
- Rewrite your opening line so the recommendation lands before any methodology.
Deliverable: A one-page readout whose first line is the recommendation.
Ambiguous requests are the test
Most of the questions in this section reduce to one thing: can you be handed a vague request and come back with something useful? Prepare an example where the ask was underspecified, you chose an interpretation, and you said out loud which interpretation you chose. Describing how you narrowed the question matters more than the technique you eventually used.
Describe a situation where you faced conflicting priorities across cross-functional teams and how you resolved them.
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.
- Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
- State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
Follow-up
- What did you decide not to do, and why?
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
Turn an ambiguous onboarding question into a measurable metric
Easy · scoping · metric definition · stakeholder
Two days before a planning review, a director asks whether onboarding is working. You have dim_user (account_created_at_utc, signup_surface, is_internal), fct_event (is_core_action, flow_id, flow_instance_id, event_name, occurred_at_utc, received_at_utc) and fct_session. No further meeting with the director is possible before you start work. Deliver three clarifying questions you would send in writing, the metric you will compute in the meantime with its numerator, denominator, window and exclusions, and one sentence naming the question you are deliberately not answering.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you convert a goal into a computable predicate without stalling for requirements or guessing in silence. Listing clarifying questions is the generic answer; shipping a defensible default alongside them is the strong one, because the review is in two days and it will happen with or without you.
- Infer the decision behind the request. A question about whether onboarding works, arriving before a planning cycle, usually means whether to staff it next quarter. That points at a rate with visible headroom over several cohorts, not at a descriptive dashboard.
- Write the three questions so that each one changes the SQL. Which population, all signups or only self-serve from dim_user.signup_surface. What counts as working, reaching a core action or completing the onboarding flow_id. Against what bar, last quarter's cohorts or a stated target.
- Propose the default explicitly: seven-day activation on weekly signup cohorts. Numerator, users with is_core_action = TRUE events on at least two distinct UTC dates inside [account_created_at_utc, account_created_at_utc + 7 days). Denominator, the signup cohort with is_internal = FALSE. Publish with an eight-day lag, and state that the two-distinct-days threshold is a frozen choice rather than a discovery.
- Name the exclusion in the same breath as the number. The series shows whether users activate; it does not establish that onboarding caused the level, which needs a staged rollout or an experiment.
Follow-up
- The director replies that they meant the onboarding flow specifically, not activation. What changes in the query and in the caveats?
- Your cohort metric needs an eight-day lag and the review is in two days. What do you present, and how do you label it?
- Two of your three questions come back unanswered. Which one do you refuse to proceed without?
Quantify your own impact without claiming the topline you touched
Hard · self-assessment · attribution · communication
You are writing the impact section of your own review. Over the year you ran four experiments, one of which shipped and three of which were flat; you corrected the definition of gross monthly revenue churn so that cancellation is recognised at period_end_utc; and you built a self-serve funnel dashboard. Weekly active accounts rose 14% over the same period. Your reviewer knows the data well. Write the three impact claims you would defend, stating for each what you contributed, what evidence supports it, and what portion of the outcome you are not claiming.
Approach
- Recognise what is being probed: whether you apply to your own work the causal standard you would apply to somebody else's roadmap claim. Nearly everyone who would reject 'accounts that do Y retain better' will write 'I drove a 14% increase' without noticing it is the same error with a friendlier subject.
- Sort the work by the kind of evidence it can carry. The shipped experiment is the only item with a randomised estimate, so it is the only one where an effect size is defensible, and you claim the interval rather than the point estimate.
- Claim the three flat experiments as decisions prevented and price them. Features not built, or built differently, on evidence, with the engineering weeks reallocated as the number somebody else can verify. A defensible null is a delivered decision and should be written as one.
- Claim the definition fix as correctness, not as improvement. The old figure was overstated by a specific percentage and appeared in a specific set of recurring documents; the impact is the change it produced in the forecast built on top of it, not a change in churn itself.
- Claim the dashboard on usage and displacement: distinct weekly users of it, and the ad-hoc request count for six months before against six months after. If the request log does not exist, record the claim as unverified rather than estimating it upward.
- Disclaim the 14% explicitly and once. State that it cannot be separated from seasonality, other teams' launches and a pricing change, and bound your own contribution from above using the shipped experiment's interval converted into headline units.
Follow-up
- Your shipped experiment's interval was +0.2pp to +1.4pp on activation. How much of the 14% can that account for, and how do you say so without undercutting yourself?
- A peer in the same cycle claims the full 14%. What, if anything, do you do about it?
- If you could only keep two of your three claims, which do you drop, and why that one?