Interview guides · American Credit Acceptance
American Credit Acceptance Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026
Causal inference drills for American Credit Acceptance data scientist prep: diff-in-diff, matching, instruments, and the limits of observed data.
The 60-second brief
As a Data Scientist at American Credit Acceptance, you play a pivotal role in shaping the financial health and strategic growth of a leading auto finance organization managing billions in assets. You will drive core analytical initiatives across vital impact domains such as credit risk modeling, default prediction, pricing optimization, financial returns, and portfolio forecasting. Your day-to-day work directly dictates how the organization evaluates emerging credit consumers, balances risk against profitability, and operationalizes complex machine learning pipelines.
Coding rounds for this role are usually data-manipulation shaped rather than data-structure shaped: group-bys, joins, time windows, ranking within a partition. Confirm the format before spending a week on graph traversal.
Focus areas
- Set fraud thresholds by expected cost
- Report only matured cohorts for loss metrics
- Reconcile amounts in minor units and currency
Overview
This role combines rigorous statistical theory with direct commercial application. You will build, validate, and monitor advanced predictive models—ranging from boosted trees and random forests to regression frameworks—while collaborating closely with operations, legal, compliance, and executive leadership. Because American Credit Acceptance operates in a fast-paced lending environment, your insights must bridge the gap between abstract mathematical theory and actionable business value. You will be expected to defend your analytical choices, design robust validation tests, and articulate complex model behaviors to both technical and non-technical stakeholders.
Expect a fast-moving, high-accountability environment where analytical rigor is tightly coupled with business outcomes. You will not only develop models from scratch but also oversee their production integration, manage input drift, and perform detailed profitability assessments. Success in this position requires a balance of sharp technical execution, financial intuition, and the ability to translate complex data structures into strategic business recommendations for senior executives.
The American Credit Acceptance interview process
American Credit Acceptance candidates report 5 rounds · ≈ 4-6 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.
Online Assessment
This round decides whether someone can hand you a schema and a question and trust the number that comes back. Correctness under a clock is the bar, not clever syntax. The habit that separates strong from weak answers is checking the grain: after every join, know how many rows you expect and whether the count moved. Most wrong answers in this format are not wrong logic, they are a fan-out from a key that turned out not to be unique, or a filter applied before an aggregate when it belonged after. Say what you expect before you run it.
What to demonstrate
- Whether your row counts survive each join, and whether you notice on your own when they do not
- Deliberate handling of rows that fail to match, including whether the question needs an inner join or a left join with the non-matches kept and counted
- Whether NULLs are treated on purpose, given that a NULL compares equal to nothing and that COUNT of a column skips it
- Reaching a defensible answer inside the window instead of a refined one after it
How to prepare
- Take a two-table schema, write a join that fans out on purpose, then fix it by collapsing the many-side to one row per key before joining. Repeat until the fix is reflex rather than recall.
- Write a funnel as one query and print the distinct user count at each stage, then confirm each stage is a subset of the one above it rather than assuming it
- Do a few timed runs in a plain text box with no autocomplete and no formatter, since assessment editors often have neither
Recruiter Conversation
Whoever runs this call is usually not a practitioner. They take notes, and a hiring manager skims those notes later, so the real question is whether your work survives being written down by someone outside the field. Test every project sentence against that: could a non-specialist repeat it correctly without knowing what a propensity score is? Carry a plain-language version of each project and one reason you want this particular role that you could not copy onto another application. Vagueness at this stage reads as inexperience, even when the underlying work was genuinely deep.
What to demonstrate
- Whether a non-specialist can restate your projects accurately, since their paraphrase is what reaches the hiring manager
- Whether your reason for wanting the role points at the work itself rather than the company's reputation
- Whether your language signals the level being screened for: what you decided yourself versus what you were handed
How to prepare
- Write a two-sentence, jargon-free version of each major project: the question nobody could answer, and the decision your work changed. Read it to someone outside data and have them repeat it back
- Point your 'why this role' answer at something concrete in the job description or the product surface you would be working on, and keep it to two sentences
- Have two questions ready about measurement: which metric the team is held to, and who acts on an analysis once it lands
Technical Screening
Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.
What to demonstrate
- Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
- What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
- Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly
How to prepare
- Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
- Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
- Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock
Case Study Interviews
A case has a fixed clock, and a good deal of what is being scored is how you spend it. Thirty to forty-five minutes buys one pass across the whole problem or a deep read of one part of it, and choosing between those is the work rather than a compromise forced on you. Announce the shape early: the structure you are using, the branch you think carries the decision, and what you are setting aside. An answer that is thorough for the first third and silent on the recommendation reads worse than one that is rougher throughout and lands.
What to demonstrate
- Whether a visible structure appears in the opening minutes and survives the rest of the case
- Whether the depth goes to the branch that carries the decision, rather than the branch you find most comfortable
- Whether you say what you are leaving out and why, instead of quietly omitting it and hoping nobody asks
How to prepare
- After each practice case, write down the branches you chose not to open and the reason for each, then check whether you said any of them out loud while the case was running. A branch you only cut privately reads to the interviewer as one you missed.
- Redo a case you have already worked in half the time, deciding in advance which single branch you keep, then compare which version a listener would find more useful.
- Write a two-sentence opening you can reuse, holding the restated question and your plan for the available time, and deliver it within the first ninety seconds of every practice run.
Panel Interviews
A loop is not scored one interview at a time. The people you meet compare notes afterwards, usually in a meeting you are not in, and the outcome turns on what each of them can say about you when asked. That rewards something other than survival: every room needs one specific thing worth repeating, and none of them can contradict another. The common way to lose is to tell the same project four times with different numbers in it, or to be uniformly fine in a way that leaves nobody with anything to argue for.
What to demonstrate
- Whether your account of a project survives being told twice, with the same scale, the same metric definition and the same numbers each time
- Whether each interviewer leaves with one concrete claim they could make on your behalf later, rather than an absence of complaints
- Whether a question you already answered in an earlier room gets the same answer at the same depth, without visible impatience
How to prepare
- Write a one-page fact sheet for your two or three main projects that fixes the numbers you will quote: rows of data, the metric as a single sentence, the effect you measured and how long the work took. Say them aloud from the sheet until they come out identical every time
- For each kind of room you expect, decide the one sentence you want that interviewer repeating in a debrief, then check during the mock that you said it outright instead of implying it
- Rehearse answering the same project question twice in one sitting, the second time as though you had not just answered it, because the thing that needs fixing is the flatness that creeps into a repeated story
Where candidates lose points
Assuming a model is fair because protected attributes are not among its inputs
Postcode, device, tenure, income proxies and even transaction patterns correlate with protected characteristics, so a model can produce a disparate outcome without ever reading the attribute. Credit decisions additionally carry an explainability obligation in many jurisdictions, since a denial has to be accompanied by its principal reasons, which constrains model form and feature engineering rather than being a reporting afterthought. Treating fairness testing and reason-code generation as design constraints from the first model version is far cheaper than retrofitting them to a deployed one.
Counting authorizations instead of weighting them, and summing amounts across currencies
Declines skew toward high-value, cross-border and card-not-present transactions, so an unweighted approval rate can sit flat while approved value falls. Merchant retry logic also turns one declined purchase into several rows, inflating the denominator by an amount that varies by merchant and by decline reason. Amounts are held in the minor unit of the transaction currency and that unit is not always two decimals, since some currencies have none and some have three, so summing amount_minor across currencies produces a figure with no interpretation at all.
Interpreting a change before checking data quality and logging
Spend the first pass on row volume by day, null rates, duplicate keys, and whether the step change lands on a release or tracking-migration date. A discontinuity that coincides with a deploy is an instrumentation hypothesis before it is a behavioural one.
Ignoring interference between units in a marketplace experiment
Ask whether one unit's treatment can change another unit's outcome through shared inventory, a matching pool, a social graph or a common budget. Where it can, randomise at a level that contains the spillover, such as region or time slice, and say explicitly what that costs you in statistical power.
Questions & practice
What is the mathematical intuition behind calculating standard deviation, and how does skewness affect the relationship between the mean and median?
Medium · statistics and probability
Approach
- Sanity-check the answer against a simple bound or a simulated case.
- Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.
- Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
Follow-up
- How would you explain this result to someone who does not know statistics?
- What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?
How do you validate models designed on imbalanced data where loan defaults represent a small fraction of the total observations?
Medium · machine learning and modelling
Approach
- Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
- Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.
- Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Follow-up
- What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
- Where could label leakage enter this setup?
Collapse retry chains and compute a dollar-weighted approval rate
Medium · sessionisation · window functions · dollar-weighted rates
fct_payment_authorization gives auth_id, card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor, transaction_currency, requested_at, auth_result, is_reversal, channel and issuer_country. Two reference frames give the minor-unit exponent per currency and a daily rate to one reporting currency. Collapse retry chains first: attempts sharing card_token_id, merchant_id and amount_minor whose consecutive gaps are under 15 minutes form a single attempt, whose outcome is its last row. Exclude reversals and zero-amount verifications. Return a 7-day rolling dollar-weighted approval rate by channel and issuer_country.
Approach
- Filter before grouping: drop is_reversal rows and zero-amount verifications, since neither is a purchase attempt and both would otherwise sit in the denominator.
- Sort by card_token_id, merchant_id, amount_minor and requested_at, take the gap to the previous row within that key, mark a chain start where the gap exceeds 15 minutes or the key changes, and label chains with a cumulative sum of that flag. This is a gap rule between consecutive attempts, not a fixed clock bucket, so a chain may span more than 15 minutes in total.
- Keep each chain's terminal row by requested_at. If a retry was approved, the purchase was approved; keeping the first row reports the decline that caused the retry as the outcome.
- Convert amounts exactly once: amount_minor divided by 10 to the power of the currency exponent, multiplied by the reference rate for the authorization date. Do not reach for settlement_fx_rate, which is null on precisely the declined rows the denominator needs.
- Build the rolling window as a ratio of two rolling sums, approved value over total value, per channel and issuer_country. A rolling mean of daily ratios weights a quiet Sunday the same as a busy Friday.
Worked solution (35 min)
- Filter out reversals and zero-amount rows, then sort by the chain key and requested_at.
- Compute the within-key time difference, derive the chain start flag and the chain id, and take the last row per chain with groupby(chain_id).tail(1) after sorting.
- Join the exponent and daily rate tables, compute value_reporting, and assert no nulls remain after the join.
- Aggregate approved value and total value to a daily grain by channel and issuer_country, reindex to a complete date range per group so missing days are zero rather than absent.
- Take 7-day rolling sums of both columns and divide, then confirm one hand-picked group-day against a direct filter.
Expected result: A DataFrame keyed by date, channel and issuer_country with approved_value, total_value and approval_rate. The collapsed attempt count is materially below the raw row count, with the gap concentrated in declined ecommerce rows, and ecommerce sits below card_present.
Verify it yourself
- Within every chain, all consecutive requested_at gaps are under 15 minutes; across chains with the same key, at least one gap is not.
- Chain count is strictly below raw attempt count, and the difference is concentrated in declined rows rather than spread evenly.
- Total converted value on a single-currency single-day subset equals the raw amount_minor sum divided by that currency's exponent power, times that day's rate.
- The rolling rate on one chosen day matches a direct filter-and-divide over the preceding seven days.
Follow-up
- The count-weighted rate is flat while the dollar-weighted rate falls 80 basis points. What do you look at first?
- How would you choose the 15-minute window rather than inheriting it?
- A merchant moves from two retries to five. Which of your two rates moves, and is that a real change in approval quality?
Extract customer repayment latency metrics using SQL conditional aggregation across multiple loan status tables.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- State the window function and its partition and ordering out loud before writing it.
- Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Follow-up
- How does the query change if the join becomes one-to-many?
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
Write a SQL query using window functions to calculate rolling 3-month default rates for recurring borrowers.
Medium · sql and data manipulation
Approach
- Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
- Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.
- Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
Follow-up
- How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?
- What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
Vintage ninety-plus rate at twelve months on book
Medium · vintage analysis · window functions · right censoring
From fct_loan_performance_monthly, build a vintage table keyed on origination_month: the share of each cohort that ever reached days_past_due of 90 or more, or charge_off_flag = true, at or before months_on_book = 12. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so for any loan with restructured_flag true, evaluate only the month ends strictly before its first restructured month. Return origination_month, loans_funded, bad_loans and bad_rate. Exclude any cohort that does not yet have a months_on_book = 12 observation for every loan still on book.
Approach
- Establish the cohort denominator from the first month end each loan appears at, months_on_book = 0, so a loan is counted once in its origination_month rather than once per monthly row.
- Find each loan's first restructured month with MIN(as_of_month_end) FILTER (WHERE restructured_flag) OVER (PARTITION BY loan_id), or the equivalent grouped subquery, and keep it null for loans never restructured.
- Flag a loan bad if any row with months_on_book <= 12 and as_of_month_end earlier than that first restructured month has days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag = true, which is what 'pre-restructure worst state' means in practice.
- Gate maturity by requiring the cohort's newest month end to be at least 12 months after origination_month, and report immature cohorts as incomplete rather than letting them appear at a flattering low rate.
- Aggregate to one row per origination_month and read the column downward, not across calendar time, because the whole point is comparing cohorts at equal age.
Worked solution (35 min)
- CTE 1: per loan_id, derive origination_month, the first restructured month end, and the maximum months_on_book observed.
- CTE 2: join back to the monthly rows, filter to months_on_book <= 12 and to month ends before any restructure, then flag bad with a BOOL_OR.
- CTE 3: aggregate to origination_month with COUNT() as loans_funded and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE is_bad) as bad_loans.
- Apply the maturity gate and compute bad_rate with a numeric cast.
Expected result: One row per matured origination_month with loans_funded, bad_loans and a bad_rate between 0 and 1. The most recent immature cohorts are absent from the output entirely rather than present with a small bad_rate.
Verify it yourself
- SUM(loans_funded) across reported cohorts equals COUNT(DISTINCT loan_id) restricted to those same origination months.
- Recomputing without the months_on_book cap raises bad_rate monotonically for every cohort, and raises it most for the oldest, which is the seasoning effect made visible.
- No cohort in the output has a maximum months_on_book below 12.
Follow-up
- Should a restructure inside 12 months count as bad in its own right? Argue both sides and say what you would actually ship.
- A loan that prepaid in full at month 4 never had a chance to go 90 days past due. In or out of the denominator, and why?
- The 2025-11 cohort is two points worse at month 12 than its neighbours. What three queries do you run before you call it a credit-quality change?
If you notice a sudden drop in loan approval rates week-over-week, walk me through your diagnostic framework to isolate the root cause.
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
If overall market interest rates go up, how would you expect consumer default behavior and portfolio performance to shift, and how would you adjust your models?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you design a comprehensive suite of key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor the ongoing health of an auto loan portfolio?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
- Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
Follow-up
- How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
How would you design a pricing strategy for high-risk auto loan applicants to maximize revenue while controlling default exposure?
Medium · product sense and metrics
Approach
- State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
- Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
- Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.
Follow-up
- Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
- What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
What are common experimentation pitfalls when running tests on financial products with delayed conversion windows?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- State the primary metric and the minimum effect worth shipping, then size the test.
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
Follow-up
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
- What would you do if you could not randomise at all?
How do you determine statistical significance and required sample size when dealing with low-frequency, high-value default events?
Medium · a/b testing and experimentation
Approach
- Name the randomisation unit first; it decides the variance and what the test can detect.
- Name the guardrails that would stop a launch even on a positive primary result.
- Decide the analysis before seeing data, including how long it runs and when you look.
Follow-up
- How would you handle interference between treated and control units?
- What would you conclude if the result is positive but the test is underpowered?
Price a false decline when the label does not exist
Hard · proxy metrics · selection bias · randomised holdout
Your expected-cost threshold needs a figure for what a false decline costs beyond the margin on the blocked transaction. fct_payment_authorization records the decline, nothing records what the customer did next elsewhere, and declined transactions never produce a fraud outcome, so neither side of the error is directly observable. Propose the measurement: the proxy you would build from the tables you have, the design that yields an unbiased estimate for at least part of the score range, the bias in each, and the single sentence you would attach to the number when it reaches a pricing decision.
Approach
- Write down what is unobservable and why. The counterfactual spend of a customer who was not declined, and the fraud label on any transaction the rule blocked, are both missing because of the decision itself. Missingness that depends on the decision is not fixed by matching on observed covariates.
- Build the observational proxy anyway and be specific. For customers receiving a first risk-rule decline in a window, compare settled volume and active status over the following 30 and 90 days against customers matched on pre-period settled volume, tenure, segment and channel mix who attempted a comparable transaction and were approved. The bias runs one way: matching conditions on having attempted something that scored near the cutoff, and part of the declined group are genuine fraudsters whose disappearance is a saving rather than a loss, so the estimate overstates the damage.
- Buy one unbiased local estimate. Hold a small random share of authorizations inside a defined risk_score band out of the decline rule and approve them, sizing the sample in advance from the expected fraud rate in that band so the cost of the experiment is known before it runs. The result is unbiased for that band only, and it is simultaneously the only source of fraud labels in the declined region.
- Bound the extrapolation instead of hiding it. Run the holdout in two or three adjacent bands and report the spread. If the effect is flat across bands a constant is defensible; if it is steep, quote band-specific figures and decline to supply a single number.
- Handle the window. Attrition after a decline can resolve over months, so a 90-day window truncates it and the randomised estimate is a lower bound on long-run damage at the same time as the observational version is an upper bound. Stating both directions is what makes the number safe to use.
- Write the sentence that travels with the number: what it is (an estimate from a randomised holdout in one score band over a 90-day window), what it is not (a measurement anywhere else on the score range), and which way it is likely to be wrong.
Worked solution (40 min)
- Define the decline cohort and the matched comparison cohort precisely, including matching variables and the pre-period window, and produce the 30-day and 90-day settled-volume difference.
- Decompose the declined cohort into customers who never transact again and customers who transact less, since fraudsters concentrate in the first group and that split tells you how much of the estimate is contamination.
- Write the holdout design: score band, sample share, expected fraud rate in band, expected cost of running it, and the run length needed to detect an effect large enough to change the cutoff.
- Recompute p* = C_FP / (C_FP + C_FN) at the top and bottom of your estimated cost range and state whether the range changes the cutoff you would set.
- Write the one-sentence caveat that will be quoted alongside the number in the pricing decision.
Expected result: Two numbers with opposite biases, an observational estimate labelled as an upper bound and a randomised in-band estimate labelled unbiased for that band only, plus a sensitivity table showing how p* moves across the range and an explicit statement of whether the residual uncertainty changes the decision.
Verify it yourself
- If the cost range moves p* by less than the granularity at which the rule can actually be set, further measurement is not worth buying and that is the finding.
- The observational estimate should exceed the randomised one in magnitude. If it does not, the matching is capturing something other than the effect of the decline and needs re-examining.
- Removing customers with zero prior settled volume from both cohorts should shrink the observational estimate, since new-account fraud concentrates there.
Follow-up
- Compliance and finance both object to deliberately approving transactions you believe are fraudulent. What is your answer, and how do you size the holdout?
- Your interval spans the decision boundary. What do you recommend?
- How would you detect that this number has gone stale?
Manual review rate doubles on the day two changes ship
Hard · definition change · model version · population stability
Manual review rate on fct_loan_application, defined as decided_by = 'manual' over decisions in ('approve','decline'), stepped from 9 to 18 percent on a single day. That day a new model_version went live, and the same release changed which referral paths are recorded as manual. Columns: submitted_at, channel, bureau_score, model_pd_12m, model_version, policy_rule_hits, decision, decided_by, decision_at. Attribute the step across definition, model and population, with a number against each.
Approach
- Establish the shape before the cause. A definition or code change produces a step at the deploy timestamp; a population change produces a ramp. Plot at hourly granularity either side of the release and read which one this is.
- Dual-run the definition. Recompute the metric under both the old and the new recording rules across several months of history. If the historical series under the new rule sits near 18 percent throughout, that part of the step is definitional and should be restated, not investigated.
- Hold the model constant and decompose the residual by policy_rule_hits identifier. A referral rule keyed to a score threshold shows its own step, and naming the rule is what makes the finding actionable to the policy owner.
- Test the score, not the applicants. Compare model_pd_12m distributions by model_version on the same applications where shadow scores exist; otherwise compare adjacent weeks with a population stability index, treating the customary 0.1 and 0.25 marks as heuristics rather than tests, and assess calibration separately from ranking.
- Test the applicants, not the score. Compare channel mix, bureau_score distribution and null-bureau share across the boundary. If those are stable, population is not a driver and should be reported as approximately zero rather than left unquantified.
- Deliver three components that sum to the observed step, each with the team that owns it.
Follow-up
- If the new model is better calibrated, is a higher referral rate the correct outcome or a threshold nobody retuned?
- How would you have caught the recording change before it reached the dashboard?
- What is the swap set here, and which swap group would you inspect first?
Suggested practice checklist
Four days spend equal time on query work, statistics, modelling and product judgement at deliberately shallow depth, which produces a scored map of where you actually stand. The last three days spend everything on the two areas the role weights most, and close by re-running day one to measure movement.
Day 1 — Breadth pass: query fluency
- Solve six prompts spanning aggregation, joins, window functions and date arithmetic in 60 minutes total, stopping at 10 minutes each whether or not it works, and mark every prompt as solved, solved slowly, or stuck.
- For each unsolved prompt write the single blocking sentence (I lost the grain, I did not know the frame clause, I could not express the date boundary) instead of reading the solution.
- Translate one pandas transformation you know well into SQL and one SQL query into pandas, checking that both return the same row count and the same totals.
Deliverable: A scored six-row table, one line per prompt, saved for the day-seven re-run.
Day 2 — Breadth pass: statistics and inference
- Answer ten short questions in writing with nothing open: what a p-value is conditional on, what a 95 percent interval covers across repeated samples, when a paired test is the right one, what the bootstrap estimates, why multiple comparisons inflate false positives, how controlling the family-wise error rate differs from controlling the false discovery rate, what power depends on, what a missed real effect costs a product, the three situations where the central limit theorem does not rescue you (small n, very heavy tails, dependent observations), and what a standard error is the standard deviation of.
- Grade yourself against a reference and count only the answers that were exactly right, not the ones that were nearly right.
- Rewrite the two weakest answers the following morning from memory in full sentences.
Deliverable: Ten graded answers with an honest count of exact hits.
Day 3 — Breadth pass: modelling
- Take one tabular dataset end to end in 90 minutes: a leakage-safe split, a baseline that is not a model (majority class or historical mean), one regularized linear model, one gradient-boosted tree, and a single evaluation metric chosen before you look at any result.
- Write why that metric fits the cost structure: precision at a fixed recall for alerting, calibration for anything feeding a price or a threshold, ranking metrics for retrieval, and note that area under the ROC curve is insensitive to class balance in a way that can flatter a rare-positive problem.
- Name the leak you were most likely to introduce (an encoding fit on all rows before splitting, or a feature computed after the label's timestamp) and write the check that would have caught it.
Deliverable: A notebook whose first cell states the metric and the baseline, plus two lines on what beat what and by how much.
Day 4 — Breadth pass: product judgement
- Answer three case prompts aloud at 15 minutes each, timing how long passes before you state a success metric.
- For one case write the first segmentation you would run and the row counts you expect per segment, so that a tiny segment cannot quietly drive the conclusion.
- Take a metric definition you did not write, from a public dashboard, a textbook, or documentation you already have open, and list every place two analysts implementing it would diverge: which rows the denominator admits, whether the unit is an account or a person, what the time window is anchored to, and what happens to data that arrives late. Then write the one question that would close the largest of those gaps.
Deliverable: Three recorded case answers plus an ambiguity list for a metric someone else defined, ending in the single question you would ask about it.
Day 5 — Depth, first area
- Rank the four areas by how many bullet points in the role description each one covers, pick the top one, and spend the entire day inside it.
- Work the six hardest problems you can find in that area and for each write the generalizable move you should have reached for first, rather than the answer.
- Re-solve the two you failed the same evening with notes closed.
Deliverable: Six generalizable moves written as instructions to yourself, not as solutions.
Day 6 — Depth, second area, and the seam between them
- Repeat the depth protocol on the second-ranked area with the same six-problem structure.
- Construct one problem that requires both areas at once, for example a metric redefinition whose effect you must validate with a test whose readout you then have to query.
- Solve your own combined problem end to end and note where the handoff between the two areas cost you time.
Deliverable: One combined problem, solved end to end, with the handoff failure written down.
Day 7 — Integration and re-measurement
- Re-run the six prompts from day one under the same clock and compare both correctness and time.
- Run a 60-minute mixed mock that moves between areas without warning, since switching cost is what breadth passes do not train.
- Write the two areas you would still fail on, and the sentence you will use in the interview when you hit one of them.
Deliverable: A before-and-after score table plus a written plan for the two remaining gaps.
The project you argued against
Saying no well is a senior skill and it is rarely rehearsed. Think of a time you told someone their analysis was not worth doing, or that the experiment could not answer their question at the sample size available. Explain what you offered instead. Refusal without an alternative reads as obstruction rather than judgement.
Tell me about a time you had to explain a complex statistical model or machine learning output to a non-technical stakeholder or senior executive.
Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions
Approach
- Close with what you would do differently, concretely.
- State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
- Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
Follow-up
- What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
- How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?
Turn a one-line fraud-number request into a scoped brief
Easy · scoping · metric definition · denominators
A stakeholder messages: what is our fraud rate, and is it going up? You have fct_payment_authorization, fct_card_dispute and dim_customer. At least four defensible answers exist: count-weighted or value-weighted, attributed to the transaction month or to the dispute filing month, and gross or net of recoveries and successful representments. You get one reply before someone else produces an uncaveated number. Write that reply: the clarifying questions you ask, the single default you will produce if nobody answers, and what the default excludes.
Approach
- Establish the decision behind the question first, because a risk-rule change, a board number and a merchant contract negotiation need different denominators, and asking which one is not stalling.
- Offer a short menu rather than an open question: a stakeholder can choose between two named options but cannot specify a denominator from scratch.
- Commit to a default so the reply is useful even if nobody answers, for example net fraud loss in basis points of settled volume, attributed to the requested_at month, matured months only.
- State the exclusions in the same breath as the default: non-fraud dispute categories, transaction months with less than 120 days of maturity, and first-party abuse that arrives coded as consumer_dispute.
- Give a delivery time for the default and a longer one for the fuller cut, so the choice between them carries a visible cost.
Follow-up
- They come back wanting it by merchant for a contract negotiation. What changes in the definition and in the maturity rule?
- How would you separate first-party abuse from third-party fraud in this data, and what would you refuse to conclude from the split?
Allocate one analyst-week across three competing risk requests
Medium · prioritisation · decision deadlines · stakeholder negotiation
Three requests land in the same week and you have one analyst-week. Payments wants a merchant-level decline teardown before a contract renewal in nine days. Credit wants a swap-set analysis on a cutoff change scheduled to ship in six weeks. Insurance wants accident-quarter loss ratios at 12 months development for a reserving review with no fixed date. Each sponsor believes theirs is first, and each has escalated before. Produce the allocation, the reasoning you would say out loud to all three at once, and what you explicitly drop.
Approach
- Score each request on the decision it unblocks rather than on effort or on how loudly it arrived: what changes if it is late, and is that change reversible.
- Separate deadline from value. The nine-day renewal is a hard, irreversible date with a bounded prize; the six-week cutoff has slack but a much larger downside if it ships unmeasured; the reserving number has no date but feeds external reporting, which is its own kind of hard.
- Hunt for the cheap partial in each: a decline teardown restricted to the top merchants by declined value usually answers the contract question at a fraction of the full cut.
- Sequence by hard date first, then by largest irreversible downside, and deliver the trade-off to all three sponsors in one message rather than three, so nobody negotiates privately against a version you told someone else.
- Name what is dropped and who now owns that consequence, in writing, so the trade-off is visible rather than silently absorbed by you.
Follow-up
- The credit sponsor escalates to your manager. What do you change, and what do you refuse to change?
- How would you make this allocation reproducible so the next contested week is a rule application rather than a negotiation?