Interview guides · Alloy Holdings

Alloy Holdings Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

A two-week prep plan for Alloy Holdings data scientist candidates: write your answer before reading the solution, revisit misses three days later.

The 60-second brief

As a Data Scientist at Alloy Holdings, you are stepping into a pivotal role at the intersection of advanced analytics and the financial services industry. Your work will directly influence how we understand market dynamics, forecast trends, and build resilient data-driven products. You are not just crunching numbers; you are shaping the strategic decisions that drive our business forward in a highly competitive and complex financial landscape.

Learn the economics of the product category before the loop. Marketplaces, subscription products and ad-supported products turn on different core quantities (match rate and liquidity, retention and churn, fill rate and yield) and fail in different characteristic ways.

Focus areas

Decompose expected loss into PD, LGD, EAD
Report only matured cohorts for loss metrics
Reconcile amounts in minor units and currency

Overview

The impact of this position is substantial. You will be tasked with transforming massive, complex datasets into actionable insights that our product and operations teams rely on daily. Because Alloy Holdings operates within the financial sector, the models you build—particularly those involving forecasting and risk assessment—must be highly accurate, scalable, and interpretable. Your contributions will help optimize our financial products, improve user experiences, and mitigate operational risks.

Expect a fast-paced but deeply analytical environment. You will collaborate closely with engineering, product management, and financial experts to translate ambiguous business problems into rigorous technical solutions. This role is ideal for someone who thrives on building robust predictive models, possesses a deep appreciation for the nuances of financial data, and is passionate about delivering measurable business value through data science.

The Alloy Holdings interview process

Alloy Holdings candidates report 2 rounds · ≈ 2-4 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Initial Phone Screen

A screening call is a matching exercise run by someone who will not evaluate your statistics. They are checking that the work described on your resume is work you personally did, and that its scope matches the level the role is written for. Logistics get settled in the same half hour so nobody spends an interviewer's afternoon on a mismatch. The answer that fails is the one narrated in the plural. If every sentence is 'we built' and 'the team decided', there is nothing specific to write down about you. Name the piece that was yours, the decision you made inside it, and what changed after.

What to demonstrate

Whether the ownership implied by your resume survives one round of follow-up about who actually did which part
Whether your described scope (data size, stakeholders, what shipped) matches the seniority the role is written at
Whether timeline, location and compensation expectations make the rest of the loop worth scheduling

How to prepare

Rewrite your top three resume bullets in the first person singular, each with the decision you made and what moved afterwards, then say them out loud once so the 'we' does not return under pressure
Attach one number to each project: the baseline, the change, and the window it was measured over. Where impact was never measured, say that plainly rather than inventing a figure
Settle your compensation range before the call and give it as a range with a reason behind it, such as current total comp or a competing timeline, instead of deflecting the question twice

In-Depth Interview

An added round often puts you in front of someone outside the core hiring team: a partner engineer, a product owner, a domain expert, sometimes a more senior manager. The question they are really asking is not whether you can do the work but whether they would trust a number that came from you. That changes what a good answer looks like. Lead with what the decision cost and what it changed, keep the method available but not central, and be plain about the limits of your evidence. Overstating a result is the fastest way to lose this round.

What to demonstrate

Whether you can explain a technical choice to someone who will never read your code, without either flattening it into nothing or hiding inside jargon
Honesty about evidence strength: what the analysis establishes, what it only suggests, and what it cannot say at all
How you take disagreement, specifically whether you update on a good objection, hold your position with reasons, or fold on contact

How to prepare

Write the two-sentence version of your most technical project for a non-specialist, then check that neither sentence needs a method name to make sense.
For one result you are proud of, write the strongest objection someone could raise and a response that concedes the part of it that is correct.
Prepare one decision that turned out to be wrong: how you found out, what it cost, and what you changed afterwards. A senior cross-functional interviewer asks for this more often than a technical one does.

Where candidates lose points

Using written premium as the denominator of a loss ratio

Premium is written at inception and earned pro rata across the exposure period, so in a growing book written premium runs ahead of earned premium and the loss ratio comes out too low, with the error reversing when the book shrinks. The numerator has the mirror-image problem if it omits incurred-but-not-reported reserves, since recent accident periods then look profitable twice over. Both sides must refer to the same exposure period, which is what an accident-period view at a fixed development age enforces.

Averaging delinquency across a book that is growing

A loan three months old cannot be 90 days past due, so a portfolio with many recent originations reports a low blended 90+ rate purely from age mix. The blended rate falls fastest exactly when originations grow fastest, which is precisely when credit quality most needs watching, so the metric moves in the reassuring direction during the riskiest period. Only comparisons at equal months on book are valid, which is what a vintage or roll-rate view enforces.

Optimising accuracy on a heavily imbalanced target

State the base rate first, then choose the metric from the relative cost of a false positive against a false negative: precision and recall at the operating threshold, PR-AUC, or expected cost. At a 1 percent positive rate, predicting the majority class for everyone scores 99 percent accuracy and is worthless.

Answering a product-sense question with a list of features

Answer with a decision and the measurement that would settle it: the hypothesis, the primary metric, the guardrails, and the result that would make you not ship. A feature brainstorm cannot be wrong, which is exactly why it earns no points.

Questions & practice

Explain the concept of stationarity. Why is it important, and how do you transform non-stationary data?

Medium · statistics and probability

Approach

Quantify uncertainty explicitly rather than reporting a point estimate alone.
Write down the assumption the method needs before you use the method.
Translate the result into the decision it informs, in one plain sentence.

Follow-up

Which assumption here is most likely to be violated in practice?
What sample size would you need to detect an effect half this size?

Describe a scenario where you would choose a simpler statistical model over a complex deep learning model.

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.

Follow-up

How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?
What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?

If macroeconomic conditions suddenly change, how would you adjust an existing forecasting model?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.

Follow-up

Where could label leakage enter this setup?
How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

How would you design a model to predict customer churn for a financial product?

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.
Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
Pick an evaluation metric that matches the cost of each error type, not a default.

Follow-up

What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

Implement accident-quarter loss ratio at twelve months development

Medium · loss ratio · development age · earned premium

fct_policy_period_monthly arrives as a stack of month-end snapshots: each row carries valuation_month alongside as_of_month, policy_id, product_line, written_premium_minor, earned_premium_minor, paid_loss_minor, case_reserve_minor, ibnr_reserve_minor and loss_adjustment_expense_minor. Compute the accident-quarter loss ratio at exactly 12 months of development: incurred losses over earned premium, both taken from rows whose as_of_month falls in the accident quarter, read from the snapshot 12 months after that quarter closes. Report quarters that cannot reach that age as incomplete rather than dropping them.

Approach

Derive accident_quarter from as_of_month, then define the evaluation snapshot per quarter as valuation_month equal to the quarter's final month plus twelve months. Every figure in the ratio comes from that one snapshot, not from whichever snapshot happens to be newest.
Numerator is paid_loss_minor plus case_reserve_minor plus ibnr_reserve_minor over the accident quarter's rows in that snapshot. Loss adjustment expense may be included or not, but the choice applies to every quarter and is named in an output column.
Denominator is earned_premium_minor over the same rows. Written premium is booked in full at inception, so in a growing book it runs ahead of earned premium and drags the ratio down, with the error reversing when the book shrinks.
Left-join the full quarter list against available valuation months so a quarter with no 12-month snapshot yields status incomplete and a null ratio, instead of disappearing and shortening the series without saying so.
Split by product_line, since both the loss ratio level and the speed of development differ by line, and a blended series moves with mix as much as with experience.

Worked solution (30 min)

Add accident_quarter and a target_valuation column equal to the quarter end plus twelve months.
Filter rows to those where valuation_month equals the row's target_valuation, then assert each accident_quarter has exactly one distinct valuation_month left.
Aggregate incurred and earned premium by accident_quarter and product_line and take the ratio.
Reindex against the full list of accident quarters and product lines, marking rows with no matching snapshot as incomplete with a null ratio.
Recompute one quarter by hand on a five-policy subset and confirm it matches.

Expected result: One row per accident_quarter and product_line with incurred, earned_premium, loss_ratio, an lae_included flag and status in complete or incomplete. Complete quarters end twelve months before the latest valuation_month, so the four or five most recent quarters carry null ratios.

Verify it yourself

Assert exactly one distinct valuation_month per accident quarter after filtering; more than one means the snapshot join fanned out.
For a growing book, earned premium in a quarter is below written premium booked in that quarter; if it is above, either the book is shrinking or the accident-quarter derivation is wrong.
Incomplete quarters carry null ratios and never appear on the same line as complete ones in any chart.
Swapping the denominator to written premium shifts a quarter by L(W - E)/(EW), so the sign of the change is the sign of written minus earned premium in that quarter: the ratio falls where the book grew and rises where it shrank. Verify the swap per quarter against sign(W - E) rather than expecting a uniform move; a series that moves in one direction everywhere only means the book grew in every quarter.

Follow-up

The most recent complete quarter came in four points better than the one before. What do you check before calling it an improvement?
How would you estimate the 12-month figure for a quarter that is only 6 months developed, and how would you label the estimate?
Why can an expense ratio legitimately use a different denominator from the loss ratio in the same presentation?

Reconcile captured authorizations against the daily settlement total

Easy · reconciliation · currency · rounding

fct_payment_authorization holds captured_amount_minor in transaction_currency, and settlement_amount_minor in settlement_currency with settlement_fx_rate applied at settlement rather than at authorization. The rate is quoted in major units of settlement_currency per major unit of transaction_currency, and dim_currency.minor_unit_exponent carries the ISO 4217 exponent for each code (0, 2 or 3 depending on the currency). Produce a daily reconciliation: for each settled_at date and settlement_currency, return settled_count, total settlement_amount_minor, and the sum of captured_amount_minor converted into settlement minor units. Flag any date and currency pair whose two totals differ by more than one minor unit per settled authorization. Do not sum amounts across currencies anywhere in the output.

Approach

Restrict to rows that actually settled: settled_at is not null and settlement_amount_minor is not null, which is a smaller population than captured rows because a capture can still be in flight.
Truncate settled_at to a date with an explicit time zone so the cut matches the ledger's cut, since settled_at is timestamptz and date_trunc on timestamptz silently uses the session time zone.
Join dim_currency twice, once on transaction_currency and once on settlement_currency, so both exponents are on the row. Minor units are not a common scale: a bare captured_amount_minor * settlement_fx_rate is correct only when the two exponents are equal, and a zero-decimal currency settling into a two-decimal one is wrong by a factor of 100.
Convert per row as ROUND(captured_amount_minor::numeric / POWER(10::numeric, exp_txn) * settlement_fx_rate * POWER(10::numeric, exp_settle)) — minor units to major in the transaction currency, apply the major-per-major rate, then back to minor units in the settlement currency. The collapsed form ROUND(captured_amount_minor::numeric * settlement_fx_rate * POWER(10::numeric, exp_settle - exp_txn)) is the same expression. Round per row and then sum, not SUM(...) * an average rate, because the rate varies row by row and rounding per row is what the settlement file did.
Group by the settlement date and settlement_currency together, never by date alone, and carry the currency into every output column name or row.
Compare the two totals with a tolerance scaled by settled_count, since per-row rounding accumulates linearly in the number of rows rather than being a fixed constant.

Follow-up

A partial capture means captured_amount_minor is less than amount_minor. Where does that show up in this reconciliation, and where does it not?
On one currency pair the converted total is consistently about one hundredth of the settlement total, on every date, while the other pairs reconcile. Which two columns do you inspect first, and what single change fixes it?
The rate is documented as major-per-major. If a feed started publishing it minor-per-minor instead, which pairs would still reconcile and which would break?
How would you present a total across currencies to a finance partner who has asked for one number?

Vintage ninety-plus rate at twelve months on book

Medium · vintage analysis · window functions · right censoring

From fct_loan_performance_monthly, build a vintage table keyed on origination_month: the share of each cohort that ever reached days_past_due of 90 or more, or charge_off_flag = true, at or before months_on_book = 12. Restructuring resets days_past_due, so for any loan with restructured_flag true, evaluate only the month ends strictly before its first restructured month. Return origination_month, loans_funded, bad_loans and bad_rate. Exclude any cohort that does not yet have a months_on_book = 12 observation for every loan still on book.

Approach

Establish the cohort denominator from the first month end each loan appears at, months_on_book = 0, so a loan is counted once in its origination_month rather than once per monthly row.
Find each loan's first restructured month with MIN(as_of_month_end) FILTER (WHERE restructured_flag) OVER (PARTITION BY loan_id), or the equivalent grouped subquery, and keep it null for loans never restructured.
Flag a loan bad if any row with months_on_book <= 12 and as_of_month_end earlier than that first restructured month has days_past_due >= 90 or charge_off_flag = true, which is what 'pre-restructure worst state' means in practice.
Gate maturity by requiring the cohort's newest month end to be at least 12 months after origination_month, and report immature cohorts as incomplete rather than letting them appear at a flattering low rate.
Aggregate to one row per origination_month and read the column downward, not across calendar time, because the whole point is comparing cohorts at equal age.

Worked solution (35 min)

CTE 1: per loan_id, derive origination_month, the first restructured month end, and the maximum months_on_book observed.
CTE 2: join back to the monthly rows, filter to months_on_book <= 12 and to month ends before any restructure, then flag bad with a BOOL_OR.
CTE 3: aggregate to origination_month with COUNT() as loans_funded and COUNT() FILTER (WHERE is_bad) as bad_loans.
Apply the maturity gate and compute bad_rate with a numeric cast.

Expected result: One row per matured origination_month with loans_funded, bad_loans and a bad_rate between 0 and 1. The most recent immature cohorts are absent from the output entirely rather than present with a small bad_rate.

Verify it yourself

SUM(loans_funded) across reported cohorts equals COUNT(DISTINCT loan_id) restricted to those same origination months.
Recomputing without the months_on_book cap raises bad_rate monotonically for every cohort, and raises it most for the oldest, which is the seasoning effect made visible.
No cohort in the output has a maximum months_on_book below 12.

Follow-up

Should a restructure inside 12 months count as bad in its own right? Argue both sides and say what you would actually ship.
A loan that prepaid in full at month 4 never had a chance to go 90 days past due. In or out of the denominator, and why?
The 2025-11 cohort is two points worse at month 12 than its neighbours. What three queries do you run before you call it a credit-quality change?

How do you prioritize your work when dealing with multiple urgent requests from different business units?

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
Restate the decision this analysis has to support, and who acts on the answer.
Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

What are some of the biggest challenges when working with financial data compared to other types of data?

Medium

Approach

Work from the decision backwards to the evidence you would need.
Say what you would check first and why it is the highest-information step.
Clarify what is being asked and what a complete answer would contain.

Follow-up

What assumption would you test first?
How would you know your answer was wrong?

Test a referral rule when reviewers are a shared queue

Medium · interference · switchback · cluster randomisation

A proposed risk rule raises the share of ecommerce authorizations routed to manual review. Reviewers work a shared pool of queues serving both arms, so extra referrals from treatment lengthen the wait for control cases too. The current plan randomises by customer_id and reads decision latency plus matured fraud basis points. Explain why that design is biased and in which direction, propose a design that is not, and say what governs its power.

Approach

Name the violated assumption precisely: a unit's outcome depends on other units' assignments through the shared reviewer capacity, so the stable unit treatment value assumption fails. Customer-level randomisation then estimates a contrast between a degraded treatment and a degraded control, not between treatment and the status quo.
State the direction. Treatment pushes work into the shared queue, control absorbs part of that wait, so the measured latency difference understates the true effect of full rollout. The test can look acceptable while the rolled-out state is materially worse, which is the expensive failure mode here.
Move randomisation up to a unit that contains the interference. Either cluster-randomise whole queues or sites, or run a switchback that flips the rule for an entire queue over time blocks. Switchback is usually the better choice here because queue count is small and each queue serves as its own control, removing between-queue heterogeneity.
Specify the switchback concretely. Block length should be several times the queue sojourn time; discard a burn-in after each switch equal to the 95th percentile sojourn so carryover cases from the previous regime do not contaminate the new block; balance assignment within each day so the daily arrival pattern cannot correlate with arm.
Analyse at the randomisation unit. Aggregate to queue-block means, include queue and time-block fixed effects, and use randomisation inference or a wild cluster bootstrap rather than cluster-robust standard errors, which are anti-conservative with few clusters. Check residual autocorrelation between adjacent blocks; if it is material, widen the blocks or model it.
Separate the two readouts by maturity. Latency and referral precision at case close are available inside the test window; matured fraud basis points require at least 120 days of dispute maturity from the transaction month, so it is a deferred confirmatory read and must not be presented as a low number on immature cohorts.

Worked solution (30 min)

Write the interference channel explicitly: reviewer capacity is fixed per queue per hour, arrivals are the sum of both arms, so control's wait is a function of treatment's assignment.
Choose a queue-by-four-hour-block switchback across 14 queues for 30 days, giving 14 * 6 * 30 = 2,520 blocks, with within-day balanced assignment and a burn-in equal to the 95th percentile sojourn discarded at each switch.
Compute power at the block level. With a residual block-level standard deviation of decision latency of 6 minutes after removing queue and day-of-week fixed effects, and half the blocks per arm, MDE = 2.8016 * sqrt(2 * 36 / 1260).
State the caveat that adjacent blocks are autocorrelated, so the effective block count is below 2,520 and the analytic MDE is a floor; estimate the inflation from historical block-to-block autocorrelation before committing.
Split the readout: latency and referral precision as the in-window primary, matured fraud basis points as a deferred read at 120 days with immature months marked incomplete rather than plotted.

Expected result: A queue-by-time-block switchback with burn-in exclusion and within-day balanced assignment, analysed on block means with queue and time fixed effects and randomisation inference. With 2,520 blocks and a 6-minute residual block standard deviation, the analytic MDE on decision latency is 2.8016 * sqrt(72 / 1260) = 2.8016 * 0.2390 = 0.67 minutes, stated as a floor pending the autocorrelation correction. Power is governed by block count and between-block residual variance, not by transaction volume.

Verify it yourself

An A/A switchback on historical data should produce block-level differences centred on zero with a standard deviation matching the residual block standard deviation used in the power calculation.
Plot the effect against time since the last switch. If it is not flat after the burn-in window, the burn-in is too short and carryover is still present.
Confirm that arm assignment is orthogonal to hour of day and day of week in the realised schedule, since queue load is strongly periodic.
Cluster count, not row count, should appear in the degrees of freedom of the final inference; if the standard error implies thousands of independent observations, the analysis is at the wrong grain.

Follow-up

How do you set the block length when the queue sojourn time itself changes under treatment?
You have 14 queues and 30 days. Compare a queue-level cluster design against a queue-day switchback on power and on what each can estimate.
The shared resource is capacity. What happens to your estimate if reviewers work faster when the queue is long?

Trailing thirty day volume per customer drops week over week

Hard · seasonality · day of week · window alignment

The trailing 30-day settled volume per active customer is down 7 percent against the same metric seven days earlier. Nothing shipped. You have fct_payment_authorization with requested_at, channel, captured_at, captured_amount_minor, settled_at, settlement_amount_minor, plus dim_customer with is_current, kyc_status, onboarded_at and closed_at for the active denominator. Before anyone writes a retention narrative, decide how much of the 7 percent is calendar structure, and hand back a calendar-robust version of the comparison.

Approach

Do the window arithmetic first. Thirty days is four whole weeks plus two days, so exactly two weekdays appear five times and the other five appear four times. Sliding the window by seven days changes which two, and card-present and card-not-present volumes differ sharply by weekday.
Rebuild on a 28-day window, which contains exactly four of every weekday, and see how much of the 7 percent survives. That single change removes the weekday composition effect with no modelling and no assumptions.
Count the structural events inside each window: public holidays, and the billing anchor days that recurring authorizations cluster on. A window holding one fewer month boundary loses a block of recurring volume that has nothing to do with customer behaviour.
Decompose by channel, since recurring, card_present and ecommerce have different calendar signatures. A drop concentrated in recurring points at anchor-day placement; one spread evenly across channels does not.
Compare year over year at a 364-day lag rather than 365, which preserves weekday alignment, and only then read the residual.
Check the denominator on its own. Active customer counts on a trailing window carry their own calendar structure, and a ratio can move because either side moved.

Follow-up

Which window goes on the executive dashboard, and what do you give up by choosing it?
How would you handle a holiday that moves between years, so that a 364-day lag still misaligns it?
If a genuine 2 percent residual survives, what is the smallest cut that tells you whether it is breadth or depth?

Suggested practice checklist

Four days spend equal time on query work, statistics, modelling and product judgement at deliberately shallow depth, which produces a scored map of where you actually stand. The last three days spend everything on the two areas the role weights most, and close by re-running day one to measure movement.

Day 1 — Breadth pass: query fluency

Solve six prompts spanning aggregation, joins, window functions and date arithmetic in 60 minutes total, stopping at 10 minutes each whether or not it works, and mark every prompt as solved, solved slowly, or stuck.
For each unsolved prompt write the single blocking sentence (I lost the grain, I did not know the frame clause, I could not express the date boundary) instead of reading the solution.
Translate one pandas transformation you know well into SQL and one SQL query into pandas, checking that both return the same row count and the same totals.

Deliverable: A scored six-row table, one line per prompt, saved for the day-seven re-run.

Day 2 — Breadth pass: statistics and inference

Answer ten short questions in writing with nothing open: what a p-value is conditional on, what a 95 percent interval covers across repeated samples, when a paired test is the right one, what the bootstrap estimates, why multiple comparisons inflate false positives, how controlling the family-wise error rate differs from controlling the false discovery rate, what power depends on, what a missed real effect costs a product, the three situations where the central limit theorem does not rescue you (small n, very heavy tails, dependent observations), and what a standard error is the standard deviation of.
Grade yourself against a reference and count only the answers that were exactly right, not the ones that were nearly right.
Rewrite the two weakest answers the following morning from memory in full sentences.

Deliverable: Ten graded answers with an honest count of exact hits.

Day 3 — Breadth pass: modelling

Take one tabular dataset end to end in 90 minutes: a leakage-safe split, a baseline that is not a model (majority class or historical mean), one regularized linear model, one gradient-boosted tree, and a single evaluation metric chosen before you look at any result.
Write why that metric fits the cost structure: precision at a fixed recall for alerting, calibration for anything feeding a price or a threshold, ranking metrics for retrieval, and note that area under the ROC curve is insensitive to class balance in a way that can flatter a rare-positive problem.
Name the leak you were most likely to introduce (an encoding fit on all rows before splitting, or a feature computed after the label's timestamp) and write the check that would have caught it.

Deliverable: A notebook whose first cell states the metric and the baseline, plus two lines on what beat what and by how much.

Day 4 — Breadth pass: product judgement

Answer three case prompts aloud at 15 minutes each, timing how long passes before you state a success metric.
For one case write the first segmentation you would run and the row counts you expect per segment, so that a tiny segment cannot quietly drive the conclusion.
Take a metric definition you did not write, from a public dashboard, a textbook, or documentation you already have open, and list every place two analysts implementing it would diverge: which rows the denominator admits, whether the unit is an account or a person, what the time window is anchored to, and what happens to data that arrives late. Then write the one question that would close the largest of those gaps.

Deliverable: Three recorded case answers plus an ambiguity list for a metric someone else defined, ending in the single question you would ask about it.

Day 5 — Depth, first area

Rank the four areas by how many bullet points in the role description each one covers, pick the top one, and spend the entire day inside it.
Work the six hardest problems you can find in that area and for each write the generalizable move you should have reached for first, rather than the answer.
Re-solve the two you failed the same evening with notes closed.

Deliverable: Six generalizable moves written as instructions to yourself, not as solutions.

Day 6 — Depth, second area, and the seam between them

Repeat the depth protocol on the second-ranked area with the same six-problem structure.
Construct one problem that requires both areas at once, for example a metric redefinition whose effect you must validate with a test whose readout you then have to query.
Solve your own combined problem end to end and note where the handoff between the two areas cost you time.

Deliverable: One combined problem, solved end to end, with the handoff failure written down.

Day 7 — Integration and re-measurement

Re-run the six prompts from day one under the same clock and compare both correctness and time.
Run a 60-minute mixed mock that moves between areas without warning, since switching cost is what breadth passes do not train.
Write the two areas you would still fail on, and the sentence you will use in the interview when you hit one of them.

Deliverable: A before-and-after score table plus a written plan for the two remaining gaps.

Stories where someone disagreed with you

Have two ready. In one, the data was on your side and you had to move someone who outranked you. In the other, the pushback was correct and you changed position. The second is the harder story and it lands better, because it shows you separate being right from being attached to an answer. Name the person's actual objection.

Describe a project that failed or did not meet expectations. What did you learn from it?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.

Follow-up

What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

How do you handle seasonality and trend components when building a forecast?

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.
Quantify the outcome, including what you would not claim credit for.

Follow-up

What would you do differently if you ran that project again?
How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Recommend a decision whose true outcome matures a year later

Hard · decision under censoring · leading indicators · staged rollout

An underwriting rule change must be decided in six weeks. Its real outcome, the vintage 90-plus rate at months_on_book 12 in fct_loan_performance_monthly, matures in a year. The executive wants a yes or no, not a range. Randomising the credit decision across the whole population is not available. Name the leading indicator you would accept, state its bias and the direction of that bias, define the decision rule and stopping condition before any rollout starts, and say what reading would make you recommend reversing the change.

Approach

Fix the readout before the rollout, because a readout chosen after the data arrives is a story rather than a decision rule: indicator, window, threshold and reversal condition all go in writing first.
Choose the leading indicator on its measured relationship to the matured outcome in historical vintages rather than on availability. Early delinquency, typically the share reaching dpd_1_29 or missing a first scheduled payment by months_on_book 3, is the usual candidate, and you quantify how well it predicted the 12-month rate across past cohorts.
State the bias and its direction plainly: early delinquency under-represents default that emerges later and is contaminated by servicing and payment-date effects, so treat it as a floor on risk rather than an estimate of it.
Buy identification where full randomisation is unavailable: a narrow randomised approval band around the cutoff, or a staged rollout by channel or region read as a difference-in-differences, with the parallel-trends assumption stated and checked in the pre-period rather than assumed.
Give the executive the binary they asked for with the trigger attached in the same sentence: yes, conditional on the month-3 indicator staying inside a stated band, with an automatic hold if it breaches.

Follow-up

How would you validate that the month-3 indicator predicts the 12-month outcome, and what evidence would invalidate it mid-rollout?
Compliance refuses a randomised band. What is your next-best identification strategy, and what precision do you lose by taking it?