cswork / libraryOpen practice workspace

Interview guides · AAK

AAK Data Scientist Interview Questions & Guide 2026

Modeling drills for a AAK data scientist interview: baselines, regression interpretation, class imbalance, model defense.

The 60-second brief

At AAK, the Data Scientist role is pivotal in driving the company's "Making Better Happen" philosophy. You are not just crunching numbers; you are leveraging data to optimize complex supply chains, enhance sustainable sourcing of plant-based ingredients, and accelerate product innovation. AAK operates at the intersection of biology, chemistry, and logistics, meaning your models often have direct physical implications on how food ingredients are sourced, processed, and delivered globally.

Learn the economics of the product category before the loop. Marketplaces, subscription products and ad-supported products turn on different core quantities (match rate and liquidity, retention and churn, fill rate and yield) and fail in different characteristic ways.

Focus areas

  • Price a service-level change in working capital
  • Join daily snapshots to shipment events safely
  • Evaluate forecasts at the lag ordering actually uses

Overview

This position typically sits within the Global IT, Digitalisation, or R&D functions. You will work on high-impact initiatives such as predictive maintenance for manufacturing plants, price forecasting for raw commodities (like shea or coconut), and sensory data analysis to assist food formulation. The role demands a blend of technical rigor and industrial pragmatism—you must be able to translate complex datasets into actionable insights that plant managers, supply chain directors, and product developers can use to make faster, smarter decisions.

The AAK interview process

AAK candidates report 4 rounds · ≈ 3-5 weeks. The stages below are what candidates describe, not a published process.

Recruiter Screening

Data Scientist covers at least four different jobs: experimentation, product analytics, causal work on observational data, and applied modelling that ships into a system. A screening call is the cheapest place to find out which of them is being hired for, and doing that diagnosis openly reads as senior rather than fussy. Ask what the last few pieces of work on the team actually were, and roughly how a week splits between querying, modelling and stakeholder time. Then say which parts of that you have done and which you have not. Claiming the whole range is the fastest way to be caught one round later.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you can distinguish the flavours of the role and locate your own experience inside one of them honestly
  • Whether you name what you have not done instead of stretching to cover every line of the posting
  • Whether your hard constraints (notice period, location, work authorisation, level) surface now rather than at offer stage

How to prepare

  • Map the last two years of your time into rough percentages across query writing, experiment design, modelling and stakeholder work, so a question about scope has a real answer
  • Mark every responsibility in the posting as done, adjacent or new, and prepare one sentence for each adjacent item naming the closest thing you have actually built
  • Decide which logistics are non-negotiable before the call so you can state them in one sentence rather than negotiating live

Hiring Manager Interview

This conversation decides whether you can be handed a problem nobody has finished defining and left alone with it for a few weeks. The manager is listening for how you behave when the brief is thin: what you clarify before starting, and what you settle on your own rather than escalating. Most candidates over-index on technical depth here and under-describe the decisions they actually owned. Say who wanted the work, what you chose not to do, and where you would have stopped and asked. A clean account of your own judgement carries this round further than a longer project list.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether you can name a decision that was yours alone, as opposed to one the team arrived at
  • How you respond to a request that arrives with no success metric attached to it
  • Whether the effort you estimate for a piece of work matches the work you just described doing
  • What you escalate, and how long you sit on a problem before you do

How to prepare

  • For each project you plan to raise, write one sentence saying what would not have happened if you had not been on it, and check that the sentence is about an outcome rather than an artefact
  • List the decisions in your last project that were genuinely yours, and for each one write down the option you rejected and why
  • Prepare the project that went badly: the point at which you knew, who you told, and what it cost before it was caught

Practical Assessment

Much of what gets scored here happens out loud while you type. Nobody can see your reasoning inside a half-written query, so five silent minutes read as being stuck even when they are not. State the plan in plain language first: which tables, what grain you are aggregating to, and the one filter that defines the population. Then write it. The narration doubles as insurance, because a wrong plan gets caught early and cheaply while a wrong query gets caught at the end with no time left to redo it. A timed statistics section, where one exists, is a separate test with its own clock.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the query you write matches the plan you just described
  • What you do with a hint, meaning whether the correction gets absorbed or the first approach gets defended
  • Whether you can debug your own wrong output by reading the result set and naming which part of the query produced the anomaly

How to prepare

  • Solve three problems while screen-sharing into a recording, then watch it back and mark every stretch longer than thirty seconds where you said nothing
  • Practise compressing the plan into one sentence before typing, then check afterwards whether the finished query actually matched it
  • Time yourself on statistics questions that carry a business reading, such as what a confidence interval does and does not claim, rather than re-reading notes without a clock

Panel Interview

A day of back-to-back interviews samples your floor, not your ceiling. Four hours in, the habits that carry a good answer are the first to go: restating the question before solving it, asking what the data would have to look like, checking a number before quoting it. What the day decides is whether the tired version of you is still someone to leave alone with an ambiguous problem. The round that sinks a candidate is usually not the hardest one. It is the one immediately after the round that went badly.

What to demonstrate

  • Whether the late rounds get the same clarifying questions as the first one, or whether you start answering immediately to save effort
  • Whether a weak answer stays in the room it happened in, instead of following you into the next conversation as apology or distraction
  • Whether the quality of your questions holds up, since fatigue removes curiosity about the problem before it removes knowledge of the method

How to prepare

  • Rehearse the length, not just the content: book four mock interviews of different types in one afternoon with short gaps, because the one you need to observe is the fourth
  • Put the two or three questions you ask at the start of any problem on a card in front of you, so that under fatigue it is a habit you run rather than a decision you make
  • Decide in advance what the gap between rooms is for: water, one line of notes on anything you promised to follow up, and an explicit close on the round that just ended so it does not travel
  • Prepare a different closing question for each interviewer, so the end of a long day does not produce the same one four times

Where candidates lose points

Scoring intermittent demand with MAPE

MAPE is undefined whenever the actual is zero, which is most days for a C-class item at a forward-stocking location, and it is asymmetric even where it is defined: under-forecasting is bounded at 100 percent error while over-forecasting is unbounded. Optimising it therefore drives systematic under-forecasting on exactly the items whose stockouts are most expensive, and the bias is invisible in the headline because the zero-actual rows were dropped before averaging. Use WMAPE (sum of absolute errors over sum of actuals), a scaled error such as RMSSE, or a pinball loss at the service quantile the policy targets, and always state the aggregation level and forecast lag, because the same series scores very differently at daily SKU-store level and weekly SKU-region level.

Attributing demand variability to the node where it is observed

Order variance amplifies as it moves upstream: batching to a truckload, minimum order quantities, forecast-driven ordering and promotional pull all convert smooth end demand into lumpy replenishment orders, so a plant can see a coefficient of variation several times that of the underlying consumption. Diagnosing the plant's schedule instability as a plant problem then produces interventions that cannot work, because the generating process sits one or two echelons downstream. Measure the bullwhip ratio explicitly (variance of orders placed by a node over variance of demand it received) at each echelon, and fix the ordering rule at the node where the ratio jumps rather than the node where the pain is felt.

Averaging per-user rates to produce a population rate

Decide which quantity you want: the mean of per-user ratios and the ratio of summed numerator to summed denominator are different estimands, and heavy users dominate one but not the other. For a ratio metric, aggregate numerator and denominator separately and use the delta method for its variance.

Ignoring interference between units in a marketplace experiment

Ask whether one unit's treatment can change another unit's outcome through shared inventory, a matching pool, a social graph or a common budget. Where it can, randomise at a level that contains the spillover, such as region or time slice, and say explicitly what that costs you in statistical power.

Questions & practice

"What are the assumptions of linear regression?"

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Say how the offline result would be validated online before it is trusted.
  2. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  3. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • Where could label leakage enter this setup?

"Describe the Random Forest algorithm to a non-technical person."

Medium · machine learning and modelling

Approach

  1. Set a baseline first, so any model has something honest to beat.
  2. Frame the prediction: the label, the moment of prediction, and the action it triggers.
  3. Check what information would not exist at prediction time, and exclude it.

Follow-up

  • What would you monitor after launch to know the model is still valid?
  • How would you choose the decision threshold, and who owns that choice?

As-of join snapshots to order lines without merge_asof

Medium · as-of join · fan-out · searchsorted

You have fct_order_line (order_line_id, sku_id, ship_from_location_id, actual_ship_at_utc, shipped_qty, shipment_id) and fct_inventory_daily (inventory_date, sku_id, location_id, available_qty). For every shipped line, attach available_qty from the latest snapshot strictly before the ship date for that exact sku and node, plus the shipment's delivery timestamp from fct_shipment_leg (leg_id, shipment_id, delivered_at_utc, leg_status). The output must have exactly one row per input order line. pandas.merge_asof is not available; implement the as-of match yourself.

Approach

  1. Collapse fct_shipment_leg to one row per shipment_id before joining anything. A shipment is one or more legs, so a direct line-to-leg join multiplies every line by its leg count and quietly inflates every sum computed afterwards.
  2. Define the shipment-level delivery as the maximum delivered_at_utc across its legs, and set it null if any leg is not delivered, since the customer has the order only when the last leg lands.
  3. Sort the snapshot frame by (sku_id, location_id, inventory_date) and the line frame by the same key plus ship date, then use np.searchsorted with side='left' on the sorted dates within each key group to find the insertion point; the matching snapshot is the row at position minus one.
  4. Guard the boundary explicitly: an insertion point of 0 means no snapshot exists before that ship date, and the result must be null rather than the first available future snapshot. Count those lines and report them.
  5. Assert the output row count equals the input line count immediately after each merge, before any aggregation. Row-count drift is the only symptom a silent fan-out produces, and it is invisible once the frame has been grouped.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Aggregate legs by shipment_id to produce delivered_at_utc as the max, leg_count, and a delivered_all flag from leg_status.
  2. Left join that one-row-per-shipment frame onto fct_order_line by shipment_id and assert the row count is unchanged.
  3. Sort snapshots and lines by the composite key, then compute per-group insertion points with np.searchsorted and subtract one.
  4. Mask positions below zero to null, take available_qty at the remaining positions, and attach it as available_qty_prior.
  5. Validate on a single sku-location pair by printing its snapshot dates and one line's ship date and confirming the chosen date by eye.

Expected result: A frame with exactly as many rows as the input order lines, carrying available_qty_prior (null for lines with no earlier snapshot), delivered_at_utc and leg_count, plus a printed count of unmatched lines.

Verify it yourself

  • Assert len(output) equals len(fct_order_line) after every join step, not only at the end.
  • Assert every non-null matched snapshot date is strictly less than the line's ship date, and that no snapshot date for the same key falls between the match and the ship date.
  • Compare against a slow brute-force loop over 200 sampled lines; the two must agree on every row.
  • Confirm the unmatched count equals the number of lines whose ship date precedes the first snapshot for their sku-location pair.

Follow-up

  • The snapshot is taken at the node's local end of day and actual_ship_at_utc is UTC. Where does that break the strictly-before rule and what do you need from dim_location to fix it?
  • How would you extend this to allocate each leg's linehaul cost back to the order lines it carried?
  • What changes if a line ships in two partial shipments?

"How would you detect and handle outliers in sensor data from a manufacturing plant?"

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Handle the rows that do not match: a LEFT JOIN with a NULL check is usually the question.
  2. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  3. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.

Follow-up

  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

"Write a Python function to parse a messy date string column into a standardized format."

Medium · sql and data manipulation

Approach

  1. Compute rates by summing numerator and denominator separately, never by averaging rates.
  2. Check whether any join is one-to-many before aggregating, or the sums inflate.
  3. Say which table is the grain you start from, and join outward from it.

Follow-up

  • What breaks if events arrive late or out of order?
  • How would you verify this result without re-running the same query?

Perfect order rate against the original promise in local time

Hard · timezone boundaries · order-grain rollup · semi-join

Compute weekly perfect order rate at order grain. An order qualifies only if every fct_order_line has line_status = 'shipped_full', every line's actual_delivery_at_utc falls on or before original_promised_delivery_date at the ship-from node's local end of day (dim_location.timezone holds IANA names), and no fct_shipment_leg reached through shipment_id carries exception_code in ('damage','address_issue') or leg_status in ('refused','lost'). The denominator is orders whose original_promised_delivery_date lands in the week. Undelivered lines fail. Publish with a fourteen-day lag and declare invoice accuracy as out of scope.

Approach

  1. Convert the event into local time rather than comparing against a UTC-anchored deadline: (actual_delivery_at_utc AT TIME ZONE 'UTC' AT TIME ZONE loc.timezone)::date <= original_promised_delivery_date. Casting the promise date to a timestamp puts the cut-off at UTC midnight starting the promise day, which is up to a full day early and wrong in both directions depending on the node's offset.
  2. Evaluate the three components as booleans at line grain, then roll to the order with BOOL_AND, coercing a NULL actual_delivery_at_utc to FALSE explicitly so an undelivered line fails rather than propagating NULL and dropping the order out of the comparison.
  3. Test the shipment exceptions with EXISTS against fct_shipment_leg, never with a join. One shipment has many legs and one order has many lines, so a join multiplies the order into the denominator and changes the metric.
  4. Aggregate to order grain first, then count qualifying orders over orders promised in the week. The rate is orders over orders; a line-level average is a different and easier metric.
  5. Apply the publication lag by restricting to weeks whose promise dates are at least fourteen days old, and emit the three component pass rates beside the headline so any movement is attributable to completeness, timeliness or exceptions.

Worked solution (40 min)

  1. CTE line_flags: join fct_order_line to dim_location on ship_from_location_id, producing is_full, is_on_time using the AT TIME ZONE conversion with COALESCE to FALSE, and has_exception from an EXISTS over fct_shipment_leg.
  2. CTE order_flags: GROUP BY order_id with BOOL_AND(is_full), BOOL_AND(is_on_time), BOOL_AND(NOT has_exception) and MIN(original_promised_delivery_date) for bucketing.
  3. Aggregate per DATE_TRUNC('week', promise date): COUNT() as denominator, COUNT() FILTER (WHERE all three) as perfect_orders, and the three component counts.
  4. Restrict output to weeks ending at least fourteen days ago.
  5. Re-run the on-time expression once with a naive UTC comparison and record the delta as evidence the conversion is live.

Expected result: One row per week with orders_in_denominator, perfect_orders, rate, and three component pass rates, where the rate is less than or equal to every component rate and weeks inside the fourteen-day lag are absent from the output.

Verify it yourself

  • perfect_orders is less than or equal to the count passing any single component, for every week.
  • Switching the deadline to a naive UTC comparison shifts the on-time component by roughly the share of orders at nodes offset from UTC. No change at all means the conversion is not being applied.
  • The denominator equals COUNT(DISTINCT order_id) over orders promised in the week and does not change when the legs EXISTS clause is removed.
  • No order_id appears in more than one week.

Follow-up

  • All three component rates are flat but perfect order fell two points. How is that arithmetically possible, and what does it tell you about where the failures now land?
  • A node sits at UTC+13 and many orders are promised on the last day of the month. What does that do to your weekly and monthly buckets?
  • How do you handle an order whose lines ship from two nodes in different timezones, and which node's clock owns the promise?

"If we wanted to predict the yield of a specific oil blend, what features would you look for?"

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

  • Which segment would you cut first, and what would that rule out?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

"How do you measure the ROI of a data science project?"

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.

Follow-up

  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?
  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?

"How would you design a dashboard for a plant manager who has 5 minutes a day to review data?"

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Name one primary metric, then the guardrail that stops it being gamed.
  3. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.

Follow-up

  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

"How do you prioritize your tasks when working on multiple projects with different deadlines?"

Medium · product sense and metrics

Approach

  1. State what result would change your recommendation, so the answer is falsifiable.
  2. Fix the population and the time window before naming any metric.
  3. Decompose the metric into the rates that drive it, and say which one you would check first.

Follow-up

  • How would you detect that the metric is being gamed rather than genuinely improving?
  • What would you do if the primary metric and the guardrail moved in opposite directions?

Separate novelty from steady state in a planner tool rollout

Medium · novelty effect · burn-in · exposure time

An override assistant was given to 18 of 36 planners, randomised at the planner and held for 14 weeks. WMAPE at lag 7 improves 6% relative in weeks 1-3, 2% in weeks 4-8, and is flat after. Downstream unit fill rate does not move until week 6, then gains 0.8 points. Decide whether the early forecast gain is novelty, whether the late service gain is real, and specify the readout window you would pre-register next time.

Approach

  1. Separate the two candidate stories before touching the data. Novelty is a behavioural effect that fades as a planner stops attending to a new tool; a real effect that is being diluted as easy wins are exhausted looks identical in calendar time. With one simultaneous launch, exposure time and calendar time are collinear and the two are not separable, which is itself the honest first answer.
  2. Get identification from staggered exposure where it exists: index the effect by weeks since first exposure and compare a late cohort's week-2 effect against an early cohort's week-2 effect. Matching at equal exposure age but different calendar dates isolates novelty; a pattern that aligns on calendar week instead points at seasonality or a demand-side shock.
  3. Put the two outcomes on their own clocks. Forecast error can respond in the week an override is made, but fill rate cannot respond until the changed order has been placed, received and consumed, which is one lead time plus one review period. A six-week onset is the expected physics of the replenishment loop, not evidence of a delayed behavioural effect.
  4. Check the mechanism rather than the curve: count override actions per planner per week. Falling override volume alongside a falling effect is novelty. Steady override volume alongside a falling effect means the overrides stopped paying, because the largest corrections were taken first, and that is a different and more durable finding.
  5. Pre-register a readout window that starts after a burn-in of at least two replenishment cycles for any service metric, states the forecast window separately, and defines the primary on post-burn-in weeks only.

Worked solution (30 min)

  1. Build a planner-by-week panel with arm, weeks since exposure, WMAPE at lag 7, unit fill rate, and override counts.
  2. Estimate the effect by weeks since exposure and, separately, by calendar week, and plot both against each other.
  3. If exposure was staggered, compare cohorts at matched exposure age; if it was simultaneous, state that novelty is not separable in this design and name the design change that would have separated it.
  4. Compute the system lag directly: median inbound lead time from fct_shipment_leg where direction = 'inbound', plus the review period, and compare it against the observed six-week onset.
  5. Write the pre-registration: forecast metrics from week 1 on their own clock, service metrics from the first week after two replenishment cycles, primary defined on the post-burn-in span.

Expected result: The decaying forecast gain cannot be attributed to novelty from a single simultaneous launch; separating it requires staggered exposure or the override-volume mechanism check. The six-week onset in fill rate is consistent with the replenishment lag and is not evidence against a real effect. The pre-registered readout is a post-burn-in window of at least two replenishment cycles for service, with the forecast metric reported on its own clock.

Verify it yourself

  • The onset week for fill rate should approximately equal median lead time plus the review period; service moving faster than that means something other than the tool is moving it.
  • Override volume per planner per week distinguishes the two decay stories on its own and needs no modelling.
  • An A/A replay on the pre-period, cut the same way by week, should show no week-shaped pattern; a pattern there means the weekly decomposition is picking up seasonality rather than exposure.

Follow-up

  • Planners cover each other's portfolios during absence and sit in the same weekly review. What does that do to a planner-level randomisation?
  • Weeks 1-3 contained a promotion. How would you test whether the 6% is a promotion effect rather than novelty, using only data you already have?

Unit fill rate fell four points in one region

Easy · fill rate · segment cuts · mix shift

Weekly unit fill rate for one region fell from 96.1 percent to 92.0 percent over four weeks and has not recovered. Network fill rate is flat. You have fct_order_line (ordered_qty, shipped_qty, requested_ship_date, ship_from_location_id, sku_id, line_status, short_reason_code), dim_location (location_type, region_code, echelon) and dim_sku (abc_class, xyz_class, lifecycle_status). Produce the first four query cuts, say what each one rules in or out, and name the single most likely cause together with the evidence that would confirm it. Thirty minutes, SQL plus a short written argument.

Approach

  1. Rebuild the metric by summing shipped_qty and ordered_qty to region level and dividing once, rather than averaging per-SKU-location rates. An unweighted mean of cell rates moves with portfolio mix on its own, so if the drop does not survive re-summing there is nothing physical to diagnose.
  2. Cut by ship_from_location_id first. If one node carries the whole drop the mix of demand across nodes is not the story and the problem is local; if every node fell a little, the cause sits upstream in supply or forecast rather than in any warehouse.
  3. Decompose the region change over abc_class by xyz_class cells into within-cell, mix and interaction terms: delta R = SUM(w0 * (r1 - r0)) + SUM(r0 * (w1 - w0)) + SUM((w1 - w0) * (r1 - r0)), where w is a cell's share of the denominator and r is its rate. A dominant mix term means demand moved toward hard-to-serve intermittent items and no cell actually got worse.
  4. Group the lost units (ordered_qty minus shipped_qty) by short_reason_code. 'no_stock' points at planning, 'pick_shortage' and 'damage_on_pick' mean the stock was physically present and execution lost it, 'allocation_rule' means the units existed and were promised to someone else, and 'credit_hold' is not a supply chain failure at all.
  5. Only then cross the weekly series against the promotion calendar, against SKUs with lifecycle_status = 'pre_launch' cutting in, and against accounts placing their first order in the window. A step change starting in the same week as a promotion or a new-item onboarding is a demand-side event, not a degradation.

Follow-up

  • Fill rate is flat nationally but down in this region. What does that tell you about where the stock went, and how would you test it?
  • Most of the failed units carry short_reason_code = 'no_stock', yet on_hand_qty at the node stayed above reorder_point_qty all month. How is that possible?
  • Would you publish this rate weighted by units or by revenue, and which team gets a different answer from each?

Suggested practice checklist

Roughly 90 minutes a night on weekdays with one longer weekend block. The plan deliberately cuts scope rather than compressing everything, on the assumption that finishing one thing a night beats half-starting four.

Day 1 — Fix the scope and set a baseline

  • Read the role description and write the three things the loop will almost certainly test, then write an explicit not-doing list for everything else and keep it visible all week.
  • Take one 20-minute SQL prompt and one 10-minute metric question cold, and write the single sentence that says what blocked each attempt, since that sentence is what decides which two topics get the most evenings.
  • Set the week's one rule: one problem finished to completion every night, including the night you only have 40 minutes.

Deliverable: A one-page scope with an explicit not-doing list and two cold attempts, each carrying one sentence on what blocked it.

Day 2 — One query pattern, written three times

  • Choose the single pattern most likely to appear (a cohort retention grid, or a funnel counted by user) and write it three times from a blank file rather than editing the previous attempt.
  • On the third attempt, write the grain of every CTE as a comment before writing its body.
  • Stop at 90 minutes even if the third version is imperfect, and write the one thing you would fix with another hour.

Deliverable: Three independent versions of the same query plus a note on what changed between them.

Day 3 — Only the statistics you will be asked to defend

  • Write, in under 200 words, how you would decide whether a difference between two groups is real: the test, its assumptions, and what you would switch to when an assumption fails.
  • Compute a 95 percent confidence interval for a difference in proportions by hand on realistic numbers, then write in one sentence what changes if the two samples are paired rather than independent.
  • Write your answer to "what does a p-value mean", check it against a definition, and delete the version that describes it as the probability the hypothesis is true.

Deliverable: A 200-word written answer and one hand-computed interval you can reproduce under pressure.

Day 4 — One case, and the assumptions holding it up

  • Answer one product case aloud in 20 minutes with a recording running, then listen back with a pen and mark every claim you asserted without saying what it rested on: an assumed user behaviour, an assumed data source, an assumed baseline rate, an assumed grain.
  • Pick the three assumptions the recommendation actually depends on, write how you would check each one against data, and say which one being wrong would flip the recommendation rather than merely weaken it.
  • Write the four-step structure you used onto a card small enough to hold in working memory when you are nervous.

Deliverable: One recording, three load-bearing assumptions each with a written check, and a four-step structure card.

Day 5 — Your own work, timed

  • Write a 90-second version and a four-minute version of your main project, and time both out loud rather than reading them.
  • Prepare answers to the two follow-ups that always come: what you would do differently, and how you knew it worked.
  • Put one number in the first sentence and be able to say exactly where that number came from and what it excludes.

Deliverable: Two timed narratives with one defensible number in the opening line.

Day 6 — The one full rehearsal, in a longer weekend block

  • Run a 60-minute mock covering query work, a case and a behavioural question in a single sitting with no breaks, because sustained attention is the thing evenings have not trained.
  • Immediately afterwards, and before hearing any feedback, write the three moments you lost the thread.
  • Spend the rest of the block only on those three moments, and on nothing you merely feel shaky about.

Deliverable: Mock notes naming three failure moments with a specific fix written under each.

Day 7 — Taper

  • Write the 20-minute warm-up you will actually do on the morning of the interview: one query you can already write from a blank file, one metric you can define out loud, and nothing you have never seen before.
  • Re-read only your own notes from this week, and open no new material.
  • Write down the logistics: the tool you will be asked to work in, whether lookups are allowed, and the sentence you will use when you do not know something.

Deliverable: A one-page card holding the case structure, the project numbers, and the logistics.

What the behavioural round is actually scoring

Interviewers here are not checking whether you can describe a project. They want the decision you made, why you made it under the information you had, and what changed afterwards that someone else could measure. A story that ends at 'I built a model' has no ending. Say what the model caused, or what you stopped doing because of it.

"Tell me about a time you had to convince a skeptical stakeholder to follow your data-driven recommendation."

Medium · behavioural and stakeholder questions

Approach

  1. Pick a story where you drove the decision, not one where you observed it.
  2. State the situation in two sentences and spend the rest on your reasoning.
  3. Name the disagreement or constraint, and how you resolved it with evidence.

Follow-up

  • What did you decide not to do, and why?
  • How did you know the outcome was caused by your change?

Quantify your own impact on a safety stock change honestly

Hard · impact measurement · confounding · difference in differences

In March you re-sized safety stock at twelve regional DCs using the variable lead time formula. Unit fill rate at those nodes rose from 94.1 to 96.5 percent by June. In the same window a supplier that had been running 71 percent inbound on-time recovered to 93 percent, and Q2 volume is seasonally about 8 percent below Q1. Your manager asks for one sentence on impact for a performance review. Write the claim you are willing to defend under challenge, and explain how you bounded the portion attributable to your change.

Approach

  1. Refuse the naive claim first: the 2.4 point gross movement contains at least three generating processes, and attributing all of it is the sort of claim that collapses the moment someone plots the supplier's on-time series next to it.
  2. Build a comparison group from nodes that did not get the change, check that their pre-period fill rate moved in parallel with the treated nodes for at least two quarters before March, and estimate the difference in differences with variance clustered at the node, since twelve treated clusters is the effective sample size regardless of how many node-weeks there are.
  3. Strip the confounders you can measure directly rather than trusting the design alone: restrict to sku-location cells sourced from other suppliers to remove the recovery, and hold the sku mix fixed across periods so the seasonal volume drop does not enter through mix.
  4. Sanity-check the mechanism, not just the coefficient: if your change worked, the improvement should concentrate in cells whose reorder point rose and in short_reason_code = 'no_stock' lines, and should be absent where the policy did not move. If the gain is spread evenly, something else caused it.
  5. State the result as an interval with the confounders named, and state the cost side too: extra units held at the applicable cost of capital, so the claim is a net one rather than a service headline.
  6. Write the sentence so that it survives someone else re-running it, which usually means a smaller number than the gross movement and a named method.

Follow-up

  • The comparison nodes are not parallel in the pre-period. What do you do next?
  • Your bounded estimate is roughly half the gross movement. How do you present that to a manager who already told his boss the larger number?

Tell a sponsor the effect cannot be measured in six weeks

Hard · power · selection bias · quasi experiments · saying no

A VP wants a read in six weeks on a forward-stocking policy now live at eight of forty nodes. Replenishment lead time on the affected lanes is five weeks, the eight nodes were chosen by the ops team because they were the worst performers, and the cross-node standard deviation of weekly fill rate is about 3 points. The VP has already told his leadership team that a number is coming. Tell him what you can and cannot deliver in six weeks, and propose the design and timeline you would commit to instead.

Approach

  1. Do the power arithmetic in front of him rather than asserting the test is underpowered: comparing eight treated against thirty-two untreated node means with a between-node standard deviation of 3 points gives a standard error near 3 times the square root of one eighth plus one thirty-second, about 1.2 points, so the minimum detectable effect at 80 percent power and a two-sided 5 percent test is roughly 3.3 points. Any real effect smaller than that comes back as a null you cannot interpret.
  2. Name the burn-in problem separately: with a five-week lead time, six weeks covers barely one replenishment cycle, so whatever you measure is the transition rather than the new steady state, and the transition usually looks worse than the policy is.
  3. Name the selection problem third: nodes picked because they were worst will improve toward the network mean without any policy, so a simple before-and-after at those nodes is biased upward and will over-claim.
  4. Offer what is genuinely deliverable in six weeks: an implementation read, meaning whether the policy is actually in force at the eight nodes, whether inventory positions moved as designed, and whether any leading indicator such as short_reason_code mix is moving, framed explicitly as operational verification and not an effect estimate.
  5. Propose the real design with dates: extend to sixteen weeks covering roughly three cycles, use a difference in differences against matched comparison nodes chosen on pre-period fill rate and volume, cluster variance at the node, and pre-register the burn-in window that will be excluded.
  6. Help him with the commitment he already made: give him the exact wording for what he reports at week six, so the honest answer arrives as something he can say rather than as a refusal.

Follow-up

  • He asks you to add the remaining thirty-two nodes to the rollout next month. What does that do to your design?
  • If the effect really is 1 point, is the policy worth keeping, and how would you ever know?